2019 NFL Combine Preview: Offense

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Three Things to Know

1- The Running Back Class May be Sub-par, but the Combine is a Very Important Day: Let’s get things started with the most obvious statement this year; athletic testing will be huge for this class. I can’t recall a year where the athletic test portion of the combine was more important. This class as a whole lacks depth, and the running back position is no different.

The athletic testing is going to be huge for the running backs. Outside of Josh Jacobs, there isn’t anyone with elite home run speed, or so we think. If a running back can test well athletically, they can establish themselves as RB2 and a top 50 pick. So when watching the Combine this weekend, look for the 40 yard dash, the short shuttle and the 3-Cone Drill. The guys that show athleticism this weekend to match or exceed their tape will be the ones picked in the first few rounds.

2- Do NOT Get Trapped by Day Two of the Combine: Day two is the Quarterbacks and Pass Catchers, which typically has a lot of eyes and can generate a lot of buzz. For the life of me, I still can’t figure out why. The Quarterbacks don’t have any report with the receivers, so timing is a complete guessing game. The receivers run basic route combinations and the most ridiculous drill of the weekend; the gauntlet. The gauntlet may be the dumbest thing throughout this weekend, and that includes the Combine committee’s ridiculous stance on who deserves an invite and who doesn’t.

Now there are some things that can provide some value. If a QB noticeably struggles with the three, five and seven step drops, that is a very bad sign. If a QB is noticeably off on their timing out of the receiver’s break, even without knowing tendencies, that is still not good.

However, for the most part, this day is useless after the receivers and tight ends do their athletic testing. Stick with your opinions based on what you see on tape and in game action, don’t get trapped into gym shorts scouting.

3- You Can Learn the Most about Offensive Linemen This Weekend: NFL Draft analysts love the offensive linemen portion of the combine because you see who has the necessary NFL length, and you see who is willing to go the extra mile by working hard to improve workout numbers that largely don’t matter. Sure the ten yard split can be an indicator towards quickness and athletic ability, and you don’t want to see low bench press numbers, but for players being selected with a day one or day two selection, you rarely see blemishes in these areas.

I like the Offensive Line portion for a different reason; the drills. During the drill segment you’ll see which offensive linemen move fluidly, and which ones are stiff in the hips or the ankles. You will see who’s willing to compete and give 110%, and which one’s get tired and lose technique. One drill to keep your eye on in particular is the mirror drill. Try to watch their footwork and their hand placement. If they kick their feet together, or their hands sag, those are two indications that should make you question their abilities at the next level.

Overall, the Combine is meant to reaffirm what you see on tape, or in some cases disprove it and make you have to re-watch the film. The Offensive Linemen provide the most for a scout to work with out of the offensive players that will test this weekend.

Players With the Most to Prove

1- David Montgomery: Many love his vision on tape and elusiveness in between the tackles. He makes the first man miss a lot, and he shows the quickness to bounce a play outside and turn the corner. However, he doesn’t show elite top end speed to break off home run type plays. If Montgomery shows a good 40 time, he can raise his draft stock.

2- DK Metcalf: Okay, putting Metcalf in this category is cheating because he’s going to dominate. Here’s why this is important though; there’s four teams in the top five that need pass catchers. Metcalf is projected to come in at 6’4 and 240 pounds, essentially Tight End like measurements. If he runs a low 4.4, and all his medicals check out, this guy could easily go top five. His tape is terrific and he has an elite catch radius. Metcalf could be the biggest riser this weekend.

3- The Second Tier Offensive Tackles: Once you get past Jonah Williams (yes he’s still a tackle), Jawaan Taylor, Cody Ford and Andre Dillard, the tackle class takes a massive drop. This is a very important weekend for this position group. Someone needs to emerge with NFL length and athleticism because so many teams need offensive line, both starting caliber guys and depth players. Bobby Evans, Kaleb McGary, Tytus Howard and others will need to show up this weekend. If they do, they can find themselves going in day two rather than day three.

4- AJ Brown and N’Keal Harry: The buzz has cooled on these two players, and both can put the spotlight back on them with big weekends. Neither guy is viewed at as having elite top end speed, and for Harry, a 40 time is going to be very important to put to rest questions about his down the field playmaking. For Brown, I’m most interested in his short shuttle and 3-Cone numbers. I think he’s a dynamic playmaker out of the slot with elite quickness in and out of cuts. If those two numbers are where I think they will be, Brown will catch the eyes of many this weekend.

5- Kaden Smith: Kaden Smith is falling rapidly down draft boards because his tape is a little underwhelming. If you are a fan of Kaden Smith, you will cite his athleticism, both in terms of his explosiveness up the seam as well as his ability in jump ball situations. This is why the combine is so important for him. Assuming Smith tests the way people think he should, his draft stock should stay the same, or even rise a bit. Having said that, if Smith underwhelms in Indy, he could find himself as a late day three selection.

Sleepers of the Combine

1- Andy Isabella: Isabella is on many people’s radar because he looks like the prototypical Patriots Wide Receiver at 5’9, but this dude is a former track star and is going to wow this weekend. He’s a very crafty route runner, and when you combine that with his athletic testing, scouts and teams will be salivating over Isabella come round three.

2- Oli Udoh: Admittedly, I haven’t finished watching Udoh, but all signs point to this guy having a great weekend. He has NFL size and length and assuming he shows fluidity in the drills, Udoh could be a day three gem.

3- Miles Sanders: The buzz isn’t there on Sanders because he’s not a great runner between the tackles, but this guy has home run ability and can excel as a third down back. I think the combine is the perfect venue for him to boost his stock. He will be one of the best in the pass catching drill and he will be one of the few players at the RB position who will test well across the board athletically.

One thought on “2019 NFL Combine Preview: Offense

    2019 NFL Combine Preview: Defense « DraftStock.Net said:
    February 27, 2019 at 7:39 pm

    […] are the Most Important Position of the Weekend: In the preview of the Offensive side of the ball (https://draftstock.net/2019/02/27/nfl-combine-preview-offense/), I wrote about the Offensive Linemen and how you can learn the most about the players in that […]

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