Oakland Raiders

Jordan Katz 2019 NFL Mock Draft 2.0: Two Rounds

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With Black Monday upon us and the regular season having come to a close, it’s time for Mock Draft 2.0 for the 2019 campaign. We’ve got plenty of risers and fallers from the previous mock draft, and more importantly, we’ve got two rounds!

A few pieces of note before we get going. Obviously this draft class is loaded at defensive line, as mentioned by everyone that covers the draft process. However, there are two other positions that are growing on me in terms of its talent and depth; wide receiver and tight end. At the start of the year, many were unsure if this pass catching class had elite targets. Entering the draft season, there’s six first round receiving targets on my personal draft board, and that number could grow as we move along in the process. The long and short here is, we now have multiple positions that have actual depth! Hooray!

The second thing to note is the quarterback class, or lack thereof. With Justin Herbert returning to school, Dwayne Haskins is most assuredly the top quarterback, assuming he declares. And while he’s guaranteed to go in the top 10 come April, I can’t justify him going before the back end of round one. So that’s why you will consistently see him lower on my personal mock drafts rather than my prediction mock drafts.

Lastly, there were plenty of teams looking to trade out of selections, but only a few could actually make a deal. I think this is foreshadowing for what to expect come April. With so little quarterback talent and so little depth at most positions, you could see very little action during the first few rounds of the NFL Draft. Either that, or this take will be wildly inaccurate and everyone will move up and down this draft trying to acquire the premium talent or assets for next year.

Now that we’ve set the scene for you, it’s time to roll. #MockLyfeNeverSleeps.

ROUND ONE

1) Arizona Cardinals: Nick Bosa, EDGE Ohio State- Bosa is the no brainer first overall selection. He’s one of the top edge rushers to come out in the last five years and has all the ability in the world. Bosa can dip and bend around the edge and dictate leverage with his hands. Arizona definitely needs offensive line help, but if you’re a GM picking first overall and don’t take Nick Bosa, just accept the fact you won’t be employed by this time next year.

2) San Francisco 49ers: Jonah Williams, OT Alabama- I love Williams on tape. He excels in the jump set, 45 degree set, and the vertical set. Williams keeps his hands inside the defender’s shoulder pads, which allows him to gain leverage against both the athletic edge rushers as well as the bigger defensive ends. Williams’ foot speed isn’t world class, but he’s smart and incredibly technical. I’ll take smart offensive linemen over a straight athlete at the position any day of the week.

3) New York Jets: Brian Burns, EDGE Florida State- The Jets would love to trade this pick, but as I mentioned in the opening of this mock draft, I can’t justify any team trading up this high for a quarterback. If they can’t trade, they have to take a pass rusher or an offensive linemen, whichever they don’t address in free agency.

Burns is one of the best I’ve seen at bending around the edge. Even when tackles know it’s coming, Burns is so flexible and so athletic that he can explode past that tackle anyway. I think Burns has enough moves as well to keep tackles from constantly expecting him to run the arch. This is a dynamic pass rusher that should go higher than he will on draft day.

4) Oakland Raiders: Quinnen Williams, DT Alabama- Oakland has to get to the passer in 2019 if they wish to improve as a team. Williams is slightly lower on my board compared to Ed Oliver, but he’s a much better pass rusher, which is why he gets selected here instead.

5) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Deionte Thompson, FS Alabama- Thompson has elite range in the back of the defense. He can read and react from his single high position as good as anyone in the past few years. What I think separates him from the other rangy free safeties is Thompson willingly comes into the box and wants to play physical in the run game. His all around ability should have an immediate impact on Tampa Bay’s secondary.

6) New York Giants: Byron Murphy, CB Washington- I know Giants fans are going to want a Quarterback at this selection, but that’s why you pick Sam Darnold at number two last year. With Justin Herbert going back to school, there’s no quarterback worthy of a top 10 selection, and I would argue even if Herbert entered there wasn’t one anyway.

I was blown away by Murphy on tape. His ability to turn his hips and mirror receivers are incredible. Murphy is easily the best man cover corner in this draft, but it’s not his only strength. He has terrific instincts and good ball skills too.

The Giants have a lot of needs defensively so even though Giants fans probably want Dwayne Haskins, Williams fits a need and isn’t a ridiculous overdraft.

Editor’s Note: In regards to the Darnold comment, it’s very simple Giants fans. Despite how unbelievable Saquon Barkley has been this year, the Giants are now stuck waiting until 2020 for their franchise QB. Even if they pick Haskins, he shouldn’t start before 2020, maybe even 2021. Running backs are more easy to come by, see Phillip Lindsay, James Conner, Nick Chubb, Alvin Kamara, David Johnson….

7) *Oakland Raiders via Jacksonville Jaguars: N’Keal Harry, WR Arizona State- Harry leads what is becoming a very underrated wide receiver class. I love Harry’s game on tape; he’s a big body receiver with explosive ability down the field and he makes big time plays one on one. Oakland uses their two back end first rounders to trade up and get a playmaker for Derek Carr.

Editor’s Note: Shout out to Jon Gruden who traded Khalil Mack and Amari Cooper only to enter this draft needing pass rushers and weapons for Derek Carr.

Second Editor’s Note: Jacksonville passes on Dwayne Haskins as well because he doesn’t warrant a top ten selection on my board. They also pass on Harry in this scenario because a veteran WR would do them a lot of good with DeDe Westbrook and Keelan Cole starting to shine.

8) Detroit Lions: Greedy Williams, CB LSU- Greedy Williams is a long, athletic corner that loves to play physical at the line of scrimmage. He checks all the boxes in man to man coverage, showing the ability to mirror receivers as well as trail them and still make plays.

Detroit needs a corner to play opposite Darius Slay, and because front four talent in this draft is so abundant, they can wait on a pass rusher and jump on one of the top cornerbacks in the draft.

9) Buffalo Bills:  DK Metcalf, WR Ole Miss- Metcalf’s neck injury concerns me, but assuming his medical checks out, there’s no reason he shouldn’t be a top 15 selection. Metcalf and N’Keal Harry are very similar prospects, big body receivers that can stretch the field and win one on ones with their size as well as their ability to high point the ball. He should compliment Josh Allen’s skill set very well.

Editor’s Note: Like the Jets, the Bills tried to trade out of this pick but were unsuccessful. After staying in the draft slot, Buffalo gets its young quarterback the top wide receiver in this draft class.

10) Denver Broncos: Ed Oliver, DT Houston- Unfortunately, this is a problem I envision for Ed Oliver on draft day. Because Quinnen Williams is a better pass rusher, Oliver could fall down draft boards, even though he’s the more complete player in my opinion. If he makes it to Denver’s pick, which is a real possibility, there’s no way the Broncos can pass on him. Oliver will translate to a 3-4 defensive end just fine.

11) Cincinnati Bengals: Devin White, ILB LSU- White is a top 15 talent if he decides to come out. Cincinnati needs a game changer at the second level of their defense. This is an easy selection.

Editor’s Note: It’s finally time for Cincinnati to start a rebuild, and while they’d love trading down from this selection to get that train rolling, no one wants to come up for the pick (as is customary with this draft).

12) Green Bay Packers: Jachai Polite, EDGE Florida- Easy analysis here. Green Bay needs a 3-4 OLB that can bend and dip around the edge. The best natural edge rusher remaining on my board at the moment is Jachai Polite.

13) Miami Dolphins: Amani Oruwariye, CB Penn State- Oruwariye is a long corner who has good athleticism for his size (6’1, 200). More importantly, Oruwariye’s hips flip naturally and he mirrors receivers well. I know Dolphins fans may want Dwayne Haskins here, but the Dolphins need a second corner, and could need a number one if Xavien Howard walks in free agency after 2019. Therefore, the pick makes sense, even though the Dolphins will be looking for Ryan Tannehill’s replacement as early as this offseason.

14) *Philadelphia Eagles via Atlanta Falcons: Yodny Cajuste, OT West Virginia- This is a little high for Cajuste based on my grades, but positional need and his upside make this a warranted selection. Cajuste is a big time athlete for a tackle and he possesses a strong kickslide while keeping his hands up and staying inside the edge rusher’s shoulder pads. The Eagles offensive line has not been what it was when they were at their peak, so they trade up for an athletic replacement to Jason Peters.

15) Carolina Panthers: Clelin Ferrell, EDGE Clemson- Ferrell isn’t the same athlete as some of the other edge rushers in this draft class. However, he controls his gaps, he’s stout against the run, and he is very good at long arming defensive tackles and using his power when rushing the passer. The Panthers like bigger defensive ends instead of the quick twitch athletes, so Ferrell makes perfect sense.

16) Washington Redskins: Josh Allen, EDGE Kentucky- Allen is a good talent, with the ability to play multiple positions. He could line up in a 3-4 on the edge, or as a LEO linebacker in a 4-3.

However, Allen is being viewed as a top five prospect, and I think that’s a bit too high. He isn’t the quick twitch, natural edge player that some of the other prospects that have already been picked in this mock draft thus far.

It’s not that he’s a bad pass rusher, I think he has a solid move set and a quick first step. Personally, I just feel Allen is closer to the 10-20 range, and a great fit for Washington at 16.

17) Cleveland Browns: Bryce Hall, CB Virginia- Hall is very similar to Oruwariye, a long corner with great ball skills and fluid hips in coverage. Hall leads college football in pass breakups, so he should fit perfectly into Gregg Williams’ defense in 2019 (there’s no way the incoming Head Coach in Cleveland should let Williams out the door based on what he’s done this year).

18) Minnesota Vikings: Christian Wilkins, DT Clemson- Wilkins is a perfect scheme fit for Minnesota. He’s disruptive in the run game, he understands gap assignments and he’s technically sound, playing with good pad level and a high motor on almost every snap. With Sheldon Richardson presumably out the door, I’d expect the Vikings to look for a defensive tackle early in this draft.

19) *Seattle Seahawks via Pittsburgh Steelers: Noah Fant, TE Iowa- Sometimes trades happen because a team moves up to ensure they don’t miss on their guy. This is the case with this deal. Seattle still needs weapons offensively and Russell Wilson loves throwing to tight ends in the red zone.

Fant’s buzz isn’t as high as his teammate, TJ Hockenson, but I still think Fant is the superior prospect. Fant is a complete tight end in the pass game, showing the ability to high point the ball and win one-one-ones down the field, and he can block as well.

Seattle trades up a couple of spots to land Russell Wilson’s next big time red zone threat.

20) Tennessee Titans: AJ Brown, WR Ole Miss- Brown is a perfect compliment to Corey Davis and the ideal number two receiver for Marcus Mariota. He’s quick out of his cuts and he runs sharp, clean routes, creating a ton of separation at the top of the stem. The draft community is cooling on Brown a little bit, but I think that has more to do with the depth of this receiver class and the realization that the wide outs this year may be better than we originally presumed.

21) *Atlanta Falcons via Philadelphia Eagles: Chris Lindstrom, OG Boston College- Atlanta trading back and picking the same guy they would’ve selected at 14 is exactly what you want. Lindstrom is as complete a prospect as they come. He shows a rare combination of power and agility, not to mention elite level footwork. Then again, would expect anything less from an offensive linemen from Boston College?

22) *Pittsburgh Steelers via Seattle Seahawks: DeAndre Baker, CB Georgia- The Steelers secondary once again needs a massive overhaul. Baker is really good in press coverage, with the ability to jam receivers and force them to the boundary. If he tests well at the combine, he could find himself back near the top half of round one come April.

23) Indianapolis Colts: Rashan Gary, DE Michigan- I think Gary’s ideal fit is as a 3-4 defensive end. He’s more disruptive on the interior and his athleticism plays better inside because of his strong base and his quick first step. If teams look to play him on the interior, I think they’ll see a first round talent.

24) Baltimore Ravens: Kelvin Harmon, WR NC State- Baltimore’s makeshift receiving core has worked well enough this year, but they need a true playmaker to help Lamar Jackson develop. Harmon is yet another big body pass catcher at the top of this draft, but it’s his hands that have me so excited about him as a prospect. I saw almost no double catches on tape, as well as a big time catch radius. Harmon should be a big time player on third down and in the red zone at the next level.

25) Jacksonville Jaguars from Oakland Raiders via Dallas Cowboys: Dwayne Haskins, QB Ohio State- I’m perfectly okay with a team over-drafting a quarterback in the first round to get that fifth option year of team control. I’m not okay with drafting him so ridiculously high that you mortgage your future for someone with a lot of question marks. That’s why Jacksonville trades backwards, picks up extra assets, and still selects QB1 in this draft, instead of reaching for him at nine.

Haskins has a massive arm and is only 20 years old, so there’s a ton of upside here if you can sit him for a year or two and teach him the finer points of QB play. Yet, he’s incredibly raw, and that’s why it wouldn’t be a complete shock if he chose to stay in school instead of getting thrown to the wolves in the NFL.

26) Houston Texans: Cody Ford, OT/OG Oklahoma- If the Texans don’t pick up offensive line this offseason everyone should be fired. It’s the one thing that’s separating them from being an elite team in the NFL.

Ford is an impressive athlete for someone of his size (6’3, 340). He’s very technical as well, showing a good base, quick feet and proper hand position in the 45 degree set and the jump set at the tackle position. Ford’s stature, technique and athleticism should allow him to make a seamless transition to guard at the next level, assuming his arm length is short for a tackle when he tests at the combine.

27) *Jacksonville Jaguars from Oakland Raiders via Chicago Bears: TJ Hockenson, TE Iowa- Hockenson is flying up draft boards, and rightfully so. He’s an elite blocker and he is just as good between the 20’s as his teammate Noah Fant. Jacksonville loves to run the football and play action off of it, which is a perfect scheme fit for Hockenson at the next level.

Editor’s Note: I think Iowa misuses Fant in the pass game, which is why I still have Fant above Hockenson despite Hock’s meteoric rise up draft boards. Fant’s size and catch radius should help him to be elite at the next level.

Second Editor’s Note: As I had mentioned earlier, the reason the Jaguars take a pass catcher down here instead of N’Keal Harry at seven is because they move backwards to land Haskins at an appropriate draft spot, and they need a veteran receiver to compliment their emerging young receiving core.

28) Los Angeles Chargers: Jeffery Simmons, DL Mississippi State- Simmons comes with a bit of off the field baggage, but on the field he’s a first round talent. He’s got a ton of moves on the interior, a quick counter-punch and he wins leverage at the point of attack with his strong base and physicality. The player on the field is a round one talent in a walk.

29) New England Patriots: Mack Wilson, ILB Alabama- New England would love to get one of the Iowa tight ends here at 29, but with both off the board, they go to their next biggest need.

Wilson is stout in the run game and covers a lot of ground sideline to sideline. I know there’s talk of Wilson returning to school, but with the lack of depth in this class at the off ball linebacker position, I think Wilson is a top 40 lock if he declares.

30) Los Angeles Rams: Montez Sweat, EDGE Mississippi State- Obviously the Rams have a ton of pieces still in place for next year, but they will lose Dante Fowler in free agency, making their top need a rusher off the edge.

Sweat is another one of the quick twitch edge rushers that highlights this draft class. He’s a fluid athlete and he runs the arch to the QB very well. He should dominate one on one matchups in LA.

31) Kansas City Chiefs: Nasir Adderley, FS Delaware- I know the Chiefs have Eric Berry in the back-end, but unfortunately Berry may not be the same player he once was. Ron Parker is an unrestricted free agent as well, so safety is a monster need for the Chiefs in the offseason.

Adderley is a small school prospect generating a ton of first round buzz. He’s a very good single high safety, who will become much better when he learns to trust his instincts instead of hesitating at times and overthinking.

32) Green Bay Packers via New Orleans Saints: Dalton Risner, OG Kansas State- Risner doesn’t have the footwork to play tackle at the next level, but he’s a mauler in the run game. Green Bay seems more committed to using the ground game in the future, so Risner’s nastiness along the interior should help them in their future endeavors.

Trades in Round One (star designates pick was traded by me)

1) Oakland Raiders trade the #25, #27 and #100 to the Jacksonville Jaguars for the #7.

2) Philadelphia Eagles trade the #21 and #53 to the Atlanta Falcons for the #14.

3) Seattle Seahawks trade the #22, #150 and a 2020 5th round pick to the Pittsburgh Steelers for the #19 and a 2020 7th round pick.

ROUND TWO

33) Arizona Cardinals: David Edwards, OT Wisconsin

34) Indianapolis Colts via New York Jets: Dexter Lawrence, NT Clemson

35) Oakland Raiders: Michael Dieter, OT/OG Wisconsin

36) San Francisco 49ers: Trayvon Mullen, CB Clemson

37) New York Giants: Tyler Biadasz, OG/OC Wisconsin

38) Jacksonville Jaguars: Damien Harris, RB Alabama

39) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Greg Little, OT Ole Miss

40) Buffalo Bills: Elgton Jenkins, OC Mississippi State

41) Detroit Lions: Jerry Tillery, DL Notre Dame

42) Cincinnati Bengals: Kaden Smith, TE Stanford

43) Denver Broncos: Daniel Jones, QB Duke

44) Green Bay Packers: Dawson Knox, TE Ole Miss

45) Atlanta Falcons: Derrick Brown, DT Auburn

46) Carolina Panthers: Raekwon Davis, DT Alabama

47) Miami Dolphins: Anthony Nelson, EDGE Iowa

48) Washington Redskins: Marquise “Hollywood” Brown, WR Oklahoma

49) Cleveland Browns: Oshane Ximines, EDGE/OLB Old Dominion

50) Minnesota Vikings: Bobby Evans, OT Oklahoma

51) Pittsburgh Steelers: Devin Bush, ILB Michigan

52) Tennessee Titans: Zach Allen, DL Boston College

53) *Atlanta Falcons via Philadelphia Eagles: Julian Love, CB Notre Dame

54) Houston Texans via Seattle Seahawks: Andre Dillard, OT Washington State

55) Philadelphia Eagles via Baltimore Ravens: Gerald Willis, DT Miami

56) Indianapolis Colts: DaMarkus Lodge, WR Ole Miss

57) Dallas Cowboys: Albert Okwuegbunam, TE Missouri

58) Houston Texans: Darrell Henderson, RB Memphis

59) Los Angeles Chargers: David Long, CB Michigan

60) New England Patriots via Chicago Bears: Irv Smith Jr., TE Alabama

61) New England Patriots: Riley Ridley, WR Georgia

62) Kansas City Chiefs via Los Angeles Rams: Kristian Fulton, CB LSU

63) Kansas City Chiefs: Rodney Anderson, RB Oklahoma

64) New Orleans Saints: Taylor Rapp, SS Washington

Jordan Katz: 2019 NFL Mock Draft 1.0

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Ladies and Gentlemen, we are back! With the NFL officially at the midway point and the College Football season hitting its stretch run, it’s time to give a quick peek into where the prospects stand right now. This is always the toughest mock draft of the year because so many things change from now until April. The tape on college players for this season is also incomplete, so it’s hard to give a complete analysis at this stage in the game.

However, y’all know the drill by now (shoutout to those who realize why I chose “y’all,” in that spot)… MOCK DRAFT LYFE NEVER SLEEPS!

This upcoming draft features a ton of defensive line talent. You could see as many as ten defensive lineman go in the first round! Despite this, the rest of the draft is a giant mystery. Is there a quarterback worthy of a top ten selection? Is there a WR1 in this draft? Does the draft have enough depth for day three steals?

While these questions will be answered in time, for now, here’s a peek at some players I expect to be talked about as first round talents in the upcoming draft.

*Editor’s Note: The standings for this mock draft are based on my individual opinion of where teams will finish at the end of the season. Once I got to the playoffs (21-32), it’s based on seeding, not who would win each matchup. There is also no trading in this Mock Draft because it’s way too early to get that crazy.

ROUND ONE

1) Oakland Raiders: Nick Bosa, EDGE Ohio State- The Oakland Raiders and New York Giants are about to enter a good ole fashion NBA Draft style tank-off for the top pick. Regardless of who wins, I think both teams will get the players they covet.

Bosa is easily the top prospect in this draft. I have not seen an edge rusher as polished as Bosa on tape in my years of doing mock drafts. To me, his football ability at this level is better than Myles Garrett, Jadeveon Clowney, as well as his brother, Joey Bosa. Depending on how he tests athletically, he could grade as one of my top players ever.

2) New York Giants: Justin Herbert, QB Oregon- Well, the Giants get their man, but is it the right man for the job? Personally, I currently do not have a quarterback worthy of a first round pick. The closest guy is Herbert, because he has the tools to be a NFL starter. He shows intelligence in the intermediate window, good arm strength and he’s athletic.

However, Herbert has been so inconsistent this year on film. I don’t think he takes enough chances with the football, which is a major concern. If a QB is not going to take a chance in college, how can we expect him to give a receiver a one-on-one opportunity in the NFL? The QBs that don’t take chances in college are the ones that don’t see “NFL open,” at the next level.

I’m breaking my rule here by putting a player that doesn’t have a first round grade this high, but let’s face it, the Giants are taking a quarterback this time around. 

3) San Francisco 49ers: DeAndre Baker, CB Georgia- I’d call Baker “Denzel Ward 2.0,” but Baker might be better. He’s a wall in man coverage and he’s just as technically sound as Ward was, showing great fluidity when changing directions as well as the ability to trail receivers stride for stride. If he tests well in Indianapolis, he should be the top corner taken in April.

4) Arizona Cardinals: Jonah Williams, OT Alabama- Williams is technical enough to be worthy of a top five selection. As long as his athletic grade checks out, he should be the easy selection for Arizona, a team desperate for offensive line talent.

5) Buffalo Bills: Greedy Williams, CB LSU- This would be a case of a luxury pick, which is rare at the fifth spot. However, there’s not really an offensive player worthy of this selection and the Bills do need a number two corner. Williams has good size and build, and he possesses strong ball skills that would compliment his Bayou brethren Tre’ White.

6) Indianapolis Colts: Ed Oliver, DL Houston- For the second straight year, the Colts get the second best player to fall into their lap at the sixth overall pick (sound familiar Jets fans?). Oliver is an athletic freak, but because he’s an interior defensive lineman, he could fall in this draft if offensive players are over-drafted.

7) Cleveland Browns: David Edwards, OT Wisconsin- “Offensive Line University,” is back at it, with an entire starting unit of NFL talent. Edwards has been up and down this year, but there’s two things I like about him; he’s smart, and he’s shown great improvement for a guy who was recruited as a Quarterback. Offensive lineman that are intelligent almost always wind up being solid pros. In my opinion, I’ll take an intelligent offensive lineman over one that exclusively tests well athletically every time.

8) Denver Broncos: Dexter Lawrence, DT/NT Clemson- The Broncos run defense has been a shell of its former self in 2018. Lawrence is a rare talent at the nose tackle position. He can occupy space, he can beat interior lineman one-on-one, and he collapses the pocket very well.

9) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Amani Oruwariye, CB Penn State- Oruwariye has emerged as CB3 on my board, which was a huge question mark for this draft class heading into the season. He has elite size, his ball skills are excellent, and he shows the smarts to excel in multiple different coverages. While this is a little high for him, but because the Bucs are desperate for secondary help, it makes sense.

10) Seattle Seahawks: Noah Fant, TE Iowa- If the Seahawks are truly committed to making this a team that wins with its offense as much as it does with its defense, then Russell Wilson needs some more weapons. Fant is the top pass catcher on my board because he has it all. He’s got the size and build, the elite athleticism to stretch the field, and he catches anything in his radius. Fant is a quality blocker as well.

Some might say the top ten is too high for a tight end, but with the emergence of guys like Rob Gronkowski, Travis Kelce, and other star tight ends, Fant is easily worthy of this selection.

11) New York Jets: Clelin Ferrell, EDGE Clemson- Ferrell has been one of the most dynamic pass rushers in college football over the past 18 months. His ability to dip and bend around the edge is impressive.

My one concern is his motor, not because he takes plays off, but because Clemson’s defensive front has not been as consistent as you would’ve expected.

Having said that, Ferrell is still a terrific talent, and the Jets are desperate for a pass rusher of his caliber.

12) Oakland Raiders via Dallas Cowboys: N’Keal Harry, WR Arizona State- Now that Jon Gruden has absolutely zero weapons for his franchise quarterback (who may also be on the move), it’s probably a good idea for the Raiders to draft some pass catchers.

Harry leads a group of wide receivers that will have a lot to prove throughout the draft process. Many question whether this group has a true WR1, but I think Harry’s combination of size and speed as well as his ability to high point the football make him the prize of this draft at the receiver position.

13) Detroit Lions: Brian Burns, EDGE Florida State- Burns is an elite pass rusher from a stand-up position. He shows a rare combination of length and athleticism, and possesses a ton of ways to get to the passer. I know the concern here is a 3-4 player going to a 4-3 scheme, but with the recent acquisition of Damon Harrison combined with Matt Patricia’s 3-4 background, Detroit can transition perfectly to accommodate their selection.

14) Miami Dolphins: Rashan Gary, DT Michigan- Many are projecting Gary as a 4-3 defensive end, but I think his skill set sets up much better as an interior lineman. He’s a terrific athlete and a big time run stuffer. There’s definitely parts of his game that need cleaning up (he’s not the most explosive pass rusher and his hands can sometimes sag), but Gary would be a plug and play on any team’s interior defensive line.

15) Atlanta Falcons: Dalton Risner, OT/OG Kansas State- Risner has been really strong in pass protection against the smaller, athletic ends that typically play in the Big 12. He has a great feel for the second level as well. I think he has room to grow technically, specifically with his pad level consistency, but Risner to me can play guard or tackle at the next level, which is a big weapon.

16) Tennessee Titans: AJ Brown, WR Ole Miss- Tennessee desperately needs pass catchers that can separate, and that’s exactly what Brown excels at. He’s incredibly quick and explosive with the football, two things the Titans really lack at wide receiver. Easy fit here.

17) Cincinnati Bengals: Josh Allen, OLB Kentucky- Allen really fell in this mock, which is upsetting because he’s one of my favorite players in this draft. He plays downhill with aggression and poise, ranges well sideline to sideline, and he’s got pass rush ability off the edge. Not to mention, he excels in off ball coverage as well. Cincinnati gets a big time steal here to play strong side linebacker.

18) Jacksonville Jaguars: Montez Sweat, EDGE/OLB Mississippi State- Obviously Jacksonville needs a quarterback, but there isn’t one worthy of a first round selection on my board.

Sweat isn’t the best athlete, but you can’t ignore production. He’s a smart pass rusher, he knows how to set up tackles with his hands and he has a solid move-set. I love the idea of Sweat playing the LEO linebacker in a 4-3, which is exactly where Jacksonville would put him.

19) Washington Redskins: Devin White, ILB LSU- White is an incredibly underrated prospect at the moment. He shows tremendous range and plays with passion and intensity. White can do it all from the middle linebacker spot and has the versatility to play outside as well. Washington’s linebacking core gets a major boost.

20) Carolina Panthers: Lukas Denis, FS Boston College- The Panthers secondary is improving, but it still needs a game changer in the backend. Denis has had a down year on the stat sheet, but he’s still been impactful in the BC secondary. On tape, he has good ball skills and shows NFL awareness from the single high position.

With current free safety Mike Adams playing his age 37 season, one would assume Carolina will be looking for his replacement this offseason.

21) Oakland Raiders via Chicago Bears: Tyler Biadasz, OG/OC Wisconsin- Oakland’s offensive line is a shell of what it once was. Biadasz is perfect at guard or center for a power blocking scheme, which is exactly what Gruden likes to run up front.

22) Pittsburgh Steelers: Byron Murphy, CB Washington- I was blown away by Murphy’s ability to mirror receivers on tape. He lines up on the outside as well as in the nickel and does a terrific job of sticking receivers in man-to-man. This is a name to remember, Murphy could slide up a lot of people’s draft boards as the year goes on.

23) Green Bay Packers: Jachai Polite, EDGE Florida- Regardless of whether Clay Matthews is re-upped or departs in free agency, the Packers pass rush needs a jolt. Polite is an elite 3-4 edge rusher with a good ability to bend around the edge. He’s currently higher on my personal board than this mock draft, but I think that’s an accurate representation of what could happen come April. Because there are so many talented front seven prospects, you could see a lot of them fall in an attempt by teams to draft the limited talent at other positions.

24) Los Angeles Chargers: Jerry Tillery, DL Notre Dame- Tillery is a mammoth on the defensive front (he stands 6’7), but oddly enough it’s his quickness and first step that make him a highly touted prospect. The Chargers pass rush would become even better by adding an interior player like Tillery.

25) Houston Texans: Yodny Cajuste, OT West Virginia- Normally I’m not a fan of spread offensive lineman, but Cajuste has had a strong season thus far. He quick on his first step into his kickslide, and he’s handled athletic pass rushers well. Cajuste needs help in the run game, his pad level is often high and he doesn’t have a great feel for the second level. However, if he continues to shine in pass protection, it would be hard for teams to ignore him in the first 40 picks.

26) Philadelphia Eagles: Greg Little, OT Ole Miss- The Eagles have to find their next starting left tackle this offseason. Jason Peters is probably retiring after this season and Hal Vatai has been very subpar since his performance in the Super Bowl.

Little is lower on my board than most because too often I see him off balance and high with his pad level. However, he’s a former five star recruit and an impressive athlete. Little would be a great fit in Philly.

27) Baltimore Ravens: Christian Wilkins, DL Clemson- Best Player Available; an Ozzie Newsome special to kick off the post Ozzie Newsome era in Baltimore. Wilkins has a quick first step and a high motor. He’s very disciplined in gap assignments as well, a big key for players in the Ravens defense.

28) Green Bay Packers via New Orleans Saints: Jeffery Simmons, DL Mississippi State- The Packers front three has underwhelmed all year. Simmons would be an infusion of youth and athleticism into a front that desperately needs it.

29) Minnesota Vikings: Chris Lindstrom, OG Boston College- Underrated prospect alert! Lindstrom is a four year starter at BC and has a polished game up front. He gets to the second level, he has a low center of gravity so he’s rarely knocked back at the point of attack, and he has great footwork. Lindstrom should wind up higher on many people’s board as the draft process go on.

30) Kansas City Chiefs: Deionte Thompson, S Alabama- Thompson is a do-it-all safety that rivals some of the top safeties we’ve seen in recent drafts. He’s strong around the line of scrimmage, and he finds the ball well in the backend of the secondary. Kansas City needs playmakers in the secondary, and Thompson is just that.

31) New England Patriots: Kaden Smith, TE Stanford- If the Patriots truly want to start the process of replacing Rob Gronkowski, this is the year to do it. There’s multiple big time pass catching tight ends, including Kaden Smith who is a freakish athlete. He’s not the most fluid route runner yet, but he high points the ball well and he’s a tough cover for linebackers because of his speed. 

32) Los Angeles Rams: Mack Wilson, ILB Alabama- If the Rams have a weakness, it’s their linebacking core. Wilson is one of the better off ball linebackers in this draft, showing good range and reaction skills on tape.

Then again, the NFL might force the Rams to forfeit their pick because they’re too good.

 

Jordan Katz 2018 NFL Mock Draft 4.0: Final Mock Draft (Three Rounds)

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The day of reckoning is upon us, the three day spectacle that is the NFL Draft. This means it is time for one final Mock Draft from yours truly. #MockDraftSZN may be coming to an end, but the #MockDraftLyfe never stops (credit to Joe Romano for that poetic tagline).

This is my final personal mock draft. As always, this is what I would do at each selection. For my prediction mock draft, aka what I think will happen on draft days one and two, click the link here: https://draftstock.net/2018/04/23/jordan-katz-2018-nfl-prediction-mock-draft-2-0-final/

Some things changed from my most recent mock draft, the biggest of which is the teams that are moving around in this draft. There’s multiple teams without the leverage to trade out of spots in this draft, including one in the top five that has traded in every draft I’ve done thus far.

There’s also slightly less analysis in this mock draft. If you’ve kept up with my mock drafts, you’re well aware of the players I like versus the players I do not.

Thank you to everyone who kept up with my content this year. Enjoy the draft!

ROUND ONE

1) Cleveland Browns: Sam Darnold, QB USC- I still believe Darnold should be selected first because he can sit the first year. Baker Mayfield is my top quarterback, but he’s ready to play now and he also has less upside. If the Browns are going to start Tyrod Taylor in 2018, they should pick Darnold.

2) New York Giants: Saquon Barkley, RB Penn State- I mentioned in my predictions mock draft that the Giants no longer have any trade leverage at this selection. David Gettleman didn’t do a good enough job convincing the masses that they would select a quarterback not named Sam Darnold. Therefor the Giants are stuck at this pick, but Saquon Barkley is a nice consolation prize.

3) New York Jets via Indianapolis Colts: Baker Mayfield, QB Oklahoma- Broadway Baker, nothing changes here.

4) *Buffalo Bills from Cleveland Browns via Houston Texans: Josh Rosen, QB UCLA- The Browns reap the benefits of the Giants inability to trade the second pick. They get multiple first and second round picks to slide down the draft.

The Bills are rewarded as well. They pay less of a price in order to land their franchise quarterback.

5) Denver Broncos: Quenton Nelson, OG Notre Dame- After much debate, I’ve decided that the Broncos have to take Quenton Nelson if they are unable to trade this pick. Not only is he the best player in the draft, but he’s a legitimate can’t miss prospect. 

6) Indianapolis Colts via New York Jets: Bradley Chubb, EDGE NC State- If Chubb and Barkley are off the board on draft day, look for the Colts to trade out. With Chubb on the board, this pick is easy.

7) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Minkah Fitzpatrick, CB/FS/SS Alabama- Fitzpatrick’s versatility in the secondary makes him the selection over Derwin James, who’s a more traditional safety.

8) Chicago Bears: Roquan Smith, OLB/ILB Georgia- Smith can be the anchor in the middle of the Bears 3-4 defense from day one.

9) San Francisco 49ers: Tremaine Edmunds, EDGE/OLB Virginia Tech- Edmunds would give an immediate jolt to the Niners linebacking core, as well as their pass rush.

10) Oakland Raiders: Connor Williams, OT/OG Texas- Oakland is best served to take the best available offensive tackle with their first selection. One of the differences between their playoff team from two years ago and last year’s underachieving squad was the regression of their offensive line.

11) Miami Dolphins: Da’Ron Payne, DT Alabama- Payne’s massive rise up my draft board is largely due to their inability to trade this pick. He’s a better fit for their 4-3 defense than Vita Vea, so Miami takes Payne a little higher than expected.

12) *Cleveland Browns from Buffalo Bills via Cincinnati Bengals: Carlton Davis, CB Auburn- After trading down from the fourth pick, the Browns use their second of three first round picks on a true number one cornerback.

13) Washington Redskins: Vita Vea, DT/NT Washington- Vea still can’t find his way into the top ten where he belongs, but I doubt Washington is complaining.

14) Green Bay Packers: Derwin James, FS/SS Florida State- To compare this selection to the NBA Draft, Derwin James should not make it out of the lottery this year. He’s a perfect fit next to HaHa Clinton-Dix.

15) Arizona Cardinals: Anthony Miller, WR Memphis- Arizona needs a playmaker to alleviate pressure from the ageless wonder Larry Fitzgerald. Miller is worthy of this selection for me, he’s my only receiver with a first round grade.

16) Baltimore Ravens: Leighton Vander Esch, ILB Boise State- This remains my favorite selection of the draft. Baltimore’s defense becomes even more elite with Vander Esch and CJ Mosley commanding the middle.

17) Los Angeles Chargers: Mike McGlinchey, OT Notre Dame- McGlinchey is a reach here on my board, but the Chargers desperately need help at the offensive tackle positions.

18) *Carolina Panthers via Seattle Seahawks: Denzel Ward, CB Ohio State- With only one selection in the first 100 picks, Seattle is desperate to trade out of this selection. This allows Carolina to trade up for a number one cornerback.

19) *Minnesota Vikings via Dallas Cowboys: Braden Smith, OT/OG Auburn- Minnesota trades up to bolster its offensive line, which is exactly what I had them do in my predictions mock.

20) Detroit Lions: Rasheem Green, DE USC- Green continuously rose up my board throughout the draft process, and this is now the peak. His athleticism and length make him the second edge rusher taken.

21) Cincinnati Bengals via Buffalo Bills: Billy Price, OG/C Ohio State- I think Price is easily the best center in this draft and very worthy of the 21st selection.

22) *Cleveland Browns via Buffalo Bills: Derrius Guice, RB LSU- The Browns did sign Carlos Hyde this offseason, but I doubt that deters them from selecting a running back in this draft.

23) New England Patriots via Los Angeles Rams: Jaire Alexander, CB Louisville- This is a scary good selection for New England. Alexander’s ability in man coverage would be a big time weapon for Bill Belichick’s defense.

24) *Seattle Seahawks via Carolina Panthers: Will Hernandez, OG UTEP- Seattle has a number of needs, which is why trading down from 18 is imperative. Hernandez is a mauler in the run game and a perfect fit for the Seahawks.

25) Tennessee Titans: Isaiah Wynn, OG Georgia- The Titans also need help at guard, so the run on interior linemen concludes with Wynn to Tennessee.

Editor’s note: In case Vikings fans were curious as to why they would move up, this is why. First round offensive linemen will fly off the board late.

26) Atlanta Falcons: Taven Bryan, DT Florida- Bryan’s athleticism and effort will make him beloved by the Atlanta coaching staff very quickly.

27) New Orleans Saints: Dallas Goedert, TE South Dakota State- Goedert would become one of Drew Brees’ favorite targets very quickly.

Editor’s Note: New Orleans tried to trade down here to acquire an extra pick in the first three rounds, but they were unsuccessful.

28) *Oakland Raiders via Pittsburgh Steelers: Isaiah Oliver, CB Colorado- Oakland trades back into round one to land a starting cornerback.

29) Jacksonville Jaguars: Christian Kirk, WR Texas A&M- My personal feeling is that Jacksonville’s receiving core needs a lot of work. Kirk would be a perfect fit because he would help Jacksonville as a chains mover on third down.

30) *Dallas Cowboys via Minnesota Vikings: DeShon Elliott, FS Texas- With Byron Jones moving back to corner, a hole has been created at free safety. Chidobe Awuzie played some safety last year, but I think the Cowboys are better off trying to select a ball hawk like Elliott or Justin Reid in this draft.

31) New England Patriots: Marcus Davenport, EDGE UTSA- I know the Patriots would like to trade back with one of their two first rounders, but they can’t pass on Davenport at 31.

32) *Cincinnati Bengals via Philadelphia Eagles: Ronnie Harrison, SS Alabama- Cincinnati needs to reload at safety and this is the perfect draft to do it. They trade up to land Harrison, a true throwback strong safety.

TRADES IN ROUND ONE

1) Buffalo Bills trade the #12, #22, #53 and a 2019 2nd round pick to the Cleveland Browns for the #4.

2) Carolina Panthers trade the #24 and #88 to the Seattle Seahawks for the #18.

3) Minnesota Vikings trade the #30 and #62 to the Dallas Cowboys for the #19 and #171.

4) Oakland Raiders trade the #41 and #75 to the Pittsburgh Steelers for the #28, #148 and a 2019 5th round pick.

5) Cincinnati Bengals trade the #46 and #77 to the Philadelphia Eagles for the #42 and #130.

ROUND TWO

33) Cleveland Browns: Sam Hubbard, EDGE Ohio State: Hubbard is the perfect player to go opposite Myles Garrett. He’s a disciplined edge rusher with an underrated move-set.

34) New York Giants: Joshua Jackson, CB Iowa- I know the Giants need offensive line, but they can’t pass on Jackson here. They need a true number two cornerback opposite Janoris Jenkins.

35) *Los Angeles Chargers from Cleveland Browns via Indianapolis Colts: Justin Reid, FS Stanford- Cleveland doesn’t have an immediate need at this spot, so they trade down once again for assets to use later. Los Angeles moves up to land a ball hawking free safety.

36) Indianapolis Colts: Sony Michel, RB Georgia- If the Colts aren’t sold on Marlon Mack being a “bell cow,” then a running back in the second round should be a lock.

37) Indianapolis Colts via New York Jets: Mike Hughes, CB UCF- This is an easy pick as well. The Colts have to find a cornerback in this draft class to play opposite Quincy Wilson.

38) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Gerard Avery, OLB Memphis- Avery was another late riser for me. I love his move-set and motor from the strong side. Tampa Bay takes a strong side linebacker here, adding another dimension to their much improved front seven from a year ago.

39) Chicago Bears: Frank Ragnow, OG/C Arkansas- Ragnow is exactly the kind of player the Bears should target if they miss Quenton Nelson in round one. His versatility allows the Bears to judge whether he or current center Cody Whitehair is better off transitioning to guard.

40) Denver Broncos: Ronald Jones II, RB USC- Much like my predictions mock draft, Denver takes a starting running back at the top of round two.

41) *Pittsburgh Steelers via Oakland Raiders: Rashaan Evans, OLB/ILB Alabama- Pittsburgh trades down, acquires assets in this draft, and selects a guy they would’ve reached for at 28.

42) Miami Dolphins: Kerryon Johnson, RB Auburn- The signing of Frank Gore combined with the emergence of Kenyan Drake is still not deterring me from giving the Dolphins a true “bell cow,” in the backfield

43) New England Patriots via San Francisco 49ers: Mike Gesicki, TE Penn State- Gesicki to New England is still my layup of round two. He gives the Patriots insurance if they opt to deal Rob Gronkowski, or he is just another big body pass catcher that safeties will be unable to defend one-on-one.

44) Washington Redskins: Mason Cole, OL Michigan- I like the idea of Washington taking a center to replace Spencer Long, but I go with Cole instead of James Daniels. I value Cole’s intelligence and versatility over the athleticism of Daniels.

45) Green Bay Packers: Holton Hill, CB Texas- Green Bay is a team that can take someone like Hill and get the best out of him. If Hill stays out of trouble, he could be the steal of this draft.

46) *Philadelphia Eagles via Cincinnati Bengals: Chukwuma Okorafor, OT/OG Western Michigan- Philadelphia needs a tackle of the future in this draft. Okorafor is my favorite developmental pick this year.

47) Arizona Cardinals: Jessie Bates III, FS Wake Forest- Bates is not the best tackler, but he has ridiculous range and ball skills from the free safety position.

48) *Cleveland Browns via Los Angeles Chargers: Harrison Phillips, DT Stanford- The Browns need consistency at the defensive tackle position. While some feel that their roster is deep enough at that spot, I think they need a starter next to Larry Ogunjobi.

49) Indianapolis Colts from New York Jets via Seattle Seahawks: Dante Pettis, WR Washington- Pettis has the ability to be a number two wide receiver out of the gate. He would take pressure off of T.Y Hilton as well.

50) Dallas Cowboys: DJ Moore, WR Maryland- Moore’s athleticism is off the charts. He would be a perfect number one target for Dak Prescott.

51) Detroit Lions: Austin Corbett, OG/C Nevada- Corbett can start at left guard from day one for Detroit and he can kick inside to center in the future if Graham Glasgow doesn’t perform.

52) Baltimore Ravens: James Daniels, OC Iowa- Baltimore needs to replace Ryan Jensen and Daniels slid down the draft right into their lap. Easy pick.

53) *Cleveland Browns via Buffalo Bills: Michael Gallup, WR Colorado State– The run on wide receivers caps off with Gallup to Cleveland. I don’t trust Josh Gordon to stay on the field, nor do I trust Corey Coleman to stay healthy.

54) Kansas City Chiefs: Martinas Rankin, OL Mississippi State- Slight reach pick, but the Chiefs need to find offensive line depth and potential starters up front in this draft.

55) Carolina Panthers: Terrell Edmunds, SS Virginia Tech- Edmunds is a steal here for Carolina. He can be a traditional in the box strong safety and he’s also a decent safety from a cover two spot.

56) Buffalo Bills via Los Angeles Rams: Brian O’Neill, OT Pittsburgh- Buffalo is so desperate for offensive line that they have to reach, albeit slightly, for a starting tackle late in round two.

57) Tennessee Titans: Ogbonnia Okoronkwo, OLB Oklahoma- Tennessee needs to get younger and quicker on the edge. Okoronkwo plays downhill with poise and he’s got a solid move-set off the edge.

58) *New York Jets via Atlanta Falcons: Josh Sweat, EDGE Florida State- If you can’t tell by now, I’m all in on Baker Mayfield and trading up for Josh Sweat as the Jets draft strategy.

59) San Francisco 49ers via New Orleans Saints: Mark Andrews, TE Oklahoma- Getting Jimmy Garoppolo a middle of the field target is more important than selecting a wide receiver at this spot.

60) Pittsburgh Steelers: Josh Allen, QB Wyoming- The most ideal fit for Josh Allen is Pittsburgh. Allen would get to sit and learn behind a hall of fame quarterback like Roethlisberger (who one could argue Allen resembles with his size and “escapability”) while he perfects the finer points of his game like footwork and clearing his hip when throwing to a target.

61) Jacksonville Jaguars: Fred Warner, OLB/ILB BYU- I think Warner would be a terrific replacement for Paul Posluszny. He’s terrific in off ball coverage, just like the rest of the Jaguars linebacking core.

62) *Dallas Cowboys via Minnesota Vikings: Breeland Speaks, DT Ole Miss- Speaks is one of the most underrated players in this draft. He may not have the strengths of the other tackles, but he’s a complete player. Speaks can start right away for any team that drafts him.

63) *Arizona Cardinals via New England Patriots: Lamar Jackson, QB Louisville- Arizona has to find a quarterback for the future in this draft. With Allen going a few picks earlier, they trade up to ensure they land Jackson.

64) Cleveland Browns via Philadelphia Eagles: Kolton Miller, OT UCLA- The tackle class is not great, but if the team picking Miller is right, they could have a starting left tackle on their hands.

TRADES IN ROUND TWO

1) Los Angeles Chargers trade the #48, #84 and #155 to the Cleveland Browns for the #35 and #114.

2) New York Jets trade the #72, #107 and #179 to the Atlanta Falcons for the #58 and #200.

3) Arizona Cardinals trade the #79 and #97 to the New England Patriots for the #62 and a 2019 4th round pick.

ROUND THREE

65) Buffalo Bills via Cleveland Browns: Wyatt Teller, OG Virginia Tech

66) New York Giants: Orlando Brown, OT Oklahoma

67) Indianapolis Colts: Uchenna Nwosu, OLB USC

68) Houston Texans: Derrick Nnadi, DT/NT Florida State

69) New York Giants via Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Tegray Scales, OLB/ILB Indiana

70) San Francisco 49ers via Chicago Bears: Dorance Armstrong Jr., EDGE Kansas

71) Denver Broncos: MJ Stewart, CB North Carolina

72) *Atlanta Falcons via New York Jets: Colby Gossett, OG Appalachian State

73) Miami Dolphins: Harold Landry, EDGE Boston College

74) San Francisco 49ers: DaeSean Hamilton, WR Penn State

75) *Pittsburgh Steelers via Oakland Raiders: Arden Key, EDGE LSU

76) Green Bay Packers: Calvin Ridley, WR Alabama

77) *Philadelphia Eagles via Cincinnati Bengals: Rashaad Penny, RB San Diego State

78) Kansas City Chiefs via Washington Redskins: Quenton Meeks, CB Stanford

79) *New England Patriots via Arizona Cardinals: Tyrell Crosby, OT/OG Oregon

80) Houston Texans via Seattle Seahawks: Hayden Hurst, TE South Carolina

81) Dallas Cowboys: Darius Leonard, OLB South Carolina State

82) Detroit Lions: Nathan Shepard, DT Fort Hays State

83) Baltimore Ravens: Ian Thomas, TE Indiana

84) *Cleveland Browns via Los Angeles Chargers: Godwin Igwebuike, FS/SS Northwestern

85) Carolina Panthers via Buffalo Bills: Nick Chubb, RB Georgia

86) Kansas City Chiefs: BJ Hill, DT/NT NC State

87) Los Angeles Rams: Hercules Mata’Afa, EDGE Washington State

88) *Seattle Seahawks via Carolina Panthers: Duke Ejiofor, DE  Wake Forest

89) Tennessee Titans: Equanimeous St. Brown, WR Notre Dame

90) Atlanta Falcons: Tre’Quan Smith, WR UCF

91) New Orleans Saints: PJ Hall, DT Sam Houston State

92) Pittsburgh Steelers: Gereon Christian, OL Louisville

93) *Green Bay Packers via Jacksonville Jaguars: Josey Jewell, ILB Iowa

94) Minnesota Vikings: JC Jackson, CB Maryland

95) New England Patriots: Foley Fatukasi, DT UCONN

96) *Tampa Bay Buccaneers from Buffalo Bills via Philadelphia Eagles: Kalen Ballage, RB Arizona State

97) *New England Patriots via Arizona Cardinals (compensatory): Kyle Lauletta, QB Richmond

98) Houston Texans (compensatory): Alex Cappa, OL Humboldt State

99) Denver Broncos (compensatory): Courtland Sutton, WR SMU

100) Cincinnati Bengals (compensatory): Shaquem Griffin, LB UCF

TRADES IN ROUND THREE

1) Green Bay Packers trade the #101 and #138 to the Jacksonville Jaguars for the #93

2) Tampa Bay Buccaneers trade the #102 and #144 to the Buffalo Bills for the #96

Jordan Katz 2018 NFL Prediction Mock Draft 2.0: Final

Posted on Updated on

This is my final prediction mock draft of 2018. As stated in my previous edition, this is the more conventional mock draft where I attempt to get every selection correct. This draft is incredibly tough to predict because the number one selection is still up in the air. The draft plays out very differently if Josh Allen is selected first instead of Sam Darnold, or vice versa.

This draft is also one giant guessing game after pick six or seven because of the amount of quarterbacks that could go in round one. We could see six quarterbacks go in the first round on Thursday night. Six! So this is my best attempt at reading through the rumors that are truth and the ones that are smoke screens. Hopefully I do better than last year.

Editor’s note: An asterisk next to a team name means that the pick was traded in this draft. If there’s no asterisk, that means the pick was traded before this “draft,” got underway.

ROUND ONE

1) Cleveland Browns: Sam Darnold, QB USC- Darnold and Josh Allen are supposedly neck and neck in “Browns land.” When a decision is this close, sometimes it’s the smallest detail that can separate two players in the eyes of a front office.

Darnold showed up at 7 AM to help out his USC teammates at their pro day when he didn’t have to be there. Something as small as being there for your teammates after the season has ended could be what separates him from Josh Allen for GM John Dorsey.

2) New York Giants: Saquon Barkley, RB Penn State- I think teams are going to dare the Giants to pick a quarterback come draft night. I’m not sure anyone in the NFL believes that David Gettleman would take a QB not named Sam Darnold. The Giants select the best player available, and hope he can shine behind a weak offensive line.

Editor’s Note: This is where the draft could be completely different if Josh Allen goes first. Now there’s legitimate concern among the teams that need a quarterback in the middle of round one that their guy may not be there. If Josh Allen goes first, then the Giants are in the power position of the draft once again.

3) New York Jets via Indianapolis Colts: Baker Mayfield, QB Oklahoma- “Broadway Baker,” has been my prediction for the Jets from day one. He’s a leader in the locker room, the fans will love him, and he’s tailor-made for a west coast system.

4) *Buffalo Bills from Cleveland Browns via Houston Texans: Josh Allen, QB Wyoming- Originally I wrote that the Giants held the keys to this draft, because they could tempt teams to move up by teasing a quarterback at the second selection. However, David Gettleman has done such a poor job with his pre-draft strategy. By not at least teasing a quarterback could be their pick, they have zero leverage if Darnold is off the board.

This means that, once again, the Cleveland Browns control the draft. The Browns would love to trade down from four. Therefore, whatever team trades up could get their franchise quarterback at a discounted price because the Browns already have their QB.

Buffalo will still have to give both first rounders this year to trade up, but they should be able to hold on to any future assets. That would not be the case if they went up to where the Giants pick.

5) *Arizona Cardinals via Denver Broncos: Josh Rosen, QB UCLA- This draft is going to be wacky because of the quarterbacks. Denver seems like they’re all in on Allen and Mayfield. If they can’t get one of those two, I could see a scenario where Denver uses Rosen to trade back and acquire assets. Case Keenum has proved that he can be the game manager Denver is looking for in the immediate future.

Arizona trades up to land their franchise quarterback.

6) Indianapolis Colts via New York Jets: Bradley Chubb, EDGE NC State- If one of the top four quarterbacks is on the board at six, Indianapolis is trading down to the highest bidder. If all the quarterbacks are gone, they take Bradley Chubb or Saquon Barkley. It’s as simple as that.

7) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Tremaine Edmunds, EDGE/OLB Virginia Tech- This pick is a little out of the box because Tampa Bay needs safeties and the top two guys are available. However, Tampa Bay also needs a strong side linebacker, and teams love Tremaine Edmunds. The Bucs could go for a versatile front seven player in round one because the secondary depth in this class is excellent.

8) Chicago Bears: Quenton Nelson, OG Notre Dame- To put this simply, I can’t see the best player in the draft making it past the Bears at eight.

9) San Francisco 49ers: Roquan Smith, OLB/ILB Georgia- If I were a betting man, and most reading this article are well aware that I am, I would say the Niners scheduling a private workout with Smith shortly after finding out about Reuben Foster’s off the field issues is not a coincidence.

10) *Green Bay Packers via Oakland Raiders: Denzel Ward, CB Ohio State- Oakland is a team that could surprise people by trading down a few spots. They have a ton of defensive needs, as well as needs along the offensive line.

Green Bay slides up a few spots to get a defensive game changer in the secondary.

11) Miami Dolphins: Derwin James, FS/SS Florida State- The Dolphins are in a precarious draft situation at 11. There’s plenty of guys they can use as immediate contributors, but they could also slide down and take Lamar Jackson in the middle of round one. I think the safer option is to select BPA at 11, then try to trade up for Jackson later on.

12) Cleveland Browns from Buffalo Bills via Cincinnati Bengals: Minkah Fitzpatrick, CB/FS/SS Alabama- This may look like a steal at the 12th pick, but I think Fitzpatrick could slide a bit on draft day. Someone at the top has to fall based on the amount of quarterbacks that will go early on. This is also part of the allure for the Browns to trade out of the fourth pick.

13) Washington Redskins: Vita Vea, DT/NT Washington- Vea is a lock to go in the first 15-20 picks, it’s just a matter of where. There are a number of teams that have interest in him and consider him a very talented prospect. Washington is the best bet to take Vea no matter what else is on the board.

14) *Oakland Raiders via Green Bay Packers: Connor Williams, OT/OG Texas- I’m completely selling the Connor Williams nose dive the NFL Draft media is preaching. I can’t imagine a world where the consensus top tackle in the draft for six months just suddenly falls out of the first round. Oakland slides down and takes an athletic offensive tackle that starred throughout his collegiate career at Texas.

15) *Denver Broncos via Arizona Cardinals: Mike McGlinchey, OT Notre Dame- Denver needs to bolster its offensive line as soon as possible. McGlinchey is considered by many to be the best tackle in the draft. Teasing a quarterback at five in order to slide down and select McGlinchey is a very plausible draft scenario for the Broncos.

16) *Minnesota Vikings via Baltimore Ravens: Will Hernandez, OG UTEP- Minnesota is in a very good spot to trade up in this draft. Most of their important pieces are locked up for the next few years, and they have the cap room to sign the ones that aren’t (Stefon Diggs and Danielle Hunter are the most important two). Their biggest team need is at left guard, and this is the point in the draft where offensive line will start flying off the board.

17) Los Angeles Chargers: Leighton Vander Esch, ILB Boise State- Vander Esch commands the middle of the field extremely well. He’s a sound tackler and he’s terrific in off ball coverage. I expect Vander Esch to go higher than many expect on draft day because of his smarts and his athleticism.

18) Seattle Seahawks: Isaiah Oliver, CB Colorado- The Seahawks need a number one cornerback after getting rid of almost all of their secondary depth this offseason. Oliver has the length that Seattle looks for in their cornerbacks. He also excels in cover three, a defense that Seattle uses often.

19) Dallas Cowboys: Courtland Sutton, WR SMU- It’s anyone’s guess as to who WR1 will be on draft night. Many people will argue Calvin Ridley, but Sutton has a great chance to hear his name called first. Dallas is the first team on the board that is desperate for a wide receiver, particularly a big body receiver. I think Sutton will be viewed as someone who fits better with what Dallas is looking for at this pick.

20) Detroit Lions: Marcus Davenport, EDGE UTSA- Initially I thought that Davenport would go in the top 15 because someone would trade up. However, because quarterbacks are going to go so high in this draft, players are bound to fall regardless of their talent. Detroit lucks out by getting the clear cut number two edge rusher in this draft (by media standards).

21) Cincinnati Bengals via Buffalo Bills: Frank Ragnow, OG/C Arkansas- Ragnow is now considered to be the top center in the draft and many feel he will hear his name called in round one. Cincinnati needs just about everything on their offensive line. At the top of that list is a starting Center. 

22) *Cleveland Browns via Buffalo Bills: Harold Landry, EDGE Boston College- I don’t have a first round grade on Landry, but he will hear his name called Thursday night. If Cleveland wants a pass rusher and would like to trade out of the fourth selection, they better be comfortable with Landry or Davenport. Passing on Bradley Chubb for one of those two is a major gamble by the front office.

23) *Miami Dolphins from New England Patriots via Los Angeles Rams: Lamar Jackson, QB Louisville- The Patriots have been teasing a quarterback for weeks. They’ve met with everyone from Mason Rudolph, to Lamar Jackson, to second tier guys like Kyle Lauletta. It is presumed that Bill Belichick is going to draft another potential successor to Tom Brady this year.

Despite all the evidence, I don’t buy it at this pick. I think this is a classic “draft con,” by Belichick, with the goal of tempting other teams to trade up. Even if they slide out of round one, New England would still haul multiple top 100 picks in this draft.

Miami trades up for the heir to Ryan Tannehill’s throne, but New England wins this move. Not only do they get more draft picks, but they’ve inadvertently familiarize themselves with a quarterback they’ll face twice a year for the near future.

24) Carolina Panthers: Justin Reid, FS Stanford- Carolina needs to address secondary with this first pick. They have needs at every spot in the defensive backfield. Reid’s instincts and ball skills will allow him to go higher on draft day than some may be projecting. His upside is why the Panthers go for a safety rather than a cornerback in round one.

25) Tennessee Titans: Isaiah Wynn, OG Georgia- Wynn is a bit of a wildcard in this draft. His athleticism as well as his ability to dominate in the run game could make him a top 20 pick. He could also fall into the 30-40 range because there is an abundance of interior offensive line talent in this draft.

If he’s on the board for Tennessee, a team that needs to sure up the middle of their o-line, I would expect him to be the selection.

26) Atlanta Falcons: Da’Ron Payne, DT Alabama- Taven Bryan may be the “sexy pick,” here because of his athleticism, but Dan Quinn likes guys that compete. Payne comes from a culture of competition at Alabama. He’s also very athletic in his own right.

27) New Orleans Saints: Mike Hughes, CB UCF- I’m not sure why everyone has New Orleans rushing to pick a pass catcher in round one. They’re in a perfect situation to take the best player available because of their limited needs. Hughes will be a nickel corner from day one, and he should excel there for a long time.

28) Pittsburgh Steelers: Sony Michel, RB Georgia- My prediction for the Steelers on draft day is simple. If the Steelers are committed to Le’Veon Bell long term, they will not draft a running back. If they’re not, then they will select Michel or Derrius Guice at 28.

29) Jacksonville Jaguars: DJ Moore, WR Maryland- For those scoring at home, Moore going here means Calvin Ridley falls out of the first round. To be honest, I’m not sure why Ridley in round one is a popular pick amongst analyst. His athleticism tests proved that he is a glorified slot receiver at the next level. To me, the NFL as a whole values slot receivers lower than most media experts.

Moore on the other hand tested through the roof during the draft process. He proved he’s a multidimensional receiver. Moore goes to Jacksonville, Ridley falls to day two.

30) *Baltimore Ravens via Minnesota Vikings: Dallas Goedert, TE South Dakota State- Baltimore is being linked to almost every tight end in this draft. If they’re truly serious about taking a game changer in the middle of the field, then trading back in round one and selecting Goedert makes a lot of sense.

31) New England Patriots: Kolton Miller, OT UCLA- In my previous predictions mock draft I had the Patriots going with Brian O’Neill because of his athleticism. The technique wasn’t a huge concern for me because Dante Scarnecchia is the guru when it comes to offensive line technique.

Miller is considered to be a better technical version of O’Neill, and he’s still a strong athlete in his own right. This pick would be considered a home run by many.

32) Philadelphia Eagles: Brian O’Neill, OT Pittsburgh- With just one pick in the first three rounds, Philadelphia needs to hit on this pick.

Contrary to what people may think, they don’t have to nab a day one starter here. O’Neill is an athletic freak and can sit behind Jason Peters for a year while he develops technique. If O’Neill turned into a left tackle of the future, that qualifies as hitting on this draft pick.

TRADES IN ROUND ONE

1) Buffalo Bills trade the #12, #22 and the #65 to the Cleveland Browns for the #4.

2) Arizona Cardinals trade the #15, #47 and a 2019 1st to the Denver Broncos for the #5 and the #71.

3) Green Bay Packers trade the #14 and the #76 to the Oakland Raiders for the #10 and the #212.

4) Minnesota Vikings trade the #30, #62 and a 2019 3nd round pick to the Baltimore Ravens for the #16 and a 2019 5th round pick.

5) Miami Dolphins trade the #42, #73 and a 2019 2nd round pick to the New England Patriots for the #23 and the #198.

ROUND TWO

33) Cleveland Browns: Joshua Jackson, CB Iowa- Cleveland made some nice additions in their secondary this offseason, yet they still lack a true number one cornerback. Jackson’s length and ball skills could help him be a star at the next level.

Editor’s Note: I don’t think grabbing Fitzpatrick at 12 deters the Browns from drafting multiple secondary pieces.

34) New York Giants: Jaire Alexander, CB Louisville- Both Jackson and Alexander fell to round two, but that’s the QB effect. Alexander is not only insurance for Eli Apple, but he’s also a starting nickel corner from day one.

35) Cleveland Browns via Indianapolis Colts: Ronald Jones II, RB USC- Earlier I mentioned that selecting Minkah Fitzpatrick won’t deter the Browns from taking a cornerback that falls. The same applies for their signing of Carlos Hyde. If a running back falls, Cleveland could easily take him.

36) Indianapolis Colts: Taven Bryan, DL Florida- Bryan’s athleticism and relentless pass rushing ability is something the Colts desperately need along their front four.

37) Indianapolis Colts via New York Jets: Calvin Ridley, WR Alabama- If Ridley does in fact slide out of round one, I can’t see him making it past the Colts. Indianapolis needs a number two wide receiver.

38) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Ronnie Harrison, SS Alabama- The Bucs needs safety help in the worst way. Harrison provides an immediate jolt to the backend of the Bucs defense.

39) Chicago Bears: Gereon Christian, OT/OG Louisville- Doubling up on offensive line is a smart play by Chicago because they lack depth at the position.

40) Denver Broncos: Derrius Guice, RB LSU- Denver needs a starting running back after releasing CJ Anderson.

41) Oakland Raiders: Rashaan Evans, OLB/ILB Alabama- Evans can be a signal caller in the middle and he also allows the Raiders to play Tahir Whitehead on the weakside.

42) *New England Patriots via Miami Dolphins: Mike Gesicki, TE Penn State- Gesicki is an athletic tight end that runs terrific route runner and he catches everything thrown his way. Seems like a guy Tom Brady would love to throw to.

43) New England Patriots via San Francisco 49ers: Sam Hubbard, EDGE Ohio State- New England needs a pass rush next year if they want to be in the winner’s circle come February. Hubbard’s ability to stay disciplined is why Belichick selects him over a few more athletically gifted edge rushers.

44) Washington Redskins: Billy Price, C/OG Ohio State- One of the underrated additions/subtractions this offseason was Spencer Long joining the New York Jets and leaving Washington. Price would be an excellent choice in round two to replace Long.

45) Green Bay Packers: Braden Smith, OG Auburn- Smith is a physical run blocker with quick feet and he plays with an edge. The Packers need that physicality up front.

46) Cincinnati Bengals: Mason Rudolph, QB Oklahoma State- For the record, I have zero basis for this selection. This is strictly a gut feeling that Cincinnati will look for a future replacement for Andy Dalton in this draft. Dalton has team options in the next two years, making this is a great time to attempt to find a new quarterback.

47) *Denver Broncos via Arizona Cardinals: Donte Jackson, CB LSU- I think the Broncos draft will be centered around the idea that their window is smaller than people think. With that in mind, a nickel corner is at the top of the list in terms of team needs.

48) Los Angeles Chargers: DeShon Elliott, FS Texas- The Chargers have yet to replace the loss of Eric Weddle a few offseasons ago. Elliott would do just that.

49) Indianapolis Colts from New York Jets via Seattle Seahawks: Malik Jefferson, ILB Texas- Indianapolis continues to get immediate contributors in this draft. Jefferson will be the signal call in the middle of their 4-3 defense from day one.

50) Dallas Cowboys: Maurice “Mo” Hurst, DT Michigan- I believe someone will take a chance on Hurst during round two. So why not Dallas? They took a chance on Jaylon Smith a few drafts ago and that looks terrific right now. If they’re right on Hurst, they could have a steal.

51) Detroit Lions: Tyrell Crosby, OT/OG Oregon- The Lions need a starting left guard, but they also just need offensive line depth in general.

52) Baltimore Ravens: James Daniels, C Iowa- Daniels immediately replaces departing free agent Ryan Jensen.

53) Buffalo Bills: Uchenna Nwosu, OLB USC- The Bills could use a rusher from the strong side linebacker position. Lorenzo Alexander is aging and there isn’t a replacement in sight.

54) Kansas City Chiefs: Carlton Davis, CB Auburn- I think the Chiefs would like to trade down if possible. However, with an elite press man corner like Davis on the board, I’m not sure they can afford to do so.

55) Carolina Panthers: Terrell Edmunds, SS Virginia Tech- The Panthers double up on safeties in the first two rounds, grabbing Edmunds to be the traditional in the box strong safety.

56) Buffalo Bills via Los Angeles Rams: Chukwuma Okorafor, OT/OG Western Michigan- Okorafor is raw, but he has shown tremendous progression for someone who picked up football later in his youth.

57) *San Francisco 49ers via Tennessee Titans: Christian Kirk, WR Texas A&M- With the wide receivers falling a bit, the Niners trade up to land someone who should’ve gone higher in this draft. Kirk is the middle of the field, move the chains guy Jimmy Garoppolo needs next season.

58) Atlanta Falcons: Austin Corbett, OG Nevada- Andy Levitre will most likely be playing his final season in Atlanta this year. It would be a good idea for the Falcons to find his replacement in this draft, which has loads of interior offensive line talent.

59) San Francisco 49ers via New Orleans Saints: Duke Dawson, CB Florida- The Niners need some depth in the secondary and they need a true nickel cornerback. Dawson, along with Ahkello Witherspoon and newly acquired Richard Sherman, would be a terrific tandem in the back end.  

60) New York Jets via Pittsburgh Steelers: Josh Sweat, EDGE Florida State- I think the Jets will try to trade back into round two for an edge rusher that falls. It’s a weak class, but Sweat could thrive in Todd Bowles’ defense.

61) Jacksonville Jaguars: Martinas Rankin, OL Mississippi State- Jacksonville’s offensive line took massive strides last year, but they still are looking to acquire immediate depth as well as a future starter at tackle. 

62) *Baltimore Ravens via Minnesota Vikings: Lorenzo Carter, OLB/ILB Georgia- Carter is the kind of player that Ozzie Newsome typically selects. Carter has the athleticism to play off the edge, along with the versatility to kick inside in a 3-4 defense…. supposedly.

63) New England Patriots: Kyle Lauletta, QB Richmond- I think Lauletta has been the Patriots QB of choice from day one. As mentioned earlier, there’s rumors of them selecting a number of different guys at a number of different spots in this draft. My feeling is that Lauletta has been the guy from day one.

64) Cleveland Browns via Philadelphia Eagles: Derrick Nnadi, DT/NT Florida State- With all their picks in this draft, the Browns start taking the best players available. Nnadi starts immediately next to last year’s pick Larry Ogunjobi.

TRADES IN ROUND TWO

1) San Francisco trade the #70, #74 and #128 to the Tennessee Titans for the #57 and #89.

2) New York Jets trade the #72, #107 and #179 to the Pittsburgh Steelers for the #60 and #165.

ROUND THREE

65) Cleveland Browns from Buffalo Bills via Cleveland Browns: Orlando Brown, OT Oklahoma

66) New York Giants: Will Richardson, OT NC State

67) *Dallas Cowboys via Indianapolis Colts: Jessie Bates III, FS Wake Forest

68) Houston Texans: Hayden Hurst, TE South Carolina

69) New York Giants via Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Rasheem Green, DE USC

70) *Tennessee Titans via San Francisco 49ers via Chicago Bears: Ogbonnia Okoronkwo, OLB/ILB Oklahoma

71) *Arizona Cardinals via Denver Broncos: Harrison Phillips, DL Stanford

72) *Pittsburgh Steelers via New York Jets: Fred Warner, LB BYU

73) *New England Patriots via Miami Dolphins: Isaac Yiadom, DB Boston College

74) *Tennessee Titans via San Francisco 49ers: Anthony Miller, WR Memphis

75) Oakland Raiders: Kerryon Johnson, RB Auburn

76) *Oakland Raiders via Green Bay Packers: Holton Hill, CB Texas

77) *Carolina Panthers via Cincinnati Bengals: Nick Chubb, RB Georgia

78) Kansas City Chiefs via Washington Redskins: Dorance Armstrong, EDGE Kansas

79) Arizona Cardinals: Michael Gallup, WR Colorado State

80) Houston Texans via Seattle Seahawks: Tim Settle, NT Virginia Tech

81) *Indianapolis Colts via Dallas Cowboys: Jamarco Jones, OL Ohio State

82) Detroit Lions: Nathan Shepard, DT Fort Hays State

83) Baltimore Ravens: Breeland Speaks, DE/DT Ole Miss

84) Los Angeles Chargers: Joseph Noteboom, OT/OG TCU

85) *Cincinnati Bengals from Carolina Panthers via Buffalo Bills: Wyatt Teller, OG Virginia Tech

86) Kansas City Chiefs: Mason Cole, OL Michigan

87) Los Angeles Rams: Arden Key, EDGE LSU

88) Carolina Panthers: Ian Thomas, TE Indiana

89) *San Francisco 49ers via Tennessee Titans: Andrew Brown, DE/DT Virginia

90) Atlanta Falcons: Dante Pettis, WR Washington

91) New Orleans Saints: Mark Andrews, TE Oklahoma

92) Pittsburgh Steelers: MJ Stewart, CB North Carolina

93) Jacksonville Jaguars: Josey Jewell, ILB Iowa

94) Minnesota Vikings: PJ Hall, DT Sam Houston State

95) New England Patriots: Genard Avery, LB Memphis

96) Buffalo Bills via Philadelphia Eagles: Equanimeous St. Brown, WR Notre Dame

97) Arizona Cardinals (compensatory): Desmond Harrison, OL West Georgia

98) Houston Texans (compensatory): Tony Adams, OG NC State

99) Denver Broncos (compensatory): DaeSean Hamilton, WR Penn State

100) Cincinnati Bengals (compensatory): Shaquem Griffin, LB UCF

TRADES IN ROUND THREE

1) Dallas Cowboys trade the #81, #116 and a 2019 6th to the Indianapolis Colts for the #67.

2) Carolina Panthers trade the #85 and a 2019 4th to the Cincinnati Bengals for the #77.

Jordan Katz: NFL Mock Draft 3.0- Post Free Agency and Three Rounds

Posted on Updated on

We’ve hit the final stretch of #MockDraftSZN. This has been one of the most eventful offseasons that I can remember. There have been so many big trades, as well as plenty of moving parts in free agency. Now we’re less than 20 days away from the biggest spectacle of the offseason. The ultimate sense of hope and renewal for every team; the NFL Draft.

My rankings and player evaluations have changed a bit since my most recent mock draft. There are some new players that have entered round one for me, as well as some players that have dropped in value. I’ve also expanded this mock draft to three rounds, giving you, the fans, a better insight into what I think each team should do at each selection.

ROUND ONE

1) Cleveland Browns: Sam Darnold, QB USC- For the record, Darnold is not my top quarterback according to my grades. However, with the acquisition of Tyrod Taylor, the Browns no longer have to select a starting quarterback for 2018 in this draft. Darnold has the most upside of any quarterback in this draft. He also gets to sit for as long as he needs. Hopefully Darnold can finally be the quarterback to guide the Browns back to NFL notoriety.

2) Buffalo Bills via New York Giants: Josh Rosen, QB UCLA- As you all know by now, I only execute trades when it’s in the best interest of both teams involved. And as you all know by now, I think the Giants should trade down with this pick.

Here’s why Buffalo should trade up though, even if it costs them three first round picks. I only have three quarterbacks with a first round grade, and the Bills have to get one of them. They still have a competitive roster and a good, young defense. Buffalo gives the farm to come up and grab their franchise quarterback.

3) New York Jets via Indianapolis Colts: Baker Mayfield, QB Oklahoma- Not only is Mayfield my top passer based on his collegiate tape, but he is built for the bright lights of New York City. He will embrace the challenge of playing in front of such a demanding fan base. “Broadway Baker,” is the ideal future quarterback of the Jets.

4) Cleveland Browns via Houston Texans: Saquon Barkley, RB Penn State- As I said in Mock Draft 2.0, grabbing a quarterback and Barkley at the top of this draft gives the Browns a legitimate offense for next year and beyond.

5) Denver Broncos: Minkah Fitzpatrick, CB/FS/SS Alabama- With the three first round quarterbacks off the board, Denver turns to its next primary need. Fitzpatrick has the ability to be a “joker,” on defense, a weapon Denver could use after losing Aqib Talib and moving Bradley Roby to the outside.  

6) Indianapolis Colts via New York Jets: Bradley Chubb, EDGE NC State– I don’t believe the “Chubb is a better prospect than Myles Garrett,” thing that’s going around in the media. What I do believe is that Chubb has been underrated for a large portion of the draft process. Yes, this isn’t a good edge rushing class, but Chubb is an excellent one and worthy of a top ten selection.

7) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Derwin James, FS/SS Florida State- James tested off the charts at the combine, which reassured my belief that the toxic environment in Tallahassee this past fall was the reason for a diminished year on tape. Tampa needs secondary help, so the fit and value make sense.

8) Chicago Bears: Quenton Nelson, OG Notre Dame- For anyone in the business of predicting the draft, Nelson to the Bears makes so much sense. Chicago needs to continue to sure up their offensive line and Nelson is going to fall a little bit because he’s a guard. It’s a steal in terms of value, one the Bears should not pass on if given the chance.

9) Los Angeles Chargers via San Francisco 49ers: Connor Williams, OT Texas- The Chargers tackle situation is not good. Joe Barksdale needs to be replaced as soon as possible and Russell Okung is a cap cut option in 2019. Williams has the athleticism and technique to be worthy of a top ten selection this year. Los Angeles jumps the Raiders to snag their left tackle of the future.

10) Oakland Raiders: Carlton Davis, CB Auburn- To me, Davis is being vastly underrated by the mock draft community. He’s physical at the line, he has a great feel for his space and where to lead receivers, and his technique is being wrongfully criticized. He’s not the best at trailing, but it’s not a concern to me because he’s the best press cover corner in this draft. With some NFL coaching, Davis could be a top tier corner.

11) Miami Dolphins: Tremaine Edmunds, EDGE/OLB Virginia Tech- Miami seems to think they will be better this year than they were last year.

I think they have one of the worst teams in football and should quickly attempt a full blown rebuild.

So for this pick, I compromised. I gave them an athletic do-it-all linebacker that is only 19 years old. A pick that is both for now, and for the future.

12) New York Giants from Buffalo Bills via Cincinnati Bengals: Roquan Smith, ILB/OLB Georgia- I know, the Giants haven’t drafted a linebacker in round one in over 30 years. Fortunately for me, I run the show in this mock draft. Smith has the ability to play anywhere in a 4-3, and if the Giants go to a 3-4, he can play inside next to Alec Ogletree. Smith is a perfect scheme fit for Big Blue.

13) Washington Redskins: Vita Vea, NT Washington- Eventually I will get Vea into the top ten where he belongs. For now, the Redskins can just continue to reap the benefits of their good fortunes.

14) Green Bay Packers: Braden Smith, OG Auburn- Green Bay needs help on the interior of their offensive line. Keeping Aaron Rodgers healthy and upright is priority number one for a team looking to bounce back in 2018. Smith is a beast in the run game and more athletic than people think.

15) Arizona Cardinals: Anthony Miller, WR Memphis- Miller remains the only wideout with a first round grade on my board. Frankly, I’m confused as to how the mainstream media hasn’t picked up on his talents in a weak wide receiver class. Miller is a terrific route runner with great hands and the ability to beat defensive backs in the air despite his size. 

16) Baltimore Ravens: Leighton Vander Esch, ILB Boise State- I love this pick. Vander Esch gives the Ravens two do-it-all linebackers in the middle of their 3-4 defense (CJ Mosley being the other). Vander Esch is terrific in off-ball coverage and his ability to play downhill versus the run is also very good. Baltimore addressed their wide receiver need during free agency, making them free to address whatever need they desire at the 16th selection.

17) San Francisco 49ers via Los Angeles Chargers: Christian Kirk, WR Texas A&M- Very simple analysis here; the 49ers need pass catchers. Call me crazy, but a receiving core of Pierre Garcon and Marquise Goodwin doesn’t seem like the way to build up Jimmy Garoppolo.

18) Cleveland Browns via Seattle Seahawks: Denzel Ward, CB Ohio State- Yes. this is a heavy price to pay to trade back into round one. However, I have less than a full round of first round grades, or “NFL Starter Grades,” depending on what grading system you choose to use. In fact, if you exclude the running back class, I only have 21 first round grades this year. So for Cleveland to come out of this draft with three impact NFL starters would be terrific.

Ward gives the Browns a true number one cornerback. He does a great job finding the football in the air, his technique is strong, and he’s the best athlete at the cornerback position.

Editor’s Note: This makes sense for Seattle as well because this draft does have a lot of potential starters in rounds 2-4. Seattle needs depth, so they acquire two picks in the top 35.

19) Dallas Cowboys: Da’Ron Payne, DT Alabama- Cowboys fans would throw a party if they could sneak Payne in at 19. His athleticism and strength at the point of attack is something Dallas desperately needs in the middle of their defense.

20) Detroit Lions: Marcus Davenport, EDGE UTSA- Detroit must come away with a pass rusher on day one because they might not be able to on day two. Davenport followed up a terrific senior bowl week with a very impressive combine. Some question how technical he is and if he has a NFL level move set, but his athleticism alone is worthy of a first round call on draft day.

21) Cincinnati Bengals via Buffalo Bills: Billy Price, C/OG Ohio State- Price can provide immediate help to a diminished offensive line on the interior. I like his tape at center more than his tape at guard, but there’s no question that he can do both at the next level.

22) New York Giants via Buffalo Bills: Jaire Alexander, CB Louisville- I can’t imagine that any Giant fan wants to go into the season starting Eli Apple at the second cornerback slot. Alexander can play the outside or nickel spot, a versatility the Giants currently lack in their secondary. He’s the best man cover corner in the draft and he would provide an immediate impact to a defense looking to return to form in 2018.

23) New England Patriots via Los Angeles Rams (LA Rams Trade for Brandin Cooks): Isaiah Oliver, CB Colorado- When I had the rough draft of this mock draft complete last week, I had the exact trade that went down last Tuesday afternoon. Unfortunately, not only did I have Rob Gronkowski in instead of Cooks, and the Patriots and Rams also beat me to it. I’m not bitter, I’m fine… I’m fine…

Now to the trade itself. First off, the Patriots can survive without Cooks. The Patriot Way is to be willing to part with superstars a year early rather than a year late. Brandin Cooks was never going to re-up with New England. So to get a first round pick for someone you were never keeping is impressive.

From the Rams perspective, Los Angeles has gone all in this season. They traded for Marcus Peters and Aqib Talib to anchor their secondary. They added Ndamukong Suh on a one year deal to pair with Aaron Donald up front (good luck blocking that duo). Acquiring Brandin Cooks replaces the loss of Sammy Watkins and make them the favorite to win the championship next year. It’s a gamble, but it’s calculated.

In terms of the pick itself, Oliver is a long, athletic cover corner with the ability to excel out of multiple coverages. New England did trade for Jason McCourty, but he’s a quick fix at best. Oliver gives them a true number two cornerback for next year and beyond.

24) Carolina Panthers: Isaiah Wynn, OG Georgia- Carolina is in a very good position in this draft. They need secondary and interior offensive line play, two things that this draft class has in abundance. Wynn is a terrific scheme fit for the Panthers. He’s athletic, he’s a terrific pulling guard in the run game, and he’s got a quick and powerful first punch off the ball. This is a great pick here.

25) Tennessee Titans: Rasheem Green, DE/EDGE USC- Green was incredibly productive at USC, posting 10 sacks and 12.5 tackles for loss in his junior year. What made him jump up my draft board was the athleticism he showed throughout the draft process. In a year where edge rushers are in short supply, Green’s tape and versatility could get him to jump into the back end of round one.

26) Atlanta Falcons: Taven Bryan, DT Florida- Bryan’s athleticism makes him attractive to many scouts and GM’s. Putting him in a system where he can be a rotational rusher while he refines his technique, like I did here, is ideal for him.

27) New York Giants via New Orleans Saints: Derrius Guice, RB LSU- Trading down and then trading up in the first two rounds is incredibly rare for a team to do. However, the Giants draft is a home-run if they were to come out of this draft with three first round caliber players and a future first round pick.

Guice is one of the best pure runners in the draft. In terms of running between the tackles, he’s just as good as Saquon Barkley.

This draft scenario is why trading down from number two is what makes the most sense for the Giants.

Editor’s Note: New Orleans doesn’t have an immediate need at this spot and they can get a future asset or two if they trade down. 

28) Pittsburgh Steelers: Rashaan Evans, ILB Alabama- This is a second selection that doesn’t necessarily fit with my draft grades, but team needs dictate a different direction. If Ryan Shazier cannot go next season, the Steelers would be starting Jon Bostic and Vince Williams on the interior of their 3-4 defense. Yuck.

29) Jacksonville Jaguars: Genard Avery, OLB/ILB Memphis- I watched Avery late in the draft process and I was blown away by his athleticism. He’s technical as well; he plays downhill off the edge and can drop from a more traditional off ball position. Not to mention that he’s a strong rusher off the edge, showing NFL caliber moves. Jacksonville lost Paul Posluzney this offseason, so they kick Myles Jack inside and play Avery at strong side linebacker.

30) Minnesota Vikings: Will Hernandez, OG UTEP- The Vikings offensive line still needs improvement on the interior. Hernandez is a mauler in the run game, and his footwork is much better than he gets credit for. Easy pick here.

31) New England Patriots: Mike McGlinchey, OT Notre Dame- “Mr. Plug and Play Right Tackle,” could start from day one if the Patriots needed him to, or he can develop his footwork under the tutelage of offensive line guru Dante Scarnecchia. This is a perfect match.

32) Philadelphia Eagles: Ronnie Harrison, SS Alabama- Philadelphia is going to have some tough cuts to make in the next few years. One of them could be Rodney McLeod, who’s in the middle of a five year, 35 million dollar deal. Harrison is more of a traditional in the box safety, but he’s incredibly talented. Taking “BPA,” in Harrison, as well as insurance for McLeod, seems like a win-win for Philly.

TRADES IN ROUND ONE

1) Buffalo Bills trade the #12, #22, #96, a 2019 1st and a 2019 2nd to the New York Giants for the #2 and a 2019 6th.

2) Los Angeles Chargers trade the #17 and the #48 to the San Francisco 49ers for the #9 and #184.

3) Cleveland Browns trade the #33 and #35 to the Seattle Seahawks for the #18, a 2019 3rd and #146

4* (*trade happened on 4/3)) New England Patriots trade Brandin Cooks and #136 to the Los Angeles Rams for the #23 and #198.

5) New York Giants trade the #34 and the #96 acquired from Buffalo to the New Orleans Saints for the #27.

ROUND TWO

33) Seattle Seahawks via Cleveland Browns: Joshua Jackson, CB Iowa- Seattle continues to revamp their defense by taking a corner that’s perfect for their cover three defense.

34) New Orleans Saints via New York Giants: Harrison Phillips, DT Stanford- The Saints are in a situation to draft the best player available whether they stay at 27 or trade down. In this scenario, Phillips gives them another run stopper on the interior.

35) Seattle Seahawks from Cleveland Browns via Houston Texans: Ronald Jones II, RB USC: Russell Wilson was the entire Seahawks offense last year. They need a “bell cow,” in the backfield to open up their offense again.

36) Indianapolis Colts: Ogbonnia Okoronkwo, OLB/ILB Oklahoma- Even though he didn’t test well at the combine, I still love Okoronkwo’s game tape. He can give the Colts a pass rusher from the LEO position.

37) Indianapolis Colts via New York Jets: Holton Hill, CB Texas- Hill has some off the field baggage, but he’s a solid press man corner with good trail technique. If a team gets his mind focused on football, the sky is the limit.

38) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Sony Michel, RB Georgia- Despite splitting carries at Georgia, Michel can be a three down back at the next level with ease. He would bring another dimension to the Buccaneers offense from day one.

39) Chicago Bears: Orlando Brown, OT Oklahoma- The Bears go back to back on offensive lineman to help create a strong unit to protect the franchise, Mitchell Trubisky.

40) Baltimore Ravens via Denver Broncos: Dallas Goedert, TE South Dakota State- The Ravens addressed their weak receiving core in free agency, but they still lack a tight end that can open up the middle of the field. Goedert had a massive pro day, leaving all who attended with the consensus that he is the top tight end this year. Baltimore jumps up a few spots to get a game changer in the middle of the field.

41) Oakland Raiders: Chukwuma Okorafor, OT Western Michigan- Oakland’s offensive line has gone from a strength to a weakness in a little over a year and a half. Okorafor can be a right tackle for years if his technique continues to improve.

42) Miami Dolphins: Kerryon Johnson, RB Auburn- I’m not sure Kenyan Drake is a guy that can carry the ball 250 times in a season, despite how solid he looked at the end of this past year.

I know that Kerryon Johnson can be that guy. Johnson and Drake would be a strong 1-2 punch for Miami.

43) New England Patriots via San Francisco 49ers: Mike Gesicki, WR/TE Penn State- Having dealt Brandin Cooks a short while ago, New England is in the market for a pass catcher.

However, it doesn’t have to be a traditional receiver. Gesicki can line up anywhere on the field adding a second big, athletic target to Tom Brady’s arsenal.

44) Washington Redskins: Austin Corbett, OG/C Nevada- Corbett’s versatility is something Washington’s offensive line desperately needs. I think he’s a day two guard because of how quick his power step is.

45) Green Bay Packers: Terrell Edmunds, SS Virginia Tech- Edmunds can line up in the box, as well as in double high. His versatility would compliment HaHa Clinton-Dix very well in the secondary.

46) Cincinnati Bengals: Derrick Nnadi, DT/NT Florida State- Nnadi is a perfect scheme fit for the Bengals. He can play the zero tech next to Geno Atkins, and he’s also athletic enough to go to a three tech in a more traditional 4-3 look.

47) Arizona Cardinals: DeShon Elliott, FS Texas- Elliot’s single high, ball hawking nature would be a phenomenal compliment to Budda Baker, who will be playing the “joker role,” of the Cardinals defense this year.

48) San Francisco 49ers via Los Angeles Chargers: Mike Hughes, CB Central Florida- The Niners adding a traditional nickel corner might seem a bit out of the box this early in the draft, but it’s worth it. Hughes is so good in man coverage from the slot, a weapon every corner needs to have in their arsenal in the modern day NFL.

49) Indianapolis Colts from New York Jets via Seattle Seahawks: Dante Pettis, WR Washington- The Colts receiving core lacks a true number two receiver. Pettis is a home run threat with the ability to win jump balls in red zone situations. He’s also a better route runner than people think.

50) Dallas Cowboys: Fred Warner, OLB/ILB BYU- By adding Payne in round one and a do-it-all linebacker like Warner in round two, the Cowboys front seven would be one of the most underrated units in the NFL next season.

51) New England Patriots via Detroit Lions: Sam Hubbard, EDGE Ohio State- Hubbard has a solid move set and he has a great sense of gap control. That’s got Patriots edge rusher written all over it. New England trades up to land an edge rusher that they desperately need.

52) Denver Broncos via Baltimore Ravens: Josh Allen, QB Wyoming- This is a little early for Allen on my board, but because Denver is desperate for a quarterback of the future, they reach for the man who can see eye to eye with the heavens above.

53) Buffalo Bills: Mason Cole, OL Michigan- I don’t love the interior line situation of the Bills as it currently stands. Adding someone with versatility like Cole (started at every line position in college) makes a lot of sense to me.

54) Kansas City Chiefs: Justin Reid, FS Stanford- To get back to the defense they had a few years ago, the Chiefs need to revamp what was once an elite secondary. Reid is technically sound and he’s an underrated athlete. Pairing him with Eric Berry could be a fantastic duo as early as next season.

55) Carolina Panthers: Jessie Bates III, FS/SS Wake Forest- The run on safeties closes out with Bates to Carolina. Bates isn’t the best tackler, but tackling is easy to teach. Something not as easily taught is his nose for the ball and his recognition of plays from the back.

56) Buffalo Bills via Los Angeles Rams: Tegray Scales, OLB/ILB Indiana- All Scales did in college was produce, and I see no reason to expect anything less in the NFL. He plays downhill, but with poise, and he can drop in coverage as well.

57) Tennessee Titans: Michael Gallup, WR Colorado State- Tennessee is still searching for a true number two receiver to compliment Corey Davis. Gallup is a good fit, he wins 50/50 balls and he’s an underrated playmaker when he has the ball in his hands.

58) Atlanta Falcons: Wyatt Teller, OG Virginia Tech- Andy Levitre took a step backward last year, meaning he will most likely be let go at the end of the year. Teller gets to sit for a year and then learn next to Alex Mack and Jake Matthews. This is a perfect developmental fit.

59) San Francisco 49ers via New Orleans Saints: Mark Andrews, TE Oklahoma- Getting Jimmy Garoppolo a true receiving threat in the middle of the field should be priority number one for the Niners at this selection. The tight end class isn’t great, but the top guys, like Andrews and Goedert, can play.

60) Pittsburgh Steelers: Lamar Jackson, QB Louisville- Pittsburgh needs to find an heir to Ben Roethlisberger’s throne sooner rather than later. Taking a guy with the upside of being an actual starter, like Jackson, could allow them to re-sign Le’Veon Bell if they wanted to.

61) Jacksonville Jaguars: DJ Moore, WR Maryland- I doubt Jacksonville goes receiver in this draft, but they really should. Donte Moncrief has never had a year that’s matched his talent, DeDe Westbrook is a headcase, and Keelan Cole is better off as a number three target.

Moore was the standout of the draft process, showing some elite athleticism at every turn. He’s got good hands as well, and that combination has made him a favorite of many mock draft experts.

62) New York Jets via Minnesota Vikings: Josh Sweat, EDGE Florida State- Sweat is another incredibly talented FSU defender that had a down 2017 on tape. Like Derwin James, he also answered a lot of questions about him by having a strong draft process. He’s one of the few edge rushers in this class that has the ability to dip and bend past tackles on command. The Jets trade up out of desperation for a true pass rusher.

63) Detroit Lions via New England Patriots: James Daniels, C/OG Iowa- Daniels can be used at either spot because of his athleticism and quick feet. Detroit still needs a starting left guard, so they either move Daniels or current center Graham Glasnow into that position.

64) Cleveland Browns via Philadelphia Eagles: Martinas Rankin, OT Mississippi State- Having lost Joe Thomas this offseason, Cleveland is desperate for a left tackle. Rankin can start as a right tackle and transition to the left side.

TRADES IN ROUND TWO

1) Baltimore Ravens trade the #52, #83 and #154 to the Denver Broncos for the #40 and #106.

2) New England Patriots trade the #63, #95 and #198 to the Detroit Lions for the #51.

3) New York Jets trade the #72, #179 and a 2019 4th to the Minnesota Vikings for the #62 and #204.

ROUND THREE

65) Buffalo Bills via Cleveland Browns: DaeSean Hamilton, WR Penn State

66) New York Giants: Frank Ragnow, OG/C Arkansas

67) Indianapolis Colts: Brian O’Neill, OT Pittsburgh

68) Houston Texans: Hayden Hurst, TE South Carolina

69) New York Giants via Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Kolton Miller, OT UCLA

70) San Francisco 49ers via Chicago Bears: Colby Gossett, OG Appalachian State

71) Denver Broncos: Calvin Ridley, WR Alabama

72) Minnesota Vikings via New York Jets: Darius Leonard, OLB South Carolina State

73) Miami Dolphins: Breeland Speaks, DT Ole Miss

74) San Francisco 49ers: Nick Chubb, RB Georgia

75) Oakland Raiders: Arden Key, EDGE LSU

76) Green Bay Packers: Harold Landry, EDGE Boston College

77) Cincinnati Bengals: Jeremy Reaves, FS/SS South Alabama

78) Kansas City Chiefs via Washington Redskins: Quenton Meeks, CB Stanford

79) Arizona Cardinals: Nathan Shepherd, DL Fort Wayne State

80) Houston Texans via Seattle Seahawks: Alex Cappa, OL Humboldt State

81) Dallas Cowboys: James Washington, WR Oklahoma State

82) Detroit Lions: MJ Stewart, CB North Carolina

83) Detroit Lions via Baltimore Ravens: Rashaad Penny, RB San Diego State

84) Los Angeles Chargers: Jack Cichy, ILB Wisconsin

85) Carolina Panthers via Buffalo Bills: Donte Jackson, CB LSU

86) Kansas City Chiefs: BJ Hill, DT/NT NC State

87) Los Angeles Rams: Lorenzo Carter, OLB/ILB Georgia

88) Carolina Panthers: Duke Ejiofor, DE Wake Forest

89) Tennessee Titans: Desmond Harrison, OL West Georgia

90) Atlanta Falcons: Equanimeous St. Brown, WR Notre Dame

91) New Orleans Saints: Kyle Lauletta, QB Richmond

92) Pittsburgh Steelers: Duke Dawson, CB Florida

93) Jacksonville Jaguars: Joseph Noteboom, OT/OG TCU

94) Minnesota Vikings: Poona Ford, DT Texas

95) Detroit Lions via New England Patriots: Dorance Armstrong Jr., EDGE Kansas

96) New Orleans Saints via New York Giants from Buffalo Bills via Philadelphia Eagles: Uchenna Nwosu, OLB USC

97) Arizona Cardinals (compensatory): Mikey White, QB Western Kentucky

98) Houston Texans (compensatory): Trenton Thompson, NT Georgia

99) Denver Broncos (compensatory): Kalen Ballage, RB Arizona State

100) Cincinnati Bengals (compensatory): Tyrell Crosby, OT/OG Oregon

Jordan Katz: Prediction Mock Draft 1.0

Posted on Updated on

Welcome to the first prediction mock draft of 2018. This is the more conventional mock draft where I attempt to get every selection correct. In other words, this is the mock draft where I bash my head against a wall while trying to figure out which rumors have merit and which ones are smoke screens. There will be some massive changes here before the actual draft in late April, but this is what I think each team would do if the draft was tomorrow.

ROUND ONE

1) Cleveland Browns: Sam Darnold, QB USC- The number one overall pick from five months ago is back in his rightful spot. Having acquired Tyrod Taylor just a few weeks ago, the Browns are no longer forced to start the quarterback they select in this draft. Darnold has the highest upside of any quarterback in the draft, which makes him the ideal choice.

2) Buffalo Bills via New York Giants: Josh Allen, QB Wyoming- It’s going to be a tough sell to Giants fans if the new regime does not select Saquon Barkley at two, but I think it’s the right decision. The opportunity to haul three first round picks doesn’t come around often.

Buffalo comes up to select their quarterback of the future, and the present.

3) New York Jets via Indianapolis Colts: Baker Mayfield, QB Oklahoma- Speaking of quarterbacks of the future, the Jets gave three second round picks plus their sixth overall selection to get theirs. Gang Green has already met with Mayfield four times, including a private workout. If he’s on the board, the Jets are taking Baker Mayfield.

4) Cleveland Browns via Houston Texans: Saquon Barkley, RB Penn State- Many felt that Saquon Barkley was going to go first overall, and the logic behind that was sound. However, this is the reason it was never going to happen. By taking a quarterback at one, the Browns force the other quarterback needy teams to trade up if they want their guy. This lets Barkley fall to four, and right into the lap of General Manager John Dorsey.

5) Denver Broncos: Josh Rosen, QB UCLA- I think the reason the Jets made the move up to the third selection was to jump the Broncos. The Jets are ensured to land a QB they want, and Denver has to stay put at five and take whatever QB falls. In this case, that quarterback is Rosen.

6) Indianapolis Colts via New York Jets: Bradley Chubb, EDGE NC State- The Colts did a phenomenal job getting the Jets to overpay for the value of the third selection. With four picks in the top 64, the Colts have a ton of draft flexibility. Chubb is not only the best player available, but he’s the best player available at a position of need. Easy pick.

7) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Minkah Fitzpatrick, CB/FS/SS Alabama- The Buccaneers need impact defensive players and they’ve met with Fitzpatrick on a number of occasions. This seems like another easy selection.

8) Chicago Bears: Quenton Nelson, OG Notre Dame- Nelson hasn’t been linked to the Bears, but this is too much value to pass on. The Bears offensive line becomes one of the best units in the league with this pick.

9) San Francisco 49ers: Connor Williams, OT/OG Texas- The Niners still need some help along their offensive line. Williams has the athleticism to translate to multiple positions, giving the Niners the versatility to place him wherever they need him.

10) Oakland Raiders: Denzel Ward, CB Ohio State- The Raiders have a lot of options at this pick. Ideally, Connor Williams is on the board to help them rebuild their offensive line. If he’s not, addressing defensive needs is a good way to go. 

11) Miami Dolphins: Vita Vea, DT/NT Washington- I’m not sure how Vea and Jordan Phillips are going to line up next to each other in a 4-3, but the Dolphins don’t appear to be concerned. They met with Vea at the combine and, according to reports, came away impressed. Vea is one of the top five players in the class and incredibly athletic for his size. If Vea goes here and it works, the Dolphins front four becomes one of the best in football.

12) New York Giants from Buffalo Bills via Cincinnati Bengals: Tremaine Edmunds, EDGE/OLB Virginia Tech- By trading down, the Giants are able to acquire three first round picks and select a player that helps them complete their schematic change to a 3-4 under new defensive coordinator James Bettcher. Edmunds has the versatility to line up at multiple spots, he has tremendous athleticism, and he still doesn’t turn 20 years old until after the draft!

13) Washington Redskins: Roquan Smith, ILB Georgia- Smith would be a perfect fit in the middle of Washington’s 3-4 defense. Even though Washington hasn’t met with Smith yet, that doesn’t mean that they won’t. Nor does it stop them from taking him if he were to fall into their lap.

14) Green Bay Packers: Derwin James, FS/SS Florida State- The Packers have met with very few prospects thus far, so this is more of an educated guess on my part. Green Bay actually has more roster holes than people may realize, and a big one is in the secondary. After losing Morgan Burnett and Damarious Randall, the Packers have to get some secondary pieces from a strong defensive back class.

15) Arizona Cardinals: Calvin Ridley, WR Alabama- The Cardinals receiving core is a mess. Calvin Ridley is number one on many scouts board at the receiver position, and the gap between him and the next person is considered to be very big. 

16) Detroit Lions via Baltimore Ravens: Marcus Davenport, EDGE UTSA- Detroit has met with Davenport multiple times thus far; he appears to be the guy they trust the most off the edge in this draft.

I think Ozzie Newsome has one more trade down in store for his final draft as general manager. Baltimore is in a good spot to go down a few spots if Ridley goes in front of them.

17) Los Angeles Chargers: Kolton Miller, OT UCLA- Miller is someone who hasn’t been in either of my personal mock drafts (I have a third round grade on him), but he is someone the media and scouts seem to like very much. It wouldn’t shock me if Miller cracked the top ten come April. Los Angeles needs a tackle, so they take advantage of Miller sliding a bit.

18) Pittsburgh Steelers via Seattle Seahawks: Derrius Guice, RB LSU- The Steelers met with Guice at the combine which has led to speculation of Pittsburgh selecting him in round one. Despite using the franchise tag on Le’Veon Bell, it’s no secret that the Steelers are struggling to lock him up long term.

Seattle needs to acquire assets in this draft during this rebuild their attempting to execute. They can use the idea of taking Guice at 18 to tempt the Steelers to come up in order to get their running back of the future.

19) Dallas Cowboys: Isaiah Wynn, OG Georgia- After a phenomenal senior season and a strong last few months, Wynn is going to be a top 20 pick come April. Dallas lost a lot of offensive line depth and still need a starter at left guard. They also met with Wynn at the combine. This seems like a good match at 19.

20) Baltimore Ravens via Detroit Lions: James Daniels, G/C Iowa- Baltimore lost Ryan Jensen in free agency, so they have to find a starting center in this draft. Fortunately for them, this is an incredibly talented interior offensive line group. Baltimore adds a third round pick and takes the center they would have selected at 16.

21) Cincinnati Bengals via Buffalo Bills: Da’Ron Payne, DT Alabama- I know the Bengals like a zero tech playing next to Geno Atkins in their 4-3, but Da’Ron Payne is worth a schematic change. Two athletic defensive tackles would be a matchup problem for opponents. If the Bengals are going to address defensive tackle, maybe a schematic tweak to incorporate the talented Payne is where they should go.

22) New York Giants via Buffalo Bills: Jaire Alexander, CB Louisville- Alexander is considered to be one of the top cover corners from a terrific draft class. After cutting Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, the Giants are either going to the season starting Eli Apple and without a nickel cornerback, or addressing both issues with one selection. I know what I would do.

Editor’s Note: The Giants seem content to address their offensive line issues through free agency, that’s why this pick wasn’t a guard or tackle.

23) Los Angeles Rams: Courtland Sutton, WR SMU- The Rams lost two key players this offseason, Robert Quinn and Sammy Watkins. They only have one pick in the first two rounds, so this selection is either a trade or one of those two positions.

Sutton jumped up draft boards after a strong combine, so even though he’s not high on my personal board, this is a logical spot for him.

24) Carolina Panthers: Isaiah Oliver, CB Colorado- After trading Daryl Worley, and Bashaud Breeland failing his physical, the Panthers must get a corner in the first two rounds. Oliver is another strong cover corner that tested well at the combine. 

25) Tennessee Titans: Leighton Vander Esch, ILB Boise State- Vander Esch is a multi-dimensional linebacker that can contribute to an NFL team from day one. Having lost Avery Williamson to the Jets, the Titans need a middle linebacker next to Wesley Woodyard in their 3-4 base defense.

26) Atlanta Falcons: Taven Bryan, DT Florida- Despite the emergence of Grady Jarrett on the interior, the Falcons defensive line still needs some help. Atlanta loves athletes throughout their front seven, and Bryan is one of the best pound for pound athletes in the class. He may not be technically polished yet, but I bet teams will fall in love with his athleticism and draft him highly on draft day.

27) New Orleans Saints: Lamar Jackson, QB Louisville- The Saints signed Drew Brees to a two year extension, but they are still looking for their quarterback of the future. Jackson has a big arm and his strengths as a passer could be very attractive to an offensive minded coach like Sean Payton.

Editor’s Note: The reason the Saints don’t trade out and take Jackson in round two is to get the potential fifth year option on him. If Drew Brees were to retire and Jackson were to inherit the keys to the franchise, they get three years out of Lamar before needing an extension.

28) Seattle Seahawks via Pittsburgh Steelers: Mike McGlinchey, OT Notre Dame- Let’s see how simple I can make this analysis; the Seattle Seahawks need offensive line help.

29) Jacksonville Jaguars: Rashaan Evans, ILB Alabama- I’m not sure about Evans’ fit in a 4-3 defense, but many scouts appear to think he’s a three down linebacker. If that’s the case, he should make the transition to a 4-3 easily. The Jaguars could also kick Telvin Smith inside and play Evans at 4-3 outside linebacker, so this pick gives them some versatility as well.

30) Minnesota Vikings: Will Hernandez, OG UTEP- Minnesota’s offensive line was much improved in 2017, yet it still needs some fine tuning on the interior. Hernandez is a beast in the run game, something the Vikings offense will still lean on even with the addition of Kirk Cousins.

31) New England Patriots: Brian O’Neill, OT Pittsburgh- The Patriots are in an interesting draft position with this first selection. They have a number of team needs, but predicting which one Bill Belichick will value the most is just an impossible task. I think the lack of depth at offensive tackle as well as the loss of Nate Solder means that the Patriots will try to select a tackle at the backend of round one.

O’Neill’s athleticism would be attractive to the Patriots because lineman coach Dante Scarnecchia can teach offensive line technique to the tackling dummies.

32) Tampa Bay Buccaneers via Philadelphia Eagles: Ronald Jones II, RB USC- Philly only has one selection during the first two days of this draft, so they have to trade down here to acquire some assets.

Having missed out on Jerick McKinnon in free agency, the Bucs trade up for Ronald Jones to jump the Giants and Colts, who both need running backs.

Trades In Round One

1) Buffalo Bills trade the #12, #22, #53, a 2019 1st and a 2019 3rd to the New York Giants for the #2 overall pick.

2) Detroit Lions trade the #20 and the #82 to the Baltimore Ravens for the #16 overall pick.

3) Pittsburgh Steelers trade the #28 and the #60 to the Seattle Seahawks for the #18 overall pick.

4) Tampa Bay Buccaneers trade the #38 and the #108 to the Philadelphia Eagles for the #32 overall pick.

Round Two

33) Cleveland Browns: Carlton Davis, CB Auburn

34) New York Giants: Sony Michel, RB Georgia

35) Cleveland Browns via Houston Texans: Tyrell Crosby, OT/OG Oregon

36) Indianapolis Colts: DJ Moore, WR Maryland

37) Indianapolis Colts via New York Jets: Mike Hughes, CB Central Florida

38) Philadelphia Eagles via Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Christian Kirk, WR Texas A&M

39) Chicago Bears: Harold Landry, EDGE Boston College

40) Denver Broncos: Mo Hurst, DE/DT Michigan

41) Oakland Raiders: Martinas Rankin, OT Mississippi State

42) Miami Dolphins: Kerryon Johnson, RB Auburn

43) New England Patriots via San Francisco 49ers: Josh Jackson, CB Iowa

44) Washington Redskins: Billy Price, OG/OC Ohio State

45) Green Bay Packers: Braden Smith, OG Auburn

46) Cincinnati Bengals: Austin Corbett, OL Nevada

47) Arizona Cardinals: Arden Key, EDGE LSU

48) Los Angeles Chargers: Justin Reid, FS Stanford

49) Indianapolis Colts from New York Jets via Seattle Seahawks: Ronnie Harrison, SS Alabama

50) Dallas Cowboys: Dante Pettis, WR Washington

51) Detroit Lions: Donte Jackson, CB LSU

52) Baltimore Ravens: Dallas Goedert, TE South Dakota State

53) New York Giants via Buffalo Bills: Orlando Brown, OT Oklahoma

54) Kansas City Chiefs: MJ Stewart, CB North Carolina

55) Carolina Panthers: Jessie Bates, FS/SS Wake Forest

56) Buffalo Bills via Los Angeles Rams: Malik Jefferson, ILB Texas

57) Tennessee Titans: Genard Avery, LB Memphis

58) Atlanta Falcons: DJ Chark, WR LSU

59) San Francisco 49ers via New Orleans Saints: Josh Sweat, EDGE Florida State

60) Seattle Seahawks via Pittsburgh Steelers: Sam Hubbard, EDGE Ohio State

61) Jacksonville Jaguars: Joseph Noteboom, OT TCU

62) Minnesota Vikings: Harrison Phillips, DL Stanford

63) New England Patriots: Mark Andrews, TE Oklahoma

64) Cleveland Browns via Philadelphia Eagles: Nathan Shepard, DT Fort Wayne State

Jordan Katz 2018 NFL Mock Draft 2.0: Pre-Combine

Posted on

It’s time for round two of #MockDraftSZN! With free agency and the NFL Combine right around the corner, plenty will change from now until the draft. However, that doesn’t stop mock draft aficionados like myself from trying to see how close our value of players are from the start of the draft process to the end of the draft process.

For this draft, I made three key free agent assumptions. I assumed Kirk Cousins signed with the Jets (no this is not a homer move, this is just my observation on where things are at right now), which means the Jets do not need a quarterback. I also assumed the Vikings netted AJ McCarron, which takes them out of the running for a quarterback in 2018. Lastly, I assumed Le’Veon Bell stayed in Pittsburgh, which may appear unlikely right now, but I think it would be a mistake for Bell to go elsewhere.

As always, I made trades when it made sense for both teams, and all selections are based on my evaluation of team needs (I will put out a predictions mock draft after most major free agents have signed).

ROUND ONE

1) Cleveland Browns: Baker Mayfield, QB Oklahoma- The first change from my original mock draft is at QB1. Mayfield tore up Senior Bowl week, excelling during each of the practices throughout the week. His leadership skills were also on full display. The culture needs to change in Cleveland and I believe Mayfield can be the franchise QB they desperately need.

2) Denver Broncos via New York Giants: Josh Rosen, QB UCLA- Whichever one of the Broncos or New York Jets do not land Kirk Cousins should proceed to pay whatever the Giants ask for to move up and draft their franchise quarterback. As of right now, I believe the Jets are the favorites to land Cousins, so the Broncos move up and select Rosen, the next best QB on my board.

3) Indianapolis Colts: Bradley Chubb, EDGE NC State- The Colts need defense. That’s all the analysis needed on this selection.

Editor’s Note: Look for Chubb to impress at the combine. He’s got all the tools to shine in the drills and the athleticism to shine in the workout portion of the combine.

4) Cleveland Browns via Houston Texans: Saquon Barkley, RB Penn State- As I said in my initial mock draft, the goal for the Browns on day one should be to walk away with a franchise quarterback and the best player in the draft.

5) New York Giants via Denver Broncos: Connor Williams, OT Texas- I know this isn’t the “sexy draft,” Giants fans may want with the second overall selection, but I think it’s the best way to build this team for the present and the future. Trade down, acquire assets, and select from a loaded offensive line class.

Editor’s Note: The reason the Giants select Williams instead of Quenton Nelson is because Nelson can’t play tackle and the Giants desperately need a left tackle to protect Eli Manning’s blindside.

6) Arizona Cardinals via New York Jets: Sam Darnold, QB USC- Assuming the Jets land Kirk Cousins, I feel it is in their best interest to trade down and acquire more assets in this draft class.

Arizona is desperate for a franchise quarterback. They were 8-8 last year without any semblance of an offense.

This is an ideal landing spot for Darnold because he can go through “growing pains,” in terms of turnovers and not cost Arizona wins because of its stout defense.

7) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Minkah Fitzpatrick, CB/FS/SS Alabama- The Bucs need a dominant pass rusher, but they also need help in their secondary as well. Fitzpatrick’s versatility should fit nicely on a defense that has to find their identity in 2018.

8) Chicago Bears: Quenton Nelson, OG Notre Dame- The Bears have a number of different needs, but best player available isn’t a bad strategy when the number one thing you need is talent. Nelson would quietly give the Bears one of the best offensive lines in the NFL.

9) San Francisco 49ers (currently tied with Oakland): Carlton Davis, CB Auburn- I still don’t think a receiver has established themselves as a top ten selection. Therefore the Niners go for an impact corner that can lock down receivers with an in your face style similar to Marshon Lattimore.

10) Oakland Raiders (currently tied with San Francisco): Roquan Smith, ILB Georgia- If you’re looking for my draft strategy for the Oakland Raiders, here it is; Eat. Sleep. Roquan Smith. Repeat.

11) Miami Dolphins: Braden Smith, OT/OG Auburn- Even though they suffered from injuries up front, the Dolphins need to bolster their offensive line this offseason. Smith’s nastiness in the run game would be a big asset to the Dolphins offensive attack.

12) Cincinnati Bengals: Mike McGlinchey, OT Notre Dame- I still like the idea of the Bengals going with an offensive tackle early in this draft. They need to bolster the right side of their offensive line.

13) Washington Redskins: Vita Vea, NT Washington- Vea is an elite nose tackle prospect. His ability to eat blockers as well as his ability to use his hands will be an immediate asset to any team’s defense. Washington needs a stop gap in the middle, so this match works perfectly.

14) Green Bay Packers: Derwin James, FS/SS Florida State- Among the players to watch at the Combine in Indy is Derwin James. He struggled this year, but so did everyone at Florida State. He’s still a freak athlete with impressive ball skills and range. If he shows strength in the drills and tests where he should athletically, he can become a top ten pick again.

15) New York Jets via Arizona Cardinals: Tremaine Edmunds, EDGE/OLB Virginia Tech- I think the obsession over Tremaine Edmunds may be a little premature at this moment, but he’s easily a top 15 selection in this draft. He’s a do-it-all linebacker with elite athleticism.

16) Baltimore Ravens: Anthony Miller, WR Memphis- Miller does have a foot injury, but he is still my top receiver. His tape is terrific, he’s strong in every aspect of his route running and he’s got the best hands in the draft class. If his athleticism tests well at the Combine, there’s no way he should be one the board after day one.

17) Los Angeles Chargers: Orlando Brown, OT Oklahoma- After completing Brown’s tape, he’s risen very high on my personal board. This is still about the range I would expect him to go, but it wouldn’t shock me if he wound up in the top 10-15 picks.

18) Seattle Seahawks: Derrius Guice, RB LSU- Guice would be the top running back in any normal draft year, but this isn’t a normal year. He can do everything Saquon Barkley can, just on a little lesser scale. The Seahawks have missed the running game in their offense the last few years, which has resulted in them taking a step backwards in the NFC. Add Guice, and that changes.

19) Dallas Cowboys: Dante Pettis, WR Washington- I feel like the draft community has cooled on Dante Pettis, but I still like him a lot. He’s a deep threat that high points the ball well. If he runs a strong 40 time and measures well, he should rise back up the draft boards. If he doesn’t, I may have to drop him on my board.

20) Detroit Lions: Marcus Davenport, EDGE UTSA- Davenport really shined throughout senior week. His hands and speed were mismatches for offensive linemen all week. If he’s on the board for Detroit at 20, they should take their gift and run away.

21) Buffalo Bills: Christian Kirk, WR Texas A&M- Kirk is a dynamic route runner who should shine in Indianapolis. He’s expected to run a strong 40 and he should thrive in the gauntlet drill (which I think is kind of useless, but I digress). Kirk would give the Bills a chains mover, something they haven’t had since Peerless Price and Lee Evans were balling…. well maybe not that long ago.

22) Cleveland Browns from Buffalo Bills via Kansas City Chiefs: Denzel Ward, CB Ohio State- Denzel Ward is a ridiculous athlete with big time man coverage ability. He could fly up draft boards if he measures well in Indy. Cleveland mortgages some picks to move up and add a number one cornerback.

23) Los Angeles Rams: Arden Key, EDGE LSU- This pick is a scary thought, but it might be the best possible fit for Key in the draft. Despite falling on some draft boards, he’s still a tremendous pass rushing talent. Imagine lining him up opposite Robert Quinn with Aaron Donald in the middle? #Sheeeesh.

24) Carolina Panthers: Billy Price, OG/OC Ohio State- Price has gone under the radar so far in this draft season, but don’t be fooled by that. He’s athletic, intelligent, and he dictates defenders at the point of attack. If Carolina loses Andrew Norwell to free agency, they will need to add a lineman in the first few rounds of the draft.

25) Tennessee Titans: Ogbonnio Okoronkwo, OLB Oklahoma- I know some question his size and the fact that he has a tendency to over-run the play, but I love Okoronkwo’s athleticism and range. He’s able to bend and dip around the edge very well, which makes him an ideal and complete 3-4 outside linebacker. I’ll take a guy with a motor over one that’s a step slow any day of the week.

26) Atlanta Falcons: Da’Ron Payne, DT Alabama- Payne is going to be the value pick of this draft. He’s quick off the ball, he’s got a strong lower base when engaged in blocks and his hands are lighting fast with a big punch behind them.

27) New Orleans Saints: Ronnie Harrison, SS Alabama- New Orleans doesn’t have many needs this offseason, but one of them is replacing Kenny Vaccaro. Harrison is a hard hitting safety with good range and a nose for the football. He’s got some ability as a double high safety as well, making him an ideal fit for the Saints.

28) Pittsburgh Steelers: Jaire Alexander, CB Louisville- Alexander is another talented man cover corner in a ridiculously good cornerback class. Pittsburgh needs to continue to turn over their defense, particularly in the secondary. Artie Burns and Sean Davis is a good start, and adding Alexander would help complete a secondary that could thrive as early as next season.

29) Jacksonville Jaguars: Will Hernandez, OG UTEP- If you’re looking for an intense, nasty offensive lineman to maul you off the ball in the run game, Will Hernandez is for you. This guy plays with an edge and an intensity that you cannot teach. He’s a perfect fit for Jacksonville’s offensive mentality.

30) Minnesota Vikings: Leighton Vander Esch, ILB Boise State- Vander Esch’s tape is very impressive. He’s one of the best off ball linebackers in the draft. What sticks out to me is that he was used incorrectly on blitz packages, yet he was still a stand out on film. Get ready to see Vander Esch in most first rounds after the Combine.

31) New England Patriots: Joshua Jackson, CB Iowa- The Patriots lack of secondary depth was on full display at the Super Bowl a month ago. Malcolm Butler will be elsewhere in 2018, and Eric Rowe is an impending free agent next year. The Patriots must come away with a corner in their first few picks of this draft.

32) Philadelphia Eagles: Chukwuma Okorafor, OT Western Michigan- The Eagles don’t need much to return to the promised land in 2018, but one of the things to keep an eye on is their offensive line, particularly the tackle position. Jason Peters is on his way out soon, and Halapoulivaati Vaitai was only okay in his role of replacing Peters. Okorafor needs some polishing, but he has a very high upside, in my opinion.

TRADES IN ROUND ONE

1- Denver Broncos trade the #5, #40 a 2019 1st and a 2019 3rd to the New York Giants for the #2 overall pick.

2- Arizona Cardinals trade the #15, #47 and a 2019 2nd round pick to the New York Jets for the #6 overall pick

3- Cleveland Browns trade the #33 and the #65 to the Buffalo Bills for the #22 overall pick.

ROUND TWO

33) Buffalo Bills via Cleveland Browns: Taven Bryan, DT Florida- Taven Bryan is athletic and a bull in the trenches. His game needs to be polished a bit but he’s got a terrific motor.

34) New York Giants: Sony Michel, RB Georgia- Michel is the do-it-all running back the Giants are so desperate to add this offseason.

35) Cleveland Browns via Houston Texans: DeShon Elliott, FS Texas- The Browns need secondary members that will force turnovers. After grabbing Ward in round one, they take a rangy safety with single high ability in DeShon Elliott.

36) Indianapolis Colts: Martinas Rankin, OT Mississippi State- The Colts need offensive line. The Colts need offensive line. The Colts need offensive line.

37) New York Jets: Isaiah Oliver, CB Colorado- Oliver doesn’t deserve to miss out on being a first round pick, but one of these corners is going to fall. Jets get a steal in round two.

38) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Sam Hubbard, DE Ohio State- Hubbard is disciplined in his gap assignments, and he has a very good moveset. The Bucs have to get to the passer in 2018 if they want to be a playoff team.

39) Chicago Bears: Michael Gallup, WR Colorado State- Gallup has the upside to be the best receiver in this draft class. He ran a solid route tree in college and catches almost everything thrown in his area code.

40) New York Giants via Denver Broncos: Isaiah Wynn, OG Georgia- Wynn is rising up draft boards, but he needs to improve in pass protection before I give him a first round grade.

41) Oakland Raiders: Holton Hill, CB Texas- The run of talented cover corners continues. Hill is a ballhawk, and the Raiders are in desperate need of turnovers from their secondary.

42) Miami Dolphins: Ronald Jones II, RB USC- I don’t think the Dolphins see Kenyan Drake as the running back of the future, so they capitalize on value at take RoJo in round two.

43) New England Patriots via San Francisco 49ers: Dallas Goedert, TE South Dakota State- Rob Gronkowski may be returning in 2018, but he has a history of injuries and may be walking away from the game soon. Patriots get a tight end of the future and the present.

44) Washington Redskins: Rashaan Evans, ILB Alabama- Evans has good sideline to sideline ability and he’s a strong tackler. He will be a big time run stopper in the middle of any team’s defense at the next level.

45) Green Bay Packers: Alex Cappa, OT/OG Humboldt State- The Packers are desperate for offensive line depth this offseason. Cappa’s footwork and intelligence will allow him to be successful at the next level.

46) Cincinnati Bengals: Justin Reid, FS Stanford- If Reid tests well in Indy, he could fly up draft boards. He’s a ballhawk with intelligence and range. The Bengals need a game changer at the safety position this offseason.

47) New York Jets via Arizona Cardinals: Harrison Phillips, DL Stanford- With the lack of true edge rushers in this draft, the Jets are better off signing an edge rusher and replacing Mo Wilkerson through the draft, rather than re-signing Kony Ealy and drafting an edge guy.

48) Los Angeles Chargers: Tegray Scales, OLB/ILB Indiana- Scales will be a big riser if he tests well in Indianapolis. He’s very similar to Haason Redick in terms of his athleticism, but it’s his all-around game that has him at this spot.

49) New York Jets via Seattle Seahawks: Kerryon Johnson, RB Auburn- Johnson is probably the most underrated running back in this class. He’s a beast between the tackles and he explodes through holes created by his linemen.

50) Dallas Cowboys: Derrick Nnadi, DT Florida State- Nnadi struggled this past season, but he’s still a mismatch when he goes one-on-one with interior linemen.

51) Detroit Lions: Raashan Penny, RB San Diego State- The San Diego State standout will have to test well at the combine. Assuming he does, he has the tape to go in round two.

52) Baltimore Ravens: Mark Andrews, TE Oklahoma- The Ravens need pass catchers. The Ravens need pass catchers. The Ravens need pass catchers.

53) Buffalo Bills: Frank Ragnow, OG/OC Arkansas- Ragnow can be a starter at three different spots on the line in the NFL. As I’ve stated before, I value intelligence more than athleticism for offensive linemen.

54) Kansas City Chiefs: Wyatt Teller, OG Virginia Tech- Despite trading Marcus Peters and appearing to be in need of cornerback depth, I have a feeling the Chiefs like the state of their secondary. They may choose to go elsewhere come draft day, and something that makes sense is grabbing a starting guard with their first pick.

55) Carolina Panthers: Terrell Edmunds, SS Virginia Tech- Edmunds is a multi-dimensional safety that would fit perfectly in the Panthers double high defense.

56) Buffalo Bills via Los Angeles Rams: Mike Hughes, CB Central Florida- Nickel cornerbacks are more valuable than ever, and Mike Hughes has the potential to be an exceptional nickel cornerback.

57) Tennessee Titans: Mason Cole, OL Michigan- Much like Ragnow a few picks ago, Cole has the intelligence to make it in the NFL. He played almost everywhere during his career at Michigan.

58) Atlanta Falcons: Calvin Ridley, WR Alabama- I’m not as high on Ridley as many, but this is a terrific fit for the former Alabama standout.

59) San Francisco 49ers via New Orleans Saints: Hercules Mata’Afa, EDGE Washington State- Mata’Afa is incredibly quick off the edge and he shows the ability to dip and bend past tackles on tape. The Niners need to get more pass rushers this offseason.

60) Pittsburgh Steelers: Fred Warner, OLB/ILB BYU- Warner had an unbelievable senior week and remains one of the best off ball linebackers in the draft. He would be a huge addition to the Steelers 3-4 defense.

61) Jacksonville Jaguars: Mike Gesicki, TE Penn State- Gesicki may not be a blocker…at all… but he goes to a team where he would only catch passes, and that’s something he does unbelievably well.

62) Minnesota Vikings: Breeland Speaks, DT Ole Miss- Speaks replaces Sharrif Floyd and adds more versatility to a ridiculously talented defensive line.

63) New England Patriots: Rasheem Green, DE USC- Green actually deserved to go higher than this. He’s disciplined and very quick off the ball, two qualities the Patriots love to have in their defensive linemen.

64) Cleveland Browns via Philadelphia Eagles: DaeSean Hamilton, WR Penn State- Hamilton is a phenomenal route runner. Assuming he shows better hands than his tape, he could be a day two selection.

Jordan Katz- 2018 NFL Mock Draft 1.0: Two Rounds

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Finally… Jordan Katz HAS COME BACK to the land of Mock Drafts! Now that the regular season has finished, it’s officially the offseason for 20 NFL teams. This year’s offseason packs more of a punch than normal years because of the amount of quarterbacks on the market. Not only will guys like Kirk Cousins and Alex Smith most likely be free agents, but there’s a ton of quarterbacks worthy of high selections. Quarterback play dictates the success of each team and this year will be full of quarterback changes.

This year’s draft has a ton of talent elsewhere too. Offensive line is loaded, the playmakers on offense and defense are better than people think, and there are some explosive edge rushers.

As always with my mock drafts, this is my personal opinion of what each team should do at each selection. Unlike other mock drafts you may see online, I like to include potential trades. Mock Drafts should be your own evaluation of the players and team needs. If that’s the case, why not throw in a trade if it makes sense?

A few notes before getting started. For the sake of the mock draft, I assumed Kirk Cousins returned to Washington. The entire offseason will change the minute Cousins signs somewhere. However, without any information as to where he could wind up, I had him re-sign.

The second note of importance is that Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson are not in my first two rounds (I currently have a 3rd round grade on both). While some in the mock draft community love these two, I think they both have a lot of technical work that they need to improve on. Neither are particularly accurate either.

The best time of the year is upon us: Mock Draft season. Let’s get to it!

ROUND ONE

1) Cleveland Browns: Josh Rosen, QB UCLA- In my opinion, Rosen is the top quarterback in the draft right now. Rosen, Sam Darnold and Baker Mayfield are very close on my personal board, but what separates Rosen from the other two is his physical attributes. He’s got NFL size and mobility, he’s the best pure passer in the draft, and he did it all with very little talent around him. If the Browns don’t grab a quarterback this year, I think Roger Goodell has to make them fold as a franchise.

2) Denver Broncos via New York Giants: Sam Darnold, QB USC- The Giants are in the same position the Dallas Cowboys were in a few years ago. They’re a talented team that underachieved, and now they sit with a top five pick. Just like Dallas, that gives you two options; take the best player available or trade down. While the Cowboys wound up with their quarterback of the future in that draft, many people forget the plan was for Tony Romo to play a few more seasons, not for Dak Prescott to start day one.

That year I suggested it was in the Cowboys best interest to trade down. It’s very rare that you get a free opportunity to acquire draft assets. So, with the Giants content on playing Eli for a few more seasons, I would have the Giants trade down.

With plenty of offers to choose from, the Giants trade down to the Broncos pick. This keeps them in the top five, and gets the Broncos their franchise quarterback on a cheap contract.

Editor’s Note: Despite his down year, Darnold still translates well for the NFL. He’s got an NFL arm, good size, mobility and he can make any throw. I believe the kinks will get worked out and he will become a quality NFL quarterback.

3) New York Jets via Indianapolis Colts: Baker Mayfield, QB Oklahoma- Once again, the Jets enter a draft not having a franchise quarterback. Mayfield is tailor-made for a west coast system. He’s got a bigger arm than people think, he’s incredibly accurate, and most importantly for the Jets, he’s a true leader. The Heisman Trophy winner would thrive under the bright lights of the “Big Apple.” 

Editor’s Note: Regardless of how much their owner wants Saquon Barkley, the Colts need so much that they have to trade down and acquire assets.

4) Cleveland Browns via Houston Texans: Saquon Barkley, RB Penn State- Let’s make this simple; Saquon Barkley is the best prospect in this draft. He’s the best running back prospect since Adrian Peterson. He’s a better pro prospect than Ezekiel Elliott, Leonard Fournette, and Christian McCaffrey. If the Browns can land him at four, that could go a long way towards expediting their rebuild that’s been going on since 1999.

5) New York Giants via Denver Broncos: Quenton Nelson, OG Notre Dame- The Giants have to find an offensive line this year if they want any chance of competing next season. Nelson is the top offensive lineman in the draft. His game is complete and he’s a team captain, something the Giants organization loves.

6) Indianapolis Colts via New York Jets: Connor Williams, OT Texas- Hey Indy, quick thought on the future of your franchise. If you want Andrew Luck to succeed, then maybe it’s time to GET HIM AN OFFENSIVE LINE!

7) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Bradley Chubb, DE NC State- The Buccaneers need a number of things this offseason, and at the top of that list is an edge rusher. Chubb is a fluid athlete with the ability to dip and bend effortlessly around the edge. His instincts and ability to win at the point of attack make him a three down player, something the Bucs desperately need up front.

8) Chicago Bears: Minkah Fitzpatrick, CB/FS/SS Alabama- Jamal Adams 2.0 this year will be Minkah Fitzpatrick. He’s got the talent to go higher, but because of needs he may fall into some team’s lap. Fitzpatrick has the ball skills to play safety and the press cover ability to line up at corner. Easy pick for a team that needs a game changer in their secondary.

9) San Francisco 49ers: Arden Key, EDGE LSU- Arden Key came out of the gate slow this year. However, when he got back to his normal playing weight, scouts were able to see the athleticism and move-set that made Key a top pick preseason.

The Niners have to get Jimmy Garoppolo some targets this offseason, but in my opinion, there are no top ten caliber receivers in this class just yet. Having failed to trade down, the Niners take the best player at a position of need.

10) Oakland Raiders: Roquan Smith, ILB Georgia- Smith plays downhill with aggression, he’s a terrific tackler, and he’s a rangy linebacker. The Raiders need an anchor in the middle of their defense. Smith would have an immediate impact on a team that allowed the second most yards per game on the ground.

11) Miami Dolphins: Tremaine Edmunds, OLB/EDGE Virginia Tech- Edmunds is an athletic freak with the ability to play in off coverage as well as rush the passer. His tape is impressive for someone that is still developing. Edmunds could dominate as a LEO linebacker at the next level.    

12) Cincinnati Bengals: Mike McGlinchey, OT Notre Dame- The Bengals offensive line struggled during the 2017 season. McGlinchey is a plug and play right tackle from day one. He is great at attacking defensive lineman on running downs, getting his hands on quickly and gaining leverage to dictate where the lineman goes. 

13) Green Bay Packers: Braden Smith, OT/OG Auburn- Just like the Colts, the Packers are desperate for a solid offensive line. Yes, some of the Packers issues are more about injuries than a lack of talent, but there’s still work to be done. Smith is a terrific run blocker, and his athleticism will make him a successful guard at the next level.

14) Washington Redskins: Derwin James, FS/SS Florida State- James might be the enigma of the first round. He has got a ton of talent, but his effort was nowhere to be found in 2017. If that’s a concern for GM’s, he could fall out of round one with a bad combine. If he has a good combine, it should put the effort rumors to bed, seeing as half of Florida State’s squad was injured this year.

15) Arizona Cardinals: Orlando Brown, OT Oklahoma- Brown had a really strong 2017 campaign where he showed all the traits of a pro bowl left tackle. He’s more athletic after cutting weight, which has improved his footwork drastically. The Cardinals are desperate for a quarterback of the future, but with the big three off the board (and me not being a fan of Josh Allen) it’s better to take talent at a different position than reaching for a quarterback.

16) Baltimore Ravens: Anthony Miller, WR Memphis- Allow me to introduce you to the best receiver in this draft and the one no one is talking about. Miller runs picturesque routes; he is one of the quickest receivers in the draft. He makes catches with his hands first, he can high point the ball extremely well, and he makes a ton of contested catches. The All American from Memphis would give Joe Flacco a legitimate target, something the Ravens desperately need.

17) Atlanta Falcons via Los Angeles Chargers: Christian Wilkins, DT Clemson- It’s a crime shame that Wilkins fell this far. His hands are incredibly fast, he’s terrific at gaining leverage and controlling gaps, and in case you thought his game had weaknesses, he’s got the move-set and athleticism to dominate as an interior pass rusher. Atlanta will be in need of a defensive tackle after Dontari Poe leaves, so they trade up to land a game changer in the middle.

18) Seattle Seahawks: Derrius Guice, RB LSU- I know the Seahawks need offensive line, but one of the reasons their offense stalled at times this year was a lack of a true running game. Guice is an incredibly talented back with the ability to change the dynamic of the Seahawks offense.

19) Dallas Cowboys: Dante Pettis, WR Washington- With the rapid decline of Dez Bryant, pass catcher has become priority number one for the ‘Boys. Pettis’ deep threat ability could provide a true home run threat to the Cowboys passing game. It would also help alleviate coverage from 88, which could help him bounce back in 2018.

20) Detroit Lions: Marcus Davenport, EDGE UTSA- Credit to former Draftstock contributor Mike Reynolds for this call. Back in late October, Mike told me to look out for Davenport as a first rounder, and boy was he right. Davenport is long and athletic with the move-set to match. He dips and bends around the edge with ease as well. He would be an immediate upgrade to a team that has to rush the passer better in 2018.

21) Buffalo Bills: Christian Kirk, WR Texas A&M- What a tremendous job Sean McDermott and his staff did this year in Buffalo. Despite an offense that doesn’t scare you on paper and a young defensive unit, McDermott has the Bills back in the playoffs for the first time in 18 years. If the Bills want to make it back to back appearances in 2018, then they will need to get more weapons for Tyrod Taylor.

Kirk is an explosive route runner with good hands and a quick release. His presence would give the Bills a chain mover on the outside.

22)  Los Angeles Chargers via Atlanta Falcons- Chukwuma Okorafor, OT Western Michigan- Priority number one for the Chargers this offseason is upgrading the offensive tackle position. In a year with plenty of offensive line prospects to go around, this puts them in an excellent position to trade down, acquire assets, and still select a quality lineman.

Okorafor “checks all the boxes,” in terms of his measurements and athletic ability, but he’s still fairly raw in terms of his technique. What makes him an attractive prospect, in my opinion, is the fact that he’s already played both tackle positions despite picking up the game of football at a later age. That shows a knowledge and passion for the game that you can’t teach.

23) Tennessee Titans: Clelin Ferrell, EDGE Clemson- Tennessee needs to get younger and more athletic up front in 2018. Derrick Morgan and Brian Orakpo are both free agents after next season, and the Titans need to start saving money to re-sign Marcus Mariota. Ferrell has a quick first step and terrific athletic ability off the edge. I like him better in a 4-3, but he’s got the versatility to play both systems in the NFL at a high level.

24) Carolina Panthers: Denzel Ward, CB Ohio State- Do not sleep on this cornerback class. As a group, they may not have the size and athleticism of years past, but there are plenty of guys with the technique to succeed at the next level. Ward has good ball skills and he is terrific when trailing receivers. He’s one of the best athletes in the entire draft class as well. Pairing him with James Bradberry would make for an underrated secondary tandem in Carolina.

25) Buffalo Bills via Kansas City Chiefs: Vita Vea, NT Washington- The Bills were 29th in the NFL in rushing defense. They have to clean that up if they want to take the next step defensively in 2018. Vea is a space eating monster with the athleticism to rush the passer if left isolated. He would have an immediate impact on the middle of the Bills defense.

26) New Orleans Saints: Ronnie Harrison, SS Alabama- It’s hard for Alabama defenders to be “under the radar,” during draft season, yet this year they all are going unnoticed. Harrison is a hard hitting safety with freaky athleticism. He also shows enough knowledge and ball skills in coverage to be a multi-dimensional safety at the next level. Kenny Vaccaro is a free agent this year, so finding a cheap option to replace him makes sense for a team that needs to re-sign Drew Brees.

27) Jacksonville Jaguars: Billy Price, OG/OC Ohio State- Price translates well at guard and center at the next level. He’s intelligent, good at the point of attack, and he sees the second level well in the running game. Price would add more stability to an improving offensive line in Jacksonville.

28) Los Angeles Rams: Jaire Alexander, CB Louisville- Even if the Rams sign Trumaine Johnson to an extension, they still need a number two corner in the offseason. Alexander is my top cover corner in the draft, but his size (he will most likely measure in at 5’10) and his health concerns put him below Davis and Ward on my big board. Despite these concerns, if Alexander opts to enter the 2018 NFL Draft, his ball skills and technique should make him a top 40 selection with ease.

29) Pittsburgh Steelers: Rashaan Evans, ILB Alabama- This is a bit of a reach for me, but the Steelers are so desperate for an inside linebacker. With the uncertainty of whether Ryan Shazier will ever play in the NFL again, the Steelers need a run stopping signal caller in the middle of their defense. Evans can be just that.

30) Minnesota Vikings: Da’Ron Payne, DT Alabama- Payne’s athleticism and quickness off the ball would allow him to thrive next to a space eater like Linval Joseph. After the loss of Sharrif Floyd, the Vikings need to find someone to play next to Joseph in order to keep their defense “tip top,” in 2018.

31) Philadelphia Eagles: Martinas Rankin, OT Mississippi State- Philadelphia needs to bolster their offensive line this offseason. Jason Peters is an aging veteran coming off of an injury and Halapoulivaati Vaitai didn’t show the ability to be his replacement.

I’m a big fan of offensive lineman that possess good technique and have played multiple positions because it shows the knowledge needed to play the game at the next level. That is Martinas Rankin.

32) New England Patriots: Josh Jackson, CB Iowa- Whatever we collectively thought New England’s secondary was going to be this year, it surely was not. Now the Patriots are set to lose Malcolm Butler to free agency, with Eric Rowe and Jonathan Jones set to be free agents the year after. Jackson is a lengthy corner with great ball skills and a really good understanding of technique in tight coverage as well as off coverage. He’s a perfect fit in New England.

TRADES IN ROUND ONE

1) Denver Broncos trade the #5, #37 a 2019 1st and a 2019 3rd to the New York Giants for the #2 overall pick.

2) New York Jets trade the #6, #50 and a 2019 1st round pick to the Indianapolis Colts for the #3 and a 2019 3rd round pick.

3) Atlanta Falcons trade the #22, #86 and a 2019 3rd round pick to the Los Angeles Chargers for the #17 and the #161

 

ROUND TWO

33) Cleveland Browns: Isaiah Oliver, CB Colorado

34) New York Giants: Brian O’Neill, OT Pittsburgh

35) Indianapolis Colts: Hercules Mata’Afa, EDGE Washington State

36) Cleveland Browns via Houston Texans: DeShon Elliott, FS Texas

37) New York Giants via Denver Broncos: Ronald Jones II, RB USC

38) New York Jets: Ogbonnia Okoronkwo, OLB Oklahoma

39) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Justin Reid, FS Stanford

40) Chicago Bears: Calvin Ridley, WR Alabama

41) New England Patriots via San Francisco 49ers: Ryan Finley, QB NC State

42) Oakland Raiders: Holton Hill, CB Texas

43) Miami Dolphins: Will Hernandez, OG UTEP

44) Cincinnati Bengals: Mike Edwards, FS/SS Kentucky

45) Green Bay Packers: Frank Ragnow, OG/OC Arkansas

46) Washington Redskins: Tegray Scales, OLB/ILB Indiana

47) Arizona Cardinals: Jarrett Stidham, QB Auburn

48) Baltimore Ravens: Dallas Goedert, TE South Dakota State

49) Los Angeles Chargers: Malik Jefferson, ILB Texas

50) Indianapolis Colts from New York Giants via Seattle Seahawks: Kendall Joseph, ILB Clemson

51) Dallas Cowboys: Josh Allen, OLB Kentucky

52) Detroit Lions: Wyatt Teller, OG Virginia Tech

53) Buffalo Bills: Mitch Hyatt, OT Clemson

54) Atlanta Falcons: Michael Gallup, WR Colorado State

55) Tennessee Titans: Harrison Phillips, DL Stanford

56) Carolina Panthers: Sam Hubbard, EDGE Ohio State

57) Kansas City Chiefs: Mason Cole, OL Michigan

58) San Francisco 49ers via New Orleans Saints: Quenton Meeks, CB Stanford

59) Jacksonville Jaguars: Mark Andrews, TE Oklahoma

60) Buffalo Bills via Los Angeles Rams: Jamarco Jones, OT Ohio State

61) Pittsburgh Steelers: Bryce Love, RB Stanford

62) Minnesota Vikings: Uchenna Nwosu, OLB USC

63) Cleveland Browns via Philadelphia Eagles: DJ Moore, WR Maryland

64) New England Patriots: Dorance Armstrong Jr., EDGE Kansas

Jordan Katz 2017 NFL Mock Draft: Final

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The Draft has finally arrived! In just a few hours we will officially begin the 2017 NFL season. Most teams started forming their rosters for 2017 during free agency, but the draft is where teams rebuild and reload. The draft is where every team, regardless of their record from the previous season, is renewed with a sense of hope. Hope that the the players added will help their team take massive strides in the upcoming season. Hope that the players they draft will help them achieve the ultimate goal; winning a championship.

This mock draft is my final one for 2017. Each pick is based on what I would do at each spot. A trade is only made if I felt it was a good deal for both sides. These selections are based on my personal rankings and my personal evaluation of team needs. I didn’t analyze every selection because, if you’ve followed my mock drafts thus far, you know the players I like as well as the players I don’t. Thanks to those who kept up with my content, I really appreciate it.

*If you’re looking for my predictions mock draft, click on the link (https://draftstock.net/2017/04/19/2017-nfl-media-mock-draft/)

ROUND ONE

1- Cleveland Browns- Myles Garrett, EDGE Texas A&M

2- San Francisco 49ers- Mitchell Trubisky, QB North Carolina

3- Chicago Bears- Marshon Lattimore, CB Ohio State

4- Jacksonville Jaguars- Solomon Thomas, DE Stanford

5- Tennessee Titans from Los Angeles Rams- Jamal Adams, FS/SS LSU

6- New York Jets- Ryan Ramczyk, OT Wisconsin

7- Los Angeles Chargers- Malik Hooker, FS Ohio State

8- Carolina Panthers- Leonard Fournette, RB LSU

9- Cincinnati Bengals- Reuben Foster, ILB Alabama

10- Buffalo Bills- Corey Davis, WR Western Michigan

11- New Orleans Saints- Taco Charlton, DE Michigan

12- Cleveland Browns via Philadelphia Eagles- Jonathan Allen, DE/DT Alabama

13- Miami Dolphins via Arizona Cardinals- Forrest Lamp, OG Western Kentucky

14- Denver Broncos from Philadelphia Eagles via Minnesota Vikings- OJ Howard, TE Alabama

15- Indianapolis Colts- Zach Cunningham, OLB/ILB Vanderbilt

16- New York Giants via Baltimore Ravens- David Njoku, TE Miami Florida

17- Washington Redskins- Montravius Adams, DE/DT Auburn

18- Tennessee Titans- Evan Engram, WR/TE Ole Miss

19- Tampa Bay Buccaneers- Budda Baker, FS Washington

20- Philadelphia Eagles via Denver Broncos- Gareon Conley, CB Ohio State

21- Detroit Lions- Haason Reddick, OLB/ILB Temple

22- Arizona Cardinals via Miami Dolphins- Deshaun Watson, QB Clemson

23- Baltimore Ravens via New York Giants- TJ Watt, OLB Wisconsin

24- Oakland Raiders- Dalvin Cook, RB Florida State

25- Houston Texans- Obi Melifonwu, FS/SS UCONN

26- Seattle Seahawks- Marlon Humphrey, CB Alabama

27- Kansas City Chiefs- Jarrad Davis, OLB/ILB Florida

28- Dallas Cowboys- Adoree Jackson, CB/FS USC

29- Green Bay Packers- Derek Barnett, EDGE Tennessee

30- Pittsburgh Steelers- Tre’Davious White, CB LSU

31- Atlanta Falcons- Carl Lawson, EDGE Auburn

32- Los Angeles Rams via New England Patriots from New Orleans Saints via New England Patriots- Mike Williams, WR Clemson

TRADES IN ROUND ONE

1- Miami Dolphins trade the #22, the #54 and the #206 to the Arizona Cardinals for the #13.

2- Denver Broncos trade the #20, #82 and a 2018 3rd to the Philadelphia Eagles for the #14 and a 2018 5th.

3- New York Giants trade the #23 the #87 and a 2018 3rd to the Baltimore Ravens for the #16.

4- New England Patriots trade Malcolm Butler and a 2018 3rd to the New Orleans Saints for the #32. The Patriots then trade the #32 to the Los Angeles Rams for the #37 and the #112.

ROUND TWO

33- Cleveland Browns- Sidney Jones, CB Washington

34- San Francisco 49ers- Zay Jones, WR East Carolina

35- Houston Texans via Jacksonville Jaguars- Patrick Mahomes II, QB Texas Tech

36- Chicago Bears- Cam Robinson, OT Alabama

37- New England Patriots via Los Angeles Rams- Derek Rivers, EDGE Youngstown State

38- Los Angeles Chargers- Jordan Willis, EDGE Kansas State

39- New York Jets- Fabian Moreau, CB UCLA

40- Carolina Panthers- Tarell Basham, DE Ohio

41- Cincinnati Bengals- Alvin Kamara, RB Tennessee

42- New Orleans Saints- DeShone Kizer, QB Notre Dame

43- Philadelphia Eagles- Christian McCaffrey, RB Stanford

44- Buffalo Bills- Rasul Douglas, CB West Virginia

45- Arizona Cardinals- Ahkello Witherspoon, CB Colorado

46- Indianapolis Colts- Marcus Maye, FS Florida

47- Baltimore Ravens- Chris Godwin, WR Penn State

48- Minnesota Vikings- Pat Elflein, G/C Ohio State

49- Washington Redskins- Jabrill Peppers, SS/LB/RB Michigan

50- Tampa Bay Buccaneers- Garett Bolles, OT Utah

51- Denver Broncos- Dion Dawkins, OT/OG Temple

52- Cleveland Browns via Tennessee Titans- DeShone Kizer, QB Notre Dame

53- Detroit Lions- Chidobe Awuzie, CB/FS Colorado

54- Arizona Cardinals via Miami Dolphins- John Ross III, WR Washington

55- New York Giants- D’Onta Foreman, RB Texas

56- Oakland Raiders- Jaleel Johnson, DT Iowa

57- Jacksonville Jaguars via Houston Texans- Dan Feeney, OG Indiana

58- Seattle Seahawks- Taylor Moton, OT/OG Western Michigan

59- Kansas City Chiefs- Damontae Kazee, CB San Diego State

60- Dallas Cowboys- Charles Harris, EDGE Missouri

61- Green Bay Packers- Malik McDowell, DE/DT Michigan State

62- Pittsburgh Steelers- Tim Williams, EDGE Alabama

63- San Francisco 49ers via Atlanta Falcons- Quincy Wilson, CB Florida

64- Carolina Panthers via New England Patriots- Amara Darboh, WR Michigan

TRADES IN ROUND TWO

1- Houston Texans trade #57 and a 2018 2nd to the Jacksonville Jaguars for the #35.

2- San Francisco 49ers trade the #66 and the #198 to the Atlanta Falcons for the #63.

ROUND THREE

65- Cleveland Browns- Marcus Williams, FS Utah

66- Atlanta Falcons via San Francisco 49ers- Josh Jones, FS/SS NC State

67- Chicago Bears- Alex Anzalone, OLB/ILB Florida

68- Jacksonville Jaguars- Ryan Anderson, OLB Alabama

69- Los Angeles Rams- Chris Wormley, DE/DT Michigan

70- New York Jets- Jake Butt, TE Michigan

71- Los Angeles Chargers- Chad Hansen, WR California

72- New England Patriots via Carolina Panthers- Desmond King, CB/FS Iowa

73- Cincinnati Bengals- Elijah Qualls, NT Washington

74- Philadelphia Eagles- Teez Tabor, CB/FS Florida

75- Buffalo Bills- Delano Hill, FS Michigan

76- New Orleans Saints- Raekwon McMillian, ILB Ohio State

77- Arizona Cardinals- Tyler Orlosky, G/C West Virginia

78- Baltimore Ravens- Tanoh Kpassagnon, DE Villanova

79- Minnesota Vikings- Eddie Jackson, SS Alabama

80- Indianapolis Colts- Trey Hendrickson, EDGE Florida Atlantic

81- Washington Redskins- Anthony Walker, ILB Northwestern

82- Philadelphia Eagles via Denver Broncos- Ryan Switzer, WR North Carolina

83- Tennessee Titans- Cameron Sutton, CB/FS Tennessee

84- Pittsburgh Steelers via Tampa Bay Buccaneers- Jordan Leggett, TE Clemson

85- Detroit Lions- Bucky Hodges, TE Virginia Tech

86- Minnesota Vikings from Miami Dolphins- Eddie Vanderdoes, DT UCLA

87- Baltimore Ravens via New York Giants- Jourdan Lewis, CB Michigan

88- Oakland Raiders- Duke Riley, OLB LSU

89- Houston Texans- Adam Shaheen, TE Ashland

90- Seattle Seahawks- Daeshon Hall, EDGE Texas A&M

91- Kansas City Chiefs- Davis Webb, QB California

92- Dallas Cowboys- Tyus Bowser, OLB Houston

93- Green Bay Packers- Semaje Perine, RB Oklahoma

94- Tampa Bay Buccaneers via Pittsburgh Steelers- Vince Beigel, OLB Wisconsin

95- Atlanta Falcons- Dorian Johnson, OG Pittsburgh

96- New England Patriots- Larry Ogunjobi, DT Charlotte

97- Miami Dolphins (Compensatory Selection)- Bryan Cox Jr., DE Florida

98- Carolina Panthers (Compensatory Selection)- George Kittle, TE Iowa

99- Baltimore Ravens (Compensatory Selection)- Will Holden, OT Vanderbilt

100- Chicago Bears via Tennessee Titans from Los Angeles Rams (Compensatory Selection)- Kenny Golladay, WR Northern Illinois

101- Denver Broncos (Compensatory Selection)- Demarcus Walker, DE Florida State

102- Seattle Seahawks (Compensatory Selection)- Ar’Darius Stewart, WR Alabama

103- New England Patriots from Cleveland Browns (Compensatory Selection)- Lorenzo Jerome, SS St. Francis PA

104- Kansas City Chiefs (Compensatory Selection)- Wayne Gallman, RB Clemson

105- Pittsburgh Steelers (Compensatory Selection)- Nathan Peterman, QB Pittsburgh

106- Seattle Seahawks (Compensatory Selection)- Jarron Jones, DT/NT Notre Dame

107- New York Jets (Compensatory Selection)- Takkarist McKinnley, EDGE UCLA

TRADES IN ROUND THREE

1- Pittsburgh Steelers trade the #94 and the #135 to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers for the #84.

2- Chicago Bears trade the #111 and the #147 to the Tennessee Titans for the #100 and the #214.

 

2017 NFL Media Mock Draft

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Welcome to the only edition of my Media Mock Draft for 2017. This will be more of a conventional mock draft. In this one, I try to predict what every team will do in each spot. If a team is looking to trade out of their pick, I tried to make a trade happen with the teams that are interested in players on the board, not the teams that I felt should move up. For example, if a quarterback needy team had to move up to ensure they got their guy, they attempted to do so, regardless of what I thought of the quarterback. In short, this is not based on my individual analysis on players. Each selection is based on pre-draft visits and reports among scouts and reporters on what they think teams should take. I also take into account the fans perspective, because sometimes they can play a role (even though they never should).

Now every player does not have to have visited with the team they get drafted by. Plenty of players are drafted without having visited privately with the team that picks them. However, visits can be a good indication as to which way a team is leaning come draft day.

For those curious as to where the information comes from, teams release their visits with players during the draft process. After gathering the information, we have to determine which rumors are true, and which are smoke screens. I won’t get every pick right, but hopefully I will squash some of the rumors that make no sense. Let’s get started.

Round One

1) Cleveland Browns: Myles Garrett, EDGE Texas A&M- We squash the first smoke screen of the draft with this pick. I believe that the Browns are very high on Mitchell Trubisky. I believe that they want him bad.

However, there is… cue Vince McMahon’s music… “NO CHANCE,” the Browns take him over Myles Garrett.

2) San Francisco 49ers: Solomon Thomas, DE Stanford- I think the Niners hold the keys to this draft. If they decide to trade this pick, the domino effect will be massive, regardless of what team trades up and who they select.

If they choose to stay put, then the player they select will create the same domino effect. Whether that’s Marshon Lattimore, insert quarterback here, or Solomon Thomas (I think they go Thomas to complete their transition to 4-3), the Niners will determine the outcome of this draft.

3) Chicago Bears: Jonathan Allen, DE/DT Alabama- Allen and the Bears have been matched up for a while now. The Bears used a pre-draft visit on Allen and they met with him at the combine as well. Based on the Bears infatuation with DeShone Kizer, I sense they’ll draft their quarterback of the future on day two, and address a different need in round one.

4) Cincinnati Bengals via Jacksonville Jaguars: Leonard Fournette, RB LSU- This is a weird call, but let’s play this out. The Jags could definitely stay here and take Fournette. However, I have a feeling they are one of the few teams with Joe Mixon at the top of their running back boards. If that’s the case, then the Fournette rumors are a smoke screen.

It’s no secret the Bengals would love to pick Fournette and stabilize their running game. Jeremy Hill can be a UFA after the upcoming season, and he’s under-performed as of late. Therefore, the Jags use Fournette to swap places with the Bengals and add some draft capital.

5) Tennessee Titans from Los Angeles Rams: Marshon Lattimore, CB Ohio State- This is an easy fit. The Titans added Logan Ryan, but they still need a corner to play on the other side. 

Where this pick could become interesting is if the 49ers take Lattimore at the two. In that case, I would expect Tennessee to take Malik Hooker.

6) Cleveland Browns via New York Jets: Mitchell Trubisky, QB North Carolina- It’s time to squash the second rumor of this draft; the Jets selecting a quarterback in round one.

I think the Jets are talking up Trubisky and Deshaun Watson to get one of the Browns, Cardinals or Texans to come up and take this spot. The Jets have a ton of roster holes and they need more assets in this draft to help address those needs.

7) Los Angeles Chargers: Malik Hooker, FS Ohio State- The Chargers haven’t met with Malik Hooker, but he’s one of the best players in the draft at a position of need for the Chargers. I’ll take my chances on this one.

8) Washington Redskins via Carolina Panthers: Jamal Adams, FS/SS LSU- Jamal Adams recently visited with the Panthers, and they could easily draft him here. The more likely alternative option is that the Panthers are using Adams’ recent fall on draft boards as leverage to move down and gain a few assets in a very talented draft.

Enter the Washington Redskins. Washington needs a second playmaker in their secondary, and it’s no secret that Adams is still an extremely good prospect. Washington trades up to land a game-changer in the secondary, while Carolina slides down and still lands a player they covet.

9) Jacksonville Jaguars via Cincinnati Bengals: Reuben Foster, ILB Alabama- Foster can anchor the middle of the Jaguars defense from day one. They can save money by cutting Paul Posluszny and improve their front seven, all in one selection. 

10) Buffalo Bills: Cam Robinson, OT Alabama- Third rumor of the draft going by the wayside here. Get ready for an offensive lineman to go in the first ten picks. Even though this year’s offensive line class isn’t good, every team needs offensive line in excess. If there’s anyone who can be an everyday starter, you better believe they’ll be drafted highly this year.

11) New Orleans Saints: Takkarist McKinnley, EDGE UCLA- I think the “Vic Beasley,” LEO pass rusher is going to become a lot more common among NFL defenses, and that’s the rational behind this pick. For the Saints, Takk McKinnley will serve that role and attempt to cause havoc opposite Cameron Jordan.

12) New York Jets from Cleveland Browns via Philadelphia Eagles: Kevin King, CB Washington- After trading backwards, the Jets land one of the fastest risers in the draft. King is a fourth rounder on my personal board because I think his technique is average at best.

Despite this, many think he has the size, length and athleticism to dominant in the NFL.

13) Arizona Cardinals: Deshaun Watson, QB Clemson- The Cardinals have to get a quarterback of the future in this draft. This QB class has actually become underrated by the media as time has gone on. Most will still be over-drafted, but the talent level among them is solid. If Watson makes it out of the top ten, the Cardinals would be wise to scoop him up at 13.

14) Denver Broncos from Philadelphia Eagles via Minnesota Vikings: Garett Bolles, OT Utah- Once we hit the middle of the draft, trades become more about teams jumping others to get players they covet. The Broncos need help at both tackle spots, so they jump a few teams to ensure they land Bolles.

15) Indianapolis Colts: Gareon Conley, CB Ohio State- Unless there’s a tackle on the board that the Colts love, they should go defense with this pick. Conley’s slight dip in draft value makes him the perfect selection at 15.

16) Baltimore Ravens: John Ross, WR Washington- Following his 4.22 at the combine, many felt that John Ross would be the first wide out off the board. This is a rumor I actually agree with. The Ravens have met with him on a number of occasions, therefore they choose him over Corey Davis and prove the experts correct.

17) Carolina Panthers via Washington Redskins: OJ Howard, TE Alabama- This is a bold call on my part, but I don’t buy the rumors that OJ Howard will be a top 15 pick. He’s a terrific prospect, but I think NFL teams know that he has a lower ceiling than the top tier tight ends in the NFL.

Having said that, Howard is a terrific prospect and a perfect fit for the Panthers.

18) Tennessee Titans: Corey Davis, WR Western Michigan- The Titans are in a terrific position to grab two game changers in round one, a pass catcher and a defensive back. Those opportunities don’t come often, so expect Tennessee to capitalize on it.

19) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Haason Reddick, OLB/ILB Temple- Reddick’s versatility will have him a highly coveted prospect in the middle of round one. If he makes it to Tampa Bay, a team that needs a strong side pass rusher, he should come off the board. 

20) Philadelphia Eagles via Denver Broncos: Chidobe Awuzie, CB Colorado- Awuzie is going to surprise on draft day. Scouts love his versatility and aggressiveness. Having traded down a few spots, the Eagles land the player they probably would’ve selected at 14.

21) Seattle Seahawks via Detroit Lions: Forrest Lamp, OG Western Kentucky- The Seahawks are going to have to move past the Dolphins and Giants in order to get one of the top offensive lineman in this draft. Fortunately, Detroit can trade out of the 21 and still get the player at the top of their board.

22) Dallas Cowboys via Miami Dolphins: Obi Melifonwu, FS/SS UCONN- Having just watched the top guard, and the Dolphins top target, go off the board, the Dolphins sell this pick to the highest bidder (their next target is a bit further down the board).

The Cowboys need secondary help desperately, and someone they love is bound to fall. In this case, it’s Melifonwu.

23) New York Giants: Ryan Ramczyk, OT Wisconsin- The Giants pick is simple. If OJ Howard is off the board, then insert the best available offensive lineman here.

24) Oakland Raiders: Zach Cunningham, LB Vanderbilt- For those wondering why this isn’t a running back, the Raiders love DeAndre Washington. He showed flashes of feature back potential last year. Combine that with the impending addition of Marshawn Lynch, and the Raiders choose to address middle linebacker instead.

25) Houston Texans: Patrick Mahomes, QB Texas Tech- The Texans are currently starting Tom Savage. “But Jordan, Patrick Mahomes in round one?” The Texans are currently starting Tom Savage. “But Jordan, what about their need for a safety like Jabrill Peppers or Budda Baker?” The Texans are currently starting Tom Savage.

The only way the Texans don’t pick a quarterback in round one is if they’ve traded out of round one (cough, Jimmy Garoppolo, cough).

26) Detroit Lions via Seattle Seahawks: Taco Charlton, DE Michigan- Taco Charlton, like Jonathan Allen, is another enigma in this draft. I can see Charlton going anywhere from 11 to 31. If he winds up in the back end of round one, he becomes the steal of day one.

27) Kansas City Chiefs: Tre’Davious White, CB LSU- The Chiefs need to solidify their number two cornerback, but they also need to upgrade at the nickel cornerback position. Fortunately for them, Tre White accomplishes both goals.

28) Miami Dolphins via Dallas Cowboys: Jarrad Davis, LB Florida- Outside of Kiko Alonso, the Dolphins linebacking core is a mess. Davis gets to stay in Florida and provide stability to the Dolphins linebacker unit.

29) Green Bay Packers: Christian McCaffrey, RB Stanford- Okay, so there’s a very good chance that McCaffrey is a top 20 pick. However, here’s the counter argument. Running backs don’t have the same value they used to. While McCaffrey is a better runner between the tackles than he’s ever been given credit for, he’s still at his best in the pass game. Scheme is as important for him as anything else, and that’s why he could fall on draft day… but he probably won’t. 

30) Pittsburgh Steelers: TJ Watt, EDGE/OLB Wisconsin- Watt was a fast riser the past few months, and now he’s almost assured a top 40 selection. The Steelers did piece together a decent pass rushing unit last year. However, in order for this defense to take the next step, they need an edge rusher that can change games.

31) Atlanta Falcons: Derek Barnett, EDGE Tennessee- The Falcons could go a number of different ways with this selection. If they opt to keep the pick, expect them to go best player available, regardless of need.

32) Philadelphia Eagles via New England Patriots from New Orleans Saints via New England Patriots- Dalvin Cook, RB Florida State- All the talk surrounding the New England Patriots is them trading Jimmy Garoppolo to get themselves into round one. However, they have a second trade chip that is much more likely to move; Malcolm Butler. 

The Saints still need a number one cornerback, and they still have interest in Malcolm Butler. I think that when push comes to shove, the two sides will find a way to get a deal done involving the 32nd pick.

Having jumped back into the first round, the Patriots then proceed to do the most Patriots thing ever; trade down. Dalvin Cook will fall on draft day, but his tape is too good for him to fall out of round one. I expect a team like Philadelphia to try to scoop him up in the back end of round one.

TRADES IN ROUND ONE

1- Cincinnati Bengals trade the #9 and the #41 to the Jacksonville Jaguars for the #4 and the #148.

2- Cleveland Browns trade the #12, #52 and the #108 to the New York Jets for the #6, a 2018 6th round pick and Sheldon Richardson.

3- Washington Redskins trade the #17 and the #49 to the Carolina Panthers for the #8 and a 2018 6th round pick.

4- Denver Broncos trade the #20, #82 and the #101 to the Philadelphia Eagles for the #14,

5- Seattle Seahawks trade the #26 and the #102 to the Detroit Lions for the #21.

6- Dallas Cowboys trade the #28, #92, and a 2018 6th round pick to the Miami Dolphins for the #22 and the #178

7- New Orleans Saints acquire Malcolm Butler and a 2018 3rd round pick from the New England Patriots for the #32. The Patriots then trade the #32 to the Philadelphia Eagles for the #47 and a 2018 3rd round pick.

Round Two

33) Cleveland Browns: Marcus Maye, FS Florida- Maye has the tools to be a day one pick. Cleveland takes him at the top of round two to boost their secondary.

34) San Francisco 49ers: Adoree Jackson, CB/S USC- Adoree Jackson will be in the green room at the NFL draft, which means his camp expects him to be picked either on day one, or very early on day two.

35) Jacksonville Jaguars: Taylor Moton, OT Western Michigan- Eat, sleep, overdraft offensive lineman, repeat. That will be the theme of the first two days. 

36) Chicago Bears: DeShone Kizer, QB Notre Dame- Kizer appears to be very high on the Bears board. It would surprise me if Chicago didn’t take him on day two.

37) Los Angeles Rams: Evan Engram, WR/TE Ole Miss- The Rams have to get another playmaker on offense in this draft.

38) Los Angeles Chargers: Jordan Willis, EDGE Kansas State- Willis had a phenomenal showing at the combine, and his draft stock has only risen since.

39) New York Jets: Carl Lawson, EDGE Auburn- The Jets could do a number of different things with this second round pick, especially if they added more assets along the way. However, if an edge rusher falls, like Lawson, I expect them to go in that direction.

40) Carolina Panthers: Tarell Basham, DE Ohio- This might be a little too high for Basham, but he’s a perfect scheme fit with the Panthers.

41) Jacksonville Jaguars via Cincinnati Bengals: Malik McDowell, DT Michigan State- I think the question about McDowell’s motor will keep him out of round one.

42) New Orleans Saints: Davis Webb, QB California- In my opinion, Davis Webb is the most interesting developmental quarterback in the draft. Sit him behind Drew Brees for two years and reap the benefits.

43) New England Patriots via Philadelphia Eagles: Derek Rivers, EDGE Youngstown State- If the Patriots can get into the top 50 this year, I think they’ll try to take an edge rusher. New England doesn’t have many weaknesses, but they need to pressure the QB better in 2017.

44) Buffalo Bills: Mike Williams, WR Clemson- It wouldn’t shock me if Mike Williams fell out of the top 50, but I think the Williams supporters saw enough at his pro day to still make him a valuable second round pick.

45) Arizona Cardinals: Marlon Humphrey, CB Alabama- Because the DB class is so good, there are bound to be several that fall into the second and third round. In this case, the Cardinals steal Marlon Humphrey.

46) Indianapolis Colts: Tyus Bowser, OLB Houston- Many draft experts and scouts love Tyus Bowser’s athleticism. I think his tape is inconsistent but he’ll be a day two pick for sure.

47) New York Giants via Baltimore Ravens: David Njoku, TE Miami Florida- I think the tight ends could fall in this draft because there’s so many that are good. If that happens, the Giants will fly up the draft board for whomever they covet.

48) Minnesota Vikings: Alvin Kamara, RB Tennessee- Despite signing Latavius Murray, the Vikings need a running back of the future.

49) Carolina Panthers via Washington Redskins: Chris Godwin, WR Penn State- The Panthers need a deep threat to replace Tedd Ginn. Godwin has tremendous upside and he could be the steal of the draft among offensive weapons.

50) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Jabrill Peppers, SS/LB Michigan- Peppers is another draft enigma. He could be a top 20 pick, or he could fall into the third round. Regardless of where in the draft he winds up, Tampa Bay is a team I expect to covet the Michigan product.

51) Denver Broncos: Bucky Hodges, TE Virginia Tech- Hodges isn’t a great blocker, but as a “move Tight End,” he should excel in the NFL.

52) New York Jets from Cleveland Browns via Tennessee Titans: Budda Baker, FS Washington- In a loaded secondary class, it would behoove the Jets to come out of this draft with multiple starters in the secondary.

53) Detroit Lions: Duke Riley, OLB LSU- Riley is quite similar to his former teammate Deion Jones. As a 4-3 weakside ‘backer, many feel he will be a solid pro.

54) Miami Dolphins: Dan Feeney, OG Indiana- Feeney is the forgotten man among this offensive line class. He should be a plug in play right guard from day one.

55) Baltimore Ravens via New York Giants: Charles Harris, EDGE Missouri- I think Harris is better served in a 4-3, but many think he can play in any situation.

56) Oakland Raiders: Chris Wormley, DT Michigan- Wormley gives the Raiders an athletic pass rusher next to the space-eater Dan Williams. 

57) Chicago Bears via Houston Texans: Quincy Wilson, CB Florida- The Bears move up to land a potential number one cornerback.

58) Seattle Seahawks: Ahkello Witherspoon, CB Colorado- Witherspoon has the height and length that the Seahawks look for in their corners. Many feel that this a layup in round two.

59) Kansas City Chiefs: Raekwon McMillian, ILB Ohio State- If the Chiefs go into the season starting Ramik Wilson, they’re asking for disaster.

60) Dallas Cowboys: Fabian Moreau, CB UCLA- Had Moreau not torn his pectoral at his pro day, he would’ve been a first round selection.

61) Green Bay Packers: Elijah Qualls, NT Washington- Qualls is the space eater that the Packers defense is desperately missing.

62) Pittsburgh Steelers: Rasul Douglas, CB West Virginia- The Steelers defense still needs help in the secondary. In my opinion, Douglas has number one cornerback potential, and he would be a great scheme fit in Pittsburgh.

63) Atlanta Falcons: Dion Dawkins, OG/OT Temple- Atlanta still needs a right guard to solidify their offensive line as one of the best in football.

64) Carolina Panthers via New England Patriots: Josh Jones, FS/SS NC State- Josh Jones has the versatility to play both safety spots, which should help him go early in this draft.

TRADES IN ROUND TWO

1- New York Giants trade the #55, #140 and #167 to the Baltimore Ravens for the #47.

2- Chicago Bears trade the #67 and the #111 to the Houston Texans for the #57.

Round Three

65) Cleveland Browns: Sidney Jones, CB Washington

66) San Francisco 49ers: Zay Jones, WR East Carolina

67) Houston Texans via Chicago Bears: Tim Williams, EDGE Alabama

68) Jacksonville Jaguars: Joe Mixon, RB Oklahoma

69) Los Angeles Rams: Will Holden, OT Vanderbilt 

70) New York Jets: Pat Elflein, OG/OC Ohio State

71) Los Angeles Chargers: Ethan Pocic, OL LSU

72) New England Patriots via Carolina Panthers: D’Onta Foreman, RB Texas

73) Cincinnati Bengals: Desmond King, CB/FS Iowa

74) Philadelphia Eagles: Damontae Kazee, CB San Diego State

75) Buffalo Bills: Alex Anzalone, OLB/ILB Florida

76) New Orleans Saints: Tanoh Kpassagnon, DE Villanova

77) Arizona Cardinals: Amara Darboh, WR Michigan

78) Baltimore Ravens: Tyler Orlosky, C West Virginia

79) Minnesota Vikings: Xavier Woods, SS Louisiana Tech

80) Indianapolis Colts: Antonio Garcia, OT Troy

81) Washington Redskins: Anthony Walker, ILB Northwestern

82) Philadelphia Eagles via Denver Broncos: Isaac Asiata, OG Utah

83) Tennessee Titans: Jake Butt, TE Michigan

84) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Marlon Mack, RB South Florida

85) Detroit Lions: Delano Hill, FS Michigan

86) Minnesota Vikings from Miami Dolphins: Jaleel Johnson, DT Iowa

87) New York Giants: Caleb Brantley, DT Florida

88) Oakland Raiders: Howard Wilson, CB Houston

89) Houston Texans: Justin Evans, SS Texas A&M

90) Detroit Lions via Seattle Seahawks: Kennay Golladay, WR Northern Illinois

91) Kansas City Chiefs: Nathan Peterman, QB Pittsburgh

92) Miami Dolphins via Dallas Cowboys: Teez Tabor, CB/FS Florida

93) Green Bay Packers: Trey Hendrickson, EDGE Florida Atlantic

94) Pittsburgh Steelers: Josh Reynolds, WR Texas A&M

95) Atlanta Falcons: Cameron Sutton, CB/FS Tennessee

96) New England Patriots: Roderick Johnson, OT Florida State

97) Miami Dolphins (Compensatory Selection): Vince Biegel, OLB Wisconsin

98) Carolina Panthers (Compensatory Selection): Julie’n Davenport, OT Bucknell

99) Philadelphia Eagles from Baltimore Ravens (Compensatory Selection): Ryan Anderson, OLB Alabama

100) Tennessee Titans via Los Angeles Rams (Compensatory Selection): Jourdan Lewis, CB Michigan

101) Denver Broncos (Compensatory Selection): Wayne Gallman, RB Clemson

102) Seattle Seahawks (Compensatory Selection): Aviante Collins, OT/OG TCU

103) Los Angeles Chargers via New Orleans Saints from New England Patriots via Cleveland Browns (Compensatory Selection): Chad Hansen, WR California

104) Kansas City Chiefs (Compensatory Selection): Danny Isidora, OG Miami Florida

105) Pittsburgh Steelers (Compensatory Selection): Nico Siragusa, OG San Diego State

106) Seattle Seahawks (Compensatory Selection): Demarcus Walker, DE Florida State

107) New York Jets (Compensatory Selection): Adam Shaheen, TE Ashland

TRADES IN ROUND THREE

1- Los Angeles Chargers trade the #113 and the #151 to the New Orleans Saints for the #103 and #196.