NFL Combine
Jordan Katz 2025 NFL Mock Draft 3.0: Post FA
It may be April Fools, but this is no laughing matter folks! We are less than a month away from the NFL Draft!
A lot has changed since Mock Draft 2.0. The Titans appear to be locked into Cam Ward, the Giants may not be selecting a quarterback at three after signing Russell Wilson and Jameis Winston, and the NFL Combine has led to the rise and fall of many prospects.
There also remain so many question marks at the top. Will the Browns actually pick a quarterback at two? Do the Patriots try and trade back if the Browns and Giants both pass on a quarterback? Will there be any teams looking to move into the top 10 for a premier talent? This draft is truly a mystery, and we do not have much time left before it is upon us!
So, where do we stand heading down the home stretch of Draft SZN? Let’s get into it!
ROUND ONE
1) Tennessee Titans: Cam Ward, QB Miami- The Titans opted to pass on the available quarterbacks in free agency, which means they have likely been bluffing this entire time and are selecting Cam Ward first overall. While Ward has his detractors, his ability to read from a clean pocket and anticipate throwing windows makes him the runaway top quarterback of this group.
2) Cleveland Browns: Abdul Carter, EDGE Penn State- Carter is a lock to be the first non-quarterback selected next month. He has elite dip-and-bend ability off the edge, and he runs the arch to the quarterback incredibly well. Carter’s get-off is also tremendous, which is vital if you are a slightly undersized pass rusher. In a normal draft, Carter would be a top 10 pick anyway, but the lack of top-end talent in this one makes him a shoo-in to be selected highly.
Editor’s Note: I still don’t believe the Browns are taking a quarterback here, but I do think they will look into trading back into round one should a quarterback fall farther than expected.
3) New York Giants: Travis Hunter, WR/CB Colorado- After the acquisitions of Russell Wilson and Jameis Winston, the Giants will likely take “BPA,” here at three. A quarterback is still in play for them later in round one via trade (hint hint, wink wink, nudge nudge), but it won’t be at this spot.
Should this selection be Hunter, I expect the Giants to use him as a receiver. Hunter can take pressure off Malik Nabers, and he makes people miss with the ball in his hands.
4) New England Patriots: Jalon Walker, EDGE/LB Georgia- Mike Vrabel’s defense is going to get after the passer in 2025. The Pats have already added Harold Landry and Milton Williams to beef up the pass rush. A chess piece like Walker, who can play all over the defense, would be a great pick here. He gets home from multiple spots on the defensive front, which is something Vrabel would love to have in his defense.
5) Jacksonville Jaguars: Mason Graham, IDL Michigan- Jacksonville could go several different directions here. Their offensive line needs a lot of help, so that is definitely in play here. However, the middle of the Jaguars’ defense was a disaster last year. Mason Graham adds a pass-rushing punch from the interior, and his gap control is strong as well.
6) Las Vegas Raiders: Tetairoa McMillian, WR Arizona—Tet McMillian is an interesting evaluation in terms of his draft stock. He is not the “slam-dunk top receiver” many perceive him to be. In fact, NFL Network’s Daniel Jeremiah does not have him as his top receiver right now. This could mean he falls further than people expect on draft day.
The thing he has going for him is the number of teams at the top that need playmakers. The Raiders, Jets, Panthers, and Saints could all use to add a pass catcher. If McMillian checks enough boxes in NFL circles, he will land in the top 10.
7) New York Jets: Armand Membou, OL Missouri- The Jets will have an interesting debate if Membou makes it to them at seven. Tyler Warren is a perfect fit and a massive need as well. Having said that, this team is going to run the ball and play defense next year, and you need a mauler at right tackle to do that.
Membou is that mauler. His tape screams elite run blocker, and his combine screams elite athleticism. Ultimately, the Jets will solidify their offensive line if Membou makes it here rather than selecting a top-tier tight end.
8) Carolina Panthers: Tyler Warren, TE Penn State- Warren is regarded as one of the best players in the draft. He’s an elite blocker, a matchup nightmare in the red zone, and he uses his body well in his routes. Having Warren in the middle of the field would be a massive aid to the development of Bryce Young, and it would bolster the Panthers’ receiving corps.
9) New Orleans Saints: Will Campbell, OL LSU- The Saints need… everything. Campbell’s a day one starter at tackle or guard in the NFL, making him the selection.
However, keep an eye on New Orleans attempting to move down and acquire assets in this draft. This team has a lot of holes and a lot of aging players. They need depth ASAP.
10) Chicago Bears: Ashton Jeanty, RB Boise State- A sneaky fit for Jeanty in this draft is the Bears at 10. Not only did Chicago use a top 30 visit on him, but D’Andre Swift ran for an appalling 3.8 yards per carry last season. The Bears must run the ball better in 2025 to alleviate pressure from Caleb Williams. This could be a surprising pick that goes down next month.
11) San Francisco 49ers: Will Johnson, CB Michigan- The 49ers are experiencing the cap issues surrounding the necessity of paying a franchise quarterback. This team has been forced to move a lot of talent over the last two years. One area they are lacking in is their defensive backfield.
Will Johnson is a perfect cover-three corner. He’s long, he has good technique out of his backpedal, and he trails with success.
12) Dallas Cowboys: Omarion Hampton, RB North Carolina- Two running backs in the top 12 would be bizarre, but it has happened recently with Bijan Robinson and Jahmyr Gibbs in 2023. This draft has a few elite running back prospects, including Omarion Hampton. He showed home run speed at the combine, and he can make defenders miss in the open field. This is Hampton’s ceiling if Jeanty goes before the Cowboys at 12.
13) Miami Dolphins: Josh Simmons, OT Ohio State- Terron Armstead’s best football is behind him, making the Dolphins an ideal landing spot for Simmons. Simmons is a day one left tackle if he’s healthy. His footwork is the best of the tackles in pass protection, and he’s able to wall off defenders with accurate strikes.
However, because he’s recovering from a knee injury, he could benefit from sitting a year. That makes the 34-year-old Armstead a great mentor for Simmons.
14) Indianapolis Colts: Colston Loveland, TE Michigan- I still think we get some chaos at the top and Loveland falls. However, the Colts need the tight end position so badly, they have to aggressively pursue Warren and Loveland in this draft.
In a normal year, Loveland would be the unequivocal top tight end. He’s a threat to win routes from multiple spots on the field, he’s a red zone mismatch, and Loveland can also block with the best of them.
15) Atlanta Falcons: Mike Green, EDGE Marshall- We are once again going to give Atlanta a pass rusher in Mock Draft 3.0! Mike Green was the big winner of Senior Bowl week, and while he did not test at the Combine, it shouldn’t affect his stock. He converts speed to power well on the edge, and his move-set is strong.
16) Arizona Cardinals: Shemar Stewart, EDGE Texas A&M- Stewart was another massive winner from the combine in Indianapolis, which only elevated his stock further. While his raw statistics were not outstanding at Texas A&M, many scouts love his pressure numbers and his ability to collapse the pocket. He would immediately bolster the Cardinals’ defensive front.
17) Cincinnati Bengals: Mykel Williams, EDGE Georgia- I’m still watching the Mykel Williams draft stock as we head down the home stretch of draft season. He put on a strong pro day at Georgia, and he’s probably the best athlete of the top edge rushers in this draft. If a team falls in love with his athleticism and thinks they can coach up the talent that underwhelmed in his final year at Georgia, I think Williams could sneak into the top 15.
18) *TRADE* New York Giants (from Seahawks): Shedeur Sanders, QB Colorado- Something very few are on is the idea of Shedeur Sanders’ sliding in this draft. Sanders’s interview struggles at the combine have led some to become concerned about his ability to lead at the next level. On top of that, the teams at the top chose to answer their quarterback questions with veterans.
Therefore, while Sanders is still a lock for the first round, his guaranteed top 10 selection is in question. If he slides outside the top 10, a lot of teams at the top of round two will try to trade back into round one to get a fifth-year option out of Sanders.
Keep an eye on the Giants, Browns, and Raiders in a scenario where Sanders does slide. All three would still want Sanders as their quarterback of the future, but maybe not at the expense of filling out the rest of the roster. In this mock, it’s the Giants that make the move.
The Trade: The New York Giants trade the #34, a 2026 2nd-round pick, and a 2027 2nd-round pick to the Seattle Seahawks for the 18th overall selection.
19) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Jihaad Campbell, LB Alabama- Campbell is an elite playmaker at the second level of the defense. He fills the right gaps against the run, and Campbell is also strong in coverage; he shows a good sense of reading the quarterback’s eyes in the middle. Todd Bowles can turn Campbell into an elite playmaker at the second level.
20) *TRADE* Philadelphia Eagles (from Broncos): Matthew Golden, WR Texas- With the rumors surrounding a trade of both AJ Brown and Dallas Goedert, expect the Eagles to pursue a pass catcher in this draft.
Some think Golden is the best receiver in this draft. He had a great combine, showing home-run speed with a 4.29 40 time. Golden also led the FBS in 20+ yard receptions, meaning the combine matches the tape. That’s when a player can rise up draft boards.
The Trade: The Eagles trade the #32 and #64 to the Denver Broncos for the #20 and #197.
21) Pittsburgh Steelers: Jaxson Dart, QB Ole Miss- Even if the Steelers land Aaron Rodgers, as many think will happen, they still could add a quarterback of the future in this draft. The Steelers have met with Dart, and there is a lot of buzz around them selecting Dart regardless of what happens.
Sitting Jaxson Dart gives him the best chance of success. He flashes some elite arm talent, and he can make some insane throws. However, the mental mistakes and issues reading the defense are also evident on tape. Allowing him to learn behind Aaron Rodgers is beneficial for all parties involved.
22) Los Angeles Chargers: Jahdae Barron, CB Texas- Many have Jahdae Barron in the 10-20 range, which is definitely in play for him. He’s a swiss army knife in the back end, winning reps at nickel and on the boundary. However, one of the positions that does have depth at the top in this draft is cornerback. Therefore, don’t be shocked if Barron goes lower than expected in a few weeks.
23) Green Bay Packers: Donovan, Ezeiruaku, EDGE Boston College- The Packers will likely address the trenches on both sides of the ball early in this draft. Ezeiruaku is a bit undersized, but he uses his length well, which will be attractive to a lot of General Managers.
24) Minnesota Vikings: Nick Emmanwori, S South Carolina- Emmanwori put up a ridiculous showing at the Combine last month, catapulting him into the conversation for top safety in this draft. Minnesota needs a hard-hitting safety that can cover in the back end and come up and play the run, which describes Emmanwori to a tee. Vikings fans, here is your eventual Harrison Smith replacement.
25) Houston Texans: Josh Conerly Jr., OT Oregon- The Texans’ offensive line is amidst an overhaul, making this their primary need in this draft. Conerly is an interesting prospect. His athleticism in pass protection jumps off the page, but his technique in the little fundamentals of offensive line play needs a lot of work. Having said that, any reader of my mocks knows that the NFL will overdraft high-quality athletes; it happens every year. A team will take a chance on Conerly’s potential early in this draft.
26) Los Angeles Rams: Grey Zabel, IOL North Dakota State- Zabel’s senior bowl week catapulted him safely into the top 40 of this draft. The Rams could be a team that moves up for a need in this draft, but if they stay put, getting Zabel to start along the interior would be ideal.
27) Baltimore Ravens: Derrick Harmon, IDL Oregon- With a few needs on the defensive side of the ball, Baltimore is an interesting team to watch in the back end of this draft. Harmon is a quality run-stopper with the ability to collapse the pocket as a pass rusher. This is a sneaky great fit in the back end of this draft.
28) Detroit Lions: Tyler Booker, IOL Alabama- Another great fit in the back end of this draft is Booker to the Detroit Lions. He’s a run game mauler; Booker plays with excellent leverage when he attacks the defender in the run game. Yes, the pass rush technique needs work, but the Lions’ offensive line is so good that they can hide him upfront while he improves in this area.
29) Washington Commanders: Malaki Starks, S Georgia- The floor for Malaki Starks in this draft feels like the Commanders at 29. They need a safety badly, and Starks is the best single high safety in the draft. He will be a turnover machine at the next level.
30) Buffalo Bills: Trey Amos, CB Ole Miss- A lot of the mock draft experts love Trey Amos in this draft. He showed elite athleticism at the combine, and he’s a fun watch on tape. Amos is competitive in man coverage, showing the willingness to be physical with receivers. He also uses his length very nicely. This is a perfect fit for the Bills’ defense.
31) Kansas City Chiefs: Kelvin Banks Jr., OT Texas- Banks has fallen down draft boards a bit after a subpar combine, but the tape is still one of the best in this draft as a tackle. Many of the offensive linemen in this draft are better suited to move inside. Banks is a true tackle, and that should keep him safely in round one.
32) *TRADE* Denver Broncos (from Eagles): TreyVeyon Henderson, RB Ohio State- Three running backs in the top 40 feels like a lock in this draft. It’s a weaker draft class, and the running backs are truly elite. Denver needs a true home-run threat in the backfield to unlock the rest of this offense, and Henderson is exactly that kind of runner. They move back, acquire assets, and select a difference maker.
The Trade: See pick #20.
Jordan Katz 2025 NFL Mock Draft 2.0: Post Super Bowl
We are on to the second edition of Mock Draft SZN for 2025! There have been a lot of rumors circulating since Mock Draft 1.0, so this mock has a lot of changes. There have been a lot of risers and fallers since the Senior Bowl, and there will be even more after the NFL Combine in a few weeks. This draft season is going to be wild, so there’s a good chance this mock looks very different than my eventual final version in a few months.
Having said that, there are definitely some trends I feel I am ahead on (Jaxson Dart round one), and that’s why we play the game!
Let’s Mock!
ROUND ONE
1) Tennessee Titans: Abdul Carter, EDGE Penn State- Recently the Titans brass was quoted as saying they will not pass on a generational talent just to select a quarterback first overall. Whether that’s a bluff to up trade value or their actual plan remains to be seen; but if it is true, this selection is either Abdul Carter or Travis Hunter.
Many are leaning toward Carter because his upside as a pass rusher is generational. He has elite athleticism around the edge and multiple moves in his arsenal when rushing the passer.
2) *TRADE* New York Giants (from Browns): Shedeur Sanders, QB Colorado- Giants fans reading this, I can sense your displeasure with this prediction. However, I think it’s time to embrace reality. Brian Daboll has sung Sanders’s praise at every turn during this draft process so far. Sanders was also seen throwing with Malik Nabers on the streets of NYC. I think Sanders will do everything in his power to land in New York or Vegas, and right now, the Giants seem more interested in Sanders than the Raiders…
…unless Matthew Stafford winds up in New York.
The Trade: The New York Giants trade the #3, #34, and a 2026 3rd-round pick to the Cleveland Browns for the #2 overall selection.
3) *TRADE* Cleveland Browns (from Giants): Travis Hunter, WR/DB Colorado- The Browns are a logistical nightmare when it comes to predicting this draft. They might trade Myles Garrett and do a complete rebuild, they might select a QB and figure it out later, or they might try to reload and take the best player available to help them win.
With the issues surrounding their cap, I think it’s unwise to select a rookie QB and “throw him to the wolves,” with a lesser roster. That’s why Hunter is the selection, for now.
The Trade: See pick #2.
4) New England Patriots: Kelvin Banks Jr., OT Texas– Will Campbell is the top offensive lineman according to most, but many also see him as a guard at the next level, which could hurt his draft stock. Banks is viewed by many as a left tackle, which separates him from the majority of this class in terms of upside. If Banks tests well at the combine, he can be a top-five pick.
5) Jacksonville Jaguars: Mason Graham, IDL Michigan- This feels like the easiest pick of the first round. Jacksonville needs help along the interior of their defensive line, and Graham is one of the elite prospects in this draft.
6) Las Vegas Raiders: Cam Ward, QB Miami- The Raiders are the most likely team in this draft to select a quarterback in round one. Whether Ward or Sanders is the target remains to be seen, but expect Vegas to make a big play for a quarterback in this draft.
Editor’s note: Keep an eye on Vegas and Cam Ward moving forward. The rumors have cooled on them and Sanders, and if Vegas gets aggressive and trades up in the draft, I think it’s for Ward.
7) New York Jets: Will Johnson, CB Michigan- This pick stays the same from Mock Draft 1.0, and will continue to stay the same until the Jets offseason plays out in free agency. Having two shutdown corners is such a weapon for a team’s defense. Johnson across from Sauce Gardner makes up for the impending loss of DJ Reed.
8) Carolina Panthers: Jalon Walker, EDGE/LB Georgia- Carolina needs a chess piece on the defensive side of the ball to elevate their defense. Walker can be just that. He lines up everywhere, he makes plays at the second level of the defense, and he can get to the passer.
9) New Orleans Saints: Tetairoa McMillian, WR Arizona- Chris Olave’s injuries have decimated the Saints’ offense in recent years because their receiving core lacks depth. McMillian is the top receiver in the draft, and his “YAC,” ability will make him a very productive pro in today’s NFL.
10) Chicago Bears: Will Campbell, OL LSU- As long as you give the Bears an offensive lineman, you stand a chance in whatever mock draft you are doing. Chicago has to protect Caleb Williams better moving forward. Campbell is the best offensive lineman in the draft (by far, in my opinion), but his draft stock will be determined at the NFL combine because his measurables may put him at guard in the NFL.
11) San Francisco 49ers: Walter Nolan, IDL Ole Miss- If Will Johnson goes before the Niners select, look for them to pivot to interior defensive line. What was once a vaunted front four has come back down to earth after the departure of Arik Armstead. Nolan’s quick twitch nature and ability to get to the passer would be explosive alongside Nick Bosa.
12) Dallas Cowboys: Tyler Booker, IOL Alabama- The Cowboys need to continue to revamp their offensive line during this offseason. It’s not the “sexy pick,” so Jerry Jones likely won’t make it, but Booker is so obviously the selection because of his intensity at the point of attack. Plus, Jerry has to do something logical eventually, right?
13) Miami Dolphins: Kenneth Grant, IDL Michigan- The interior of the Dolphins defense was awful in 2024. Grant would change that on day one. He’s a space eater against the run, and he’s athletic enough to shed blocks and make plays.
14) Indianapolis Colts: Grey Zabel, OL North Dakota State- The interior of the Colts line is losing two starters this year, including starting center Ryan Kelly. Zabel had a phenomenal senior bowl week which has catapulted him into the round one conversation. He’s started in a number of spots along the offensive line, and looked very comfortable at center during the Senior Bowl week. If he tests well at the combine, he should be a lock in the middle of round one.
15) Atlanta Falcons: Mike Green, EDGE Marshall- The biggest senior bowl week winner was Mike Green, who dominated reps left and right throughout the week. On tape, he shows elite ability to dip and bend around the edge, but the ability to play with power at the point of attack during senior bowl week elevated him up draft boards.
Even though Atlanta hasn’t taken a first-round edge rusher since Vic Beasley, which was a massive whiff for both them and myself, one of these years they will address the pass rusher position.
16) Arizona Cardinals: Mykal Williams, EDGE Georgia- Speaking of teams that need an elite pass rusher, Arizona is in a perfect position to take one here in the middle of round one. While this is a weaker draft class on tape, there are some players with elite upside because of their immeasurable athleticism.
Mykal Williams is one of those players. His tape was up and down in 2024, but because of his ability to convert speed into power and get around the edge, he can be elite.
17) Cincinnati Bengals: Tyler Warren, TE Penn State- Pass catcher is the top issue for the Bengals this offseason. Should they sign Tee Higgins, that resolves everything.
However, because of the Ja’Marr Chase contract, it makes more sense for them to go in a cheaper direction.
Warren solves two needs at once for the Bengals. He creates a pass-catching threat in the middle of the field, and he adds a threat in the red zone to take coverage away from Chase.
18) Seattle Seahawks: Armand Membou, IOL Missouri- Membou is another offensive tackle prospect in this draft who projects better at guard. He’s at his best when he gets his hands on defenders quickly and uses the power in his strikes and his base to wall off defenders. Seattle needs help along the interior, so the fit makes sense here as well.
19) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Emeka Egbuka, WR Ohio State- The Bucs have some hard decisions to make this offseason, and one of those is the contract of Chris Godwin. Godwin’s injury history outweighs the talent he has on the field, which is one of the reasons the Bucs could go in a different direction.
Even after the emergence of Jalen McMillian, a quality route runner like Egbuka still makes sense for the Bucs at this selection.
20) Denver Broncos: Colston Loveland, TE Michigan- Denver needs to continue to add pass-catching weapons to help elevate Bo Nix moving forward. Courtland Sutton emerged as a borderline number-one wide receiver this year, but the Broncos still need a threat in the middle of the field.
Enter Loveland. He understands how to use his size at the top of the route to create separation. His skills in the middle of the field from the slot would be an excellent fit in Head Coach Sean Payton’s offense.
21) *TRADE* New York Jets (from Steelers): Jaxson Dart, QB Ole Miss- There is a lot of buzz at the moment around the Steelers picking Dart at this selection. In my opinion, that’s to spark a trade-down. The Steelers are still in win-now mode, making them a much better fit for a veteran quarterback than a rookie, particularly one who regularly appears on the Pat McAfee Show.
Meanwhile, the Jets, who are moving on from “he who shall not be named” (IYKYK), are still searching for their quarterback savior, making them a logical team to trade up for a quarterback.
Dart has fascinating traits. He makes off-platform throws look easy, he’s a threat with his legs, and he answered the questions about his arm strength during a quality senior bowl week. Dart should be the third quarterback off the board, and look for multiple teams to attempt to move up for him in a few months.
The Trade: The New York Jets trade the #42, a 2026 2nd round pick, and a 2027 3rd round pick to the Pittsburgh Steelers for the 21st overall selection and a 2027 4th round pick.
22) Los Angeles Chargers: Ashton Jeanty, RB Boise State- Running backs are abundant in this draft, and they will likely go higher than we are used to seeing. Jeanty had an all-world final campaign at Boise State, breaking records left and right. His feel for finding the lanes to run through and being patient as a runner makes him an elite prospect. Head Coach Jim Harbaugh loves to use the run to set up play-action pass, so having a difference-maker like Jeanty makes perfect sense for the team moving forward.
23) Green Bay Packers: Josh Simmons, OT Ohio State- Simmons is someone I’m keeping an eye on during the draft process. There are not many true left tackle prospects in this draft. Before his knee injury, Simmons was having a phenomenal season at THE Ohio State. His balance and poise when he’s in the vertical set is his best trait, and he has quality power in his strikes as well. Do not be shocked if he goes higher than expected in April.
24) Minnesota Vikings: Jahdae Barron, CB Texas- Even if the Vikings bring back Byron Murphy, they still need help in the secondary. Barron lined up in a number of spots at Texas, but in my opinion, his most impressive work was in the slot. He can blitz, and he can mirror receivers in the short-yardage windows. The fit here makes a ton of sense for the Vikings.
25) Houston Texans: Derrick Harmon, IDL Oregon- Harmon is a similar player to Barron in the sense that he’s solid in a lot of areas but doesn’t have one standout trait. His ability to play the run and control his gap is where he excels the most. Houston needs help along the interior, which will likely be this selection if they are unable to trade down.
26) Los Angeles Rams: Matthew Golden, WR Texas- The amount of question marks around the Rams offseason makes this an impossible selection to call at the moment. However, if we operate under the assumption that they move on from Cooper Kupp, they will need a number two target to go alongside Puka Nacua.
Golden is a darling of many in this draft because of his skills and knowledge as a route runner. He does not possess elite physical traits, but his skill set is perfect for Head Coach Sean McVay.
27) Baltimore Ravens: Shemar Stewart, EDGE/DL Texas A&M- Somehow, Baltimore winds up stealing talented players in the back end of round one every year. Stewart’s production wasn’t spectacular in terms of raw statistics, but he generated a ton of pressures during his final year at A&M. This is a perfect fit.
28) Detroit Lions: Donovan Jackson, IOL Ohio State- Kevin Zietler is likely to leave in free agency, which creates an opening on the Lions’ offensive line unit that they would love to fill with a rookie contract. Jackson’s ability to gain leverage on defenders would make him an excellent fit in the running scheme of Detroit.
29) Washington Commanders: Luther Burden III, WR Missouri- Playmakers are a necessity for the Commanders in the offseason on both sides of the ball. Burden is a “YAC,” monster that fits well opposite Terry McLaurin.
30) Buffalo Bills: Malaki Starks, S Georgia- Damar Hamlin is due for a payday, which likely happens elsewhere. Malaki Starks is a day-one starting safety that can do it all. His willingness to come up and tackle combined with the angles he takes to the football in the secondary should help him at the next level.
31) Kansas City Chiefs: Josh Conerly Jr., OT Oregon- The Chiefs lost the Super Bowl because they allowed too much pressure on Patrick Mahomes. It’s probably time to address that issue that somehow only haunted them once in three seasons.
32) Philadelphia Eagles: TreyVeon Henderson, RB Ohio State- The most controversial pick of round one comes in here at the final first-round selection. Giving the Eagles a running back after Saquon Barkley’s MVP-worthy season seems like lunacy, but let me make my pitch.
Elite organizations have backup plans in place before they need them. For example, the Eagles selected Cam Jurgens well before Jason Kelce was going to retire, and then groomed him for the position. This year Jurgens played at an exceptional level and helped stabilize the interior of the offensive line.
Saquon Barkley is 28 years old with a lot of mileage on his tires, so to speak. He also has two years left on his contract, and running backs rarely get a top-tier third contract even if they are exceptional. In an elite running back class, the idea of the Eagles taking Barkley’s eventual successor makes a ton of sense.
Jordan Katz’s 2024 NFL Mock Draft 3.0: Two Rounds
After a very exciting free agency period, we are back with the third installment of #MockLyfe! Some team needs have changed, and some player evaluations have changed as well. The last installment of my prediction mock draft was before the combine, which saw a ton of players shine. There are a lot of players who added to their draft stock, and a few who hurt it as well.
A couple of housekeeping notes before we get started. I only did trades for the first round. It is incredibly hard to predict trades in a mock in general, and predicting past the second round is almost impossible. Therefore, I limited myself to only mocking trades in round one.
Also, if your favorite team needs a wide receiver or an offensive lineman, you are in luck this year. I have 12 wide receivers going in the first two rounds (which could be a little high), and even more offensive linemen (which I still could be low on).
Now I know what you’re thinking; “okay that’s cool information, but where do the quarterbacks go? Where are the trades and how many of them do you have?”
Well…
ROUND ONE
1) Chicago Bears: Caleb Williams, QB USC- This decision appears to be a lock, so we won’t spend too much time on it. The Bears have moved on from Justin Fields, and surrounded Williams with a quality receiving core after the addition of Keenan Allen. They also brought in D’Andre Swift, who should fortify the run game. Williams has the pieces around him to be incredibly successful.
2) Washington Commanders: Jayden Daniels, QB LSU- Daniels appears to be the favorite to go second overall. His impressive showing at the combine has solidified him as a top 3 lock. Whether he goes 2 or not will depend on how much influence Head Coach Dan Quinn has in the selection.
Quinn is someone who values athleticism at every position, and getting a quarterback who runs a 4.33 feels like something that would be atop the wish list. Daniels’s ability to create with his legs would give the Commanders a different dimension to their offense.
3) *TRADE* Minnesota Vikings (from Patriots): Drake Maye, QB North Carolina- This is where the draft starts. Reports coming out of Indianapolis were that quarterbacks would go 1-2-3. The debate is whether the Patriots will make the pick, or trade it and tank for next year. While I would select a quarterback and just wait to play him until the roster was ready, I am not in charge of this one.
For four months the Pats have been a prime candidate to trade down… except for during the last few weeks when the discussion has turned into them being locked into a quarterback. We all know that this is smoke and mirrors season for the draft process. My guess is that the Patriots are tempting someone to move up the board.
Minnesota is desperate to land one of the young quarterbacks after losing Kirk Cousins. On top of their top targets is Maye (Josh McCown has familiarity with him from Maye’s high school days). I also think this is Maye’s best fit. He walks into the league with the best receiver in the game (Justin Jefferson), a top-tier tight end (TJ Hockenson), and an elite offensive-minded coach (Kevin O’Connell).
Should the Patriots’ decision be a trade at three, the Vikings are the slam-dunk move.
The Trade: The Minnesota Vikings trade the #11, #23, a 2025 1st round pick, and a 2025 3rd round pick to the New England Patriots for the #3, #103, and a 2025 4th round pick.
4) Arizona Cardinals: Marvin Harrison Jr., WR Ohio State- If the Patriots make their selection, the Cardinals will be flooded with trade offers, and they will likely get one that is too good to pass up on. However, if the trade happens at three, the trade offers will be lighter, and not worth passing up on Marvin Harrison Jr.
The decision not to participate in the entire pre-draft process may have been questionable to some, but it actually made perfect sense for Harrison Jr. His draft hype was already otherworldly; there was no reason to risk hurting his draft stock. He will likely be the first non-quarterback selected in a few weeks.
5) Los Angeles Chargers: Malik Nabers, WR LSU- Following the release of Mike Williams and the trade of Keenan Allen, the Chargers are now a virtual lock to pick one of the talented top receivers at five. There is a chance they wind up with Marvin Harrison, but I think Nabers is the better fit. The Chargers need a playmaker with the ball to open up this offense, and Nabers is the best “YAC,” player in the draft. He also runs good routes from the slot and the boundary positions.
6) New York Giants: J.J. McCarthy, QB Michigan- I might be falling for the bait, but I think the Giants are the floor for McCarthy’s draft stock. Daniel Jones is simply not the answer long term. McCarthy’s athleticism would be appealing to Head Coach Brian DaBoll, and he could start or sit depending on what he earns in training camp.
Editor’s Note: We do need to address the elephant in the room; why is everyone in love with J.J. McCarthy? In my opinion, the arm talent is the only answer to that question. Teams fall in love with arm talent and feel that they can coach up the rest. McCarthy does have a chance if he sits, and I do believe the Giants would sit him in year one.
7) Tennessee Titans: Joe Alt, OT Notre Dame- Much like the Chargers, the Titans are a lock in terms of the position they are selecting at seven. They signed Calvin Ridley to round out their receiving core, so finding a left tackle is now priority number one.
Alt is the consensus top tackle in a terrific offensive line class, but keep an eye on Olu Fashanu here. When Andrew Thomas went fourth overall to the Giants, which surprised many, there were rumors that one team had him so high on their board that they refused to pass if he was available. There are those rumors about Olu Fashanu at this time.
8) Atlanta Falcons: Dallas Turner, EDGE Alabama- I did try to trade this pick for Atlanta, but the offers were not up to par. Therefore, if Atlanta is stuck in this spot, they likely take the top edge guy on the board.
Turner’s ceiling is not as high as the top edge guys from past years, but he is an elite athlete who is best served standing up in a 3-4. The Falcons’ defense stunk last year in terms of getting to the passer, so Turner can make an immediate impact there.
9) Chicago Bears: Olu Fashanu, OT Penn State- Selfishly, I am glad we have returned to normalcy when it comes to Olu Fashanu and his draft stock. You would think the Bears have to go offensive line with this selection, but keep an eye on Brock Bowers potentially landing here. While it makes little sense because of their needs up front and the Bears having Cole Kmet, Bowers has met with the Bears twice already. He is also expected to go in this range.
10) New York Jets: Rome Odunze, WR Washington- Much like the Falcons, I think the Jets ultimately get stuck at 10 on draft night. If they are, this is a literal coin flip between Odunze and Taliese Fuaga in the scenario this mock has created. The Jets still need both positions long-term despite the one-year signings of Mike Williams and Tyron Smith. What this selection could come down to is the uncertainty of Williams coming off of surgery. Odunze’s route running skills and 50/50 ability would be something Aaron Rodgers would love in the offense.
Editor’s Note: The Jets are being tied to Brock Bowers at 10, but I think that’s a smoke screen. Joe Douglas has only picked premium positions in round one during his time in New York, and tight end is simply not that when it comes to top 10 selections. To me, the Bowers move becomes more possible if the Jets move backward in the first round.
11) *TRADE* New England Patriots (from Vikings): Taliese Fuaga, OT Oregon State- If the Patriots are going to punt the season and wait for a quarterback until the roster is ready, building the offensive line back up should be the top priority. Fuaga plays with immense physicality and quality lower body technique. He can play the left side or the right side at the next level, and that is appealing to many.
The Trade: See Pick #3.
12) *TRADE* Dallas Cowboys (from Broncos): Amarius Mims, OT Georgia- In previous mocks, I have talked about Bo Nix and how he is a perfect fit for the Denver Broncos. However, this is a little early for that move. The more likely scenario is them moving backward, adding assets, and selecting that quarterback later in round one.
Dallas also has to find their Tyron Smith replacement, so them getting aggressive here also makes sense.
Mims this high is a bold call, but teams are infatuated with his athleticism and upside. Even with limited tape, there are plenty who think he can be an elite tackle at the next level. Plus, teams will always take an elite athlete over an average one with great tape.
The Trade: The Dallas Cowboys trade the #24, #56 and a 2025 2nd round pick to the Denver Broncos for the #12 and #136.
13) Las Vegas Raiders: JC Latham, OT Alabama- Look for Vegas to make their quarterback move in this draft by trading back into round one. At this spot, offensive line makes the most sense. Latham is a plug-and-play right tackle from day one, something Vegas desperately needs.
14) New Orleans Saints: Brock Bowers, TE Georgia- Keep an eye on the Saints to move up this draft board to ensure a pass catcher opposite Chris Olave. It is by far their biggest need, and the players at the top are elite. Should Bowers slide a bit, this feels like his floor because of that need. He is a do-it-all tight end with YAC ability to boot.
15) Indianapolis Colts: Terrion Arnold, CB Alabama- What an absolute steal this would be for the Colts. Arnold is arguably the top player in the draft on the defensive side of the ball, and the Colts need a true number one corner. In a year with a lot of talent, good players are going to fall when the quarterbacks go high, and Arnold falls victim to that.
16) Seattle Seahawks: Troy Fautanu, OL Washington- The Seahawks lost a lot along the interior of their offensive line this offseason. Fautanu has all-pro ability at guard, and his versatility to play multiple spots is something NFL teams will value.
17) Jacksonville Jaguars: Jared Verse, EDGE Florida State- The uncertainty around Josh Allen’s future with the team is why the Jags go edge here at 17. I’m going with Verse because his buzz leaving Indianapolis last month was high, but do not sleep on Chop Robinson going this early. No one had a better showing than Robinson at the Combine, and teams love elite athletes off the edge.
18) Cincinnati Bengals: Adonai Mitchell, WR Texas- The back end of this first round could get wild because of the immense talent in this class. You could see a lot of teams taking “their guy,” instead of the consensus best player at that position. Adonai Mitchell over Brian Thomas Jr is one of those instances. He’s a 50/50 playmaker and he wins in the red zone.
In terms of draft needs for Cincy, I do think Tee Higgins moves on draft day (stay tuned for that later), which makes pass catcher their primary need based on how their offense operates.
19) Los Angeles Rams: Byron Murphy II, IDL Texas- What a perfect fit this is. Following the retirement of Aaron Donald, defensive line is incredibly likely at 19. Murphy fills the need for a pass rusher, while also replacing Aaron Donald in the starting lineup for all three downs. I do think edge is in play here, but I love the idea of Murphy and Kobe Turner wrecking games from the interior.
20) Pittsburgh Steelers: Tyler Guyton, OT Oklahoma– Pittsburgh could go several different directions here, but the most likely seems to be offensive line. Guyton is still not a day-one player in my eyes, but I think the NFL may feel differently. He does possess a lot of power in his strikes, and teams like his upside because of his athleticism.
21) Miami Dolphins: Graham Barton, IOL Duke- Miami got gutted along the interior of their offensive line during the offseason. They need to address that early in this draft. Barton can play any spot up front, giving the Dolphins some draft flexibility while simultaneously addressing a need. This is an easy pick.
22) *TRADE* Carolina Panthers (from Eagles): Briant Thomas Jr., WR LSU- The Panthers have quietly had a really good offseason. They have added a few pieces to fortify their offensive line, and they added Diontae Johnson as a target for Bryce Young. If the right situation presents itself, they could move up the draft board for a pass catcher that falls, like Brian Thomas Jr did here.
Conversely, the Eagles are a perfect trade-down candidate. They addressed a lot of their needs during free agency. This is the perfect time for General Manager Howie Roseman to add a few assets to help fill out the depth of the roster.
I do not know if this exact trade happens on draft day, but I would keep an eye on both of these teams moving around the board early in this draft.
The Trade: The Carolina Panthers trade the #39, #65 and a 2025 3rd round pick to the Philadelphia Eagles for the #22 and a 2025 4th round pick.
23) *TRADE* New England Patriots (from Vikings via Texans): Laiatu Latu, EDGE UCLA- The best way to rebuild a roster is through the trenches. Following offensive line at 11, the Patriots add the best pass rusher on tape from the 2024 draft class.
Despite being many’s top pass rusher, I think Latu could slide even further than this on draft day. His athletic testing was not elite in Indianapolis last month. When you combine that with his injury history, he could be one of the players who slides to day two. However, the tape is excellent and he has the best move-set in the entire draft class.
The Trade: See Pick #3.
24) *TRADE* Denver Broncos (from Cowboys): Bo Nix, QB Oregon- This is the perfect scenario for Denver on draft day, and a very realistic one as well. 12 is too high to take Nix, but they must come out of this draft with a quarterback. They also do not have a second round pick to trade up for one after making a selection at 12. Therefore, moving down the draft board, recouping that second-rounder, and still getting Nix is a home run.
The Trade: See Pick #12.
25) *TRADE* Kansas City Chiefs (from Packers): Quinyon Mitchell, CB Toledo- Hand up, I was dead wrong about Quinyon Mitchell. Some guys overperform at the combine and it forces you to go back and look at their tape to see what you missed. Mitchell was one of those guys for me. I did not see 4.3 speed, I did not see the effortless flipping of his hips that he showed in the drills, and I did not see the ability to break out of his backpedal clean without losing any speed. I saw a good player on tape; Mitchell proved he could be a great player at the combine.
The Chiefs had to let L’Jarius Sneed go because of cap issues, so replacing him with a toolsy corner like Mitchell makes a ton of sense. That is why they get aggressive and move up to land their guy.
The Trade: The Kansas City Chiefs trade the #32, #95 and #141 to the Green Bay Packers for the 25th overall selection.
26) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Nate Wiggins, CB Clemson- Speaking of toolsy cornerbacks, Wiggins has elite athleticism and is one of the better man cover corners in the draft. The Bucs got jumped for Quinyon Mitchell who fell down the draft board a bit, but their consolation prize is a player who fits Todd Bowles’s defense very well.
27) *TRADE* Cincinnati Bengals (from Cardinals via Texans): Jackson Powers-Johnson, IOL Oregon- I hinted at the Tee Higgins trade earlier and we have arrived. If you think about it, this is the perfect Tee Higgins trade. The Bengals are not going to want to trade him in the conference, and they likely will not want to give him to a championship contender either. Enter the Arizona Cardinals, who have a ton of cap space and need multiple weapons in their receiving corpse. With two moves in round one, the Cardinals have one of the best receiving duos in the league if MHJ lives up to the hype.
The Bengals continue to revamp their offensive line here with the selection of Jackson Powers-Johnson. He is one of the top interior offensive linemen in this draft because of his intelligence in pass protection and his footwork.
The Trade: The Cincinnati Bengals trade Tee Higgins and a 2025 3rd Round Pick to the Arizona Cardinals for the 27th overall selection.
28) *TRADE* Las Vegas Raiders (from Bills): Michael Penix Jr., QB Washington- Vegas did sign Gardner Minshew to a two-year deal, but I don’t think that rules out quarterback in this draft. They are in a great position to take a quarterback late in round one and sit him behind Minshew in year one. That is why they are the perfect team for Michael Penix Jr. They trade up to get a fifth-year option out of a guy who they hope is their quarterback of the future.
The Trade: The Las Vegas Raiders trade the #44, #77 and a 2025 2nd round pick to the Buffalo Bills for the #28 and a 2025 4th round pick.
29) Detroit Lions: Darius Robinson, DL Missouri- If teams around them did not trade out of round one, Detroit would have been a great candidate to do so. Their needs have shrunk since free agency ended, making “BPA,” a great idea. Robinson’s versatility and athleticism up front make him a terrific fit in Detroit’s defense.
30) Baltimore Ravens: Chop Robinson, EDGE Penn State- Baltimore is going to find a steal here at 30. While they somehow always find a way to steal someone, in a draft where quarterbacks going early will force talent to slide, it feels like even more of a foregone conclusion this time.
One of the biggest winners from the combine was Chop Robinson. He showed upper-echelon athleticism and flashed elite dip-and-bend potential during the on-field drills. His tape is not as complete as the other edge rushers, but the upside may be higher than all of them.
31) San Francisco 49ers: Jordan Morgan, OT Arizona- The Niners will likely add to their offensive line depth somewhere in this draft. Morgan’s athleticism should allow him to play the left or right side in this offense, and his footwork should help him be a solid pass protector right away.
32) *TRADE* Green Bay Packers (from Chiefs): Edgerrin Cooper, LB Texas A&M- The Packers used a top 30 visit on the best off-ball linebacker in the draft class, which means they could look to take him a little before his expected draft value. Cooper can do it all, including rushing the passer from that second-level spot. He would add a different dimension to this Packers’ defense.
The Trade: See Pick #25.
ROUND TWO
33) Carolina Panthers: Braden Fiske, DL Florida State- Fiske put together the best combine of any player, making him a shoo-in for the top 50 picks. Carolina could use some versatility up-front, which makes this a good fit as well.
34) New England Patriots: Zach Frazier, IOL West Virginia- The Patriots continue to rebuild in the trenches with Frazier, who some think is the best interior offensive lineman in the draft because of his powerful strikes and ability to anchor.
35) Arizona Cardinals: Cooper DeJean, CB Iowa- Best defensive player available is an excellent strategy for the Cardinals at the top of round two. DeJean sliding to round two makes him an absolute steal because there is still an argument to be made for him being the top corner in this draft not named Arnold.
36) Washington Commanders: Kingsley Suamataia, OL BYU- Suamataia makes the 12th offensive lineman to go in the first 36 picks of this mock! Keep an eye on Washington moving back into round one to land a tackle as well because they need one that badly. They are fortunate to get one here at 36.
37) Los Angeles Chargers: Xavier Worthy, WR Texas- The Chargers doubling up on receiver makes sense. Quentin Johnston was terrible last season, and he’s the only real weapon on this roster right now. Worthy ran a 4.21 at the combine, so you know he can make some plays with the ball in his hands.
38) Tennessee Titans: T’Vondre Sweat, IDL Texas- Some might say this is early for a one-tech, but not every nose tackle moves as fluidly as Sweat. He also can rush the passer, which is needed in today’s NFL.
39) *TRADE* Philadelphia Eagles (from Panthers via Giants): Payton Wilson, LB NC State- The Eagles made some cheap signings at linebacker, but adding a quality player instead of trying to resurrect some careers still feels like a smart move. Wilson is an excellent player in coverage, and he shoots the right gaps from the second level.
The Trade: See Pick #22.
40) Washington Commanders (from Bears): Kool-Aid McKinstry, CB Alabama- McKinstry didn’t test at the combine due to injury, which hurts his chances to go in round one. Still, someone is going to take him early in round two because of his ability to excel in multiple coverages.
41) Green Bay Packers (from Jets): Jer’Zhan Newton, IDL Illinois- Newton is a quick twitch athlete with a great move-set along the interior. Playing alongside Kenny Clark on passing downs would allow him to thrive at the next level.
42) Houston Texans (from Vikings): Troy Franklin, WR Oregon- Houston’s first pick in this draft addresses a sneaky need. This offense sputtered at times when Tank Dell went down. Continuing to give CJ Stroud weapons is a very smart move.
43) Atlanta Falcons: Junior Colson, LB Michigan- The run on off-ball linebackers continues with the Falcons selecting Colson to solidify the second level of their defense. Colson is polarizing, but captaining the defense of the national champions is going to be appealing to NFL teams.
44) *TRADE* Buffalo Bills (from Raiders): Ennis Rakestraw Jr., CB Missouri- Buffalo really needs help at corner, and this is way too low for Rakestraw according to most pundits. This is a case of a good player falling into a great situation.
The Trade: See Pick #28.
45) New Orleans Saints (from Broncos): Kris Jenkins, IDL Michigan- The Saints were not great against the run last year. Kris Jenkins changes that from day one, and he adds a pass rushing element from the interior.
46) Indianapolis Colts: Xavier Leggette, WR South Carolina- Leggette has some Deebo Samuel in him, who also coincidentally was a South Carolina grad. He’s a good playmaker with the ball in his hands, and everything he does is at 100% speed.
47) New York Giants (from Seahawks): Ladd McConkey, WR Georgia- Should the Giants take JJ McCarthy at six, they must get a pass catcher in the middle of round two. McConkey wins from all over the field, and he’s a very savvy route runner.
48) Jacksonville Jaguars: Kamari Lassiter, CB Georgia- The Jags need some depth in their secondary, which is a good target for them early in this draft. Lassiter had a really nice combine, which helped his draft stock immensely as someone who lined up in the nickel a fair amount.
49) Cincinnati Bengals: Trey Benson, RB Florida State- Call me crazy, but Zack Moss as a “bell cow,” is not an intriguing proposition. Benson showed the “home run ability,” with an incredible showing at the combine, and he should be a lock for the top running back selected in a few weeks.
50) Philadelphia Eagles (from New Orleans): Cooper Beebe, IOL Kansas State- The Eagles love to have an abundance of depth in the trenches, and right now they are lacking that on the offensive side of the ball. Beebe fits a need based on how the team operates.
51) Pittsburgh Steelers: Malachi Corley, WR Western Kentucky- Corley has been the draft darling of many. He’s terrific from the slot, and he tested off the charts in Indianapolis. He’s a perfect fit as the number two receiver for the Steelers.
52) Los Angeles Rams: Marshawn Kneeland, EDGE Western Michigan- The Rams continue to revamp their defensive front seven. Kneeland is a quality power rusher who flashed some nice athleticism at the combine.
53) Philadelphia Eagles: Javon Bullard, S Georgia- There is a real chance a safety does not go before the third round. If there is one that sneaks in, it’s Bullard because of his ability to read and react in the back end.
54) Cleveland Browns: Patrick Paul, OT Houston- The Browns could use some depth up front with this first selection in their draft. Paul has ridiculous size and long arms. His technique needs work, but that’s why he sits in his first year.
55) Miami Dolphins: Maason Smith, IDL LSU- Miami is in a tough spot in this draft to nab both of the things they need. Smith is a former five-star recruit who had a lot of injuries in college. If he can reach his potential, this could be a steal.
56) *TRADE* Denver Broncos (from Cowboys): Chris Braswell, EDGE Alabama- Denver lacks a primary pass rusher. While this draft lacks depth in that regard, Braswell is one of the last of the true pass rushers worth taking for a while based on the way this board fell.
The Trade: See Pick #12.
57) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Trevin Wallace, LB Kentucky- Todd Bowles would love an athlete at the second level like Wallace. Wallace has some up-and-down moments on tape, but he has elite upside because he can cover.
58) Green Bay Packers: Zak Zinter, IOL Michigan- I am going to continue to prognosticate that Zinter goes sooner rather than later despite his season-ending leg injury. Green Bay could use some depth along the interior, and Zinter could wind up starting by year’s end.
59) Houston Texans: Mike Sainristil, DB Michigan- Sainristil might go a little higher than expected because he can do a bit of everything in the back end, even if he is elite at very little. The fit makes sense as well because Houston needs depth in their secondary.
60) Buffalo Bills: Ricky Pearsall, WR Florida- Despite the signing of Curtis Samuel, I still think the Bills could add a pass catcher in this draft. Pearsall had a monster showing at the combine, guaranteeing himself a top 2 round selection, in my opinion.
61) Detroit Lions: Bralen Trice, EDGE Washington- Detroit doubles up on defensive line with Trice in the back end of round two. His tape was way better than his combine performance. Trice could be the steal of day two.
62) Baltimore Ravens: Roger Rosengarten, OL Washington- Like Detroit, Baltimore also doubles up, in a way. They take a second guy who tested great athletically and they attempt to correct some technical flaws he may have to turn him into a starter.
63) San Francisco 49ers: Roman Wilson, WR Michigan- 12 receivers in the first two rounds may seem high, but this receiver class is built different. San Francisco could use some assurance in case Brandon Aiyuk does not re-sign, and Wilson’s a better route runner than people think.
64) Kansas City Chiefs: Ja’Tavion Sanders, TE Texas- Should the situation present itself, Kansas City could look for Travis Kelce’s replacement in this draft since Kelce’s days are numbered. Sanders is a good athlete, and he can make an immediate impact in the red zone.
Jordan Katz Prediction Style NFL Mock Draft 2.0: Pre-Free Agency
Editor’s Note: This article was written prior to announcement of Compensatory Picks.
Ladies and Gentlemen, this is the mock draft y’all have been waiting for. This is my first real look at predicting the way the first two days of the draft could go. In 1.0, there was still a lot of guessing because the Combine had not occurred yet. Well, the proceedings in Indianapolis have come and gone, and we now have a more concise idea of the players that are being discussed as round one selections.
A few things to keep in mind about my prediction style mocks. This is NOT based on my own opinions of players, nor do I take into account my evaluation of team needs. This is strictly based on what I have heard and what I have read. It is based on Combine meetings and what the draft media believes each team could do.
Any trades that were made in this mock draft (which are denoted with an asterisk next to the team) are predictions based on the rumors going around the league, as well as what I think the teams could look to do based on the way the board falls.
Lastly, this is by no means a finished product. Some teams may address their needs via free agency in a few days. Having said that, this is the way I think the draft could go if it took place tomorrow.
ROUND ONE
1) Cincinnati Bengals: Joe Burrow, QB LSU
Burrow met with the Bengals during the Combine, and it seems this selection is now a foregone conclusion. Having said that, sometimes during #MockDraftSZN, you have to play out different scenarios. So for the “analysis,” to this pick, let’s play out the scenario I did in my personal mock draft (https://draftstock.net/2020/03/01/jordan-katz-2020-nfl-mock-draft-4-0-post-combine/).
What if Joe Burrow pulls an Eli Manning and tells the Bengals he won’t play for them? Do the Bengals trade out of the first pick and select a QB later on? Do they stay where they are and select Tua Tagovailoa? Do they neglect the Quarterback position all together?
I think the most likely option is that the Bengals would just select Tua Tagovailoa. I do not see the Bengals coming away from this draft without a franchise QB. Either Tua or Burrow will be the top pick, and based on the meetings in Indianapolis, it seems like Joe Burrow is the lock.
2) *Miami Dolphins via Washington Redskins: Tua Tagovailoa, QB Alabama
The Miami Dolphins love Tua Tagovailoa. Owner Stephen Ross has wanted him since early October. Miami spent the entire 2019 season acquiring assets for the opportunity to land a quarterback in this draft. Lastly, Tua received a clean bill of health, and some think he can be ready for training camp. Therefore, the only question appears to be, will Miami trade up to two or three to land the former Alabama star?
Washington has been pumping out rumors that they are interested in drafting Tua at two. This feels like their way of saying they would like to trade down, considering they just picked Dwayne Haskins last year.
3) Detroit Lions: Chase Young, EDGE Ohio State
Detroit is in the best position of the 2020 NFL Draft. If Washington trades out to a team needing a QB, they get arguably the best player in the draft in Chase Young. If Washington takes Young, Detroit now becomes the team to trade backwards and acquire assets. A win-win situation for Detroit in Round One.
4) New York Giants: Isaiah Simmons, ILB/OLB Clemson
I’ll admit, I have some doubts right now about this selection. Dave Gettleman is publicly enamored with the offensive line class, which makes me think he might do the smart thing and take a tackle in round one.
However, I go back to Gettleman’s comments earlier this offseason about needing defensive pieces (he actually said offense is easy, but I’m ignoring his stupidity for the sake of competent writing). The chess piece of the 2020 draft is Isaiah Simmons because he can do so much on the defensive side of the ball. I still think he is the selection at four for Big Blue.
5) *Indianapolis Colts from Washington Redskins via Miami Dolphins: Justin Herbert, QB Oregon
The infamous double trade down! By trading out of the second overall selection, Washington is admitting that even someone with Chase Young’s talent does not make them a playoff team in 2020. Therefore, why not continue to stockpile assets and trade down again? Plenty of teams need quarterbacks, and the beauty of a strong draft class is that you can select a star caliber player outside of the top 10. Washington continues to acquire assets, while Indianapolis trades up for their franchise QB.
6) Los Angeles Chargers: Jordan Love, QB Utah State
The debate between Love and Herbert as QB3 may not be solved until draft day, largely because they have very different skill sets. Love makes plays by being aggressive with the football. He is willing to pull the trigger in any window, and against any coverage scheme.
On the other hand, Herbert is more conservative with the ball, but his arm still allows him to make big time throws.
I think the better fit for the Chargers offense is Jordan Love. This is why QB3 might be decided based on if the Chargers are the third, or fourth team to select a QB on draft night.
7) Carolina Panthers: Jeff Okudah, CB Ohio State
If a QB is on the board here, Carolina is another potential trade down candidate. In the scenario that all four QBs go ahead of them, they wind up selecting the top player on their board. Okudah replaces pending free agent James Bradberry, and changes the way the Panthers play defense because of his elite man coverage ability.
8) Arizona Cardinals: Tristan Wirfs, OT Iowa
The run of offensive tackles could begin with Arizona. Wirfs showed elite athleticism during the NFL Combine, which pairs perfectly with Head Coach Kliff Kingsbury’s offense. Since all four of the top tackles are viewed as day one starters, Arizona takes the best scheme fit for their up tempo, spread offense. That player is Wirfs.
9) Jacksonville Jaguars: Mekhi Becton, OT Louisville
Becton makes the most sense for Jacksonville because of his ability in the run game. He is a mauler, with the athleticism to get out to the second level and the power to run over defenders. I love this fit because Jacksonville can run behind Becton whenever they want, and they can leave him on an island in pass protection.
10) Cleveland Browns: Jedrick Wills Jr., OT Alabama
OT3 in my prediction mock is the top offensive tackle according to many. The reason Wills fell is strictly because the Giants went with Isaiah Simmons at four. If the Giants take a tackle instead, they will select Wills because Wills is viewed as the most complete prospect of the offensive tackle group. If Arizona is the first team selecting a tackle, Wills could wind up going later than expected.
11) New York Jets: Andrew Thomas, OT Georgia
I still have no idea how Thomas is the fourth guy among the top four tackles, but as a Jets fan, I’m not complaining. The run on tackles ends with the Jets scooping my second best player in the draft.
12) Las Vegas Raiders: Henry Ruggs III, WR Alabama
I know Jerry Jeudy is expected to be the first wide receiver selected next month. However, you can make a legitimate argument for each of the big three to be the top guy taken. Jeudy is the best route runner, Lamb’s game is the most complete, and Ruggs is the most explosive. It could depend on which team is selecting when the first receiver comes off the board. If that team is Vegas, don’t be surprised if Head Coach Jon Gruden bangs the drum for Ruggs because of how dynamic he is as a playmaker.
13) *Washington Redskins via Indianapolis Colts: Jerry Jeudy, WR Alabama
Washington hit a home run with the selection of Terry McLaurin last year. Adding Jerry Jeudy to their receiving core would give Dwayne Haskins all the tools he needs to succeed.
14) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: CJ Henderson, CB Florida
Henderson had a phenomenal weekend in Indianapolis, catapulting his draft stock by demonstrating his elite athleticism. The Buccaneers were miserable against the pass last year, making Henderson an easy selection.
15) *Seattle Seahawks via Denver Broncos: K’Lavon Chaisson, EDGE LSU
Seattle is most likely going to let Jadeveon Clowney walk in free agency, putting them back in the market for an edge rusher this offseason. Don’t be surprised if they look to get aggressive and move up the draft board for Chaisson. He has big time dip and bend ability, and excels as a rusher from both the stand up position as well as wtih his hand in the dirt.
Denver could be a trade down candidate if the offensive tackles are gone by the time they select. With the depth of the receiver class, and the measurable difference between Andrew Thomas and the next best tackle, Denver could acquire assets while still selecting a quality player later in round one.
16) *Philadelphia Eagles via Atlanta Falcons: CeeDee Lamb, WR Oklahoma
Should a receiver start to fall like Lamb did here, the Eagles will be one of the teams looking to come up to select them. With Atlanta missing out on Chaisson by one pick, the trade between the two teams writes itself.
Editor’s Note: One of the big three receivers is going to fall in round one. The draft class is too strong at receiver for this not to happen. It does not mean that teams think less of Lamb, assuming Lamb is the guy that falls.
17) Dallas Cowboys: Derrick Brown, IDL Auburn
Dallas is likely to select defense early in the 2020 draft. Brown struggled during the athletic portion of the Combine, but his tape is terrific. He is a do-it-all defensive tackle that can start from day one.
18) Miami Dolphins via Pittsburgh Steelers: Austin Jackson, OT USC
Once Miami moves up for a QB, the rest of the draft is anyone’s best guess. Despite a surprisingly competitive season in 2019, this team has so many needs. Their offensive line is a mess, and you cannot run out a rookie QB out behind a bad offensive line. This makes O-Line my guess as to the selection at 18.
19) Las Vegas Raiders via Chicago Bears: Patrick Queen, ILB LSU
When you flip on the tape of the final few games, there were not many better players in college football than Patrick Queen. We know that General Manager Mike Mayock took a lot of stock in postseason play based on his first round selections from last year (Clelin Ferrell at four, Trayvon Mullen later on). Not only is Patrick Queen a player at a position of need, he also had a terrific postseason for the LSU Tigers.
20) Jacksonville Jaguars via Los Angeles Rams: Kristian Fulton, CB LSU
Jacksonville taking a corner in round one feels like a layup after the AJ Bouye trade. Fulton’s footwork on tape will make him highly coveted in the back end of round one. Assuming the Jaguars pass on a cornerback at nine, don’t be shocked if they try to trade up higher than 20 to ensure they land the cornerback that they covet.
21) *Atlanta Falcons via Philadelphia Eagles: Jonathan Taylor, RB Wisconsin
Here is my first real curveball of the draft. Atlanta taking a running back after cutting Devonta Freeman would not be surprising. Even if they chose to do so in round one, I don’t think anyone would call it a huge shock.
If the first running back off the board is not D’Andre Swift, that’s where many would be stunned. Jonathan Taylor had a superb career at Wisconsin, and he showed home run athleticism during his workout at the NFL Combine. He also interviewed extremely well, and one of the teams that informally interviewed him was the Falcons. This could be a move off of people’s radar that comes to fruition next month.
22) Buffalo Bills: Denzel Mims, WR Baylor
Mims tested off the charts athletically during the weekend in Indy. He’s a big body receiver that makes plays down the field with his size and his athleticism. That is the exact player Buffalo is looking for to round out their receiving core.
23) New England Patriots: Xavier McKinney, FS Alabama
New England has plenty of needs heading into this draft, which is a rarity for the Patriots during this dynasty. Assuming they are able to re-sign Tom Brady (because that’s the only way you can begin to predict their offseason), look for the Patriots to replace Devin McCourty with one of the talented safeties in this draft.
McKinney is a ball hawk in the back end, best served in cover one or cover three. His game play on tape is actually very reminiscent of McCourty. This would be a smooth transition for the back end of Bill Belichick’s defense.
24) New Orleans Saints: Jeff Gladney, CB TCU
There may not be a better fit in the back end of round than Jeff Gladney to the New Orleans Saints. He excels in man coverage, and the Saints need a man cover corner to play opposite Marshon Lattimore. The Saints would be able to blitz more and create more turnover opportunities.
25) Minnesota Vikings: Grant Delpit, FS/SS LSU
The Vikings are losing so many secondary pieces that a defensive back in round one should be a lock. Delpit had an up and down 2019 season at LSU, but he’s a playmaker near the line of scrimmage, and he has the ability to range from the single high safety position (even though he struggled to tackle at times last year).
26) *Washington Redskins from Miami Dolphins via Houston Texans: Josh Jones, OT Houston
Washington is going to need a replacement for Trent Williams once they trade him this offseason. Josh Jones is an elite athlete for a tackle. He has fluid hips and natural ability in pass protection. If he cleans up his footwork (much like Austin Jackson), Jones could be a quality starter for a long time.
27) *Denver Broncos via Seattle Seahawks: Javon Kinlaw, DT South Carolina
I have no idea how Denver pulled this off. They trade down and select a top 15 talent in Kinlaw while acquiring assets. It’s extremely unlikely that Kinlaw lasts this long on draft night, but this is the beauty of a quality draft. When there is a lot of talent, players will fall.
28) Baltimore Ravens: Kenneth Murray, ILB Oklahoma
Murray’s game is very reminiscent of Patrick Queen from a few picks ago. He is the modern day three down linebacker because of his range from sideline to sideline, as well as his ability to cover tight ends and linebackers. Baltimore enters this draft needing defense, a spot that they have rarely been in. More importantly, they are in desperate need of linebackers.
29) Tennessee Titans: Cesar Ruiz, IOL Michigan
Tennessee will most likely select offensive line in round one. Ruiz has the intelligence and athleticism to smoothly transition to guard in the NFL, making him the selection over Lloyd Cushenberry.
30) Green Bay Packers: Justin Jefferson, WR LSU
Green Bay should be locked into a receiver at this spot, and based on the way the board fell, they would definitely scoop up Justin Jefferson.
Having said that, keep an eye on Kenneth Murray or Patrick Queen at this spot, should they be available. Blake Martinez is a pending free agent, and is likely to leave in free agency. With the depth of the receiver class, the Packers could take a middle linebacker in round one, and capitalize on what is a talented group of day two receivers.
31) San Francisco 49ers: Antoine Winfield Jr., FS Minnesota
Of the players that stood out at the Combine, there may have been none bigger than the 5’9 defensive back from Minnesota. Winfield has some Tyrann Mathieu in his game. He can range from the single high position, and he mirrors slot receivers very well. The one question scouts and draft experts had about him was if he possessed NFL level athleticism, which Winfield answered with his workout in Indianapolis. This is probably his ceiling in the draft, but San Francisco needs a replacement for Jimmie Ward, making it plausible for Winfield to sneak into round one.
32) Kansas City Chiefs: D’Andre Swift, RB Georgia
Well, this is the scenario the league should fear. Kansas City winding up with one of the top three running backs makes their offense completely unstoppable in 2020. Swift is the one cut, home run hitter that this offense is missing out of the backfield.
TRADES IN ROUND ONE
1) Miami Dolphins trade the #5, #26, #70, and a 2021 2nd Round Pick to the Washington Redskins for the #2 Overall Selection.
2) Indianapolis Colts trade the #13, #75 and a 2021 1st Round Pick to the Washington Redskins for the #5 and #148.
3) Seattle Seahawks trade the #27, #59 and #64 to the Denver Broncos for the #15 and #95.
4) Philadelphia Eagles trade the #21, #53, #127 and a 2021 4th Round Pick to the Atlanta Falcons for the #16, #70 and a 2021 6th Round Pick.
ROUND TWO
33) Cincinnati Bengals: Lucas Niang, OT TCU
Cincinnati just took their franchise QB. An offensive tackle catapults to the top of their draft wish list in order to properly protect Joe Burrow.
34) Indianapolis Colts via Washington Redskins: Ross Blacklock, IDL TCU
Blacklock could sneak into round one after a terrific weekend in Indianapolis. If he did not have an injury history, his tape combined with his athleticism would make him a round one lock.
35) *Los Angeles Rams via Detroit Lions: Yetur Gross-Matos, EDGE Penn State
I doubt Gross-Matos makes it to round two, but that’s the way the board fell in this prediction mock. The Rams move up to address a need at edge rusher because they hate draft picks.
36) New York Giants: Matthew Peart, OT UCONN
If the Giants do select Isaiah Simmons in round one, addressing the offensive line in round two becomes a must.
37) *Tampa Bay Buccaneers via Los Angeles Chargers: Jacob Eason, QB Washington
I have said it for months in my personal mock drafts; the best scheme fit for any QB this year is Jacob Eason winding up in the hands of Bruce Arians.
38) Carolina Panthers: Neville Gallimore, IDL Oklahoma
Gallimore uses his quickness to his advantage as a pass rusher. He would be a good compliment along the interior for Kawann Short.
39) Miami Dolphins: JK Dobbins, RB Ohio State
The Dolphins will come out of this draft with a starting running back. Dobbins is my top running back, but I think he’s RB3 when the draft rolls around in April.
40) *Dallas Cowboys via Arizona Cardinals: Jeremy Chinn, FS Southern Illinois-
The Cowboys need help all throughout their secondary. Chinn is a big time athlete with impressive range. He would fit nicely in the Cowboys defense.
41) Cleveland Browns: Ashtyn Davis, SS California
Davis is a thumper on tape, with solid ability in cover two. His versatility should make him a day two favorite of many teams.
42) Jacksonville Jaguars: AJ Epenesa, DL Iowa
This is not the best fit for Epenesa, but Jacksonville will need a pass rusher once they trade Yannick Ngakoue. They scoop up Epenesa after a poor showing from him at the Combine.
43) Chicago Bears via Las Vegas Raiders: AJ Terrell, CB Clemson
AJ Terrell slides into the Bears second cornerback slot opposite Kyler Fuller.
44) Indianapolis Colts: Justin Madubuike, IDL Texas A&M
The Colts interior defense has been less than stellar for quite some time. Madubuike brings some toughness and physicality to the middle of the Colts defense.
45) *Los Angeles Chargers via Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Ezra Cleveland, OT Boise State
After trading back and acquiring a few assets, the Chargers select the tackle they would have picked at 37.
46) Denver Broncos: Laviska Shenault Jr., WR Colorado
Denver needs a playmaker opposite Courtland Sutton to help Drew Lock progress in 2020. Shenault’s ability after the catch is very reminiscent of a former Broncos wide receiver, Demariyus Thomas.
47) Atlanta Falcons: Josh Uche, EDGE/OLB Michigan
Uche is undersized for the straight edge position, but he would be a nice fit as a LEO linebacker in Dan Quinn’s defense (aka, where Vic Beasley should have played).
48) New York Jets: Jalen Reagor, WR TCU
Reagor’s play speed is much faster than his athletic testing showed at the Combine. He should still be a high selection on day two.
49) Pittsburgh Steelers: Isaiah Wilson, OT Georgia
More offensive linemen being selected highly. Wilson is a mauler in the run game. His length and physicality will make him an attractive option for the Steelers.
50) Chicago Bears: Lloyd Cushenberry III, IOL LSU
Chicago needs to address their offensive line in order to help Mitchell Trubisky (or whomever their QB is) succeed in 2020.
51) *Arizona Cardinals via Dallas Cowboys: Raekwon Davis, IDL Alabama
Arizona needs to replace multiple starters along their defensive front. My guess is they will do that early on day two.
52) *Detroit Lions via Los Angeles Rams: Trevon Diggs, CB Alabama
The cornerback class is incredibly deep, which is why Detroit can trade back, acquire assets, and still select a starting caliber player.
53) *Atlanta Falcons via Philadelphia Eagles: Damon Arnette, CB Ohio State
Desmond Trufant is looking like he will be a cap cut in a few days. Arnette’s footwork and ball skills make him a potential day one starter in the NFL.
54) *Jacksonville Jaguars via Buffalo Bills (Buffalo Acquires Yannick Ngakoue): Donovan Peoples-Jones, WR Michigan
Buffalo is one of the teams looking to acquire Yannick Ngakoue. I think they are the most likely team to give up a premium draft choice in order to land the talented pass rusher.
Jacksonville needs playmakers, which is why they select DPJ here.
55) *Cleveland Browns from Atlanta Falcons via New England Patriots: Zack Baun, EDGE Wisconsin
Cleveland continues their aggressive offseason mentality they have developed. They trade up for an impact pass rusher in Baun.
56) Miami Dolphins via New Orleans Saints: Terrell Lewis, EDGE Alabama
Miami may choose to address pass rusher via free agency, but right now it’s near the top of their draft needs.
57) Houston Texans: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB LSU
A monster postseason will have Edwards-Helaire highly coveted by teams with zone blocking schemes up front.
58) Minnesota Vikings: Bryce Hall, CB Virginia
Minnesota doubles up on secondary players because they need multiple starters in the back-end.
59) *Denver Broncos via Seattle Seahawks: Malik Harrison, ILB Ohio State
Harrison’s strength is in the run game, but Head Coach Vic Fangio likes defensive players that are physical. This is a natural fit.
60) Baltimore Ravens: Tee Higgins, WR Clemson
My guess is that the draft media is overreacting to Higgins not working out in Indianapolis. I think he will still be a day two selection because of his red zone ability and catch radius.
61) *New York Jets via Tennessee Titans: Matt Hennessy, IOL Temple
New General Manager Joe Douglas will aggressively pursue revamping the Jets offensive line this offseason. He trades up to land the Jets starting Center in 2020.
62) Green Bay Packers: Cole Kmet, TE Notre Dame
Green Bay continues to add weapons for Aaron Rodgers with the top tight end in this draft class.
63) Kansas City Chiefs via San Francisco 49ers: Noah Igbinoghene, CB Auburn
The Chiefs are being gutted at cornerback in terms of the players that will enter free agency. With the defensive back class as strong as ever, look for them to select one early in the draft.
64) *Denver Broncos from Seattle Seahawks via Kansas City Chiefs: Prince Tega Wanogho, OT Auburn
Denver does need to think about replacing Garrett Bolles, who has been awful since entering the league. With a quality tackle class that has some depth to it, this could be a move for them on day two.
TRADES IN ROUND TWO
1) Los Angeles Rams trade the #52, #84 and a 2021 3rd Round Pick to the Detroit Lions for the #35 and a 2021 5th Round Pick.
2) Tampa Bay Buccaneers trade the #45 and a 2021 2nd Round Pick to the Los Angeles Chargers for the #37 and a 2021 4th Round Pick.
3) Dallas Cowboys trade the #51 and #82 to the Arizona Cardinals for the #40 Overall Selection.
4) Buffalo Bills trade the #54 Overall Selection to the Jacksonville Jaguars for Yannick Ngakoue.
5) Cleveland Browns trade the #74, #115, and a 2021 3rd Round Pick to the Atlanta Falcons for the #55 and #140.
6) New York Jets trade the #68 and #120 to the Tennessee Titans for the #61 Overall Selection.
ROUND THREE
65) Cincinnati Bengals: Jaylon Johnson, CB Utah
66) Washington Redskins: Troy Pride Jr., CB Notre Dame
67) Detroit Lions: Marlon Davidson, IDL Auburn
68) *Tennessee Titans from New York Jets via New York Giants: Ben Bartch, OT St. John’s
69) Carolina Panthers: Robert Hunt, IOL Louisiana
70) *Washington Redskins via Miami Dolphins: Brandon Aiyuk, WR Arizona State
71) Los Angeles Chargers: Cam Akers, RB Florida State
72) Arizona Cardinals: KJ Hamler, WR Penn State
73) Jacksonville Jaguars: Kyle Dugger, SS Lenoir-Rhyne
74) *Atlanta Falcons via Cleveland Browns: Adam Trautman, TE Dayton
75) *Washington Redskins via Indianapolis Colts: Julian Okwara, EDGE Notre Dame
76) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Bradlee Anae, EDGE Utah
77) Denver Broncos: Darnay Holmes, CB UCLA
78) Atlanta Falcons: Alohi Gilman, FS/SS Notre Dame
79) New York Jets: Michael Ojemudia, CB Iowa
80) Las Vegas Raiders: Davon Hamilton, IDL Ohio State
81) Las Vegas Raiders via Chicago Bears: Jalen Hurts, QB Oklahoma
82) *Arizona Cardinals via Dallas Cowboys: Curtis Weaver, EDGE Boise State
83) Denver Broncos via Pittsburgh Steelers: Nick Harris, IOL Washington
84) *Detroit Lions via Los Angeles Rams: Troy Dye, ILB Oregon
85) Philadelphia Eagles: Saahdiq Charles, OT LSU
86) *Cincinnati Bengals via Buffalo Bills: Van Jefferson, WR Florida
87) New England Patriots: Ben Bredeson, IOL Michigan
88) New Orleans Saints: Bryan Edwards, WR South Carolina
89) Minnesota Vikings: Damien Lewis, IOL LSU
90) Cleveland Browns via Houston Texans: Jordyn Brooks, ILB Texas Tech
91) Las Vegas Raiders from Houston Texans via Seattle Seahawks: Brandon Jones, SS Texas
92) Baltimore Ravens: Kenny Willekes, EDGE Michigan State
93) Tennessee Titans: Chase Claypool, WR Notre Dame
94) Green Bay Packers: Willie Gay Jr., ILB Mississippi State
95) *Seattle Seahawks from Denver Broncos via San Francisco 49ers: Netane Muti, IOL Fresno State
96) Kansas City Chiefs: Hakeem Adeniji, OL Kansas
TRADES IN ROUND THREE
1) Cincinnati Bengals trade the #107 and #147 to the Buffalo Bills for the #86 Overall Selection.
Jordan Katz 2020 NFL Mock Draft 4.0: Post Combine
The most pivotal weekend in the draft process has come and gone, which means it is time for an updated mock draft. We had some extremely impressive athletic performances during the weekend’s proceedings in Indianapolis. Henry Ruggs and Isaiah Simmons dominated the show, but there were plenty of other players that raised their draft stocks significantly at the Combine.
A few things to keep in mind about my personal style mock drafts. This is strictly what I would do if I were in charge of all 32 teams. If a trade is made, it is because it makes sense for both teams. The selections are based off of my own rankings, as well as my evaluation of team needs. There is also a hidden twist in this mock draft, which you will see early on (Big J tease right there).
Mock Lyfe Never Sleeps, and we’re grinding our gears once again. Let’s get to it.
ROUND ONE
1) *Miami Dolphins via Cincinnati Bengals: Joe Burrow, QB LSU- Part of doing mock drafts is playing out different scenarios, even in a personal style mock draft like this one. So let’s shake things up and assume that Burrow pulls an Eli Manning, and says he does not want to play in Cincinnati. What do the Bengals do?
I think the easy answer is to trade out. Even if Cincinnati has to take “less value,” they would easily pull at least two first round picks from Miami in a trade. In short, Cincinnati can still pull enough value to create a roster that’s ready to insert a QB in 2021. Miami uses their assets to land a franchise QB, while Cincinnati gets their roster ready for Trevor Lawrence next year.
2) Washington Redskins: Chase Young, EDGE Ohio State- In my previous mock, I gave Washington Andrew Thomas, a franchise left tackle to protect their franchise QB. This time, I’ll give them a franchise changing defensive talent.
By now you know that Young is an elite player that changes games as a pass rusher. For those that want to argue “he disappeared late in the season,” the dude had 10 QB pressures and four QB hits against Clemson alone. That narrative is ridiculous, and it’s generated by people looking for clicks. Young is a player that changes your franchise, plain and simple.
3) *Indianapolis Colts via Detroit Lions: Justin Herbert, QB Oregon- In my previous mock, I had the Colts make the jump up for Herbert around pick seven. He’s an ideal guy for Head Coach Frank Reich; a big guy that can make all the throws and moves around with plus athleticism. In this scenario where Joe Burrow chooses to not go to Cincy, the Bengals could still trade out and select a QB at five like Herbert. Therefore, the Colts have to move a little higher up the board to get their guy.
4) New York Giants: Andrew Thomas, OT Georgia- While everyone is all over Mekhi Becton and Tristan Wirfs after this weekend, my top Dawg (if you know, you know) is still Andrew Thomas. His tape is just simply miles better than anyone I have ever scouted. Thomas is smart in pass protection, he throws a wicked first punch, and his hands are always ready for counters. With him “slipping,” to four, the Giants land their left tackle of the future.
5) *Cincinnati Bengals via Miami Dolphins: Jedrick Wills Jr., OT Alabama- If the Bengals do trade out because Joe Burrow refuses to play for them, it makes the most sense for them to build out a roster that can be competitive without elite QB play. Wills would sure up Cincinnati’s offensive line and give them the foundation to select Lawrence in 2021, as I mentioned above.
Editor’s Note: As you know by now from reading my personal style mock drafts, I am lower on Tua Tagovailoa than others. So while Tua is an option for the Bengals if Burrow opts to play elsewhere, for me, he is not.
6) Los Angeles Chargers: Tristan Wirfs, OT (TACKLE, Not Guard) Iowa- I mean, what else does this dude have to do to convince the masses that he is a franchise left tackle? He ran the 40 yard dash in 4.86 seconds, his 10 yard split was sub 1.7 seconds (a freakish time), and he showed elite power in his legs during vertical and broad jumps. We know his game matches his athleticism, so why move him to guard? Wirfs deserves the chance to start a tackle right away.
7) Carolina Panthers: Jeffrey Okudah, CB Ohio State- I thought about mocking a scenario where the Panthers re-sign James Bradbury, but I just can’t see them putting 15+ million into a corner with amount of needs they have. Instead, they use that money to rebuild their roster, and select the best cover corner in the draft like they did last time.
8) Arizona Cardinals: Derrick Brown, IDL Auburn- Arizona has a number of needs in the trenches, one of which is continuing to revamp their front seven. Brown did not have a good weekend, struggling during the athletic portion of the Combine. However, he still has phenomenal tape. His ability to win one-on-one matchups with quickness and power will make him a hot commodity early in the draft.
9) Jacksonville Jaguars: Isaiah Simmons, OLB/ILB Clemson- With all the talent at the top this year, someone has to fall once the Quarterbacks get mixed in. This time, that someone was the Unicorn. Jacksonville is in a prime position to capitalize on players that fall, and they do so here.
10) Cleveland Browns: Mekhi Becton, OT Louisville- Think about how good of an athlete you have to be to run a 5.11 in the 40 at 364 pounds. Now imagine that player was a mauler up front with legit first round technique. That’s who Mekhi Becton is, and that’s the player the Browns are getting at 10.
11) New York Jets: Henry Ruggs III, WR Alabama- Okay, so in a world where the Jets have to go receiver, CeeDee Lamb should still be the choice. His game is the most complete of any receiver in the class. However, Ruggs proved why he’s my WR2 this weekend, so let’s make the case for him to be WR1.
If you believe Ruggs is a better route runner than the draft media is giving him credit for, which I do, then you have an elite player on your hands. Ruggs can win contested catches with strong hands and a big time vertical. In fact, he had the highest recorded vertical of any player to run a sub 4.3 in the history of the Combine (shout out to Nick Depinho for this stat). This is an elite playmaker, and in an era where you have to make YAC plays to be successful, maybe Ruggs deserves to be WR1.
12) Las Vegas Raiders: CeeDee Lamb, WR Oklahoma- Allow me to take this opportunity to explain why Lamb is still my WR1. Lamb is a threat to score in so many ways. He can take the top off of the defense, he’s a nightmare with the ball in his hands, and he’s ridiculously quick in and out of cuts. Lamb’s 10 yard split at the combine was 1.46, which is just .03 seconds slower than Henry Ruggs! His game is complete, and that’s why he is still WR1 on my board.
13) *Detroit Lions via Indianapolis Colts: K’Lavon Chaisson, EDGE LSU- I prefer when the prospects work out at the combine because it’s a free chance to compete against your fellow draft prospects. However, I recognize that this is a business, and Chaisson made a good business decision. The edge rushers that did work out did not have a good weekend, making Chaisson a top 20 lock. His dip and bend ability would be a terrific fit in Matt Patricia’s aggressive defense.
14) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Kristian Fulton, CB LSU- Tampa Bay’s defense was number one against the run last year. However, they were third to last against the pass. Something tells me that the Bucs could use defensive backs this offseason. Todd Bowles plays man to man defense a lot, and Fulton shows good technique when mirroring and trailing receivers. This is a very good fit.
15) *Philadelphia Eagles via Denver Broncos: Jerry Jeudy, WR Alabama- Philadelphia getting aggressive for one of the big three wide receivers makes a lot of sense. They do need a corner, but they also need a real threat on the outside for Carson Wentz. If I were running the show, I would look to move up a few spots into the teens for whichever of the big three slides down the board a bit.
Editor’s Note: Jeudy had a really nice weekend. He showed some elite speed that people did not think he had. His strength is still as a route runner, but showing the top end speed was a plus for him.
16) Atlanta Falcons: Jeff Gladney, CB TCU- Gladney continues to rise up my personal mock drafts. His ability to mirror receivers from the boundary as well as the slot makes him a weapon at the next level. For a team that requires their corners to do a lot, Gladney’s footwork and technique make him a great fit in Atlanta.
17) Dallas Cowboys: Javon Kinlaw, DT South Carolina- In my previous mock, I assumed the Cowboys brought back Dak Prescott, but let Amari Cooper walk. This time, I assumed that both re-upped, which puts defense at the top of their draft needs.
Much like Chaisson, Kinlaw not working out this weekend definitely helped his draft stock. He was less productive than Derrick Brown on tape, but after the weekend, there is little doubt that he is significantly more athletic. Kinlaw may not have put the QB down a lot during college, but he won a lot of reps on tape with multiple moves and good quickness for his size. I think he would flourish with a team like Dallas.
18) *Cincinnati Bengals from Miami Dolphins via Pittsburgh Steelers: Grant Delpit, FS/SS LSU- Cincinnati needs playmakers on their roster, and Delpit is just that. He may have struggled during his final year at LSU, but Delpit is still an elite playmaker in the secondary with the ability to change games at the line of scrimmage. He’s an impact player, and the Bengals need those.
19) Las Vegas Raiders via Chicago Bears: Patrick Queen, ILB LSU- This pick stays the same from the last mock, largely because it’s just so obvious to me. Queen is a three down linebacker with the ability to cover tight ends and running backs out of the backfield. I think he’s a plug and play guy from day one in the middle of the front seven for any NFL team.
20) Jacksonville Jaguars via Los Angeles Rams: CJ Henderson, CB Florida- “Mr. 4.39,” balled out this weekend in Indianapolis, and catapulted his draft stock even further. As someone who loved his footwork and knew the kind of athlete he was before the weekend started, this was the Combine I thought he would have. He can excel in both man and zone coverage, making him a really good fit in Jacksonville’s defense.
21) *Denver Broncos via Philadelphia Eagles: AJ Epenesa, DL Iowa- Epenesa did not have great times for a player on the edge. Having said that, he did test incredibly well for an interior defensive lineman. If you have been paying attention to my mock drafts, you know that I view him as a 3-4 defensive end. He’s a 3 tech and a 5 tech player, not a dip and bend guy. Use his strengths to his advantage. Denver is losing a few starters up front, which makes them a good landing spot for Epenesa.
22) Buffalo Bills: Justin Jefferson, WR LSU- Jefferson had a great weekend, and put himself into the round one conversation by showing top tier athleticism to match his quality route tree at LSU. Fortunately for me, I had a round one grade on him all along. Buffalo needs a true number one receiver, which is what I expect them to select in round one.
23) *Kansas City Chiefs via New England Patriots: JK Dobbins, RB Ohio State- I loved this move by the Chiefs in my previous mock draft, so it stays in this one too. Dobbins has home run ability every time he touches it. He has elite vision as a one cut back, and makes plays in the passing game too. Kansas City trades up for the only weapon their offense is missing.
24) New Orleans Saints: Tua Tagovailoa, QB Alabama- Another pick that stays the same from my previous mock, and it’s largely because of the medical reports about Tua. While he passed everything he had to, there are rumblings that teams may want him to sit for 2020. If that’s the case, when you combine that with where I evaluated his tape (I have questions about his ability to make progressions, as well as his ability to anticipate receivers out of their break), it makes more sense for teams to take him in the back end of round one.
25) Minnesota Vikings: Damon Arnette, CB Ohio State- Arnette has first round tape. He’s physical with receivers, his footwork in trail coverage is clean, and he breaks quickly out of his backpedal. His 40 time was a bit concerning for someone that is not super long, but his tape is so good that if he answers the character concerns teams will have about him, I would take him in the top 40.
26) Miami Dolphins via Houston Texans: Lloyd Cushenberry III, IOL LSU- I wanted to go a different direction with this pick, but if Miami lands Burrow because Burrow plays the “Eli Manning,” card with the Bengals, getting Burrow his Center from LSU feels like a layup.
27) Seattle Seahawks: Yetur Gross-Matos, EDGE Penn State- Gross-Matos did not participate in the athletic testing of the Combine, but he did choose to do the drills. And during the drills, he showed why he is the top guy in the second tier of edge rushers. He has a bevy of moves as a rusher, and he showed solid ability to run the edge and flatten towards the QB during the drills. Seattle needs pass rushers, making them a likely landing spot for Gross-Matos, both on my board and in real life.
28) Baltimore Ravens: Kenneth Murray, ILB Oklahoma- This is a little bit of an overdraft based on the tape grade I gave him, but Murray looked good this weekend. He showed elite athleticism for the linebacker position, and a quick twitch ability during the drills. Baltimore is losing a lot of positions along the front seven, so they reach a bit for the last three down linebacker in the 2020 class.
29) *Tampa Bay Buccaneers via Tennessee Titans: Jacob Eason, QB Washington- Eason went much higher in my previous mock draft, but the Bucs decided to play this one differently. Instead of taking a QB early, I played this mock draft like they landed a veteran free agent QB. If they do that, trading back into round one and having Eason sit for a year would make the most sense.
Editor’s Note: Eason is ahead of Tua on my personal board, but I think Tua is a better fit for Sean Payton than Eason is. Conversely, Eason is a better fit for Bruce Arians than Tua is.
30) Green Bay Packers: Denzel Mims, WR Baylor- The good news is that I was very high on Mims before the combine. He’s a big body receiver that excels down the field, separating with size and speed. He is what people thought Tee Higgins was, a Brandon Marshall-like receiver.
The bad news is, I did not have Mims high enough. He crushed his workout, running a strong 40 and the best three cone of the group. Let me say that again for the people in the back. At almost 6’3, he ran the best three cone of a loaded receiver group. Aaron Rodgers would love throwing to this kid.
31) San Francisco 49ers: Xavier McKinney, FS Alabama- McKinney’s ball hawking ability in the Niners aggressive cover three defense is a match made in heaven. He can also roam from the single high spot in cover one. San Francisco does not have many needs, but one of them is a safety to control the last line of defense. This is a good fit for the player and the team.
32) *New England Patriots via Kansas City Chiefs: Cesar Ruiz, IOL Michigan- Ruiz is one of my favorite prospects in this draft because he’s a smart offensive lineman with good athleticism. I love OL players that have the intelligence to play multiple positions up front, or to start for an extended period of time in college. The NFL looks for elite athletes and thinks they can teach them the technique necessary. I’ll take a smart player over the elite athlete along the OL any day of the week.
TRADES IN ROUND ONE
1) Miami Dolphins trade the #5, #18, #39, a 2021 2nd Round Pick, and a 2021 3rd Round Pick to the Cincinnati Bengals for the #1 Overall Selection.
2) Indianapolis Colts trade the #13, #34, #119, a 2021 1st Round Pick and a 2021 3rd Round Pick to the Detroit Lions for the #3 Overall Selection.
3) Philadelphia Eagles trade the #21, #53 and #168 to the Denver Broncos for the #15 and #115.
4) Kansas City Chiefs trade the #32, #63 and a 2021 3rd Round Pick to the New England Patriots for the #23 and #195.
5) Tampa Bay Buccaneers trade the #45, #161 and a 2021 2nd Round Pick to the Tennessee Titans for the #29 Overall Selection.
ROUND TWO
33) Cincinnati Bengals: Neville Gallimore, DT Oklahoma- Gallimore is an athletic pass rusher that would compliment Geno Atkins extremely well.
34) *Detroit Lions from Indianapolis Colts via Washington Redskins: AJ Terrell, CB Clemson- Detroit is going to trade Darius Slay this offseason (see the latter portions of this mock draft for that prediction), which puts corner atop their needs this offseason.
35) Detroit Lions: Justin Madubuike, IDL Texas A&M- The depth in the defensive line group did not impress me much this weekend, which is why Madubuike’s athleticism as a pass rusher allows him to fly up the draft board this time.
36) New York Giants: Antoine Winfield Jr., DB Minnesota- Winfield answered the athletic questions people had about him, which should make him a top 40 lock. He mans up in the slot, and he can cover as a safety from cover one or cover two.
37) Los Angeles Chargers: D’Andre Swift, RB Georgia- I don’t think Austin Eckeler and Justin Jackson can produce enough to replace Melvin Gordon, which is why I would select one of the talented running backs in this draft if I were the Chargers.
38) Carolina Panthers: Ross Blacklock, IDL TCU- Blacklock would be my number three IDL if he did not miss 2018 with an injury. He’s a better version of Gallimore and Madubuike on tape. Carolina gets a heck of a player here.
39) *Cincinnati Bengals via Miami Dolphins: Bryce Hall, CB Virginia- Hall had an ankle injury this year, which means has to test well at his pro day. If he does, and you combine that with his intelligence as well as his technique in off coverage, Hall will be a top 50 lock.
Editor’s Note: Look at the way Cincinnati has rebuilt their roster in this draft. That is why you build the roster before selecting the QB.
40) Arizona Cardinals: Austin Jackson, OT USC- Austin Jackson goes against everything I stand for with regards to OL prospects. However, I think his ability to knock players off the arch and his athleticism are too good. One team will take a swing on being able to teach him the finer points of OL play.
41) Cleveland Browns: Josh Uche, EDGE/OLB Michigan- The Browns need playmakers on their defense, and Uche is a playmaker as a pass rusher. He fits right in as a LEO linebacker on the Browns.
42) Jacksonville Jaguars: Van Jefferson, WR Florida- Jacksonville does not have enough weapons on offense to compete for the playoffs in 2020. Van Jefferson’s route running ability makes him a playmaker at the next level.
43) Chicago Bears via Las Vegas Raiders: Matthew Peart, OT UCONN- Peart showed up in a big way this weekend, and I like his technique in pass protection on tape too. He’s a good fit for Matt Nagy and the Bears.
44) Indianapolis Colts: Ashtyn Davis, SS California- Davis is a thumper with legit ability in cover two. He’s a perfect fit to play alongside Malik Hooker in the back end of the Colts defense.
45) *Tennessee Titans via Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Lucas Niang, OT TCU- Jack Conklin is likely walking in free agency, and one of the reasons why is because this OT group is very strong. Niang’s power up front makes him a perfect fit on the right side of any NFL offensive line.
46) Denver Broncos: Noah Igbinoghene, CB Auburn- The converted wide receiver turned corner has come a long way very quickly. Give him to a defensive guru like Vic Fangio, and he could turn into a star.
47) Atlanta Falcons: Julian Okwara, EDGE Notre Dame- Okwara does not play the run particularly well, but this dude is a dog as a pass rusher. He dips and bends really well, and uses the cross chop and rip moves to win reps against opposing tackles.
48) New York Jets: Ben Bredeson, IOL Michigan- Bredeson does not have elite length, but he makes up for that with his intelligence. I really like this fit for Adam Gase and the Jets.
49) Pittsburgh Steelers: Ben Bartch, OT St. John’s- OL continues to fly off the board. The Steelers need a right tackle, which is what Bartch projects as at the next level because of his strength and ability in jump sets.
50) Chicago Bears: Kyle Dugger, FS/SS Lenoir-Rhyne- When I heard that Dugger was going to shine this weekend, I made sure to watch him before the proceedings. He jumps off the page as an athlete, which was obvious during the Combine. What I liked about his tape was his range, especially because he’s not particularly great at anticipating just yet. If he were younger (6th year senior), he would be a potential first round selection.
51) Dallas Cowboys: Jaylon Johnson, CB Utah- Dallas will add to their secondary with one of their first two selections in 2020. Johnson is a smart corner that mirrors well, and will fit nicely in the Cowboys secondary.
52) Los Angeles Rams: Jabari Zuniga, EDGE Florida- Zuniga showed the elite athleticism that I saw on tape throughout this weekend. He’s a quality dip and bend player off the edge. Zuniga replaces Dante Fowler, who should walk in free agency.
53) *Denver Broncos via Philadelphia Eagles: Tyler Biadasz, IOL Wisconsin- The enigma of the draft year is what happened to Tyler Biadasz. If a team can unlock his 2018 tape once again, they will have a starting center on their hands for 10+ years.
54) Buffalo Bills: Jonah Jackson, IOL Ohio State- Jackson is a good athlete with a high IQ at the LOS as well as at the second level. He’s a nice day two selection for a team needing a starting interior offensive linemen.
55) Atlanta Falcons via New England Patriots: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB LSU- Devonta Freeman getting cut is a dead giveaway that the Falcons are selecting a running back from this ridiculously talented group.
56) Miami Dolphins via New Orleans Saints: Cam Akers, RB Florida State- Speaking of needing a running back, Miami does not have a bell cow on the roster. Cam Akers is in fact that.
57) *Detroit Lions via Houston Texans: Jalen Reagor, WR TCU- Detroit trades Darius Slay to Houston and selects another target for Matt Stafford to groom into a productive receiver.
58) Minnesota Vikings: Saahdiq Charles, OT LSU- Charles struggles to pick up extra rushers, and does lose his technique at times. However, he’s an elite athlete who has the ability to slide with edge rushers. He could be a nice fit for a team on day two.
59) Seattle Seahawks: Prince Tega Wanogho, OT Auburn- Wanogho is a big time player in the run game. He moves edge players backwards and creates holes for running backs. He checks the boxes as an athlete as well.
60) Baltimore Ravens: Bradlee Anae, EDGE Utah- Baltimore is most likely going to tag Matthew Judon, but they need a plan in place if he walks the following year.
61) Tennessee Titans: Darnay Holmes, CB UCLA- Holmes makes an appearance in my second round because he showed ball skills I did not think he had during the drills at the Combine. Tennessee needs a nickel corner, which is exactly what Holmes is at the next level.
62) *New York Jets via Green Bay Packers: Matt Hennessy, IOL Temple- Temple tough produces yet another day two talent that should start in the NFL for years to come. The Jets trade up to land their starting center.
63) *New England Patriots via Kansas City Chiefs via San Francisco 49ers: Laviska Shenault Jr., WR Colorado- If New England is becoming more playmaker oriented with guys similar to N’Keal Harry, there are not many guys that make plays with the ball in their hands like Laviska Shenault.
64) Seattle Seahawks via Kansas City Chiefs: Cameron Dantzler, CB Mississippi State- Dantzler did not run well in Indianapolis, but he possesses quality footwork, and the necessary size and length that Seattle looks for in their corners.
TRADES IN ROUND TWO
1) Detroit Lions trade CB Darius Slay to the Houston Texans for the #57 Overall Selection.
2) New York Jets trade the #68, #117 and a 2020 4th Round Pick to the Green Bay Packers for the #62 and a 2020 5th Round Pick.
ROUND THREE
65) Cincinnati Bengals: Zack Baun, EDGE Wisconsin
66) Washington Redskins: Isaiah Wilson, OT Georgia
67) Detroit Lions: Marlon Davidson, IDL Auburn
68) *Green Bay Packers from New York Jets via New York Giants: Troy Dye, ILB Oregon
69) Carolina Panthers: Jeremy Chinn, FS Southern Illinois
70) Miami Dolphins: Terrell Lewis, EDGE Alabama
71) Los Angeles Chargers: Jordan Love, QB Utah State
72) Arizona Cardinals: Bryan Edwards, WR South Carolina
73) Jacksonville Jaguars: Jonathan Taylor, RB Wisconsin
74) Cleveland Browns: Alohi Gilman, FS Notre Dame
75) Indianapolis Colts: Michael Pittman Jr., WR USC
76) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Jack Driscoll, OL Auburn
77) Denver Broncos: Tee Higgins, WR Clemson
78) Atlanta Falcons: Cole Kmet, TE Notre Dame
79) New York Jets: Troy Pride Jr., CB Notre Dame
80) Las Vegas Raiders: Trevon Diggs, CB Alabama
81) Las Vegas Raiders via Chicago Bears: Brandon Jones, SS Texas
82) Dallas Cowboys: Alton Robinson, EDGE Syracuse
83) Denver Broncos via Pittsburgh Steelers: Leki Fotu, IDL Utah
84) Los Angeles Rams: Malik Harrison, ILB Ohio State
85) Philadelphia Eagles: Akeem Davis-Gaither, ILB Appalachian State
86) Buffalo Bills: Michael Ojemudia, CB Iowa
87) New England Patriots: Davon Hamilton, IDL Ohio State
88) New Orleans Saints: Devin Duvernay, WR Texas
89) Minnesota Vikings: Curtis Weaver, EDGE Boise State
90) *Tampa Bay Buccaneers from Cleveland Browns via Houston Texans: Eno Benjamin, RB Arizona State
91) Las Vegas Raiders from Houston Texans via Seattle Seahawks: KJ Hamler, WR Penn State
92) Baltimore Ravens: Raekwon Davis, IDL Alabama
93) Tennessee Titans: Tyler Johnson, WR Minnesota
94) Green Bay Packers: Hakeem Adeniji, OL Kansas
95) *Washington Redskins from Denver Broncos via San Francisco 49ers: Zack Moss, RB Utah
96) Kansas City Chiefs: Shane Lemieux, IOL Oregon
TRADES IN ROUND THREE
1) Tampa Bay Buccaneers trade the #107 and a 2021 4th Round Pick to the Cleveland Browns for the #90 and a 2021 6th Round Pick.
2) Washington Redskins trade the #98 and a 2021 5th Round Pick to the Denver Broncos for the #95 and a 2021 6th Round Pick.
Jordan Katz 2019 Prediction Mock Draft 2.0: Post Combine
Y’all know what time it is, lean wit it, mock wit it! Mock Lyfe never, eeeevvvveeeerrr, sleeps, and with the Combine wrapped up, it’s time for a prediction mock draft. This is a more traditional one; the goal here is to try to get every pick right. I base this off of what I see being reported as well as team visits with prospects. Team needs also play a factor. Obviously this is a challenge with Free Agency right around the corner and pro days still to come. However, this is the way I think teams would be leaning if the draft were to take place tomorrow. As always, trades are included, and they are denoted by an asterisk next to the team’s name. We also have a few player trades in this mock draft that shake up the draft board. Who are the players that move, you ask? Let’s find out (Big J level tease right there).
ROUND ONE
1) Arizona Cardinals: Kyler Murray, QB Oklahoma- Personally, there’s no way I would get rid of Josh Rosen for Kyler Murray. Rosen is by far the better QB right now, and I think he has a higher ceiling than Murray as well.
Having said that, Kliff Kingsbury and the Cardinals brass really didn’t do a good job of convincing anyone that they are confident in Josh Rosen. This means one of two things; either the Cardinals will attempt to trade the pick by creating buzz around Murray, or they truly are enamored with the former Heisman trophy winner and want him to be the face of the franchise. I’ll bite on the hype train for now.
2) San Francisco 49ers: Nick Bosa, EDGE Ohio State- The 49ers would freak out if Bosa became available for them at two. That possibility becomes more and more of a reality the more the Cardinals refuse to deny the rumors surrounding Kyler Murray.
3) *New York Giants via New York Jets: Dwayne Haskins, QB Ohio State- This is where the draft gets funky. It’s no secret that the Jets are the most likely team to trade out on draft day. They need assets in this draft to help build a competitive roster in 2019 At least one of the two QBs is more than likely going to be available at the third selection, so the Jets trading out is a strong possibility.
Where this gets interesting is the idea of the Jets and Giants doing a trade together. While one can argue it’s unlikely, it also makes the most sense. The Giants backed themselves into a corner by not coming out of last year’s draft with a quarterback, making them very likely to establish their draft strategy around Dwayne Haskins. They also have a unique opportunity to sit Haskins for a year or two without the fan base becoming restless. Nowadays rookie QBs are forced to play as soon as possible because teams stand such a better chance of building a championship contending roster while their franchise QB is on a rookie deal. The fans also contribute by putting pressure on the franchise to trot out their potential star player as soon as possible.
The Giants won’t have this issue. They still have a quarterback beloved by the fan base, which gives them the luxury of not throwing Haskins to the wolves on day one.
If the Jets and Giants can ignore the outside noise, they could be perfect trade partners in this year’s draft. The Jets get extra assets, the Giants get the heir to Eli Manning’s throne.
4) Oakland Raiders: Quinnen Williams, DT Alabama- The Raiders need to hit on each one of their first round selections to expedite their rebuilding process. Williams is the best prospect on the board, and he will give Oakland a dominant pass rusher along the interior.
5) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Montez Sweat, EDGE Mississippi State- The biggest winner of the combine on the defensive side of the ball was Sweat. He answered every question that scouts had of his ability to dip and bend around the edge… except ya boy who had him as a top ten player on his board (humble brag, not all heroes wear capes). If Tampa Bay cannot trade down here, I would expect them to take the best edge rusher on their board.
6) *New York Jets via New York Giants: Rashan Gary, DL Michigan- The Jets need versatility along their defensive front. Gary can come off the edge as well as rush from the interior. I think his athleticism combined with his potential make him a perfect target for the Jets if they can trade down and stay in the top ten.
7) Jacksonville Jaguars: DK Metcalf, WR Ole Miss- The Jaguars will open up the offense a bit more with Nick Foles under center. In order to do that successfully, they need a true number one receiver. Metcalf generated the most buzz during the combine and established himself as the clear number one receiver in this draft. He would give the Jaguars a legitimately playmaker on the outside.
8) Detroit Lions: Brian Burns, EDGE Florida State- Burns tore it up in Indianapolis and established himself as a top 15 lock. He bulked up to 250 pounds and still showed elite athleticism, which allows him to play either 4-3 defensive end or 3-4 outside linebacker at the next level. The versatility he provides is what will land him in the Top 10.
9) Buffalo Bills: Jawaan Taylor, OT Florida- Taylor appears to be the top offensive tackle in this draft according to most. If the Bills miss out on DK Metcalf, I’d expect Taylor to be the selection, should he be available.
10) Denver Broncos: Devin White, ILB LSU- I know everyone’s mocking the Broncos to take Drew Lock because John Elway appears attracted to the idea of having Joe Flacco be a bridge quarterback. Here’s my counterargument; what if he just picks that guy next year instead of this year? Elway would have the option of taking Justin Herbert or Jake Fromm, two people that scouts think could play from day one (I disagree on Fromm, but that’s a different story for a different day).
Instead of Lock, the Broncos continue to revamp their front seven and take one of the only three down linebackers in the draft.
11) Cincinnati Bengals: Andre Dillard, OT Washington State- It feels like the Bengals have needed offensive line every year for the last five drafts. Dillard is deemed to be the top pass protector this year, and he one of the few true left tackles in the entire draft. The Bengals hopefully find their left tackle of the present and future with this pick.
12) Green Bay Packers: Josh Allen, EDGE Kentucky- There were a few edge rushers that outperformed Allen during the workouts in Indianapolis, which could lead to Allen sliding a bit on draft day. It’s not a knock on Allen as a player, it’s just the realization that players like Sweat and Burns may have more upside.
Assuming he does slide, the Packers are his floor. They need an impact player that can get to the passer on a routine basis. Allen would give them a legitimate rusher off the edge.
13) Miami Dolphins: Daniel Jones, QB Duke- Jones and Drew Lock are a complete toss up for who’s the third quarterback off the board this year. To me, Jones will edge out Lock because Duke’s Head Coach David Cutcliffe is revered in NFL circles for his work with Peyton and Eli Manning. Every advantage helps your draft stock and this is a big one.
14) Atlanta Falcons: Ed Oliver, DT Houston- Atlanta needs to dedicate the early portions of this draft towards strengthening their roster in the trenches. Oliver up front along with Grady Jarrett, Vic Beasley and Takk McKinley would make for an incredibly dominant front four.
15) Washington Redskins: TJ Hockenson, TE Iowa- Should the Cardinals select Kyler Murray first overall, I expect the Redskins to be the heavy favorite to land Josh Rosen via trade (which they do later on in this draft). Therefore, at 15 they look to address their next biggest need; offensive weapons. Even though Noah Fant wowed at the combine, TJ Hockenson proved he was very athletic as well. His blocking skills keep him as the first tight end off the board.
16) Carolina Panthers: Jonah Williams, OL Alabama- Williams is still easily my top offensive tackle, but teams view him as a potential all-pro if he moves to guard. Carolina needs both a starting tackle and a starting guard, so he’s an easy fit here.
17) Cleveland Browns: Christian Wilkins, DT Clemson- The Browns feel like a lock to address interior defensive line with their first round selection. The question will be whether they still take Jeffery Simmons despite the ACL tear, or if they go with someone who will be healthy week one like Christian Wilkins.
18) *New England Patriots via Minnesota Vikings: Noah Fant, TE Iowa- Bill Belichick has been known for surprising the experts on draft day. With extra assets in a weaker draft class, there’s a chance Belichick opts to come up for one of the two Iowa tight ends if they fall farther than people expect. That’s exactly what happens here.
19) *Philadelphia Eagles via Tennessee Titans: Josh Jacobs, RB Alabama- Josh Jacobs may not have worked out during the Combine, but his stock still managed to rise. The rest of the running backs were so average that Jacobs solidified himself as the top running back by a wide margin. The Eagles jump past a few teams to get the running back they covet.
20) Pittsburgh Steelers: Devin Bush, ILB Michigan- If Devin Bush makes it to the Steelers pick at 20, I don’t expect much hesitation here. Bush is a three down linebacker with elite athleticism. He’s also a quality leader according to most things you read.
21) Seattle Seahawks: Greedy Williams, CB LSU- Williams definitely took himself out of the Top 10 conversation with his performance during the on the field drill portion of the combine. Having said that, he most likely remained the top corner because of his elite 40 time. Williams has technical issues, but his length and ball skills combined with his athleticism would make him a phenomenal fit in the Seahawks defense.
22) Baltimore Ravens: Marquise “Hollywood,” Brown, WR Oklahoma- Brown’s foot surgery shouldn’t affect his draft stock too bad because he will still be ready to go for the summer workouts. The Ravens need to give Lamar Jackson some weapons for him to succeed in 2019, and there aren’t many better weapons in this draft than Hollywood Brown.
23) Houston Texans: Cody Ford, OT/OG Oklahoma- I think you all know the drill by now; the Texans need to take offensive line early and often in this draft. Ford should still go in round one despite his athletic testing solidifying him as a guard at the next level.
24) Oakland Raiders via Chicago Bears: Byron Murphy, CB Washington- Murphy’s man cover skills and terrific footwork will make him an attractive option to a lot of teams selecting in the back end of round one. He can line up on the outside and force receivers to the boundary, or he can take away slot receivers with his ability to mirror route combinations.
25) *Tennessee Titans via Philadelphia Eagles: N’Keal Harry, WR Arizona State- The Titans manage to slide down a few spots and still land the pass catcher they covet. Harry is an ideal weapon for Marcus Mariota because of his size in the red zone and his ability to win from the slot position.
26) Indianapolis Colts: Jeffery Simmons, DT Mississippi State- Simmons has reportedly put to rest any issues teams may have had about his off the field antics, which should keep his draft stock in the first 40 picks despite the ACL injury. His pass rushing skills is what makes him a very attractive option to the Colts here at 26.
27) *Pittsburgh Steelers from Oakland Raiders via Dallas Cowboys: Rock Ya-Sin, CB Temple- My prediction for Antonio Brown is that the Raiders use one of their late first round selections to land the star wide receiver. This gives Pittsburgh two first round selections to address their lackluster back seven on defense.
28) Los Angeles Chargers: Dexter Lawrence, NT Clemson- I will continue to call this until I sense the Chargers going in a different direction. Lawrence makes too much sense in the middle of the Chargers defense. He also has the athleticism to play on passing downs.
29) Kansas City Chiefs: Chauncey Gardner-Johnson, FS Florida- The Chiefs are yet another team in the backend of round one that needs secondary help. CGJ is deemed to be the top safety in this draft and the best ballhawk from the single high position. He would pair up nicely with Eric Berry.
30) Green Bay Packers via New Orleans Saints: Irv Smith Jr., TE Alabama- Jimmy Graham’s performance last season was up and down, and he’s a quality option to be a cap cut in either of the next two offseasons. Smith is a really solid blocker, he’s an athlete, and he’s developed into a very good route runner for the position. I think Smith and Aaron Rodgers would make a dynamic duo.
31) *Cincinnati Bengals via Los Angeles Rams: Drew Lock, QB Missouri- I like the idea of the fourth QB in this draft, be that Lock or Daniel Jones, coming off the board in the back end of round one like Lamar Jackson did last year. A likely team to make that move this year is the Bengals. They need the heir to Andy Dalton’s… uhh…. “Throne.” Instead of reaching for a guy at 11, they draft a need position in that spot and then come up into round one to get the fifth year option on their QB of the future.
32) *Minnesota Vikings via New England Patriots: Chris Lindstrom, OG Boston College- The fact that Lindstrom is not going to go in the first 20 picks is a crime. He’s an elite level prospect as a guard. Minnesota trades down and lands one of the best players in the draft.
TRADES IN ROUND ONE
1- New York Giants trade the #6, #37, #108 and a 2020 2nd round pick to the New York Jets for the #3.
2- New England Patriots trade the #32, #56 and #101 to the Minnesota Vikings for the #18, #209 and #247.
3- Philadelphia Eagles trade the #25, #57 and #163 to the Tennessee Titans for the #19 and the #82.
4- Pittsburgh Steelers trade Antonio Brown and a 2020 5th round pick to the Oakland Raiders for the #27.
5- Cincinnati Bengals trade the #42, #72 and a 2020 3rd round pick to the Los Angeles Rams for the #31 and the #133 and a 2020 4th round pick.
ROUND TWO
33) Arizona Cardinals: Garrett Bradbury, C NC State- The Cardinals address their disastrous offensive line by selecting the top center in the draft.
34) Indianapolis Colts via New York Jets: Johnathan Abram, SS Mississippi State- Abram is a perfect scheme fit for the Colts because of Malik Hooker. Abram can be used as a chess piece close to the line of scrimmage with Hooker as the single high safety in the back.
35) Oakland Raiders: Clelin Ferrell, DE Clemson- More defense for the Raiders. Ferrell at the top of round two is a steal in my opinion, but it’s likely where he winds up come April.
36) San Francisco 49ers: Parris Campbell, WR Ohio State- Kyle Shanahan likes chess pieces that create matchup problems for the defense. Campbell’s speed makes him that kind of player.
37) *New York Jets via New York Giants: AJ Brown, WR Ole Miss- The one thing I think the Jets will miss in free agency is a pass catcher. Brown is a dynamic player in the short and intermediate passing game. He’d also be a terrific compliment to Robby Anderson.
38) Jacksonville Jaguars: Dalton Risner, OT/OG Kansas State- The Jaguars need some toughness and intensity up front. Nobody in this draft plays with more intensity than Dalton Risner.
39) *Houston Texans via Tampa Bay Buccaneers: DeAndre Baker, CB Georgia- Baker didn’t have the best weekend in Indianapolis. However, I think scouts like his tape too much for him to fall out of the Top 50. Houston uses assets to come up and get a number two corner.
40) Buffalo Bills: Hakeem Butler, WR Iowa State- Butler is a freakish athlete for someone who’s 6’5. He needs to become more consistent and eliminate drops, but a team is definitely going to gamble on him early in this draft.
41) Denver Broncos: Erik McCoy, C Texas A&M- McCoy can start right away and replace Matt Paradis in the middle of the Broncos offensive line.
42) *Los Angeles Rams via Cincinnati Bengals: Jachai Polite, EDGE Florida- The buzz around Polite was extremely negative coming out of the weekend in Indy, but I think his pass rushing ability will keep him in the first two rounds.
43) Detroit Lions: Nasir Adderley, FS Delaware- Adderley’s ball skills from the single high position will hopefully help the Lions secondary perform better in 2019.
44) Green Bay Packers: Mack Wilson, ILB Alabama- Even though the buzz on him has cooled, I think Wilson is still going to be a Top 50 pick in this draft. There’s a lot of teams that need linebacker help, and only a few that can truly play three downs.
45) Atlanta Falcons: Kaleb McGary, OT Washington- A lot of people like McGary’s potential in the NFL. His athleticism was on display during the athletic testing as well as the on-field drills. I expect him to go pretty high on day two.
46) *Arizona Cardinals via Washington Redskins: Khalen Saunders, DT/NT Western Illinois- Here is the Josh Rosen trade I alluded to earlier. The Redskins use multiple second rounders instead of one first round selection to trade for Rosen, making him their Quarterback of the present and future.
The Cardinals, on the other hand, land a 3-4 defensive lineman with the athleticism to line up all across the defensive front.
47) Carolina Panthers: Kelvin Harmon, WR NC State– The Panthers took DJ Moore in round one last year, but they still need more weapons heading into the 2019 offseason. Assuming Devin Funchess leaves in free agency, Harmon could be an interesting replacement option.
48) Miami Dolphins: David Long, CB Michigan- Long’s outstanding combine should solidify him as a day two selection in April. Miami has reportedly been shopping Xavien Howard, so it’s likely they look for a cornerback in the draft instead of re-signing Howard once the upcoming year ends.
49) Cleveland Browns: Justin Layne, CB Michigan State- Layne had a terrific showing at the combine, as many predicted he would. His ability to excel in multiple coverages makes him an attractive option to the Browns in round two.
50) Minnesota Vikings: Jerry Tillery, DT Notre Dame- One of the more underrated combine performances was posted by Jerry Tillery. He showed elite level quickness, which confirms what you see on tape. Minnesota needs a pass rusher next to Linval Joseph, making Tillery a perfect match here.
51) Tennessee Titans: Renell Wren, DL Arizona State- Wren would give the Titans some much needed versatility up front. He could play the nose tackle spot and allow Jurrell Casey to go back to 3-4 defensive end, or he can replace Bennie Logan at the aforementioned DE position.
52) Pittsburgh Steelers: Riley Ridley, WR Georgia- If the Steelers do trade Antonio Brown, they will need to find another threat on the outside. I don’t think they’ll jump at someone in the first round because of JuJu Smith-Schuster and James Washington, but Ridley in round two is a definite possibility.
53) Philadelphia Eagles via Baltimore Ravens: Amani Oruwariye, CB Penn State The Eagles two biggest needs this offseason are a three down running back and a number two cornerback. With the selection of Oruwariye, they’ve accomplished both in this mock draft.
54) *Tampa Bay Buccaneers from Houston Texans via Seattle Seahawks- Deionte Thompson, FS Alabama- Tampa Bay will trade down at some point in this draft because they have a lot needs to address this offseason. Thompson can help create turnovers and he gives Todd Bowles a single high safety for his aggressive minded defense.
55) Houston Texans: Tytus Howard, OT Alabama State- Eat, sleep, offensive line, repeat. Howard has good developmental skills and stands a chance to start at right tackle from day one.
56) *Minnesota Vikings from New England Patriots via Chicago Bears: Taylor Rapp, SS Washington- The Vikings have been rumored to be replacing Andrew Sendejo for a few offseasons now. With Sendejo entering the final year of his contract, this could finally be the draft they select his replacement.
57) *Tennessee Titans via Philadelphia Eagles: Dru Samia, OG Oklahoma- Samia’s intensity and toughness is a perfect match for the Titans physical offensive line. He would start at left guard from day one and contribute right away to the Titans run heavy offense.
58) Dallas Cowboys: Juan Thornhill, SS Virginia- Thornhill obliterated the athletic testing of the combine, posting absurd numbers in the vertical and broad jump. Then on top of that, he ran a 4.42 in the 40! Despite very inconsistent tape, he’s a lock for the top 75.
59) Indianapolis Colts: Emanuel Hall, WR Missouri- I think a more technical route runner would be a better scheme fit here because it would serve as a better compliment to T.Y. Hilton. That being said, Hall’s combine numbers should have him rising rapidly up teams draft boards.
60) Los Angeles Chargers: Trayvon Mullen, CB Clemson- Desmond King is most likely going to be the Chargers defensive chess piece, which means the Chargers need a CB on the boundary opposite Casey Hayward. Enter Trayvon Mullen.
61) Kansas City Chiefs: Damien Harris, RB Alabama- I think Harris earned the distinction of being RB2 at the Combine. He’s one of the few guys with three down potential that had a solid workout in Indianapolis.
62) New Orleans Saints: Jace Sternberger, TE Texas A&M- New Orleans is in a perfect position to replace Ben Watson with their first selection of the draft. Sternberger is a decent blocker for the position and has the ability to stretch the middle of the field as well.
63) Kansas City Chiefs via Los Angeles Rams: Christian Miller, EDGE Alabama- After cutting Justin Houston, the Chiefs will have to address the edge position early in this draft.
64) New England Patriots: Andy Isabella, WR UMASS- Isabella is a phenomenal route runner out of the slot with impressive athleticism to boot. He’s a perfect fit in the Patriots offense.
TRADES IN ROUND TWO
1- Houston Texans trade the #54, #86 and #161 to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers for the #39 and the #215.
2- Washington Redskins trade the #46 and a 2020 2nd round pick to the Arizona Cardinals for Josh Rosen.
2019 NFL Combine Winners and Losers
With the NFL Draft prospects departing from Indianapolis, it’s time for a recap on how the two days went for both sides of the ball. Even though the NFL Combine is a point of contention among the draft community, the Combine serves a purpose. It is meant to seek out weaknesses in a player, both in terms of technique that you see on the field during the drills, as well as their fluidity as an athlete.
The question that trips up scouts and analysts is how much do you weigh what you see in Indianapolis against the tape? If an offensive lineman looks stiff in the hips during the drills, do you knock him down a peg even if his tape is good? Let’s say a wide receiver shows an elite 40 time, but struggles with the 3-Cone drill. Where does that put his athletic score? Does a defensive lineman that crushes the 3-Cone get a pass if he struggles in the 10 yard split because he has bad technique on his 40 yard dash?
Regardless of your views on the combine, down here there’s always winners and losers, and you don’t want to be caught on the wrong side of that line (to paraphrase Bruce Springsteen). So with that in mind, here’s who I feel were the winners and losers of the Combine this weekend.
Day One Winners (RBs and OL)
1- Chris Lindstrom, Garrett Bradbury and Erik McCoy: The top players along the interior really stepped up and made their presence felt this weekend. Garrett Bradbury and Chris Lindstrom were big breadwinners, dominating the athletic testing and showing elite level fluidity in their hips and ankles during the drill portion of the combine. I thought Erik McCoy stayed stride for stride with Bradbury throughout the day as well, and he remained my top center in this draft. All three of these guys should be quality starters at the next level.
2- Josh Jacobs: How do you win the combine without participating? When the rest of the position group performs incredibly average. Jacobs was easily most people’s RB1, but there was some buzz around the running backs you could get in rounds two and three, like Damien Harris, David Montgomery and others.
However, none of the potential three down backs tested well enough to challenge Jacobs for the top spot. This makes Josh Jacobs even more of a commodity come April, and a potential Top 20 lock.
3- Miles Sanders and Justice Hill: Keeping in mind the aforementioned analysis about the running backs, there were two players that did shine at the position. Sanders and Hill showed explosive athleticism, and both players on tape are shifty backs that show explosiveness in the open field. Sanders in particular is a favorite of mine. He’s a willing blocker and a terrific pass catcher out of the backfield. Teams should look at both of these guys as game changers out of the backfield in the pass game.
Day One Losers
1- Elijah Holyfield: Not many players had a worse combine than Elijah Holyfield. Holyfield tested extremely poorly during the athletic portion of the combine, with the pinnacle being a 4.79 and a 4.81 in the 40 yard dash. Even as a bigger back, you have to be able to show quality quickness and some breakaway ability. Holyfield showed none of that. His stock is definitely down.
2- Greg Little: This isn’t a shocker for me, but Little tested extremely poorly. His tape was constantly underwhelming because the supposed five star recruit and big time athlete never showed up. This weekend, Little confirmed that he is a right tackle at the next level, and he needs to be developed even further He was too stiff during the drills and too slow during the athletic tests.
3- Wisconsin Offensive Linemen: The buzz on the Wisconsin players was already low heading into this weekend. After the on field drills at the Combine, their collective stock might have dipped even further. David Edwards was a little high out of the stance when hitting the pads, and he was a little stiff in the hips during the other drills. The same goes for Michael Dieter. While I think Edwards still gets drafted between the third and the fourth round because of his intelligence at the position, this could be a rough go for a group that was deemed the best offensive line in college football just six months go.
Day Two Winners (QB, WR and TE)
1- Kyler Murray and Dwayne Haskins: The top QB’s had themselves a good weekend. First off, we have to start with the most anticipated measurement in the history of the combine. Kyler Murray came in at 5’10 and over 200 pounds, then decided to call it a Combine because he physically couldn’t help his draft stock any further. Now some will question his decision not to throw, and we’ll get to that later on in the article (Big J tease right there). The reason he didn’t is because he couldn’t further his draft stock by throwing. All the rumors were surrounding his measurements. People were questioning if Murray would come in over 5’9. Once he matched Russell Wilson, the only way his draft stock could fall is if he stunk it up during the drills throwing to receivers he didn’t know. So he took his paycheck and exited stage left.
On the other hand, Dwayne Haskins chose to let it rip, and boy did it work out. The ball popped effortlessly out of his hands. At least once a drill he showed some elite level anticipation, which was his big question mark for me. There were definitely still some questions on my end, a few throws were behind guys and a tad late. The other Quarterbacks were so average though, that Dwayne Haskins looked elite. He’s a top ten lock.
2- DK Metcalf and AJ Brown: The Ole Miss duo absolutely crushed the Combine. Metcalf’s freakish performance has been well documented, but that doesn’t mean it’s being over exaggerated. His athletic testing was otherworldly for his size. Don’t get trapped into his slow three cone either. This dude sinks his hips on tape and gets a clean release almost every time. Metcalf is an elite wide receiver at the next level if he stays healthy, and that was confirmed this weekend.
AJ Brown was someone who I thought would test much better than people realized. Not to brag, but he proved me right. Brown had a sub 4.5 40 and almost a 37 inch vertical. He could definitely wind up in the first round of my personal mock draft, and you should see him off the board in the first 50 picks come April.
3- N’Keal Harry and Hakeem Butler: Speaking of receivers, N’Keal Harry and Hakeem Butler put to rest any questions about their ability to win down the field. Harry was a quality prospect before this event, the one thing that he needed to answer to put himself into the round one conversation. He did that, so expect to see Harry off the board on day one.
Butler might have been the most impressive player in this position group not named DK Metcalf. At 6’5 he posted a 4.48 40 yard dash, a ridiculous number for someone of that size. I still have reservations about his tape; he often has drops and double catches. With that being said, I’d be shocked if Butler made it out of round two.
4- Noah Fant: TE1 is a legitimate conversation now. If you’ve read my mock drafts, you know I’ve had Fant higher than TJ Hockenson from day one because Fant does more in the passing game without losing a step as a blocker. Fant blew the combine away, testing through the roof and showing clean cuts in and out of route combinations on the field during the drills. TJ Hockenson had a great day in his own right, but a 4.51 40 yard dash and a 6.81 3 Cone drill have teams salivating at the idea of selecting Noah Fant.
5- Parris Campbell: Campbell was going to be extremely fast, so it’s not his athletic testing that wowed me. It’s how smooth he was during the drills. I didn’t love his route running on tape, and I thought he had some double catches as well. Campbell showed none of that this weekend. I will have to go back and rewatch Campbell’s tape because he showed none of the weaknesses I thought he would. Expect to see him go off the board early in a month or so.
Honorable Mentions: Tyree Jackson (ran a 4.6 at 6’7! He also flashed at times during the drills, showing that massive arm strength), Emanuel Hall and Andy Isabella (both receivers absolutely torched the athletic portion of the event), Josh Oliver and Kahale Warring (two small school TE’s that could be day three steals)
Day Two Losers:
1- Kyler Murray: Here is the wrap up to the Big J tease I alluded to earlier in the article. Murray obviously put on water weight to get up over 200 pounds, and this is why he chose not to participate in any drills or athletic testing. He wasn’t comfortable doing so at the weight he was at. For me, that would stem the conversation of if he is able to take NFL punishment. Murray will still be fine in terms of his draft value, but I can see teams not being thrilled about this decision.
2- Kelvin Harmon: Harmon really struggled in the athletic portion of the combine, which was a major concern for him. Obviously Harmon was not a blazer at NC State, but he showed quickness in and out of cuts on tape and the ability to high point the ball. He did not show the measurables to have those skills translate against more athletic NFL Defensive Backs. I’m still sticking with him as a high end round two pick, but he fell down my big board a bit.
3- Isaac Nauta and Kaden Smith: Here’s the deal; if you run a 4.9 as a skill position player, you’re out. It’s that simple. Both these guys tested dreadfully slow this weekend. They gone.
Day Three Winners (DL and LBs)
1- Brian Burns: Burns has been in my top five players the entire draft process, and he dominated this weekend. He moves so fluidly for someone that is nearly 6’5, and weighing in at 249 did not slow him down at all. This dude is a freight train coming off the edge.
2- Montez Sweat: Speaking of freight trains coming of the edge, Montez Sweat confirmed every reason why I had him in my top ten players. His technique was never a question, but he proved this weekend he was a better athlete than he was given credit for. He answered questions about his ankle flexibility with a good 3 Cone Drill, and you can’t ignore his 1.55 10 yard split. A great showing for Sweat in Indy.
3- “The Big Fellas,” Dexter Lawrence and Khalen Saunders: Both these guys were deemed to be phenomenal athletes for their size, and they proved it. These two beasts rolled into the combine over 320 pounds (D-Law was 340) and both came in with impressive 10 yard splits for their size. In my opinion, their tape matches their combine performances.
Lawrence is a behemoth in the run game and he can collapse the pocket to help his teammates get to the passer. Saunders was moved all over the lot at Western Illinois, he even stood up at times and rushed from the edge. He’s explosive for his size with a great first step.
These two will be quality starters in the NFL.
4- Anthony Nelson: Here’s another edge player that I expected to test better athletically, and he proved me right. Nelson showed good ankle flexibility with a terrific 3 Cone, and he was a fluid mover during the on field drills. I had him a little too low on my previous big board, partially because I was hedging my bets. That won’t happen next time.
5- Blake Cashman: Cashman won the “I need to go watch this player ASAP,” award this week. In a weak linebacker class, he made himself some money. To list off the athletic testing, 4.5 flat on the 40, a 37.5’’ vertical, 10’2 on the broad jump, sub 7 on the 3 Cone and a 4.12 short shuttle. Supposedly the production is there on tape, which would make him a very attractive option for teams that miss out on the big three off ball linebackers.
Day Three Losers:
1- Jachai Polite: Polite is a puzzler. His tape is really impressive, and everything you heard out of the Florida camp about him was positive. Having said that, he didn’t interview well at all, and he tested even worse, posting a 1.71 10 yard split at 258 pounds. He wasn’t particularly great at the start of the on-field drills either, and then inexplicably stopped the workout with a hamstring injury. Polite’s tape should still keep him in the first 75 picks, but the former Gator has definitely lost the first round hype. A big story on draft day will be how far Polite falls.
2- Clelin Ferrell: Ferrell showed very little dip and bend ability during the 3 Cone and Short Shuttle, and his drills weren’t much better. Now this isn’t a surprise to many, but as someone who thought he was a better athlete than his tape showed, he drops down my board a bit.
I do still think he will be a very productive pro. He’s great against the run and he collapses the pocket by long arming tackles.
However, Ferrell has to fall because his ceiling is just not as high as some of the other defensive linemen in this draft. That was confirmed this weekend.
3- LJ Collier: I was never on the LJ Collier bandwagon because I wasn’t high on his tape. For those that were, the athletic testing should have you extremely concerned. Collier never looked fluid and struggled all throughout the day. Maybe he can bulk up and kick inside, but I don’t think he has the technique to do so.
Honorable Category of Confusion: Ed Oliver- Okay, we all knew Ed Oliver put on some weight to measure in bigger, and that’s why he didn’t want to run. However, he could’ve ran and done all the drills at that weight and still tested in at least the 80th percentile across the board. He was made for weekends like this. Heck, he posted a workout video this summer where he was doing linebacker and defensive back drills! His stock could have received a freebie boost this weekend, but alas, he refused. I’ll never understand why.
Day Four Winners
1- The Safeties: The safety class was deemed to be ridiculously weak, and day four could’ve gone real bad for them with Deionte Thompson and Nasir Adderley sitting out. However, players like Jonathan Abram, Chauncey Gardner-Johnson, and Amani Hooker stepped up and showed some surprising athleticism throughout their portion of the Combine. It’s still not a strong class, but this group did surprise a bit.
2- Byron Murphy, Justin Layne, David Long and Rock Ya-Sin: Here’s why this group is so big; these four were the only players among the cornerbacks to put up even an average performance during the drills on the field.
Murphy was the cleanest in and out of his backpedal, he flipped his hips fluidly and he never lost momentum coming out of his T-Step in the “W-Drill.” He confirmed CB1 for me despite an average 40 time.
Layne is a long, athletic corner that stepped up and showed precision in his backpedal down the hash marks. He also tested very well athletically.
Long was the biggest winner of the combine, catapulting his draft stock with a clean backpedal and natural footwork. His tape is a bit confusing, but some team will gamble on him in day two.
Ya-Sin ran a solid 40 on his second run, but he started slow during the drill process. However, there’s a reason they call it “Temple Tough.” The former Temple corner got better as the day went on and confirmed the first round player I saw on tape.
Day Four Losers
1- The Cornerbacks Not Named Above: This group is by far the biggest loser of the combine. The question about the corners was simple; would the athletic testing match the collegiate tape and production? The answer was a resounding no. Almost every guy struggled with their backpedal, many players flipped their hips before the coaches asked them to, and the technique was just stiff across the board. This will become a massive storyline during the NFL Draft because these cornerbacks furthered the polarizing analysis about him.
2- Trayvon Mullen and Greedy Williams: These two cornerbacks are worthy of their own category because of how rough their days were. Mullen never looked comfortable during the drills. He was often flat footed and stiff in the hips. His tape was inconsistent, and that was confirmed this weekend. It’ll be interesting to see where he winds up.
Greedy Williams is the biggest culprit of the polarizing analysis. He came out of the blocks and ran a 4.38, a terrific time. Then he got in the drills and couldn’t get it right. He stumbled out of his backpedal and he flipped his hips early on three separate occasions, once coming out of the backpedal in the first drill and twice during the backpedal and weave drill. Then he announced that he had cramped up, and his day was done. The guy who is by far the toughest evaluation for NFL teams became even more of a question mark this weekend.
2019 NFL Combine Preview: Defense
Three Things to Know
1- The Defensive Backs are the Most Important Position of the Weekend: In the preview of the Offensive side of the ball (https://draftstock.net/2019/02/27/nfl-combine-preview-offense/), I wrote about the Offensive Linemen and how you can learn the most about the players in that position group this weekend because of the on field drills. The same holds true for the defensive backs. Watching the players flip their hips out of their backpedal, change directions quickly, and drive off their back foot to break on the football can provide teams with the most amount of information on any position group this weekend. We say it all the time; the Combine is meant to affirm what you see on film. This position group can do that the most accurately during the weekend in Indianapolis.
2- Ed Oliver is #Back, but He’s Not the Only Guy Who Will Have a Big Weekend: The Draft Buzz has cooled significantly on Ed Oliver, but expect that to change this weekend. Oliver is going to dominate every facet of the athletic testing and on field workouts. If you don’t believe me, go watch his workouts on YouTube and just read what guys are saying about him. Mike Mayock, the new GM of the Oakland Raiders, casually mentioned that Oliver could run a “4.5 something,” like it was normal for 270 pound human beings not named Zion Williamson to move like that. Oliver is appointment television this weekend.
Having said that, Ed Oliver isn’t the only player who will be on display this weekend. Look for Brian Burns to wow scouts with elite athleticism for someone of his size, as well as Nick Bosa to surprise with his athleticism. I feel like we forgot how good Nick Bosa is because it’s been so long since he’s played, and we’ve almost assuredly forgotten the fact that he is the better athlete between the two Bosa’s. The top end of the Edge Rushers will wow this weekend, and Bosa along with Burns will headline that group.
3- Instead of Watching the Off Ball Linebackers, Give Yourself a Mental Break: Once you get past Devin White, Mack Wilson and Devin Bush, this linebacker class is extremely underwhelming. Even if certain players test well, and there’s a few that I’m assuming will, there are no other three down linebackers outside of those three. This position group is a classic case of not overreacting to the combine. If someone like Germaine Pratt or Vosean Joseph tests well, don’t ignore the lack of consistency on tape.
Having said that, this group easily has the most to prove on the defensive side of the ball, which leads us into our next topic…
Players With the Most to Prove
1- Off Ball Linebackers: It’s very common for position groups that lack depth to be overdrafted on draft day because they are at a premium. The group that will follow this rule the most closely come April will be the Linebackers. So if you’re a player in this position group and you establish yourself as the best of the second wave behind White, Wilson and Bush, you could find yourself in the first 75 picks with ease.
2- Clelin Ferrell, Montez Sweat and Anthony Nelson: These three are deemed “less fluid,” in their ability to dip and bend, but more technical than the other pure edge rushers. This makes the Combine a very important weekend for these three. They don’t need to have gaudy numbers like Burns, Josh Allen, and Jachai Polite, because that’s unrealistic. What they need to do is show good hip and ankle flexibility in the 4 Bag drill, as well as a precise area of impact when punching the bags. In short, the on field drills are very important for these three.
3- The Bigger Cornerbacks in the Draft Class: The NFL Combine is meant to expose weakness, but one of the things that it can also do is put skill sets on display. For the bigger, longer cornerbacks like Joejuan Williams, Amani Oruwariye, Justin Layne and others, this could be a week that catapults them up draft board. Teams love cornerbacks with elite size that can move and flip their hips. The combine puts defensive backs through the proverbial ringer with a very good set of drills that are comparable to a necessary NFL skillset. So if a bigger, longer cornerback can dominate this weekend, they can wind up being selected very high.
4- Chauncey Gardner-Johnson: The safety class isn’t particularly appetizing, but CGJ is deemed to be one of the best cover corners in the draft, and some have him as Safety #1 this year. Personally, I think the Combine will trap people into thinking he has elite upside as a rangy free safety because I think he’s going to crush it. He flips his hips naturally out of the backpedal and he does show some elite athleticism. So when he crushes the drills and the athletic testing this weekend, expect to see him very high on Mock Draft boards.
5- Jaylon Ferguson: Ferguson has phenomenal production at Louisiana Tech, but he is not a fluid athlete by any stretch of the imagination. However, you know who thinks Ferguson is an athlete? Mock Draft Analysts among the big networks. That makes me think that scouts and GM’s may feel the same way. So if Ferguson tests well, maybe he winds up in the Top 50.
If he doesn’t test well, his tape will get largely thrown out and he will fall quickly down draft boards.
Sleepers of the Combine
1- Khalen Saunders: This is the easiest analysis of the weekend. Khalen Saunders is an unreal athlete for his size (just under 6’1, 320 pounds). He stands up… let me repeat that for the folks in the back… HE STANDS UP at 320 pounds and can rush off the edge (you’ll see that quickness in the drills). He also uses push-pull and elite strength to bully players along the interior (you’ll see that lower body strength in the broad jump and vertical jump). This dude is going to wow in Indianapolis.
2- Justin Layne: There’s a ton of buzz around Layne prior to the Combine. He has elite size and shows some NFL level traits on tape. If he runs well at the Combine, you will see Layne as an early Day Two selection come April.
3- Kendall Sheffield: Every year there’s always a “Combine Hero.” This is someone who gets drafted higher than expected because they show ridiculous athleticism in March. This year, expect that guy to be Kendall Sheffield. By all accounts, many expect him to be the fastest player at this year’s combine, and he should perform well in the other athletic tests also. The former Ohio State cornerback will be the big winner of the weekend.
2019 NFL Combine Preview: Offense
Three Things to Know
1- The Running Back Class May be Sub-par, but the Combine is a Very Important Day: Let’s get things started with the most obvious statement this year; athletic testing will be huge for this class. I can’t recall a year where the athletic test portion of the combine was more important. This class as a whole lacks depth, and the running back position is no different.
The athletic testing is going to be huge for the running backs. Outside of Josh Jacobs, there isn’t anyone with elite home run speed, or so we think. If a running back can test well athletically, they can establish themselves as RB2 and a top 50 pick. So when watching the Combine this weekend, look for the 40 yard dash, the short shuttle and the 3-Cone Drill. The guys that show athleticism this weekend to match or exceed their tape will be the ones picked in the first few rounds.
2- Do NOT Get Trapped by Day Two of the Combine: Day two is the Quarterbacks and Pass Catchers, which typically has a lot of eyes and can generate a lot of buzz. For the life of me, I still can’t figure out why. The Quarterbacks don’t have any report with the receivers, so timing is a complete guessing game. The receivers run basic route combinations and the most ridiculous drill of the weekend; the gauntlet. The gauntlet may be the dumbest thing throughout this weekend, and that includes the Combine committee’s ridiculous stance on who deserves an invite and who doesn’t.
Now there are some things that can provide some value. If a QB noticeably struggles with the three, five and seven step drops, that is a very bad sign. If a QB is noticeably off on their timing out of the receiver’s break, even without knowing tendencies, that is still not good.
However, for the most part, this day is useless after the receivers and tight ends do their athletic testing. Stick with your opinions based on what you see on tape and in game action, don’t get trapped into gym shorts scouting.
3- You Can Learn the Most about Offensive Linemen This Weekend: NFL Draft analysts love the offensive linemen portion of the combine because you see who has the necessary NFL length, and you see who is willing to go the extra mile by working hard to improve workout numbers that largely don’t matter. Sure the ten yard split can be an indicator towards quickness and athletic ability, and you don’t want to see low bench press numbers, but for players being selected with a day one or day two selection, you rarely see blemishes in these areas.
I like the Offensive Line portion for a different reason; the drills. During the drill segment you’ll see which offensive linemen move fluidly, and which ones are stiff in the hips or the ankles. You will see who’s willing to compete and give 110%, and which one’s get tired and lose technique. One drill to keep your eye on in particular is the mirror drill. Try to watch their footwork and their hand placement. If they kick their feet together, or their hands sag, those are two indications that should make you question their abilities at the next level.
Overall, the Combine is meant to reaffirm what you see on tape, or in some cases disprove it and make you have to re-watch the film. The Offensive Linemen provide the most for a scout to work with out of the offensive players that will test this weekend.
Players With the Most to Prove
1- David Montgomery: Many love his vision on tape and elusiveness in between the tackles. He makes the first man miss a lot, and he shows the quickness to bounce a play outside and turn the corner. However, he doesn’t show elite top end speed to break off home run type plays. If Montgomery shows a good 40 time, he can raise his draft stock.
2- DK Metcalf: Okay, putting Metcalf in this category is cheating because he’s going to dominate. Here’s why this is important though; there’s four teams in the top five that need pass catchers. Metcalf is projected to come in at 6’4 and 240 pounds, essentially Tight End like measurements. If he runs a low 4.4, and all his medicals check out, this guy could easily go top five. His tape is terrific and he has an elite catch radius. Metcalf could be the biggest riser this weekend.
3- The Second Tier Offensive Tackles: Once you get past Jonah Williams (yes he’s still a tackle), Jawaan Taylor, Cody Ford and Andre Dillard, the tackle class takes a massive drop. This is a very important weekend for this position group. Someone needs to emerge with NFL length and athleticism because so many teams need offensive line, both starting caliber guys and depth players. Bobby Evans, Kaleb McGary, Tytus Howard and others will need to show up this weekend. If they do, they can find themselves going in day two rather than day three.
4- AJ Brown and N’Keal Harry: The buzz has cooled on these two players, and both can put the spotlight back on them with big weekends. Neither guy is viewed at as having elite top end speed, and for Harry, a 40 time is going to be very important to put to rest questions about his down the field playmaking. For Brown, I’m most interested in his short shuttle and 3-Cone numbers. I think he’s a dynamic playmaker out of the slot with elite quickness in and out of cuts. If those two numbers are where I think they will be, Brown will catch the eyes of many this weekend.
5- Kaden Smith: Kaden Smith is falling rapidly down draft boards because his tape is a little underwhelming. If you are a fan of Kaden Smith, you will cite his athleticism, both in terms of his explosiveness up the seam as well as his ability in jump ball situations. This is why the combine is so important for him. Assuming Smith tests the way people think he should, his draft stock should stay the same, or even rise a bit. Having said that, if Smith underwhelms in Indy, he could find himself as a late day three selection.
Sleepers of the Combine
1- Andy Isabella: Isabella is on many people’s radar because he looks like the prototypical Patriots Wide Receiver at 5’9, but this dude is a former track star and is going to wow this weekend. He’s a very crafty route runner, and when you combine that with his athletic testing, scouts and teams will be salivating over Isabella come round three.
2- Oli Udoh: Admittedly, I haven’t finished watching Udoh, but all signs point to this guy having a great weekend. He has NFL size and length and assuming he shows fluidity in the drills, Udoh could be a day three gem.
3- Miles Sanders: The buzz isn’t there on Sanders because he’s not a great runner between the tackles, but this guy has home run ability and can excel as a third down back. I think the combine is the perfect venue for him to boost his stock. He will be one of the best in the pass catching drill and he will be one of the few players at the RB position who will test well across the board athletically.
DraftStock.Net 