Nick Foles
Jordan Katz 2019 NFL Mock Draft 3.0: Post Super Bowl
#MockDraftSZN rolls on! Now that the NFL Draft order is set, and the Senior Bowl/East-West Shrine Bowl have been completed, it’s time for another Mock Draft. Plenty of changes to this one from the last one, and some interesting trades that shake up this mock draft.
A few notes to make before we get started. As always, this is my personal evaluation of what I would do if I was in charge of all 32 teams. For my prediction mock draft, aka what I think would happen if the draft was today, click the link here (https://draftstock.net/articles/https-draftstock-net-2019-01-29-jordan-katz-2019-prediction-mock-draft-1-0/).
As always, my mock drafts include trades (which are denoted by an asterisk next to the team), but trades are not exclusive to only draft picks. If I see a trade for a player that includes draft picks and makes sense for both teams involved, I’ll pull the trigger on it and make the deal. For example, Nick Foles is most likely getting traded, and I had Philadelphia use Foles to move up in this draft. Who acquired the Super Bowl MVP? Let’s find out.
ROUND ONE
1) Arizona Cardinals: Nick Bosa, EDGE Ohio State- No changes here, Bosa remains the top player in this draft in a walk.
2) San Francisco 49ers: Jonah Williams, OT Alabama- The top TACKLE in this draft is still the layup here. I think the Niners are in a prime position to trade out of this spot to a team that needs a QB. However, on my personal board, there isn’t a QB worth trading up for.
3) New York Jets: DK Metcalf, WR Ole Miss- The Jets entire draft strategy will be dependent on what they do in Free Agency. If I were in charge, I would spend money on a pass rush before a pass catcher. There’s significantly more pass rushing talent in free agency than receiving talent, and the pass catchers in this draft are very good.
DK Metcalf is more than worthy of a top 5 selection, in my opinion. He wins at the line of scrimmage as good as anyone I’ve seen in the last couple of years, he separates with long strides down the field as well as his frame, and he has elite ball skills.
4) Oakland Raiders: Quinnen Williams, DT Alabama- Williams remains the best option for Oakland because he had a very high floor. Oakland cannot miss with their three first round picks if they hope to expedite this rebuilding project. Williams is an elite pass rusher along the interior, which is something the Raiders desperately need.
5) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Byron Murphy, CB Washington: Murphy got a second round grade from the draft committee, which is an absolute abomination. His man cover skills are elite, showing fluid hips and excelling at being able to mirror from the boundary or the slot. I refuse to believe Murphy is not a first round talent, and I think he’s a game changer in the secondary.
6) New York Giants: Brian Burns, EDGE Florida State- Burns is elite as a pass rusher off the edge. He has incredible dip and bend ability, and a solid enough moveset to keep tackles honest. Some question his strength, but at 6’6, he can put weight on easily and not miss a step because he’s so athletic. Giants fans may want Dwayne Haskins, but I think a legit pass rusher makes more of an impact here.
7) *Philadelphia Eagles via Jacksonville Jaguars: Clelin Ferrell, EDGE Clemson- Here’s the Nick Foles trade I referred to earlier, but it’s a little more complex than the one that will probably get done. I still think Jacksonville makes the most sense to acquire Foles because their defense is still in a position to take them far if they have a QB that holds onto the football. That portion of the deal is fine.
Philadelphia using Foles to move up in the draft instead of trading him for straight draft equity is the stretch here, but it makes sense. The Eagles are about to lose Brandon Graham to free agency, and they need to find a quality replacement for cheap. So with a second round draft pick value on Nick Foles, the Eagles use him and other assets to trade up and land Ferrell, who is a perfect scheme fit.
8) Detroit Lions: Montez Sweat, EDGE Mississippi State- Sweat is a big riser from my most recent mock draft, but it’s more than justified. He dominated Senior Bowl week with superior technique. Sweat has all the tricks, he can long arm tackles, rip inside, club, swim move, etc. You name it, he’s got it in his move-set toolbox. He can also line up as a 4-3 DE or a 3-4 OLB, versatility that Head Coach Matt Patricia will definitely value.
9) Buffalo Bills: Marquise “Hollywood” Brown, WR Oklahoma- The Bills have to get Josh Allen some weapons in order for them to get back to the playoffs next season. Who’s a better weapon for Allen’s cannon of an arm than the best deep threat in the draft? Hollywood Brown has explosive playmaking ability down the field, as well as with the ball in his hands. He’s also a very good route runner, so he’s not a one dimensional player either.
10) Denver Broncos: Rashan Gary, DE Michigan: The more I think about the Broncos draft situation, the more confident I am that Gary is the right selection. None of the QBs in this draft are worthy of a top ten selection, and the Broncos can cut Derek Wolfe to continue to get younger up front.
Gary is better served along the interior as a three technique where he can win with his strength and quick first step, instead of having to play slightly out of position along the edge as a five technique.
11) Cincinnati Bengals: Chris Lindstrom, OG Boston College- The Bengals have invested a fair amount of picks into their offensive line over the last few years, but it still needs work. Lindstrom is a complete prospect ready to start from day one. He can play either guard spot because of how technical he is with his hands and his footwork.
12) Green Bay Packers: Josh Allen, EDGE Kentucky- I personally don’t think Allen is the cleanest athlete around the edge, but he’s still better at running the arch than most. Allen dips and bends well at the waist, but he isn’t the cleanest in terms of his ankle flexibility. What keeps him at a first round evaluation for me is that he’s a chess piece; you can move him all over the field and he’s able to create pressure. Green Bay could use a chess piece on defense.
13) Miami Dolphins: Kyler Murray, QB Oklahoma- First Quarterback off the board here, and it’s more because of the fit than the evaluation. Miami is most likely going to move on from Ryan Tannehill, but according to the media, it’s in hopes of selecting a Quarterback in 2020.
However, I think a better strategy might be shooting for a Quarterback in this draft class, particularly Murray. I realize this is counterintuitive because next year’s QB class is much better than this one, but Miami finds themselves in a unique position. It’s clear a rebuild is the desired direction of this team, which is why they can take a chance on Murray and hope for lightning in a bottle. If it doesn’t work, they’re in a prime position in two years to take Trevor Lawrence when the rebuild is much further along. If it does work, they have their game changer at QB.
14) Atlanta Falcons: Ed Oliver, DT Houston- This is becoming the easiest selection of the draft. Oliver continues to fall on my mock drafts because he’s not the pass rusher that others in this draft happen to be. It doesn’t make him a bad prospect, it just means his ceiling may not be as high as others in the draft. I still think he’s a bully in the run game and he can collapse the pocket because of his elite strength.
15) *Pittsburgh Steelers via Washington Redskins: Devin White, ILB LSU- AS much as we would all love to see Ryan Shazier return to the football field, however it’s probably best for his health that he doesn’t. Truth be told, even if he does, and could return to the level he was playing at, the Steelers still need an inside linebacker to play next to him.
White is a terrific athlete and he’s skilled in coverage, possessing the ability to line up one on one with tight ends and running backs, as well as the instincts to read and react in zone coverage.
16) Carolina Panthers: Deionte Thompson, FS Alabama- Carolina has some big needs to fill this offseason in order to get back to being a perennial playoff team. Thompson would fill one of those needs; a ball hawking free safety that creates turnovers.
17) *New England Patriots via Cleveland Browns: Noah Fant, TE Iowa- The Patriots trading up?!? Have I gone temporarily insane? Well, because this is a weak draft class, the Patriots use their draft capital to come up and take a game changer in the middle of the field, not to mention the heir to Rob Gronkowski’s throne.
18) Minnesota Vikings: Christian Wilkins, DT Clemson- The Vikings need some help along the interior of their defensive line. Linval Joseph continues to age and Sheldon Richardson is most likely leaving in free agency. Wilkins has an explosive first step, which helps him win up front routinely. He’s a smart player as well, showing discipline on the backside of plays. Wilkins would be a good addition to the Vikings front four.
19) Tennessee Titans: TJ Hockenson, TE Iowa- The Titans are going to need to find Delaine Walker’s long term replacement sooner rather than later. Hockenson is an elite blocker and wins with his size at the top of the stem. He high points the ball well also. Marcus Mariota gets a shiny new red zone threat here with the former Iowa standout.
20) *Washington Redskins via Pittsburgh Steelers: Cody Ford, OT/OG Oklahoma- The Redskins interior offensive line is a debacle at the moment. Ford is a big time athlete for his size, which is why I think he can transition to guard if a team asks him to do so. He needs to work on keeping his hands high, but his footwork is solid and he gets to the second level quickly. Ford should be a quality right side of the line player in the NFL.
21) Seattle Seahawks: Greedy Williams, CB LSU- What a steal this would be on draft day. Williams is an ideal corner for Seattle’s defense, both in his measurables (Seattle likes bigger, longer cornerbacks) and his ability in man coverage. Williams opposite Shaq Griffin could be the start of LOB 2.0.
22) Baltimore Ravens: Kelvin Harmon, WR NC State- Getting Lamar Jackson some weapons is priority one for the Ravens this offseason. I think the misnomer is that the pass catcher the Ravens acquire has to be a deep threat because of Jackson’s arm talent. Baltimore needs a player that separates well, someone who can be a reliable target for Jackson on third downs and in the red zone. In a nutshell, they need a target like Kelvin Harmon.
23) Houston Texans: Andre Dillard, OT Washington State- The Texans offensive line was miserable in pass protection last year, and Dillard would be an immediate upgrade in that are. While he lacks the power at the point of attack to be impactful in the run game, Dillard is a very good athlete with excellent footwork in the 45 degree set and the vertical set. Houston can move Julie’n Davenport to the right side and let Dillard protect Deshaun Watson’s blindside.
24) Oakland Raiders via Chicago Bears: Jawaan Taylor, OT Florida- The Raiders also need offensive line help. However, unlike Houston before them, they need a power blocking right tackle instead of a pass blocking athlete on the left side of a zone blocking scheme. That’s Jawaan Taylor to a tee.
25) *Jacksonville Jaguars via Philadelphia Eagles: Dalton Risner, OT/OG Kansas State- Jacksonville is yet another team that needs offensive line help. Risner is a perfect fit for them. He provides an attitude and competitiveness up front that the Jaguars lack, especially for a team that wants to win in the trenches. Risner is a mauler in the run game and will be a quality right guard in the NFL.
26) Indianapolis Colts: Jeffery Simmons, DT Mississippi State- The Colts were a surprise playoff team in 2018. In order to stay there in 2019, they will need to continue to build up their defense. Simmons has a lightning quick get off and a bevy of pass rushing moves. I expect him to go higher than this on draft day, but with a lot of positions at a premium in this draft, players along the defensive front are bound to fall.
27) Oakland Raiders via Dallas Cowboys: Josh Jacobs, RB Alabama- This is not Jon Gruden’s prototypical running back in terms of size, but it is his prototypical running back in terms of toughness. Jacobs is a physical runner in between the tackles, and he’s a game changer in the pass game. While I don’t have him as high as others in the draft community do, there’s no doubt Jacobs is RB1 this year.
28) Los Angeles Chargers: Dexter Lawrence, NT Clemson- This is my layup of the draft season. The Chargers need someone in the middle of their defense to help them against the run, and that is Lawrence to a tee.
29) Kansas City Chiefs: Rock Ya-Sin, CB Temple- Kansas City’s defense was dreadful last year, despite having a strong pass rush. That would lead you to believe their secondary was a big negative, and needs to be upgraded. Rock Ya-Sin excels in mirroring receivers, and it’s his ability to flip his hips and stay with players that makes me think he can be a stud at the next level.
30) Green Bay Packers via New Orleans Saints: Nasir Adderley, FS Delaware- Adderley fills a major need for the Packers at the safety position. He can play the single high safety spot, showing good range sideline to sideline. He has good ball skills as well, which would be a major boost to a team that was second to last in interceptions on defense last year.
31) *New York Giants via Los Angeles Rams: Dwayne Haskins, QB Ohio State- First off, I’m aware there’s zero chance Dwayne Haskins makes it out of the top ten in the actual draft. However, he’s easily QB2 on my board and really not worthy of a first round selection. I think Murray shows much better anticipation than Haskins, and Murray also fits throws into NFL windows more consistently. Haskins has flashes of brilliance, and definitely has the arm talent to one day be a quality starter. Right now, there’s too many inconsistencies in his mechanics for me to justify him being highly coveted.
Having said that, teams will be willing to take a chance on him because of the position he plays. Teams will also want to take the chance in round one rather than later in the draft to ensure they have the fifth year option on him. The Giants are that team this time around, and the trade back into round one to get the fifth year option on Haskins.
32) *Cleveland Browns via New England Patriots: Yodny Cajuste, OT West Virginia- Cajuste has good footwork in the vertical set, showing quick feet in the kickslide and the ability to maintain high hands and a good pad level. He definitely has areas that need improving, particularly at the point of attack in the jump set and the run game (he’s more of a stopper than a guy who wins in the run game with power), but Cajuste is a prospect that can become a solid tackle at the next level.
TRADES IN ROUND ONE
1) Philadelphia Eagles trade the #25, #57 and Nick Foles to the Jacksonville Jaguars for the #7 and the #102.
2) Pittsburgh Steelers trade the #20, #83 and a 2020 5th round pick to the Washington Redskins for the #15 and a 2020 6th round pick.
3) New England Patriots trade the #32, #56, and #73 to the Cleveland Browns for the #17, #95 and #133
4) New York Giants trade the #37, #132, and a 2020 5th round pick to the Los Angeles Rams for the #31.
ROUND TWO
33) Arizona Cardinals: David Edwards, OT Wisconsin- Edwards is incredibly advanced for someone who converted to the offensive line a few years ago. He’s a high upside pick because his technique will only get better as he becomes more comfortable with the position.
34) Indianapolis Colts via New York Jets: AJ Brown, WR Ole Miss- Brown is a player who excels in the short to intermediate passing game. He would be an excellent compliment to T.Y. Hilton, who’s one of the best deep ball threats in the NFL.
35) Oakland Raiders: N’Keal Harry, WR Arizona State- Harry is a dynamic playmaker with the ball in his hands. Oakland is desperate for playmakers on both sides of the ball, so this is an easy fit.
36) San Francisco 49ers: DeAndre Baker, CB Georgia- Baker could wind up much higher than this later on in the Draft Season if he an answer some questions I have about his straight-line speed and his fluidity as an athlete.
37) *Los Angeles Rams via New York Giants: Jachai Polite, EDGE Florida- The Rams have plenty of question marks this offseason, but the layup to me is to replace Dante Fowler in the draft rather than free agency. Polite is a bit undersized, but he’s excellent off the edge.
38) Jacksonville Jaguars: Irv Smith Jr., TE Alabama- Smith is a skilled route runner with great hands and he should be a quality red zone threat for the Jaguars.
39) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Mack Wilson, ILB Alabama- Absolute steal here for the Buccaneers. Wilson replaces pending free agent Kwon Alexander as a three down starter from day one.
40) Buffalo Bills: Greg Little, OT Ole Miss- Buffalo’s offensive line needs a lot of work, it was a big reason why they regressed in 2018. Little is a bit of a project for the left side, but I think his power at the point of attack will help him start on the right side from day one.
41) *Carolina Panthers via Denver Broncos: Anthony Nelson, EDGE Iowa- Carolina trades up to land what they hope is the solution to their pass rushing problems.
42) Cincinnati Bengals: Kaden Smith, TE Stanford- The Bengals offense has struggled since losing Tyler Eifert to a number of injuries in the past few years. Smith is a unique athlete for the tight end position; he can help AJ Green see less double teams.
43) Detroit Lions: Amani Oruwariye, CB Penn State- Oruwariye is a long corner with good ball skills. He would help solidify the Lions need for a cornerback opposite Darius Slay.
44) Green Bay Packers: Tytus Howard, OT Alabama State- Howard has ideal size for the position and the ability to counter pass rushers. He needs work in the jump set and being more physical up front in the run game, but Howard is a good pick for a team that has the luxury to bring him along slowly like the Packers can.
45) Atlanta Falcons: Joejuan Williams, CB Vanderbilt- Williams isn’t the Falcons prototypical corner, but he does have the length and size that Dan Quinn used to build defenses around in Seattle.
46) Washington Redskins: Jonathan Abram, SS Mississippi State- Washington needs a replacement for HaHa Clinton-Dix in the back end that can play close to the line of scrimmage and cover as well. Abram is a perfect scheme fit.
47) *Denver Broncos via Carolina Panthers: Daniel Jones, QB Duke- Well, somebody has to pick quarterbacks in this draft, and Denver is one of them. They trade back and grab another one of John Elway’s “prototypical size,” QB prospects.
48) Miami Dolphins: Deebo Samuel, WR South Carolina- Miami’s receiving core was decent last year, but they need a true playmaker at the position.
49) Cleveland Browns: Charles Omenihu, DL Texas- Omenihu is a big time pass rusher as a three technique and would establish the Browns as one of the best young defensive lines in the NFL.
50) Minnesota Vikings: Michael Dieter, OL Wisconsin- I’m willing to “ride or die,” with Dieter this year as a guy who can move inside and be a solid player. He was up and down at the Senior Bowl but I think his intelligence for the position will win out.
51) Tennessee Titans: Oshane Ximines, EDGE Old Dominion- I like the idea of the Titans taking an edge player early in this draft to play opposite Harold Landry, instead of them trying to sign a veteran player as a quick fix.
52) Pittsburgh Steelers: Trayvon Mullen, CB Clemson- If the Steelers come out of this draft with Devin White and Trayvon Mullen, I think there would be a parade in Pittsburgh the following day.
53) *Jacksonville Jaguars from Philadelphia Eagles via Baltimore Ravens: Devin Bush, ILB Michigan- This is a bit of a weird one, but the fit makes sense. Bush would be excellent for the Jags on the strong side because he shoots gaps well and he could still drop in coverage if asked to do so.
54) Houston Texans via Seattle Seahawks: Renell Wren, DT/NT Arizona State- Wren can be a quality two gap player at the next level because of his get off and his ability to stack and shed.
55) *Kansas City Chiefs via Houston Texans: Rodney Anderson, RB Oklahoma- Trading up for a running back may seem odd, but the Chiefs have to find a starting caliber RB this offseason. Anderson would be a top 50 pick easy without the medical concerns, so this is a calculated gamble for KC.
56) *Cleveland Browns from New England Patriots via Chicago Bears: Julian Love, CB Notre Dame- Love is my last cornerback on the board with a grade worthy of a top 75 selection. While this is still a reach, Cleveland makes the reach out of necessity.
57) Philadelphia Eagles: Damien Harris, RB Alabama- Philadelphia opts to draft one of the few potential three down backs in this class instead of attempting to sign one in free agency with the limited money they have.
58) Dallas Cowboys: Dawson Knox, TE Ole Miss- Knox is a big time athlete who should help Dak Prescott as a safety valve on third down. Even though Knox’s route tree was extremely limited at OIe Miss, I think he’ll excel at it at the next level.
59) Indianapolis Colts: Khaleke Hudson, SS Michigan- Malik Hooker’s ability as a cover one, single high safety means that the Colts can select a more traditional strong safety to help their run defense.
60) Los Angeles Chargers: Damarkus Lodge, WR Ole Miss- The Chargers are going to lose Tyrell Williams in free agency, making Lodge his replacement as their deep ball threat. Lodge has some drops, but he’s a burner with the ability to get a quality release on almost every snap.
Editor’s Note: I think Lodge’s drops are more mental than anything else because he flashes some ridiculous catches and an absurd catch radius. If he stays focused, he has big time potential.
61) *Houston Texans via Kansas City Chiefs: Chase Winovich, EDGE Michigan- The Texans are most likely keeping Jadeveon Clowney, but Whitney Mercilus may be forced to walk after next year so the Texans can pay Deshaun Watson.
62) New Orleans Saints: Isaac Huata, TE Georgia- Yet another tight end off the board here. Huata is a big time run blocker and he’s improving as a pass catcher. I think New Orleans can get the most out him.
63) Kansas City Chiefs via Los Angeles Rams: Erik McCoy, C Texas A&M- The center class is weak, but McCoy’s tape against Clemson versus their interior line talent makes me think his upside could be huge.
64) New England Patriots: Jerry Tillery, DT Notre Dame- The Patriots stealing a pass rushing three technique like Tillery at the bottom of round two is an absolute joke.
TRADES IN ROUND TWO
1) Carolina Panthers trade the #47 and #108 to the Denver Broncos for the #41
2) Kansas City Chiefs trade #61, #156 and a 2020 4th round pick to the Houston Texans for the #55 and a 2020 5th round pick
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