NFL
Jordan Katz’s 2026 NFL Mock Draft 1 1/2: The Fallout of Dante Moore
Well folks, this is a first. Due to Dante Moore, a guaranteed top three pick, deciding to stay in school, we have had to adjust the mock draft already!
Have no fear, nothing rattles us here at Draftstock.net! Here is the updated mock for the 2026 NFL Draft, with a few trades mixed in because now that there is only one obvious quarterback, there will be some action in round one!
ROUND ONE
1) Las Vegas Raiders: Fernando Mendoza, QB Indiana- The Heisman Trophy winner projects as the favorite to be the number one overall selection in April. Mendoza makes NFL-level throws at all three levels, and most importantly, he sees NFL-open windows, and delivers the ball accordingly. For me, Mendoza is the slam-dunk first overall selection since Dante Moore did not declare.
2) *TRADE* Arizona Cardinals (from Jets): Arvell Reese, LB/EDGE Ohio State- This trade has less to do with a bidding war, and more to do with the Jets being willing to take Kyler Murray’s contract for future assets. With Dante Moore going back to school, the Jets are likely punting until 2027. If the Cardinals attach a conditional second-round pick to Kyler Murray, the Jets would give Arizona the ability to rid themselves of a contract while simultaneously selecting the best defensive player in the draft.
The Trade: The Arizona Cardinals trade the #3, #66, and a 2027 conditional 2nd round selection, plus Kyler Murray, to the New York Jets for #2, a 2026 4th round selection, and a 2027 4th round selection.
3) New York Jets (from Cardinals): Carnell Tate, WR Ohio State- “WR-U” has put out another top-tier prospect; Carnell Tate. Tate’s meteoric rise over the last two years has a lot to do with his improvements as a route runner. His downfield ability was always his strength, and at 6’3 that translates nicely to the NFL. However, his ability to separate at the top of the stem and his footwork in his routes have elevated his play. Tate should be a main attraction on Sundays wherever he’s drafted.
The Trade: See Pick #2.
4) Tennessee Titans: Francis Mauigoa, OT Miami- The Titans desperately need to improve their offensive line in 2026. Mauigoa should lock down one of the tackle spots for the Titans. He’s a beast in the run game, and when he strikes accurately in pass protection, it is game over for edge rushers. I like Mauigoa as a right tackle, or even a guard in the NFL (he could be an all-pro inside, where he gets to attack first with his hands and footwork)
5) New York Giants: Jordyn Tyson, WR Arizona State- The Giants need a playmaker opposite Malik Nabers to elevate their offense in 2026. Fortunately, the perfect compliment exists at the top of this draft. Tyson is a contested catch monster. 50/50 balls are more like 75/25 when thrown his way. He’s also a better route runner than he’s given credit for.
6) *TRADE* Baltimore Ravens (from Browns): Jeremiah Love, RB Notre Dame- Love to the Ravens is my early bold prediction of this mock draft cycle. Derrick Henry’s age did start to show during the 2025 campaign. Adding Love to not only be his successor, but to create a tandem at the position, is exactly what Baltimore needs to become Super Bowl contenders again in 2026. I expect them to be aggressive in the draft to land the former Notre Dame star.
The Trade: The Baltimore Ravens trade the #13, #45 and a 2027 4th round pick to the Cleveland Browns for the 6th overall selection.
7) Washington Commanders: David Bailey, EDGE Texas Tech- Washington needs pass rushers, and they are in a perfect range in this draft to pick one. Bailey boasts the best pressure rate in college football. He has an explosive get-off and the ability to dip-and-bend around the edge. He also has a nose for the football; Bailey has forced eight fumbles in the last two years.
8) New Orleans Saints: Reuben Bain Jr, EDGE Miami- The top three edge rushers in this draft are fairly interchangeable. It will be great “draft theater,” debating who is the best between Bailey, Bain, and Keldric Faulk, but all three have NFL tools with inconsistent collegiate production (Bailey has one breakout season). Bain’s ability to dip-and-bend off the edge, combined with his quick first step, should make him a quality pass rusher at the next level.
9) Kansas City Chiefs: Spencer Fano, OT Utah- The Chiefs’ regression in 2025 had a lot to do with the struggles of their offensive line. Fano’s ability to play left tackle and right tackle makes him an attractive NFL prospect, but I would leave him on the right side. He mirrors edge rushers nicely when kicking out in pass protection.
10) Cincinnati Bengals: Keldric Faulk, EDGE Auburn- The Bengals’ defense was historically bad in 2025, so expect them to pursue that side of the ball heavily in the offseason. Faulk generates pressure in a multitude of ways, but it’s his ability to play the run that jumps off the page for me. He’s disciplined and can win with power or finesse.
11) Miami Dolphins: Caleb Downs, S Ohio State- Until Miami figures out what they plan to do on the offensive side of the ball, I’m going to mock them defensive playmakers. Downs would be a top-five selection if the NFL valued safeties in that fashion. He’s a good open field tackler, he makes impact plays downhill, and he makes good reads from the back.
12) Los Angeles Rams (via Falcons): Kenyon Sadiq, TE Oregon- Keep an eye on the Rams moving out of this spot. They have very few needs and can make a move for a game-changer.
If they stay put, Sadiq would add another dimension to their already dynamic offense. He wins with size and quickness at the top of the route, and he’s an elite threat in the red zone.
13) Cleveland Browns: Makai Lemon, WR USC- Of the big three receivers in this class, the best statistically in 2025 was Lemon. He runs routes without fear, he plays bigger than his size (5’11), and he is tough to tackle in the open field. Lemon also shows late hands when catching the ball, which is my favorite trait for receivers to possess. Cleveland trades back and still gets the pass catcher they covet.
The Trade: See Pick #6.
14) Detroit Lions: Peter Woods, IDL Clemson- Woods had an up-and-down 2025 campaign, but he is an explosive athlete along the interior with the ability to win from multiple spots along the defensive front. I think he’s a player who crushes the draft process and winds up higher than mock draft experts expect.
15) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Mansoor Delane, CB LSU- The cornerback group is probably the most wide open position group in the draft in terms of who will be first off the board. Delane, Avieon Terrell, and Jermod McCoy could all be the first selection. For now, Delane’s ability to be sticky in man-coverage and react quickly in off-coverage gives him the advantage.
16) New York Jets (from Colts): Kayden McDonald, IDL Ohio State- While he lacks a consistent level of collegiate productivity, McDonald was the biggest breakout star of 2025. He showed elite athleticism for his size, which helped him notch 8.5 sacks this season. McDonald could go much higher than experts expect if he has a quality showing during the draft process.
17) Dallas Cowboys: Jermod McCoy, CB Tennessee- Despite an ACL tear and missing all of 2025, McCoy still has first-round buzz. He has the best ball skills of the big three cornerbacks in this draft, and arguably the best instincts. If the medicals come back clean at the Combine, he could sneak into the top 10.
18) Minnesota Vikings: Olaivavega Ioane, IOL Penn State- I do not expect the Vikings to be picking in round one of this draft. They make the most sense to acquire a veteran quarterback on the trade market if one becomes available.
If they choose to stick with JJ McCarthy, they need to improve the interior of their offensive line with this selection. Ioane gave up just two sacks in his collegiate career at Penn State; he’s NFL-ready in terms of pass protection.
19) Carolina Panthers: Sonny Styles, LB Ohio State- Despite having improved drastically in 2025, the Panthers’ defense can still take another step next year. Styles can sure up the second level. He diagnoses well, he’s quick to attack downhill, and he makes impact plays in the run game. My favorite part of his game is his sideline-to-sideline speed; he’s an elite athlete who covers a lot of ground.
20) Pittsburgh Steelers: Ty Simpson, QB Alabama- If a second quarterback emerges, this could be the spot they land. Pittsburgh is unlikely to acquire a veteran quarterback this offseason, and Aaron Rodgers is likely retiring. Why not roll the dice on a talented prospect that has flashed despite a lot of inconsistencies?
21) Dallas Cowboys (from Packers): Cashius Howell, EDGE Texas A&M- Following the trade of Micah Parsons, Dallas is in desperate need of help off the edge. Howell boasted 11.5 sacks in 2025 because of his athleticism off the edge and ability to run the arch to the quarterback. This is a very natural fit in the middle of round one.
22) Los Angeles Chargers: Kelley Jones, CB Mississippi State- Right now, the only mock draft analyst banging the proverbial drum for Jones is Mel Kiper. However, I think that is simply because many feel he won’t declare. At 6’4 with elite athleticism and NFL length, I think Jones could fly up draft boards if he chose to declare.
23) Philadelphia Eagles: KC Concepcion, WR Texas A&M- It may finally be time for the AJ Brown divorce from Philadelphia. If it is, Concepcion is a perfect fit in Philly’s offense. His best ability is with the ball in his hands, and Head Coach Nick Sirianni likes it when Jalen Hurts gets the ball out quickly. Concepcion’s playmaking in space should make him an attractive top 50 selection in April.
24) Cleveland Browns (from Jaguars): Trevor Goosby, OT Texas- The Browns need to reload on their offensive line, whether they find a quarterback in this offseason or they do not. Goosby has great size and NFL length, and could fly up draft boards during the process.
25) Buffalo Bills: Denzel Boston, WR Washington- Everything the Bills hoped Keon Coleman would be, Denzel Boston is. He’s a contested catch monster, he’s a threat vertically from the “X-position,” and he’s dynamic in the red zone. This is the most obvious fit in the back end of round one, and this pick will stay throughout the draft cycle for me, assuming Boston tests well at the combine.
26) Los Angeles Rams: Kayden Proctor, OL Alabama- Many are in love with Proctor’s length and powerful grip strength, but I think his lower body needs developing. His feet are heavy at times in pass sets. A team like the Rams, who do not need to start him right away, make perfect sense for him in this draft.
27) Houston Texans: Caleb Lomu, OT Utah- Lomu has some of the best footwork in the class in pass protection. He’s quick to kick out off the snap, and he cuts off edge rushers trying to run the arch. He has average strength in the run game, he doesn’t drive defenders, and his hands are inconsistent. However, if a team falls in love with his athleticism, they could take him in the top 20.
28) San Francisco 49ers: Zachariah Branch, WR Georgia- This draft has several quality playmakers with the ball in their hands, and Branch is no exception. He’s great in space, and as an added dimension, he handles returns, which now has a much bigger NFL impact than in years past. I expect him to be a top 40 lock if he tests well at the Combine in March.
29) Chicago Bears: TJ Parker, EDGE Clemson- Chicago could use some more depth up front to continue their transformation into a top-tier defense. Parker plays with terrific power. It helps him sure up the edge in the run game and collapse the pocket as a pass rusher.
30) *TRADE* Philadelphia Eagles (from Patriots): Zion Young, EDGE Missouri- Eventually, if I keep calling AJ Brown to be traded, I will be right at some point… right?
The AJ Brown saga had many twists and turns during the 2025 campaign. Ultimately, I cannot imagine him going through another season in an offense where he is not featured.
If Brown is put on the trade block, keep an eye on the Patriots. Not only would Brown elevate the Patriots’ offense even further, but Head Coach Mike Vrabel has familiarity with Brown. Plus, Stefon Diggs has a very movable contract (or cutable if the off-the-field issues get worse).
This trade feels like a perfect match, and one that could come to fruition in a few months.
The Trade: The New England Patriots trade the 30th overall selection to the Philadelphia Eagles for AJ Brown and a 2027 conditional 3rd round pick.
31) Denver Broncos: CJ Allen, LB Georgia- There are a few standout off-ball linebackers in this draft class, and one of them is CJ Allen. Allen racked up 88 combined tackles in 2025, but more importantly, he misses very few tackles that he should make. He’s an elite athlete, and it shows in coverage when matched on tight ends and slot receivers. Allen can be a difference maker in the middle of the defense at the next level.
32) Seattle Seahawks: Avieon Terrell, CB Clemson- Seattle needs to continue to revamp the secondary to elevate their defense even further. Terrell does not have elite ball skills, but he is sticky in man-coverage and shows good footwork.
Jordan Katz’s 2026 NFL Mock Draft 1.0
Welcome back to Draft SZN! It is officially one decade of Mock Draft coverage for me and the Draftstock.net website! I want to thank all of you who have continued to follow along throughout the years. It really means a lot to me that not only do you all continue to take time out of your days to read my Mock Drafts, but you also interact with my mock drafts on various social media platforms. It truly means the world to me.
With that being said, it is now time for the first installment of the 2026 NFL Mock Draft season! We have a very interesting NFL Draft class. Although there may not be many flashy stars, this class boasts some incredibly talented football prospects who have the potential to become outstanding pros.
A few rules for this mock draft that are different than my other mock drafts. I tried to stay away from trades, except for a bold call at the back end of the draft. The order for the playoff teams is also based on winning percentage and strength of schedule.
For those about to mock, we salute you. Let’s go!
ROUND ONE
1) Las Vegas Raiders: Fernando Mendoza, QB Indiana- The Heisman Trophy winner projects as the favorite to be the number one overall selection in April. Mendoza makes NFL-level throws at all three levels, and most importantly, he sees NFL-open windows and delivers the ball accordingly. For me, Mendoza is not a slam-dunk first overall selection if Dante Moore declares. Having said that, he is the selection at this time.
2) New York Jets: Dante Moore, QB Oregon- Dante Moore has a chance to be the top overall selection if he declares. First off, he makes the layup throws (Moore boasted the third-best completion percentage in the FBS). Because the NFL game mimics collegiate progressions in terms of processing one side of the field and moving to the backside (see Kirk Cousins’s outstanding press conference from late in the season), having the ability to quickly get the ball out on time and on target in the 0-5 yard window is incredibly important. Moore can do this. Furthermore, Moore makes off-platform throws look easy, and he changes his arm slot depending on the throw he needs to make. Some question if he has the upper-echelon arm strength needed to be elite, but to me, he has all the makings of a long-time starter in the NFL.
3) Arizona Cardinals: Francis Mauigoa, OT Miami- The Cardinals need a franchise quarterback, but no option exists at this spot in the draft. For now (because Arizona likely trades out), Arizona can turn to its next biggest offensive need; the offensive line. Mauigoa should lock down one of the tackle spots for the Cardinals. He’s a beast in the run game, and when he strikes accurately in pass protection, it is game over for edge rushers. I like Mauigoa as a right tackle, or even a guard in the NFL (he could be an all-pro inside, where he gets to attack first with his hands and footwork).
4) Tennessee Titans: Arvell Reese, LB/EDGE Ohio State- One of the biggest risers in 2025 was Arvell Reese. After recording just half a sack in 2024, Reese notched 6.5 sacks in 2025 and 25 pressures as well. He can do it all along the defensive front, showing great ability to stack-and-shed versus the run, and fill the required gap assignments. Reese is probably the best defensive player in the draft class, and the Titans could use playmakers on that side of the ball.
5) New York Giants: Jordyn Tyson, WR Arizona State- The Giants need a playmaker opposite Malik Nabers to elevate their offense in 2026. Fortunately, the perfect compliment exists at the top of this draft. Tyson is a contested catch monster. 50/50 balls are more like 75/25 when thrown his way. He’s also a better route runner than he’s given credit for.
6) Cleveland Browns: Carnell Tate, WR Ohio State- “WR-U” has put out another top-tier prospect; Carnell Tate. Tate’s meteoric rise over the last two years has a lot to do with his improvements as a route runner. His downfield ability was always his strength, and at 6’3 with long strides, that portion of his game translates nicely to the NFL. However, his ability to separate at the top of the stem and his footwork in his routes have elevated his play. Tate should be a main attraction on Sundays wherever he’s drafted.
7) Washington Commanders: David Bailey, EDGE Texas Tech- Washington needs pass rushers, and they are in a perfect range in this draft to pick one. Bailey boasts one of the best pressure rates in college football. He has an explosive get-off and the ability to dip-and-bend around the edge. He also has a nose for the football; Bailey has forced eight fumbles in the last two years.
8) New Orleans Saints: Reuben Bain Jr, EDGE Miami- The top three edge rushers in this draft are fairly interchangeable. It will be great “draft theater,” debating who is the best between Bailey, Bain, and Keldric Faulk, but all three have NFL tools with inconsistent collegiate production (Bailey has one breakout season). Bain’s ability to dip-and-bend off the edge, combined with his quick first step, should make him a quality pass rusher at the next level.
9) Kansas City Chiefs: Spencer Fano, OT Utah- The Chiefs’ regression in 2025 had a lot to do with the struggles of their offensive line. Fano’s ability to play left tackle and right tackle makes him an attractive NFL prospect, but I would leave him on the right side. He mirrors edge rushers nicely when kicking out in pass protection.
10) Cincinnati Bengals: Keldric Faulk, EDGE Auburn- The Bengals’ defense was historically bad in 2025, so expect them to pursue that side of the ball heavily in the offseason. Faulk generates pressure in a multitude of ways, but it’s his ability to play the run that jumps off the page for me. He’s disciplined and can win with power or finesse.
11) Miami Dolphins: Caleb Downs, S Ohio State- Until Miami figures out what they plan to do on the offensive side of the ball, I’m going to mock defensive playmakers at this spot. Downs would be a top-five selection if the NFL valued safeties in that fashion. He’s a good open field tackler, he makes impact plays downhill, and he makes good reads from the back.
12) Dallas Cowboys: Mansoor Delane, CB LSU- The cornerback group is probably the most wide open position group in the draft in terms of who will be first off the board. Delane, Avieon Terrell, and Jermod McCoy could all be the first selection. For now, Delane’s ability to be sticky in man-coverage and react quickly in off-coverage gives him the advantage.
13) Los Angeles Rams (via Falcons): Kenyon Sadiq, TE Oregon- Keep an eye on the Rams moving out of this spot, either forwards or backwards. They have very few needs and can make a move for a game-changer at the top of the draft or future assets.
If they stay put, Sadiq would add another dimension to their already dynamic offense. He wins with size and quickness at the top of the route, and he’s an elite threat in the red zone.
14) Baltimore Ravens: Jeremiah Love, RB Notre Dame- Love to the Ravens is my early bold prediction of this mock draft cycle. Derrick Henry’s age did start to show during the 2025 campaign. Adding Love to not only be his successor, but to create a tandem at the position, is exactly what Baltimore needs to become Super Bowl contenders again in 2026.
15) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: .Jermod McCoy, CB Tennessee- Despite an ACL tear and missing all of 2025, McCoy still has first-round buzz. He has the best ball skills of the big three cornerbacks in this draft, and arguably the best instincts. If the medicals come back clean at the Combine, he could sneak into the top 10.
16) New York Jets (from Colts): Makai Lemon, WR USC- Of the big three receivers in this class, the best statistically in 2025 was Lemon. He runs routes without fear, he plays bigger than his size (5’11), and he is tough to tackle in the open field. Lemon also shows late hands when catching the ball, which is my favorite trait for receivers to possess.
17) Detroit Lions: Peter Woods, IDL Clemson- Woods had an up-and-down 2025 campaign, but he is an explosive athlete along the interior with the ability to win from multiple spots along the defensive front. I think he’s a player who crushes the draft process and winds up higher than mock draft experts expect.
18) Minnesota Vikings: Olaivavega Ioane, IOL Penn State- I do not expect the Vikings to be picking in round one of this draft. They make the most sense to acquire a veteran quarterback on the trade market if one becomes available.
If they choose to stick with JJ McCarthy, they need to improve the interior of their offensive line with this selection. Ioane gave up just two sacks in his collegiate career at Penn State; he’s NFL-ready in terms of pass protection.
19) Carolina Panthers: Sonny Styles, LB Ohio State- Despite having improved drastically in 2025, the Panthers’ defense can still take another step next year. Styles can sure up the second level. He diagnoses well, he’s quick to attack downhill, and he makes impact plays in the run game. My favorite part of his game is his sideline-to-sideline speed; he’s an elite athlete who covers a lot of ground.
20) Dallas Cowboys (from Packers): Cashius Howell, EDGE Texas A&M- Following the trade of Micah Parsons, Dallas is in desperate need of help off the edge. Howell boasted 11.5 sacks in 2025 because of his athleticism off the edge and ability to run the arch to the quarterback. This is a very natural fit in the middle of round one.
21) Pittsburgh Steelers: A’Mauri Washington, IDL Oregon- If a third quarterback emerges, expect Pittsburgh to pursue them heavily (I doubt whomever it is would have enough juice to be worthy of a top-10 selection). If not, “BPA,” is probably a viable draft strategy for the Steelers.
The discourse around Washington reminds me a lot of Arik Armstead from back in the day. His one year of production was so great, and he showed so much on tape, that he could find himself in the top 10-15 picks come April. Keep an eye on his combine testing, because his athleticism jumps off the page on tape.
22) Los Angeles Chargers: Kelley Jones, CB Mississippi State- Right now, the only mock draft analyst banging the proverbial drum for Jones is Mel Kiper. However, I think that is simply because many feel he won’t declare. At 6’4 with elite athleticism and NFL length, I think Jones could fly up draft boards if he chose to declare.
23) Philadelphia Eagles: KC Concepcion, WR Texas A&M- It may finally be time for the AJ Brown divorce from Philadelphia. If it is, Concepcion is a perfect fit in Philly’s offense. His best ability is with the ball in his hands, and Head Coach Nick Sirianni likes it when Jalen Hurts gets the ball out quickly. Concepcion’s playmaking in space should make him an attractive top 50 selection in April.
24) Buffalo Bills: Denzel Boston, WR Washington- Everything the Bills hoped Keon Coleman would be, Denzel Boston is. He’s a contested catch monster, he’s a threat vertically from the “X-position,” and he’s dynamic in the red zone. This is the most obvious fit in the back end of round one, and this pick will stay throughout the draft cycle for me, assuming Boston tests well at the combine.
25) Chicago Bears: Kayden McDonald, IDL Ohio State- While he lacks a consistent level of collegiate productivity, McDonald was one of the biggest breakout stars of 2025. He showed elite athleticism for his size, which helped him notch 8.5 sacks this season. McDonald could go much higher than experts expect if he has a quality showing during the draft process.
26) San Francisco 49ers: Zachariah Branch, WR Georgia- This draft has several quality playmakers with the ball in their hands, and Branch is no exception. He’s great in space, and as an added dimension, he handles returns, which now has a much bigger NFL impact than in years past. I expect him to be a top 40 selection if he tests well at the Combine in March.
27) Houston Texans: Caleb Lomu, OT Utah- Lomu has some of the best footwork in the class in pass protection. He’s quick to kick out off the snap, and he cuts off edge rushers trying to run the arch. He has average strength in the run game, he doesn’t drive defenders, and his hands are inconsistent. However, if a team falls in love with his athleticism, they could take him in the top 20.
28) Cleveland Browns (from Jaguars): Trevor Goosby, OT Texas- The Browns need to reload on their offensive line, whether they find a quarterback in this offseason or they do not. Goosby has great size and NFL length, and could fly up draft boards during the process.
29) Los Angeles Rams: Kayden Proctor, OL Alabama- Many are in love with Proctor’s length and powerful grip strength, but I think his lower body needs developing. His feet are heavy at times in pass sets. A team like the Rams, who does not need to start him right away, makes perfect sense for him in this draft.
30) *TRADE* Philadelphia Eagles (from Patriots): Zion Young, EDGE Missouri- Eventually, if I keep calling AJ Brown to be traded, I will be right at some point… right?
The AJ Brown saga had many twists and turns during the 2025 campaign. Ultimately, I cannot imagine him going through another season in an offense where he is not featured.
If Brown is put on the trade block, keep an eye on the Patriots. Not only would Brown elevate the Patriots’ offense even further, but Head Coach Mike Vrabel has familiarity with Brown. Plus, Stefon Diggs has a very movable contract (or cutable if the off-the-field issues get worse).
This trade feels like a perfect match, and one that could come to fruition in a few months.
The Trade: The New England Patriots trade the 30th overall selection to the Philadelphia Eagles for AJ Brown and a 2027 conditional 3rd round pick.
31) Denver Broncos: CJ Allen, LB Georgia- There are a few standout off-ball linebackers in this draft class, and one of them is CJ Allen. Allen racked up 88 combined tackles in 2025, but more importantly, he misses very few tackles that he should make. He’s an elite athlete, and it shows in coverage when matched on tight ends and slot receivers. Allen can be a difference maker in the middle of the defense at the next level.
32) Seattle Seahawks: Avieon Terrell, CB Clemson- Seattle needs to continue to revamp the secondary to elevate their defense even further. Terrell does not have elite ball skills, but he is sticky in man-coverage and shows good footwork.
Jordan Katz 2025 NFL Mock Draft 2.0: Post Super Bowl
We are on to the second edition of Mock Draft SZN for 2025! There have been a lot of rumors circulating since Mock Draft 1.0, so this mock has a lot of changes. There have been a lot of risers and fallers since the Senior Bowl, and there will be even more after the NFL Combine in a few weeks. This draft season is going to be wild, so there’s a good chance this mock looks very different than my eventual final version in a few months.
Having said that, there are definitely some trends I feel I am ahead on (Jaxson Dart round one), and that’s why we play the game!
Let’s Mock!
ROUND ONE
1) Tennessee Titans: Abdul Carter, EDGE Penn State- Recently the Titans brass was quoted as saying they will not pass on a generational talent just to select a quarterback first overall. Whether that’s a bluff to up trade value or their actual plan remains to be seen; but if it is true, this selection is either Abdul Carter or Travis Hunter.
Many are leaning toward Carter because his upside as a pass rusher is generational. He has elite athleticism around the edge and multiple moves in his arsenal when rushing the passer.
2) *TRADE* New York Giants (from Browns): Shedeur Sanders, QB Colorado- Giants fans reading this, I can sense your displeasure with this prediction. However, I think it’s time to embrace reality. Brian Daboll has sung Sanders’s praise at every turn during this draft process so far. Sanders was also seen throwing with Malik Nabers on the streets of NYC. I think Sanders will do everything in his power to land in New York or Vegas, and right now, the Giants seem more interested in Sanders than the Raiders…
…unless Matthew Stafford winds up in New York.
The Trade: The New York Giants trade the #3, #34, and a 2026 3rd-round pick to the Cleveland Browns for the #2 overall selection.
3) *TRADE* Cleveland Browns (from Giants): Travis Hunter, WR/DB Colorado- The Browns are a logistical nightmare when it comes to predicting this draft. They might trade Myles Garrett and do a complete rebuild, they might select a QB and figure it out later, or they might try to reload and take the best player available to help them win.
With the issues surrounding their cap, I think it’s unwise to select a rookie QB and “throw him to the wolves,” with a lesser roster. That’s why Hunter is the selection, for now.
The Trade: See pick #2.
4) New England Patriots: Kelvin Banks Jr., OT Texas– Will Campbell is the top offensive lineman according to most, but many also see him as a guard at the next level, which could hurt his draft stock. Banks is viewed by many as a left tackle, which separates him from the majority of this class in terms of upside. If Banks tests well at the combine, he can be a top-five pick.
5) Jacksonville Jaguars: Mason Graham, IDL Michigan- This feels like the easiest pick of the first round. Jacksonville needs help along the interior of their defensive line, and Graham is one of the elite prospects in this draft.
6) Las Vegas Raiders: Cam Ward, QB Miami- The Raiders are the most likely team in this draft to select a quarterback in round one. Whether Ward or Sanders is the target remains to be seen, but expect Vegas to make a big play for a quarterback in this draft.
Editor’s note: Keep an eye on Vegas and Cam Ward moving forward. The rumors have cooled on them and Sanders, and if Vegas gets aggressive and trades up in the draft, I think it’s for Ward.
7) New York Jets: Will Johnson, CB Michigan- This pick stays the same from Mock Draft 1.0, and will continue to stay the same until the Jets offseason plays out in free agency. Having two shutdown corners is such a weapon for a team’s defense. Johnson across from Sauce Gardner makes up for the impending loss of DJ Reed.
8) Carolina Panthers: Jalon Walker, EDGE/LB Georgia- Carolina needs a chess piece on the defensive side of the ball to elevate their defense. Walker can be just that. He lines up everywhere, he makes plays at the second level of the defense, and he can get to the passer.
9) New Orleans Saints: Tetairoa McMillian, WR Arizona- Chris Olave’s injuries have decimated the Saints’ offense in recent years because their receiving core lacks depth. McMillian is the top receiver in the draft, and his “YAC,” ability will make him a very productive pro in today’s NFL.
10) Chicago Bears: Will Campbell, OL LSU- As long as you give the Bears an offensive lineman, you stand a chance in whatever mock draft you are doing. Chicago has to protect Caleb Williams better moving forward. Campbell is the best offensive lineman in the draft (by far, in my opinion), but his draft stock will be determined at the NFL combine because his measurables may put him at guard in the NFL.
11) San Francisco 49ers: Walter Nolan, IDL Ole Miss- If Will Johnson goes before the Niners select, look for them to pivot to interior defensive line. What was once a vaunted front four has come back down to earth after the departure of Arik Armstead. Nolan’s quick twitch nature and ability to get to the passer would be explosive alongside Nick Bosa.
12) Dallas Cowboys: Tyler Booker, IOL Alabama- The Cowboys need to continue to revamp their offensive line during this offseason. It’s not the “sexy pick,” so Jerry Jones likely won’t make it, but Booker is so obviously the selection because of his intensity at the point of attack. Plus, Jerry has to do something logical eventually, right?
13) Miami Dolphins: Kenneth Grant, IDL Michigan- The interior of the Dolphins defense was awful in 2024. Grant would change that on day one. He’s a space eater against the run, and he’s athletic enough to shed blocks and make plays.
14) Indianapolis Colts: Grey Zabel, OL North Dakota State- The interior of the Colts line is losing two starters this year, including starting center Ryan Kelly. Zabel had a phenomenal senior bowl week which has catapulted him into the round one conversation. He’s started in a number of spots along the offensive line, and looked very comfortable at center during the Senior Bowl week. If he tests well at the combine, he should be a lock in the middle of round one.
15) Atlanta Falcons: Mike Green, EDGE Marshall- The biggest senior bowl week winner was Mike Green, who dominated reps left and right throughout the week. On tape, he shows elite ability to dip and bend around the edge, but the ability to play with power at the point of attack during senior bowl week elevated him up draft boards.
Even though Atlanta hasn’t taken a first-round edge rusher since Vic Beasley, which was a massive whiff for both them and myself, one of these years they will address the pass rusher position.
16) Arizona Cardinals: Mykal Williams, EDGE Georgia- Speaking of teams that need an elite pass rusher, Arizona is in a perfect position to take one here in the middle of round one. While this is a weaker draft class on tape, there are some players with elite upside because of their immeasurable athleticism.
Mykal Williams is one of those players. His tape was up and down in 2024, but because of his ability to convert speed into power and get around the edge, he can be elite.
17) Cincinnati Bengals: Tyler Warren, TE Penn State- Pass catcher is the top issue for the Bengals this offseason. Should they sign Tee Higgins, that resolves everything.
However, because of the Ja’Marr Chase contract, it makes more sense for them to go in a cheaper direction.
Warren solves two needs at once for the Bengals. He creates a pass-catching threat in the middle of the field, and he adds a threat in the red zone to take coverage away from Chase.
18) Seattle Seahawks: Armand Membou, IOL Missouri- Membou is another offensive tackle prospect in this draft who projects better at guard. He’s at his best when he gets his hands on defenders quickly and uses the power in his strikes and his base to wall off defenders. Seattle needs help along the interior, so the fit makes sense here as well.
19) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Emeka Egbuka, WR Ohio State- The Bucs have some hard decisions to make this offseason, and one of those is the contract of Chris Godwin. Godwin’s injury history outweighs the talent he has on the field, which is one of the reasons the Bucs could go in a different direction.
Even after the emergence of Jalen McMillian, a quality route runner like Egbuka still makes sense for the Bucs at this selection.
20) Denver Broncos: Colston Loveland, TE Michigan- Denver needs to continue to add pass-catching weapons to help elevate Bo Nix moving forward. Courtland Sutton emerged as a borderline number-one wide receiver this year, but the Broncos still need a threat in the middle of the field.
Enter Loveland. He understands how to use his size at the top of the route to create separation. His skills in the middle of the field from the slot would be an excellent fit in Head Coach Sean Payton’s offense.
21) *TRADE* New York Jets (from Steelers): Jaxson Dart, QB Ole Miss- There is a lot of buzz at the moment around the Steelers picking Dart at this selection. In my opinion, that’s to spark a trade-down. The Steelers are still in win-now mode, making them a much better fit for a veteran quarterback than a rookie, particularly one who regularly appears on the Pat McAfee Show.
Meanwhile, the Jets, who are moving on from “he who shall not be named” (IYKYK), are still searching for their quarterback savior, making them a logical team to trade up for a quarterback.
Dart has fascinating traits. He makes off-platform throws look easy, he’s a threat with his legs, and he answered the questions about his arm strength during a quality senior bowl week. Dart should be the third quarterback off the board, and look for multiple teams to attempt to move up for him in a few months.
The Trade: The New York Jets trade the #42, a 2026 2nd round pick, and a 2027 3rd round pick to the Pittsburgh Steelers for the 21st overall selection and a 2027 4th round pick.
22) Los Angeles Chargers: Ashton Jeanty, RB Boise State- Running backs are abundant in this draft, and they will likely go higher than we are used to seeing. Jeanty had an all-world final campaign at Boise State, breaking records left and right. His feel for finding the lanes to run through and being patient as a runner makes him an elite prospect. Head Coach Jim Harbaugh loves to use the run to set up play-action pass, so having a difference-maker like Jeanty makes perfect sense for the team moving forward.
23) Green Bay Packers: Josh Simmons, OT Ohio State- Simmons is someone I’m keeping an eye on during the draft process. There are not many true left tackle prospects in this draft. Before his knee injury, Simmons was having a phenomenal season at THE Ohio State. His balance and poise when he’s in the vertical set is his best trait, and he has quality power in his strikes as well. Do not be shocked if he goes higher than expected in April.
24) Minnesota Vikings: Jahdae Barron, CB Texas- Even if the Vikings bring back Byron Murphy, they still need help in the secondary. Barron lined up in a number of spots at Texas, but in my opinion, his most impressive work was in the slot. He can blitz, and he can mirror receivers in the short-yardage windows. The fit here makes a ton of sense for the Vikings.
25) Houston Texans: Derrick Harmon, IDL Oregon- Harmon is a similar player to Barron in the sense that he’s solid in a lot of areas but doesn’t have one standout trait. His ability to play the run and control his gap is where he excels the most. Houston needs help along the interior, which will likely be this selection if they are unable to trade down.
26) Los Angeles Rams: Matthew Golden, WR Texas- The amount of question marks around the Rams offseason makes this an impossible selection to call at the moment. However, if we operate under the assumption that they move on from Cooper Kupp, they will need a number two target to go alongside Puka Nacua.
Golden is a darling of many in this draft because of his skills and knowledge as a route runner. He does not possess elite physical traits, but his skill set is perfect for Head Coach Sean McVay.
27) Baltimore Ravens: Shemar Stewart, EDGE/DL Texas A&M- Somehow, Baltimore winds up stealing talented players in the back end of round one every year. Stewart’s production wasn’t spectacular in terms of raw statistics, but he generated a ton of pressures during his final year at A&M. This is a perfect fit.
28) Detroit Lions: Donovan Jackson, IOL Ohio State- Kevin Zietler is likely to leave in free agency, which creates an opening on the Lions’ offensive line unit that they would love to fill with a rookie contract. Jackson’s ability to gain leverage on defenders would make him an excellent fit in the running scheme of Detroit.
29) Washington Commanders: Luther Burden III, WR Missouri- Playmakers are a necessity for the Commanders in the offseason on both sides of the ball. Burden is a “YAC,” monster that fits well opposite Terry McLaurin.
30) Buffalo Bills: Malaki Starks, S Georgia- Damar Hamlin is due for a payday, which likely happens elsewhere. Malaki Starks is a day-one starting safety that can do it all. His willingness to come up and tackle combined with the angles he takes to the football in the secondary should help him at the next level.
31) Kansas City Chiefs: Josh Conerly Jr., OT Oregon- The Chiefs lost the Super Bowl because they allowed too much pressure on Patrick Mahomes. It’s probably time to address that issue that somehow only haunted them once in three seasons.
32) Philadelphia Eagles: TreyVeon Henderson, RB Ohio State- The most controversial pick of round one comes in here at the final first-round selection. Giving the Eagles a running back after Saquon Barkley’s MVP-worthy season seems like lunacy, but let me make my pitch.
Elite organizations have backup plans in place before they need them. For example, the Eagles selected Cam Jurgens well before Jason Kelce was going to retire, and then groomed him for the position. This year Jurgens played at an exceptional level and helped stabilize the interior of the offensive line.
Saquon Barkley is 28 years old with a lot of mileage on his tires, so to speak. He also has two years left on his contract, and running backs rarely get a top-tier third contract even if they are exceptional. In an elite running back class, the idea of the Eagles taking Barkley’s eventual successor makes a ton of sense.
Jordan Katz’s 2025 NFL Mock Draft 1.0
“Ladies and Gentlemen, boys and girls, children of all ages. Tonight, Draftstock.net proudly presents to you, it’s eight-time, NFL Mock Draft, champion of the woooorld!” (IYKYK).
WE ARE BAAAAAAAAAAACK! Mock Draft SZN is officially upon us, so we get to start prognosticating how the 2025 NFL Draft will shape out! There is still a lot of uncertainty around the draft stock of many players, and the draft order is not officially finalized yet, but that doesn’t stop us from taking a look at how the draft could shake out in a few months. As a reminder, my mocks are what I think will happen in the draft, it does not reflect my opinions of players in the draft class. While I normally add trades wherever I see fit, since this is a very early look, I tried to not have any trades. However, I did put a trade into this mock centered around one very controversial prospect!
So without further adieu, let’s mock!
ROUND ONE
1) Tennessee Titans: Cam Ward, QB Miami- The “QB1,” debate in this class should dominate the headlines of the NFL Draft season. Shedeur Sanders has his fans and his detractors, but the biggest wrinkle in where he gets drafted is if he will pull an Eli Manning and force his way to a certain situation.
If there is any hesitation in Sanders’s willingness to play for the Titans, and I think there will be, Cam Ward will be the selection.
Ward is my personal top quarterback in the draft because he anticipates NFL throwing windows and he understands how to put the ball in spots where his playmakers can make a play on the ball. If I were the Titans, I would pick Cam Ward regardless of what Sanders does.
2) *TRADE* Las Vegas Raiders (from Browns): Shedeur Sanders, QB Colorado- Many expect Cleveland to take a quarterback, but at this moment, I think a flier on a veteran and a trade down is more likely. Deshaun Watson still carries the worst contract in football, which means the Browns will struggle to add the necessary talent on offense to set up a rookie for success. Plus, if Shedeur Sanders does demand to go to certain places, the Browns will likely not be on that list.
One team that would be on Sanders’s list is the Raiders. Vegas has the second most cap space, and their minority owner, Tom Brady, has worked with Sanders during Sanders’s time in Colorado.
If Ward goes first, look for Vegas to make a play at landing the former Colorado star.
The Trade: The Las Vegas Raiders trade the #6, #69, and a 2026 1st round pick to the Cleveland Browns for the second overall selection
3) New York Giants: Jaxson Dart, QB Ole Miss- Here’s where this mock goes off the rails. The early predictions from many are that quarterbacks will go lower than expected because it’s a weak quarterback class, and that is true. However, it’s a weak draft class overall, which means the value is about the same as a normal draft season. If a third quarterback emerges during this draft process, they could easily go top five like Anthony Richardson did a few years ago.
Jaxson Dart had a massive bowl game against Duke where he flashed maybe the best potential of any quarterback in this draft class. Dart can make any throw on the field if given a clean pocket, and his ability to make off-platform throws is unique. Look for Dart to climb up draft boards during the draft process because of his upside if put in the right situation.
4) New England Patriots: Travis Hunter, WR/CB Colorado- Hunter projects as a corner at the next level because of his length and physicality in coverage. He breaks well out of the backpedal, he mirrors well, and he possesses terrific ball skills. On top of that, he’s guaranteed to take some snaps on offense throughout his NFL career and he can certainly make plays there as well.
5) Jacksonville Jaguars: Will Campbell, OL LSU- The Jaguars offensive line once again failed to keep its franchise quarterback healthy for an entire season, which makes that the number one priority this offseason. Campbell is one of two high-quality tackles in this draft class, but many project him to move inside because he has all-pro potential at guard. His footwork and IQ when facing opposing pass rushers should allow him to have a long career regardless of where he plays.
6) *TRADE* Cleveland Browns (from Raiders): Tetairoa McMillian, WR Arizona- In a scenario where Shedeur Sanders chooses to only play for specific teams, Cleveland has a perfect opportunity to trade back and acquire assets for a roster with very little cap space.
Jerry Jeudy had a strong season, but he’s still not a “WR1.” Tetairoa McMillian is a stud with the ball in his hands and a 50/50 monster. The threat of the go-ball allows him to effortlessly create space on comebacks and hitch routes. McMillian may be the only true top-tier wideout in this draft.
The Trade: See Pick #2.
7) New York Jets: Will Johnson, CB Michigan- DJ Reed is likely gone in free agency, which means the Jets will look for a number two corner this offseason opposite Sauce Gardner. Fortunately for them, they are in a perfect position to take an elite corner here. Will Johnson is one of the few players in this draft with Pro Bowl potential. His length, his technique in and out of his backpedal, and the anticipation he showed in a multitude of coverages make him a perfect fit on the other side of Gardner.
Editor’s Note: The Jets are losers and I hate them. Just had to get that off my chest after this past season. Okay, back to the mock.
8) Carolina Panthers: Mason Graham, IDL Michigan- The interior of the Panthers defense was a true nightmare in 2024. Graham is a hardworking 3-tech who understands how to gain leverage at the point of attack. Even this far away from the draft, I would be willing to bet that this is Mason Graham’s floor in terms of draft stock.
9) New Orleans Saints: Abdul Carter, EDGE Penn State- The one area of strength for this draft class as a whole is the defensive line talent. Carter broke out in his final year at Penn State. He has elite dip-and-bend ability off the edge. He also lines up in a multitude of spots along the defensive front to contribute in a lot of different ways. Carter reminds me a lot of the way Penn State used Micah Parsons, which is likely why he’s the first edge player off the board in a few months.
10) Chicago Bears: Kelvin Banks Jr, OT Texas- Chicago has to protect Caleb Williams better in 2025 to allow him the chance to be successful. Banks’s strength is his footwork on an island in pass protection. I could see Banks playing left or right tackle at the next level because his strength in pass protection is in the 45-degree set; meaning he tries to get his hands on edge rushers quickly to prevent them from running the arch, but still kicks out instead of jumping forward at them.
11) San Francisco 49ers: Mykel Williams, EDGE Georgia- Length and power is the name of the game for Mykel Williams. He’s an elite athlete, but his force at the point of attack is what makes him tough to stop. The 49ers excel at taking length and raw athleticism and creating a quality pass rusher, so this is a perfect fit.
12) Dallas Cowboys: Jalon Walker, EDGE/LB Georgia- Do not be shocked if, in a few months, Dallas looks to move up the draft board for Abdul Carter. Putting him opposite Micah Parsons would take a lot of pressure off of the rest of the defense. Should they stay put here, expect them to still go pass rusher for the same reason.
13) Arizona Cardinals: James Pearce, EDGE Tennessee- The run on edge rushers continues with James Pearce. Pearce is lightning-quick off the ball as an edge rusher and has top-tier athleticism. He has to become better at setting the edge in the run game to play on all three downs, but he can rush the passer from day one.
14) Indianapolis Colts: Malaki Starks, S Georgia- One of the sneaky best players in this draft is Georgia safety Malaki Starks. He has the ball skills in the deep part of the field to make impact plays at the next level. However, the mark of an elite safety prospect is their willingness to tackle and the angles they take to the ball. Starks is strong in both areas.
15) Atlanta Falcons: Nic Scourton, EDGE Texas A&M- Scourton has impressive size and length and has good power at the point of attack. He translates to someone who can bounce between a 3-tech and a 5-tech depending on the scheme, which gives him some flexibility that other edge players lack in this class. Atlanta needs a pass rusher to take their defense to the next level, so look for them to address that at some point this offseason.
16) Miami Dolphins: Kenneth Grant, IDL Michigan- The interior of the Dolphins defense was a disaster last season. Grant’s ability to eat blocks in the run game and collapse the pocket as a pass rusher makes him well worthy of a first-round pick if he tests well at the combine.
17) Cincinnati Bengals: Josh Simmons, OT Ohio State- Simmons could sneak into the top 10 in mocks before this draft season is finished. Simmons is one of the best at kicking out and beating edge rushers to the arch, and that athleticism could catapult him over others in this class.
18) Seattle Seahawks: Jalen Milroe, QB Alabama- Four quarterbacks in the first round sounds blasphemous at the moment, but here’s why it’s more probable than you think. The amount of QB-needy teams extends way beyond those at the top that need players to start. Seattle has a 35-year-old Geno Smith in the last year of his contract. While some of these quarterbacks may not be ready to start on day one, they all have NFL-caliber traits that can be coached up.
Jalen Milroe’s athleticism and arm talent will intrigue a lot of teams that are willing to sit a quarterback and start them in year two. In a weak draft class, that player could easily go in round one.
19) Houston Texans: Jonah Savaiinaea, OL Arizona- Most of the offensive linemen in this draft class translate better as a guard than a tackle, and Savaiinaea fits that mold. His size and length project much better as a guard, as does his technique. The power he has in his strikes will play better along the interior at the next level.
20) Denver Broncos: Colston Loveland, TE Michigan- Loveland is one of two elite tight-end prospects in this draft class. He’s a great separator against defenders when working the middle of the field, and in my opinion, both he and Tyler Warren are better playmakers at the next level than the majority of this receiver class. Denver could use a safety valve for Bo Nix in the middle of the field to help take pressure off of Courtland Sutton, making tight-end a very natural selection here at 20.
21) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Shavon Revel Jr., CB East Carolina- The Bucs will likely address their back seven on defense throughout this offseason. Revel was having a brilliant season before his injury at East Carolina. At 6’3, his length makes him a candidate to be an elite cover corner at the next level, provided he tests well athletically in a few months.
22) Pittsburgh Steelers: Trey Amos, CB Ole Miss- Pittsburgh is going to be a difficult team to predict throughout the draft process. Despite a playoff appearance, they have so many needs throughout their roster. One of those needs is a number two cornerback opposite Joey Porter Jr., so that’s what they do here in this mock.
23) Los Angeles Rams: Tyler Warren, TE Penn State- Pass catcher may not look like a need for the Rams, but Cooper Kupp will be 32 in June. With his injury history, it’s worth investing in a pass catcher somewhere in this draft.
Warren was used in a multitude of ways at Penn State. He’s tough to bring down with the ball in his hands and he makes 50/50 balls look 70/30. Warren would be a nice fit in the Rams’ dynamic offense.
24) Green Bay Packers: Shemar Stewart, DL Texas A&M- Stewart does not have elite production, but he has elite traits, and those players always go higher than expected come draft time. Green Bay often looks to address the trenches early in drafts, so even though they have other needs, they go front seven with this pick.
25) Los Angeles Chargers: Derrick Harmon, IDL Oregon- The Chargers could generate more pass rush along the interior to elevate their defense in 2025. This class features a few unique pass rushers along the interior, and one of them is Derrick Harmon. He has terrific lower body flexibility which should help him at the next level.
26) Washington Commanders: Emeka Egbuka, WR Ohio State- In order for this offense to evolve, getting a playmaker opposite Terry McLaurin is important. Egbuka really improved his route running in his final year at Ohio State. He has a very high floor, which in this draft is enough to land you a first-round selection.
27) Baltimore Ravens: Tyler Booker, IOL Alabama- Baltimore runs the ball better than any team in the NFL. Tyler Booker is one of the best run blockers in this draft. A fairly simple thought process here.
28) Minnesota Vikings: Walter Nolan, IDL Ole Miss- The interior of the Vikings was a weak spot on a much improved defense in 2024. Nolan is viewed by many as someone who could rise up draft boards because of his elite athleticism. Traits will matter more than tape in this draft process because the tape for many is not at an elite level. Nolan slides in at 28 in this mock, but he could be much higher come April.
29) Buffalo Bills: Jihaad Campbell, LB Alabama- Sean McDermott has had a lot of success over his NFL career with developing elite linebackers. Campbell’s ability to shoot the proper gaps in the run game, as well as his read-and-react ability in coverage, could make this the steal of the draft should it come to fruition in a few months.
30) Philadelphia Eagles: Isaiah Bond, WR Texas- I’m going out on a limb here at the back end of the first round. AJ Brown has had his issues during the 2024 season, and Devonta Smith has struggled to stay healthy. It would be wise for Philadelphia to invest in their depth at receiver sometime during this offseason.
31) Kansas City Chiefs: Aireontae Ersery, OL Minnesota- How the Chiefs won 15 games in today’s NFL with an offense that failed to score 30 points in a game is one of the biggest mysteries of 2024. Replacing Jawaan Taylor should be a layup move for the Chiefs this offseason because of how inconsistent Taylor has been.
32) Detroit Lions: Mike Green, DL Marshall- Detroit likely addresses their front seven depth at some point during this offseason because it could cost them a deep playoff run this season. Green’s tape was dominant in his final season at Marshall. If his athleticism testing matches up, he could rise up draft boards.
Jordan Katz’s 2024 NFL Mock Draft 3.0: Two Rounds
After a very exciting free agency period, we are back with the third installment of #MockLyfe! Some team needs have changed, and some player evaluations have changed as well. The last installment of my prediction mock draft was before the combine, which saw a ton of players shine. There are a lot of players who added to their draft stock, and a few who hurt it as well.
A couple of housekeeping notes before we get started. I only did trades for the first round. It is incredibly hard to predict trades in a mock in general, and predicting past the second round is almost impossible. Therefore, I limited myself to only mocking trades in round one.
Also, if your favorite team needs a wide receiver or an offensive lineman, you are in luck this year. I have 12 wide receivers going in the first two rounds (which could be a little high), and even more offensive linemen (which I still could be low on).
Now I know what you’re thinking; “okay that’s cool information, but where do the quarterbacks go? Where are the trades and how many of them do you have?”
Well…
ROUND ONE
1) Chicago Bears: Caleb Williams, QB USC- This decision appears to be a lock, so we won’t spend too much time on it. The Bears have moved on from Justin Fields, and surrounded Williams with a quality receiving core after the addition of Keenan Allen. They also brought in D’Andre Swift, who should fortify the run game. Williams has the pieces around him to be incredibly successful.
2) Washington Commanders: Jayden Daniels, QB LSU- Daniels appears to be the favorite to go second overall. His impressive showing at the combine has solidified him as a top 3 lock. Whether he goes 2 or not will depend on how much influence Head Coach Dan Quinn has in the selection.
Quinn is someone who values athleticism at every position, and getting a quarterback who runs a 4.33 feels like something that would be atop the wish list. Daniels’s ability to create with his legs would give the Commanders a different dimension to their offense.
3) *TRADE* Minnesota Vikings (from Patriots): Drake Maye, QB North Carolina- This is where the draft starts. Reports coming out of Indianapolis were that quarterbacks would go 1-2-3. The debate is whether the Patriots will make the pick, or trade it and tank for next year. While I would select a quarterback and just wait to play him until the roster was ready, I am not in charge of this one.
For four months the Pats have been a prime candidate to trade down… except for during the last few weeks when the discussion has turned into them being locked into a quarterback. We all know that this is smoke and mirrors season for the draft process. My guess is that the Patriots are tempting someone to move up the board.
Minnesota is desperate to land one of the young quarterbacks after losing Kirk Cousins. On top of their top targets is Maye (Josh McCown has familiarity with him from Maye’s high school days). I also think this is Maye’s best fit. He walks into the league with the best receiver in the game (Justin Jefferson), a top-tier tight end (TJ Hockenson), and an elite offensive-minded coach (Kevin O’Connell).
Should the Patriots’ decision be a trade at three, the Vikings are the slam-dunk move.
The Trade: The Minnesota Vikings trade the #11, #23, a 2025 1st round pick, and a 2025 3rd round pick to the New England Patriots for the #3, #103, and a 2025 4th round pick.
4) Arizona Cardinals: Marvin Harrison Jr., WR Ohio State- If the Patriots make their selection, the Cardinals will be flooded with trade offers, and they will likely get one that is too good to pass up on. However, if the trade happens at three, the trade offers will be lighter, and not worth passing up on Marvin Harrison Jr.
The decision not to participate in the entire pre-draft process may have been questionable to some, but it actually made perfect sense for Harrison Jr. His draft hype was already otherworldly; there was no reason to risk hurting his draft stock. He will likely be the first non-quarterback selected in a few weeks.
5) Los Angeles Chargers: Malik Nabers, WR LSU- Following the release of Mike Williams and the trade of Keenan Allen, the Chargers are now a virtual lock to pick one of the talented top receivers at five. There is a chance they wind up with Marvin Harrison, but I think Nabers is the better fit. The Chargers need a playmaker with the ball to open up this offense, and Nabers is the best “YAC,” player in the draft. He also runs good routes from the slot and the boundary positions.
6) New York Giants: J.J. McCarthy, QB Michigan- I might be falling for the bait, but I think the Giants are the floor for McCarthy’s draft stock. Daniel Jones is simply not the answer long term. McCarthy’s athleticism would be appealing to Head Coach Brian DaBoll, and he could start or sit depending on what he earns in training camp.
Editor’s Note: We do need to address the elephant in the room; why is everyone in love with J.J. McCarthy? In my opinion, the arm talent is the only answer to that question. Teams fall in love with arm talent and feel that they can coach up the rest. McCarthy does have a chance if he sits, and I do believe the Giants would sit him in year one.
7) Tennessee Titans: Joe Alt, OT Notre Dame- Much like the Chargers, the Titans are a lock in terms of the position they are selecting at seven. They signed Calvin Ridley to round out their receiving core, so finding a left tackle is now priority number one.
Alt is the consensus top tackle in a terrific offensive line class, but keep an eye on Olu Fashanu here. When Andrew Thomas went fourth overall to the Giants, which surprised many, there were rumors that one team had him so high on their board that they refused to pass if he was available. There are those rumors about Olu Fashanu at this time.
8) Atlanta Falcons: Dallas Turner, EDGE Alabama- I did try to trade this pick for Atlanta, but the offers were not up to par. Therefore, if Atlanta is stuck in this spot, they likely take the top edge guy on the board.
Turner’s ceiling is not as high as the top edge guys from past years, but he is an elite athlete who is best served standing up in a 3-4. The Falcons’ defense stunk last year in terms of getting to the passer, so Turner can make an immediate impact there.
9) Chicago Bears: Olu Fashanu, OT Penn State- Selfishly, I am glad we have returned to normalcy when it comes to Olu Fashanu and his draft stock. You would think the Bears have to go offensive line with this selection, but keep an eye on Brock Bowers potentially landing here. While it makes little sense because of their needs up front and the Bears having Cole Kmet, Bowers has met with the Bears twice already. He is also expected to go in this range.
10) New York Jets: Rome Odunze, WR Washington- Much like the Falcons, I think the Jets ultimately get stuck at 10 on draft night. If they are, this is a literal coin flip between Odunze and Taliese Fuaga in the scenario this mock has created. The Jets still need both positions long-term despite the one-year signings of Mike Williams and Tyron Smith. What this selection could come down to is the uncertainty of Williams coming off of surgery. Odunze’s route running skills and 50/50 ability would be something Aaron Rodgers would love in the offense.
Editor’s Note: The Jets are being tied to Brock Bowers at 10, but I think that’s a smoke screen. Joe Douglas has only picked premium positions in round one during his time in New York, and tight end is simply not that when it comes to top 10 selections. To me, the Bowers move becomes more possible if the Jets move backward in the first round.
11) *TRADE* New England Patriots (from Vikings): Taliese Fuaga, OT Oregon State- If the Patriots are going to punt the season and wait for a quarterback until the roster is ready, building the offensive line back up should be the top priority. Fuaga plays with immense physicality and quality lower body technique. He can play the left side or the right side at the next level, and that is appealing to many.
The Trade: See Pick #3.
12) *TRADE* Dallas Cowboys (from Broncos): Amarius Mims, OT Georgia- In previous mocks, I have talked about Bo Nix and how he is a perfect fit for the Denver Broncos. However, this is a little early for that move. The more likely scenario is them moving backward, adding assets, and selecting that quarterback later in round one.
Dallas also has to find their Tyron Smith replacement, so them getting aggressive here also makes sense.
Mims this high is a bold call, but teams are infatuated with his athleticism and upside. Even with limited tape, there are plenty who think he can be an elite tackle at the next level. Plus, teams will always take an elite athlete over an average one with great tape.
The Trade: The Dallas Cowboys trade the #24, #56 and a 2025 2nd round pick to the Denver Broncos for the #12 and #136.
13) Las Vegas Raiders: JC Latham, OT Alabama- Look for Vegas to make their quarterback move in this draft by trading back into round one. At this spot, offensive line makes the most sense. Latham is a plug-and-play right tackle from day one, something Vegas desperately needs.
14) New Orleans Saints: Brock Bowers, TE Georgia- Keep an eye on the Saints to move up this draft board to ensure a pass catcher opposite Chris Olave. It is by far their biggest need, and the players at the top are elite. Should Bowers slide a bit, this feels like his floor because of that need. He is a do-it-all tight end with YAC ability to boot.
15) Indianapolis Colts: Terrion Arnold, CB Alabama- What an absolute steal this would be for the Colts. Arnold is arguably the top player in the draft on the defensive side of the ball, and the Colts need a true number one corner. In a year with a lot of talent, good players are going to fall when the quarterbacks go high, and Arnold falls victim to that.
16) Seattle Seahawks: Troy Fautanu, OL Washington- The Seahawks lost a lot along the interior of their offensive line this offseason. Fautanu has all-pro ability at guard, and his versatility to play multiple spots is something NFL teams will value.
17) Jacksonville Jaguars: Jared Verse, EDGE Florida State- The uncertainty around Josh Allen’s future with the team is why the Jags go edge here at 17. I’m going with Verse because his buzz leaving Indianapolis last month was high, but do not sleep on Chop Robinson going this early. No one had a better showing than Robinson at the Combine, and teams love elite athletes off the edge.
18) Cincinnati Bengals: Adonai Mitchell, WR Texas- The back end of this first round could get wild because of the immense talent in this class. You could see a lot of teams taking “their guy,” instead of the consensus best player at that position. Adonai Mitchell over Brian Thomas Jr is one of those instances. He’s a 50/50 playmaker and he wins in the red zone.
In terms of draft needs for Cincy, I do think Tee Higgins moves on draft day (stay tuned for that later), which makes pass catcher their primary need based on how their offense operates.
19) Los Angeles Rams: Byron Murphy II, IDL Texas- What a perfect fit this is. Following the retirement of Aaron Donald, defensive line is incredibly likely at 19. Murphy fills the need for a pass rusher, while also replacing Aaron Donald in the starting lineup for all three downs. I do think edge is in play here, but I love the idea of Murphy and Kobe Turner wrecking games from the interior.
20) Pittsburgh Steelers: Tyler Guyton, OT Oklahoma– Pittsburgh could go several different directions here, but the most likely seems to be offensive line. Guyton is still not a day-one player in my eyes, but I think the NFL may feel differently. He does possess a lot of power in his strikes, and teams like his upside because of his athleticism.
21) Miami Dolphins: Graham Barton, IOL Duke- Miami got gutted along the interior of their offensive line during the offseason. They need to address that early in this draft. Barton can play any spot up front, giving the Dolphins some draft flexibility while simultaneously addressing a need. This is an easy pick.
22) *TRADE* Carolina Panthers (from Eagles): Briant Thomas Jr., WR LSU- The Panthers have quietly had a really good offseason. They have added a few pieces to fortify their offensive line, and they added Diontae Johnson as a target for Bryce Young. If the right situation presents itself, they could move up the draft board for a pass catcher that falls, like Brian Thomas Jr did here.
Conversely, the Eagles are a perfect trade-down candidate. They addressed a lot of their needs during free agency. This is the perfect time for General Manager Howie Roseman to add a few assets to help fill out the depth of the roster.
I do not know if this exact trade happens on draft day, but I would keep an eye on both of these teams moving around the board early in this draft.
The Trade: The Carolina Panthers trade the #39, #65 and a 2025 3rd round pick to the Philadelphia Eagles for the #22 and a 2025 4th round pick.
23) *TRADE* New England Patriots (from Vikings via Texans): Laiatu Latu, EDGE UCLA- The best way to rebuild a roster is through the trenches. Following offensive line at 11, the Patriots add the best pass rusher on tape from the 2024 draft class.
Despite being many’s top pass rusher, I think Latu could slide even further than this on draft day. His athletic testing was not elite in Indianapolis last month. When you combine that with his injury history, he could be one of the players who slides to day two. However, the tape is excellent and he has the best move-set in the entire draft class.
The Trade: See Pick #3.
24) *TRADE* Denver Broncos (from Cowboys): Bo Nix, QB Oregon- This is the perfect scenario for Denver on draft day, and a very realistic one as well. 12 is too high to take Nix, but they must come out of this draft with a quarterback. They also do not have a second round pick to trade up for one after making a selection at 12. Therefore, moving down the draft board, recouping that second-rounder, and still getting Nix is a home run.
The Trade: See Pick #12.
25) *TRADE* Kansas City Chiefs (from Packers): Quinyon Mitchell, CB Toledo- Hand up, I was dead wrong about Quinyon Mitchell. Some guys overperform at the combine and it forces you to go back and look at their tape to see what you missed. Mitchell was one of those guys for me. I did not see 4.3 speed, I did not see the effortless flipping of his hips that he showed in the drills, and I did not see the ability to break out of his backpedal clean without losing any speed. I saw a good player on tape; Mitchell proved he could be a great player at the combine.
The Chiefs had to let L’Jarius Sneed go because of cap issues, so replacing him with a toolsy corner like Mitchell makes a ton of sense. That is why they get aggressive and move up to land their guy.
The Trade: The Kansas City Chiefs trade the #32, #95 and #141 to the Green Bay Packers for the 25th overall selection.
26) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Nate Wiggins, CB Clemson- Speaking of toolsy cornerbacks, Wiggins has elite athleticism and is one of the better man cover corners in the draft. The Bucs got jumped for Quinyon Mitchell who fell down the draft board a bit, but their consolation prize is a player who fits Todd Bowles’s defense very well.
27) *TRADE* Cincinnati Bengals (from Cardinals via Texans): Jackson Powers-Johnson, IOL Oregon- I hinted at the Tee Higgins trade earlier and we have arrived. If you think about it, this is the perfect Tee Higgins trade. The Bengals are not going to want to trade him in the conference, and they likely will not want to give him to a championship contender either. Enter the Arizona Cardinals, who have a ton of cap space and need multiple weapons in their receiving corpse. With two moves in round one, the Cardinals have one of the best receiving duos in the league if MHJ lives up to the hype.
The Bengals continue to revamp their offensive line here with the selection of Jackson Powers-Johnson. He is one of the top interior offensive linemen in this draft because of his intelligence in pass protection and his footwork.
The Trade: The Cincinnati Bengals trade Tee Higgins and a 2025 3rd Round Pick to the Arizona Cardinals for the 27th overall selection.
28) *TRADE* Las Vegas Raiders (from Bills): Michael Penix Jr., QB Washington- Vegas did sign Gardner Minshew to a two-year deal, but I don’t think that rules out quarterback in this draft. They are in a great position to take a quarterback late in round one and sit him behind Minshew in year one. That is why they are the perfect team for Michael Penix Jr. They trade up to get a fifth-year option out of a guy who they hope is their quarterback of the future.
The Trade: The Las Vegas Raiders trade the #44, #77 and a 2025 2nd round pick to the Buffalo Bills for the #28 and a 2025 4th round pick.
29) Detroit Lions: Darius Robinson, DL Missouri- If teams around them did not trade out of round one, Detroit would have been a great candidate to do so. Their needs have shrunk since free agency ended, making “BPA,” a great idea. Robinson’s versatility and athleticism up front make him a terrific fit in Detroit’s defense.
30) Baltimore Ravens: Chop Robinson, EDGE Penn State- Baltimore is going to find a steal here at 30. While they somehow always find a way to steal someone, in a draft where quarterbacks going early will force talent to slide, it feels like even more of a foregone conclusion this time.
One of the biggest winners from the combine was Chop Robinson. He showed upper-echelon athleticism and flashed elite dip-and-bend potential during the on-field drills. His tape is not as complete as the other edge rushers, but the upside may be higher than all of them.
31) San Francisco 49ers: Jordan Morgan, OT Arizona- The Niners will likely add to their offensive line depth somewhere in this draft. Morgan’s athleticism should allow him to play the left or right side in this offense, and his footwork should help him be a solid pass protector right away.
32) *TRADE* Green Bay Packers (from Chiefs): Edgerrin Cooper, LB Texas A&M- The Packers used a top 30 visit on the best off-ball linebacker in the draft class, which means they could look to take him a little before his expected draft value. Cooper can do it all, including rushing the passer from that second-level spot. He would add a different dimension to this Packers’ defense.
The Trade: See Pick #25.
ROUND TWO
33) Carolina Panthers: Braden Fiske, DL Florida State- Fiske put together the best combine of any player, making him a shoo-in for the top 50 picks. Carolina could use some versatility up-front, which makes this a good fit as well.
34) New England Patriots: Zach Frazier, IOL West Virginia- The Patriots continue to rebuild in the trenches with Frazier, who some think is the best interior offensive lineman in the draft because of his powerful strikes and ability to anchor.
35) Arizona Cardinals: Cooper DeJean, CB Iowa- Best defensive player available is an excellent strategy for the Cardinals at the top of round two. DeJean sliding to round two makes him an absolute steal because there is still an argument to be made for him being the top corner in this draft not named Arnold.
36) Washington Commanders: Kingsley Suamataia, OL BYU- Suamataia makes the 12th offensive lineman to go in the first 36 picks of this mock! Keep an eye on Washington moving back into round one to land a tackle as well because they need one that badly. They are fortunate to get one here at 36.
37) Los Angeles Chargers: Xavier Worthy, WR Texas- The Chargers doubling up on receiver makes sense. Quentin Johnston was terrible last season, and he’s the only real weapon on this roster right now. Worthy ran a 4.21 at the combine, so you know he can make some plays with the ball in his hands.
38) Tennessee Titans: T’Vondre Sweat, IDL Texas- Some might say this is early for a one-tech, but not every nose tackle moves as fluidly as Sweat. He also can rush the passer, which is needed in today’s NFL.
39) *TRADE* Philadelphia Eagles (from Panthers via Giants): Payton Wilson, LB NC State- The Eagles made some cheap signings at linebacker, but adding a quality player instead of trying to resurrect some careers still feels like a smart move. Wilson is an excellent player in coverage, and he shoots the right gaps from the second level.
The Trade: See Pick #22.
40) Washington Commanders (from Bears): Kool-Aid McKinstry, CB Alabama- McKinstry didn’t test at the combine due to injury, which hurts his chances to go in round one. Still, someone is going to take him early in round two because of his ability to excel in multiple coverages.
41) Green Bay Packers (from Jets): Jer’Zhan Newton, IDL Illinois- Newton is a quick twitch athlete with a great move-set along the interior. Playing alongside Kenny Clark on passing downs would allow him to thrive at the next level.
42) Houston Texans (from Vikings): Troy Franklin, WR Oregon- Houston’s first pick in this draft addresses a sneaky need. This offense sputtered at times when Tank Dell went down. Continuing to give CJ Stroud weapons is a very smart move.
43) Atlanta Falcons: Junior Colson, LB Michigan- The run on off-ball linebackers continues with the Falcons selecting Colson to solidify the second level of their defense. Colson is polarizing, but captaining the defense of the national champions is going to be appealing to NFL teams.
44) *TRADE* Buffalo Bills (from Raiders): Ennis Rakestraw Jr., CB Missouri- Buffalo really needs help at corner, and this is way too low for Rakestraw according to most pundits. This is a case of a good player falling into a great situation.
The Trade: See Pick #28.
45) New Orleans Saints (from Broncos): Kris Jenkins, IDL Michigan- The Saints were not great against the run last year. Kris Jenkins changes that from day one, and he adds a pass rushing element from the interior.
46) Indianapolis Colts: Xavier Leggette, WR South Carolina- Leggette has some Deebo Samuel in him, who also coincidentally was a South Carolina grad. He’s a good playmaker with the ball in his hands, and everything he does is at 100% speed.
47) New York Giants (from Seahawks): Ladd McConkey, WR Georgia- Should the Giants take JJ McCarthy at six, they must get a pass catcher in the middle of round two. McConkey wins from all over the field, and he’s a very savvy route runner.
48) Jacksonville Jaguars: Kamari Lassiter, CB Georgia- The Jags need some depth in their secondary, which is a good target for them early in this draft. Lassiter had a really nice combine, which helped his draft stock immensely as someone who lined up in the nickel a fair amount.
49) Cincinnati Bengals: Trey Benson, RB Florida State- Call me crazy, but Zack Moss as a “bell cow,” is not an intriguing proposition. Benson showed the “home run ability,” with an incredible showing at the combine, and he should be a lock for the top running back selected in a few weeks.
50) Philadelphia Eagles (from New Orleans): Cooper Beebe, IOL Kansas State- The Eagles love to have an abundance of depth in the trenches, and right now they are lacking that on the offensive side of the ball. Beebe fits a need based on how the team operates.
51) Pittsburgh Steelers: Malachi Corley, WR Western Kentucky- Corley has been the draft darling of many. He’s terrific from the slot, and he tested off the charts in Indianapolis. He’s a perfect fit as the number two receiver for the Steelers.
52) Los Angeles Rams: Marshawn Kneeland, EDGE Western Michigan- The Rams continue to revamp their defensive front seven. Kneeland is a quality power rusher who flashed some nice athleticism at the combine.
53) Philadelphia Eagles: Javon Bullard, S Georgia- There is a real chance a safety does not go before the third round. If there is one that sneaks in, it’s Bullard because of his ability to read and react in the back end.
54) Cleveland Browns: Patrick Paul, OT Houston- The Browns could use some depth up front with this first selection in their draft. Paul has ridiculous size and long arms. His technique needs work, but that’s why he sits in his first year.
55) Miami Dolphins: Maason Smith, IDL LSU- Miami is in a tough spot in this draft to nab both of the things they need. Smith is a former five-star recruit who had a lot of injuries in college. If he can reach his potential, this could be a steal.
56) *TRADE* Denver Broncos (from Cowboys): Chris Braswell, EDGE Alabama- Denver lacks a primary pass rusher. While this draft lacks depth in that regard, Braswell is one of the last of the true pass rushers worth taking for a while based on the way this board fell.
The Trade: See Pick #12.
57) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Trevin Wallace, LB Kentucky- Todd Bowles would love an athlete at the second level like Wallace. Wallace has some up-and-down moments on tape, but he has elite upside because he can cover.
58) Green Bay Packers: Zak Zinter, IOL Michigan- I am going to continue to prognosticate that Zinter goes sooner rather than later despite his season-ending leg injury. Green Bay could use some depth along the interior, and Zinter could wind up starting by year’s end.
59) Houston Texans: Mike Sainristil, DB Michigan- Sainristil might go a little higher than expected because he can do a bit of everything in the back end, even if he is elite at very little. The fit makes sense as well because Houston needs depth in their secondary.
60) Buffalo Bills: Ricky Pearsall, WR Florida- Despite the signing of Curtis Samuel, I still think the Bills could add a pass catcher in this draft. Pearsall had a monster showing at the combine, guaranteeing himself a top 2 round selection, in my opinion.
61) Detroit Lions: Bralen Trice, EDGE Washington- Detroit doubles up on defensive line with Trice in the back end of round two. His tape was way better than his combine performance. Trice could be the steal of day two.
62) Baltimore Ravens: Roger Rosengarten, OL Washington- Like Detroit, Baltimore also doubles up, in a way. They take a second guy who tested great athletically and they attempt to correct some technical flaws he may have to turn him into a starter.
63) San Francisco 49ers: Roman Wilson, WR Michigan- 12 receivers in the first two rounds may seem high, but this receiver class is built different. San Francisco could use some assurance in case Brandon Aiyuk does not re-sign, and Wilson’s a better route runner than people think.
64) Kansas City Chiefs: Ja’Tavion Sanders, TE Texas- Should the situation present itself, Kansas City could look for Travis Kelce’s replacement in this draft since Kelce’s days are numbered. Sanders is a good athlete, and he can make an immediate impact in the red zone.
Jordan Katz’s 2024 NFL Mock Draft 2.0: Post Super Bowl
With the Super Bowl having come and gone, we are officially on the road to the NFL Draft! There are lots of changes from the previous mock draft, including multiple teams moving up for a quarterback, and offensive linemen galore in this first round. There are a few more trades in this mock draft than the last one, so this will look more like a traditional mock draft for me. Let’s dive into it.
ROUND ONE
1) *TRADE* Washington Commanders (from Bears): Caleb Williams, QB USC- The Bears have played the early portion of the offseason perfectly. They have teased Caleb Williams as an absolute lock and are dangling Justin Fields in trade offers through the media. Not only does this allow them to gauge Fields’s market, but they can also gauge who is willing to throw some extra draft capital at them to move up for Williams.
That team still feels like the Washington Commanders. Following the hiring of Dan Quinn as Head Coach, the Commanders poached Kliff Kingsbury as Offensive Coordinator. Kingsbury coached Williams last season at USC, and the last time those dots were connected the Cardinals abandoned Josh Rosen for Kyler Murray. This hypothetical trade will pick up more steam over the next few months.
The Trade: Washington trades the 2nd overall pick, the 36th overall pick, a 2025 2nd round selection, and a 2025 4th round selection to the Chicago Bears for the 1st overall pick and the 143rd overall pick.
2) *TRADE* Chicago Bears (from Commanders): Marvin Harrison Jr., WR Ohio State- If the Bears had changed regimes this offseason, I would buy the Caleb Williams hype a lot more. When a regime change occurs, they like to bring in “their guy,” at quarterback. Justin Fields finished the season strong for the Bears, and now they have the chance to give him one of the best receiver prospects we have seen since AJ Green. For now, the Bears trading out of the first pick is still my prediction.
The Trade: See the Number One Pick.
3) New England Patriots: Jayden Daniels, QB LSU- New Head Coach Jerod Mayo is likely to bring a defensive mindset to the Patriots from the jump. Defensive coaches typically like quarterbacks that can avoid turnovers, and extend drives on third down. Jayden Daniels excels at both of these things. Daniels is a playmaker with his legs and has a terrific understanding of 50/50 throws. There are rumors of New England trading out of this pick, but if they keep it, they will likely pick a quarterback of the future.
4) Arizona Cardinals: Rome Odunze, WR Washington- Odunze is the darling of many draft pundits. While Harrison Jr. is the headliner of this receiving class, Odunze’s fluidity in his routes and ability to win 50/50 balls down the field has some thinking he could be the best of the bunch. The question is not whether Odunze is worthy of the selection; it’s if he will be.
Not only does Arizona need a playmaking receiver, but they also need one of the talented offensive linemen at the top of the board. If Harrison is available, it’s easy. If he’s not…
5) *TRADE* Atlanta Falcons (from Chargers): Drake Maye, QB North Carolina- Atlanta is a quarterback away from potentially having a stranglehold on the weakest division in football. They will likely take a look at Justin Fields, but should Chicago hold him, they will try to fly up this draft board for one of the top quarterbacks.
Maye had a roller coaster run at North Carolina, but the upside is outrageous. He throws the best deep ball in the draft and he creates with his legs. If he cleans up some easy mechanical fixes, he can be a superstar at the next level.
The Trade: Atlanta trades the 8th overall pick, the 43rd overall pick, and a 2025 2nd round selection to the Los Angeles Chargers for the 5th overall pick and the 106th overall pick.
6) New York Giants: Malik Nabers, WR LSU- If the Giants are unable to grab a number one receiver this offseason, Joe Schoen and Brian Daboll need to be on the hot seat immediately. Nabers is a bonafide playmaker; his ability in routes is so much better than people realize because of his release off the line of scrimmage and his ability to set up defenders in the route. On top of that, he’s a playmaker with the ball in his hands. This is a layup for the Giants.
7) Tennessee Titans: Joe Alt, OT Notre Dame- As mentioned in Mock Draft 1.0, the Titans are in a prime spot to land a franchise tackle in this draft to protect Will Levis. Joe Alt appears to be the consensus top tackle on the board, which makes him the selection here.
8) *TRADE* Los Angeles Chargers (from Falcons): Terrion Arnold, CB Alabama- We have now turned this mock draft completely on its head. Many think the entire top 10 are going to be on the offensive side of the ball. However, Arnold is a massive need for the Chargers.
Arnold is one of the big risers from the last mock draft. He’s a complete corner with excellent ball skills and he’s a very willing tackler. Daniel Jeremiah has him as his sixth-ranked player, and he’s likely not the only one connected in the football realm who loves Arnold’s game. It’s bold to have him as high as 5, but this is the time in the Mock SZN to be bold.
The Trade: See Pick #5.
9) Chicago Bears: Taliese Fuaga, OT Oregon State- The other big riser from a month ago to now is Taliese Fuaga. He has incredible power at the point of attack, and many think he can be a left tackle at the next level if needed because of his footwork. Fuaga could be in the mix for the top tackle if he puts on a show in Indianapolis next month.
10) New York Jets: Olu Fashanu, OT Penn State- Fashanu has dropped a bit on some boards because people feel that he walls off defenders in the run game instead of finishing, which is accurate. They also feel his lower body has some stiffness when he’s facing some athletic pass rushers. This is where we need to have a conversation.
His technique may not be picture perfect; fine. The man did not allow a sack for two straight seasons! What are we even doing here? Fashanu is a slam dunk, and anything on the contrary is insane.
11) Minnesota Vikings: Byron Murphy II, DT Texas- Byron Murphy’s quick twitch ability as a pass rusher has him coveted by many in the middle of this draft. Minnesota needs a few things on the defensive side of the ball, so they could go several directions here on draft day. There are also rumblings of the Vikings looking for an heir to Kirk Cousins’s throne, so keep an eye on that as we get closer to the draft.
12) Denver Broncos: Bo Nix, QB Oregon- Another pick that is staying the same from Mock Draft 1.0. Bo Nix excels in the short to intermediate passing window, and he has NFL-level athleticism. In a west coast scheme like Sean Payton’s, Nix stands a great chance to be successful at the next level.
13) Las Vegas Raiders: Troy Fautanu, OL Washington- Vegas needs a lot of help on the offensive side of the ball. They need a future quarterback, but I think they look to trade back into round one to accomplish that task. At 13, a well-rounded offensive lineman like Fautanu who can play guard or tackle at the next level makes more sense.
14) New Orleans Saints: Brock Bowers, TE Georgia- Bowers is the mystery of the first round. He’s a do-it-all tight end with YAC ability and can make a day-one impact on any offense. The problem is that high-profile tight ends have not had the best run of late. If he makes to New Orleans, which needs a playmaker to pair with Chris Olave, he should be the selection.
15) Indianapolis Colts: Laiatu Latu, EDGE UCLA- The opportunity to select the top edge player at 15 rarely happens in drafts. Latu is a well-rounded pass rusher and has the best move-set by far of any edge rusher in this draft. If he tests well at the combine, he is going to fly up draft boards.
16) *TRADE* Dallas Cowboys (from Seahawks): JC Latham, OT Alabama- This is a terrific offensive line class, but that does not impact the necessity for the Dallas Cowboys to make sure they snag the player of their choice. Tyron Smith is in the latter stages of his career, and they could use a replacement.
JC Latham is better served on the right side at the next level, but his ability in the run game and his power at the point of attack is going to be very attractive to Head Coach Mike McCarthy.
The Trade: Dallas trades the 24th, 56th, and 87th overall selections to the Seattle Seahawks for the 16th overall pick and the 119th overall pick.
17) Jacksonville Jaguars: Brian Thomas Jr., WR LSU- Calvin Ridley is unlikely to return this offseason, which means the Jags receiving core goes from average to thin. Brian Thomas Jr., is the “best of the rest,” at the receiver position in this draft. He wins from the slot and the boundary, and he scored a nation-best 17 touchdowns this past season. That red zone target is something the Jaguars desperately need.
18) Cincinnati Bengals: Amarius Mims, OT Georgia- Offensive line is the Bengals’ biggest need this offseason. Many are extremely high on Mims because he has a massive frame and powerful strikes. He has elite length and can re-anchor well. Despite some injury concerns, Mims should go in the first 40 picks.
19) Los Angeles Rams: Dallas Turner, EDGE Alabama- The Rams revamped defense played well in 2023. Adding more defensive weapons this offseason could help them take a step forward next year. Turner has a great first step and he can dip-and-bend around the edge with the best of them. He just happens to be inconsistent, and he struggled at times this year as the primary pass rusher. When he’s right, he’s a force.
20) Pittsburgh Steelers: Jordan Morgan, OT Arizona- Morgan is a really interesting prospect. He is a fluid mover in his kickslide and can cut off athletic edge rushers easily. The concern is the lack of power in his punches. He walls off defenders rather than attacking them. If he can add some power to his frame, he could be a really good left tackle at the next level.
21) Miami Dolphins: Jackson Powers-Johnson, IOL Oregon- Around this time last year NFL fans became more familiar with the names of Joe Tippmann and John Michael Schmitz. This year, that name to know is Jackson Powers-Johnson.
Powers-Johnson has experience at multiple spots up front and he’s an excellent pass protector along the interior. This may be a little high for him, but Powers-Johnson is going to go in the first 40 picks in April.
22) Philadelphia Eagles: Tyler Guyton, OT Oklahoma- I’m surprised at the amount of buzz on Guyon and Amarius Mims given their lack of tape. What it goes to show all of us is the way NFL teams think. If there is a guy with gifted athleticism and length, they believe they can coach them into a quality NFL player. Guyton has those physical gifts, and does show a lot of fluidity in his lower body. The beauty of this fit is that he can sit behind Lane Johnson and learn the finer points of offensive line play.
23) Houston Texans (via Browns): Jer’Zhan Newton, IDL Illinois- Newton is a little undersized, but he can do it all along the interior. He’s quick off the ball, he’s got a quality moveset of rips and spins, and he understands how to set up opposing linemen to win the rep. Newton may lack elite athleticism, but the dude produces at every turn. Some team is going to get a steal in the back end of round one or the top of round two.
24) *TRADE* Seattle Seahawks (from Cowboys): J.J. McCarthy, QB Michigan- McCarthy is going to have to sit initially (perfect for the Seahawks who have Geno Smith for one more go) because he struggles to take the top off the defense and has a tendency to force throws into unrealistic windows. However, there is a lot of upside here.
McCarthy understands how to check the ball down, he’s terrific at off-platform throws, and he has a live arm. If given the chance to sit and learn how to read coverages better, McCarthy could be an elite game manager at the next level.
The Trade: See #16.
25) *TRADE* Las Vegas Raiders (from Packers): Michael Penix Jr., QB Washington- The most polarizing of the quarterbacks in this draft is going to be Michael Penix Jr. The good is phenomenal; he throws a terrific 50/50 ball, he understands back-shoulder placement, and he can let it rip down the field. The bad is horrific; his footwork is poor which causes wild throws, he doesn’t go through progressions, and he’s inconsistent on the “layup” throws. His chances at the next level are going to be solely based on where he winds up.
The Trade: Las Vegas trades the 44th overall pick and a 2025 2nd round pick to the Green Bay Packers for the 25th overall selection.
26) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Edgerrin Cooper, ILB Texas A&M- This off-ball linebacker class is too good to not see one sneak into the first round. Cooper is an elite athlete who excels in man coverage and can also rush the passer. He’s a game wrecker in the middle, and Head Coach Todd Bowles would love to select a chess piece at the second level of the defense.
27) Arizona Cardinals (from Texans): Cooper DeJean, CB Iowa- DeJean has made a lot of headlines during this offseason already (if you know, you know), but they are warranted. He drives out of his break incredibly well, he’s got good ball skills, and he’s a very willing tackler. He’s incredibly worthy of a first-round selection. Arizona also needs secondary help, so the fit works as well.
28) Buffalo Bills: Adonai Mitchell, WR Texas- One of the more interesting sagas of this offseason will be Stefon Diggs and the Buffalo Bills. Regardless of the outcome, the Bills need a real number two receiver. Gabe Davis is up and down, and he likely doesn’t return in free agency anyway.
Mitchell is a really interesting prospect. He’s a fluid mover for a big-body receiver, he adds an element in the red zone, and he’s a better athlete than he’s given credit for.
29) Detroit Lions: Kool-Aid McKinstry, CB Alabama- I have maintained that McKinstry is going to skyrocket after he tests well at the combine. Right now, many are questioning if he has the straight-line speed to trail receivers at the next level. Those questions will be answered next month, good or bad.
30) Baltimore Ravens: Jared Verse, EDGE Florida State- This feels like a yearly occurrence with the Baltimore Ravens. Some guy who has no business sliding down the draft board falls into their lap and becomes a star player.
Some feel that Verse is the top edge player in the class because of his versatility and ability to win reps from multiple spots along the defensive front. He would thrive in the Ravens’ defense.
31) San Francisco 49ers: Quinyon Mitchell, CB Toledo- Ball skills, elite athleticism, and excels in off coverage; that is the holy trinity for San Francisco cornerbacks. Mitchell fits that mold. If he makes it to this selection, the Niners will sprint to the podium.
32) Kansas City Chiefs: Chop Robinson, EDGE Penn State- Robinson is an interesting evaluation because there is a lot of upside as a pass rusher despite average athleticism. He has a great get-off, and he understands leverage and how to use it to his advantage. He may not have a high ceiling like most first-round edge rushers, but he should be a very productive pro.
“What If?” An All-Trades NFL Mock Draft
As many of you know, #MockDraftSZN is all about playing out different scenarios. Many times the quarterbacks will go higher than expected. Sometimes a team trades up for a player that many felt should have gone lower. The point of playing out different scenarios is because of the unpredictable nature of the NFL Draft. If you spit out the same scenarios in your mock drafts, you will likely miss out on many selections.
With that in mind, I decided to put a unique spin on the traditional mock drafts that you see. Many mock drafts now include trades, as they should have from the jump. Trades happen in the actual draft, so they should be projected in a mock draft. To that end, what if every pick in the first round was traded?
This offseason is going to be unlike any other in the NFL. The amount of quarterbacks that are going to change teams will have a drastic impact on the upcoming draft, as well as the upcoming season. On top of that, free agency is full of top end talent at many positions, along with quality starters and some top end depth. The wide receiver group is loaded. Joe Thuney and Brandon Scherff can have a major impact on the offensive line of the teams that they sign with. Patrick Peterson, Matthew Judon and other star defensive players will draw big contracts. Long story short, it will be a wild two months in the NFL.
The NFL Draft is going to have its fair share of unpredictable moments as well. Could Deshaun Watson move during the actual draft? Will a team select a player that is not pegged as a “round one prospect?” Where will the quarterbacks go, and which teams will look to select them?
When you combine the volatility of this year’s free agency and the craziness of the NFL Draft every year, you get the makings of a phenomenal offseason. Even though there’s quite literally zero chance that every pick gets traded, picks and players will definitely move throughout the three days of the NFL Draft. So let’s have some fun and put every pick in round one up for sale, shall we?
Now some of these will be plausible, and some of these might be out there. However, there are going to be plenty of moves this offseason that make fans perplexed. Subsequently, there will be plenty of moves during the draft that have fans and mock experts rattled. That’s why my personal feelings for prospects are held out of this mock. Selections will shock and disappoint me as well, which is why I’m using the media’s evaluation of players. This goes for the players being dealt, as well as the draft prospects.
It’s going to be a wild offseason, both in free agency and the NFL Draft. Therefore, this is a great time of year to play everyone’s favorite game… what if?
ROUND ONE
1) Dallas Cowboys (trade with the Jacksonville Jaguars): Trevor Lawrence, QB Clemson- The Dallas Cowboys seem committed to not paying Dak Prescott big money. If that’s the case, Jerry Jones could look to make a big splash in the draft at the quarterback position.
The only scenario where the Jaguars do not select Trevor Lawrence is if Urban Meyer believes there is a better fit for his system at the quarterback position. If Dak Prescott was made available via a sign and trade, that might entice Meyer. Prescott is his ideal quarterback because of his mobility and accuracy in the short yard window. On top of that, Prescott fits the mantra that ownership has in Jacksonville. Shahid Khan has looked for the splash moves that will draw fans to games. Dak Prescott is a splash move.
The Trade: The Dallas Cowboys trade Dak Prescott to the Jacksonville Jaguars for the 1st overall selection, a 2022 2nd Round pick, and a 2023 conditional 4th round selection.
2) Cincinnati Bengals (trade with the New York Jets): Penei Sewell, OT Oregon- Obviously the overwhelming consensus is that if the Jets trade this pick, they will do so for Deshaun Watson or Russell Wilson. However, a different scenario is the Jets staying in the top five to get the quarterback they want, while still acquiring future assets.
If the Bengals want Sewell, they might have to move up to do so. Miami is in the market for a tackle, and Atlanta could decide to cut Jake Matthews and take Sewell at four. Therefore, if the Bengals have their sights set on Penei Sewell to protect Joe Burrow, jumping up to the second selection is the move they should make.
The Trade: The Cincinnati Bengals trade the 5th and 37th overall selections to the New York Jets for the #2 and a 2022 6th round pick.
3) Carolina Panthers (trade with the Seattle Seahawks and Miami Dolphins): Zach Wilson, QB BYU- Let’s say the rumors are true and Russell Wilson truly wants out of Seattle. Is there a better situation for him, and the Seahawks for that matter, than what the Miami Dolphins could offer? They have a defense, they have the cap room to add offensive weapons after making the trade, and they have the draft assets to entice Seattle.
Here is where the trade gets interesting. If the Seahawks jumped into the top five, the logical conclusion is for them to select a quarterback. However, Tua Tagovailoa is part of the trade package that Miami would offer to land a star quarterback. The skill set that Tua Tagovailoa possesses would be extremely attractive to Pete Carroll and company. Therefore, the Seahawks use their newfound assets and proceed to trade down from three, in an attempt to continue to build their roster.
Carolina is mixing it up in every quarterback market, but the value of a rookie quarterback is immeasurable in terms of the salary cap flexibility it provides. Moving up for Zach Wilson makes sense schematically, and in terms of their future endeavors for building out this roster.
The Trade: Seattle gets the #8, #18, #39, Tua Tagovailoa, a 2022 2nd round pick from Miami and a 2022 2nd round pick from Carolina. Carolina gets the 3rd Pick (Zach Wilson) and the 150th overall selection. Miami gets Russell Wilson.
4) San Francisco 49ers (trade with the Atlanta Falcons): Justin Fields, QB Ohio State- The irony of the Falcons handing Kyle Shanahan his quarterback of the future would be all over networks for a long time. However, it is a deal that benefits both teams.
If the Falcons truly want to run with Matt Ryan for the next few years, they should hold this pick for ransom. San Francisco seems to be interested in getting a young quarterback on a rookie contract to provide themselves some flexibility in terms of the salary cap. They have a lot of players on their roster in need of contract extensions, and Shanahan has the ability to bring out the best in just about any quarterback. This is an extremely realistic scenario for both teams come April 29th.
The Trade: The San Francisco 49ers trade the #12, #43 and a 2022 2nd round pick to the Atlanta Falcons for the 4th and 131st overall selections.
5) Houston Texans (trade with New York Jets and Cincinnati Bengals): Trey Lance, QB North Dakota State- An “all trades mock draft,” could not happen without finding a different landing spot for Deshaun Watson. Following the Jets sliding down and acquiring a few extra assets, they then proceed to use those assets and convince the Texans to move on from their star quarterback. It’s the only way the Jets can get around trading Quinnen Williams in this deal.
See? Told ya the Jets could trade down and get the quarterback they wanted.
The Trade: The New York Jets trade the #5, #23, #37, a 2022 1st round pick and a 2023 2nd round pick to the Houston Texans for Deshaun Watson.
6) Los Angeles Chargers (trade with the Philadelphia Eagles): Rashawn Slater, OL Northwestern- While it’s unlikely the Chargers will have to move up this far for Slater, you never know what kind of buzz is generated in the weeks leading up to the draft. Slater is already being talked about as potentially the top offensive linemen in this draft, which is why he’s being presumed as a top 10 lock. Therefore, the Chargers move up for their left tackle, and Philadelphia moves back to acquire more assets for a rebuild.
The Trade: The Los Angeles Chargers trade the #13, #47 and #108 to the Philadelphia Eagles for the 6th overall selection.
7) New York Giants (trade with the Detroit Lions): Ja’Marr Chase, WR LSU- The Giants are in a great position to land a pass catcher at 11. Having said that, they’re also in a position to move up the board and land the guy they want, assuming pass catchers start to fall. In a draft where quarterbacks dominate the early selections, the Giants could get away with paying less in draft pick value to land the pass catcher they covet. That is what they accomplish here.
The Trade: The New York Giants trade the #11 and #76 to the Detroit Lions for the 7th overall pick.
8) Seattle Seahawks (trade with the Carolina Panthers and Miami Dolphins): Christian Darrisaw, OT Virginia Tech- In a cruel twist of irony, the Seahawks use one of the first round selections to take the offensive line help that Russell Wilson was clamoring for. Darrisaw is viewed by many as a franchise left tackle, and likely will not make it out of the top 10 come April. Seattle took Tua Tagovailoa in the deal with Miami, meaning they now move on to their next need on offense; protecting him.
The Trade: Seattle gets the #8, #18, #39, Tua Tagovailoa, a 2022 2nd round pick from Miami and a 2022 2nd round pick from Carolina. Carolina gets the 3rd Pick (Zach Wilson) and the 150th overall selection. Miami gets Russell Wilson.
9) New England Patriots (trade with the Denver Broncos): Mac Jones, QB Alabama- Would it really surprise anyone if Bill Belichick’s pick to succeed Tom Brady was a quarterback that his buddy Nick Saban produced? Jones can do everything Belichick would ask him to do. He protects the ball, he creates with his legs (at least that’s what some think), and he can effectively manage games. New England is a candidate to trade up anyway, but the potential to get Mac Jones would be something that would make Belichick giddy.
The Trade: The New England Patriots trade the #15, #46 and a 2022 2nd round pick to the Denver Broncos for the #9 and #104 overall selections.
10) Tennessee Titans (trade with the Dallas Cowboys and Minnesota Vikings): Kyle Pitts, TE Florida- The Titans are likely losing Corey Davis and Jonnu Smith to free agency, which puts them in the market for a pass catcher early in this draft. In a scenario where the top pass catches slide a bit, the Titans could get aggressive and look to move up the draft board for the pass catcher to compliment AJ Brown. Pitts would be a perfect fit because he helps soften the defensive front in the red zone against Derrick Henry, and he takes coverage away from AJ Brown all over the field.
There is a second portion to this trade involving the Minnesota Vikings, but more on that later.
The Trade: The Tennessee Titans trade the #22, #116 and a 2022 1st round pick to the Dallas Cowboys for the #10 and a 2022 3rd round pick.
11) Detroit Lions (trade with the New York Giants): DeVonta Smith, WR Alabama- Smith is the wild card among the top pass catchers because of his frame. Some think his frame will prevent him from being the top guy selected in April. Some think that his frame is irrelevant because of how physical he can be at the line of scrimmage and the catch point. No matter what side you are on, you probably agree that his floor is likely the 11th pick, just like it is here.
The Trade: The New York Giants trade the #11 and #76 to the Detroit Lions for the 7th overall pick.
12) Atlanta Falcons (trade with the San Francisco 49ers): Patrick Surtain II, CB Alabama- Interestingly enough, this is a real scenario that could play out in two months. Atlanta needs some assets to help them reload this roster in time to capitalize on Matt Ryan’s shrinking window. They need to rebuild their defense across the board. Therefore, they slide backwards, and selected the most NFL ready cornerback in the draft (at least according to most).
The Trade: The San Francisco 49ers trade the #12, #43 and a 2022 2nd round pick to the Atlanta Falcons for the 4th and 131st overall selections.
13) Philadelphia Eagles (trade with the Los Angeles Chargers): Jaylen Waddle, WR Alabama- If Jalen Hurts is to succeed in the NFL, he is going to need a room full of playmakers with the ball in their hands. The Eagles offense with Hurts at the helm is going to be the epitome of a west coast system; lots of quick, one read throws to allow their playmakers to create, along with the occasional deep shot. Waddle fits into this offense perfectly, making him a fun option for the Eagles in both this mock draft, as well as in the actual draft.
The Trade: The Los Angeles Chargers trade the #13, #47 and #108 to the Philadelphia Eagles for the 6th overall selection.
14) Dallas Cowboys (trade with the Minnesota Vikings): Caleb Farley, CB Virginia Tech- Dallas needs a top flight corner. Their defense suffered immensely from losing Byron Jones to the Miami Dolphins. In real life, Farley’s man cover skills will be very intriguing at the 10th overall selection. In a mock where every pick is dealt, they do some shuffling and take him at 14.
The Trade: The Dallas Cowboys trade the #22 and #44 to the Minnesota Vikings for the #14 and #109.
15) Denver Broncos (trade with the New England Patriots): Micah Parsons, ILB/OLB Penn State- The Broncos are choosing to part ways with Von Miller, which means they will need a pass rusher to compliment Bradley Chubb. However, they’re also in need of a three down middle linebacker to command the second level of their defense. Guess which prospect fills both of those needs at once?
The Trade: The New England Patriots trade the #15, #46 and a 2022 2nd round pick to the Denver Broncos for the #9 and #104 overall selections.
16) Tampa Bay Buccaneers (trade with Arizona Cardinals): Kwity Paye, EDGE Michigan- Tampa Bay is a team that could get very aggressive in the draft depending on how the board falls. They will likely let Ndamukong Suh and Shaq Barrett walk in order to preserve some of their offensive pieces. This puts Tampa Bay in a prime position to slide up for an impact edge rusher, should the opportunity present itself. With Paye still on the board, the Bucs get aggressive and move up for a guy that should dominate in Todd Bowles’ defense.
The Trade: The Tampa Bay Buccaneers trade the #32, #95 and a 2022 1st round pick to the Arizona Cardinals for the 16th overall selection.
17) Indianapolis Colts (trade with the Las Vegas Raiders): Alijah Vera-Tucker, OL USC- The Colts are losing Anthony Castonzo this offseason after Castonzo surprisingly announced his retirement a few weeks ago. The unfortunate part for them is that they do not have a replacement for Castonzo on their roster.
Most think that Alijah Vera-Tucker is very similar to Rashawn Slater. Both players could be excellent guards, but they also possess the athleticism to stay at left tackle in the NFL. Indianapolis moves up a few spots to protect the blind side of their new franchise quarterback, Carson Wentz.
The Trade: The Indianapolis Colts trade the #21, #117 and a 2022 4th round selection to the Las Vegas Raiders for the 17th overall selection.
18) Seattle Seahawks (trade with the Miami Dolphins): Jaycee Horn, CB South Carolina- The final portion of the Russell Wilson blockbuster sees the Seahawks select a top flight corner that deserves to go much earlier than he will on draft day. Horn has the length and physicality that Seattle looks for in their cornerbacks. He’s also solid in off coverage because of quality footwork.
The Trade: Seattle gets the #8, #18, #39, Tua Tagovailoa, a 2022 2nd round pick from Miami and a 2022 2nd round pick from Carolina. Carolina gets the 3rd Pick (Zach Wilson) and the 150th overall selection. Miami gets Russell Wilson.
19) Cleveland Browns (trade with the Washington Football Team): Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, ILB/OLB Notre Dame- There are major needs across the entire front seven for the Cleveland Browns. The Browns need an edge rusher to play opposite Myles Garrett, and the need to replace Larry Ogunjobi in the middle, who is likely walking in free agency. On top of that, they also need a middle linebacker that can play on every down and cover.
Based on what’s available in free agency, the optimal scenario is landing defensive line players in March, and selecting their three down linebacker in April.
The Trade: The Cleveland Browns trade the #26 and #89 to the Washington Football Team for the #19 and #207.
20) San Francisco 49ers (trade with the Chicago Bears): Gregory Rousseau, EDGE Miami- Obviously the Bears are in the market for a quarterback with the release of Mitch Trubisky. While they have been linked heavily to Sam Darnold, the more likely scenario might be Jimmy Garoppolo. Garoppolo does come with a contract, but he’s further along mentally than Darnold. He knows how to manage games and he fits Matt Nagy’s offense.
San Francisco has the money to replace a few defensive pieces, but Solomon Thomas is likely walking in free agency. Rousseau can kick Arik Armstead back inside while keeping the ideology up front the same for the Niners. Plus, the Niners can take Nick Foles to back up and compete with Justin Fields.
The Trade: The Chicago Bears trade the 20th overall selection and Nick Foles to the San Francisco 49ers for Jimmy Garoppolo and the 107th overall selection.
21) Las Vegas Raiders (trade with the Indianapolis Colts): Christian Barmore, IDL Alabama- Vegas needs help in the middle of their defense. They lack defensive tackles to stop the run, and a three down linebacker in the middle. In a scenario where they move backwards, they would be in perfect position to take Barmore, who will go higher than expected because of the lack of depth among the interior defensive line class.
The Trade: The Indianapolis Colts trade the #21, #117 and a 2022 4th round selection to the Las Vegas Raiders for the 17th overall selection.
22) Minnesota Vikings (trade with the Tennessee Titans and Dallas Cowboys): Jaelan Phillips, EDGE Miami- Phillips is flying up draft boards because he is the most polished edge rusher in the draft class. He has a solid move set and the ability to dip and bend off the edge. Minnesota slides down, but selects a player that might just go in the top 15 when it’s all said and done.
The Trade: The Dallas Cowboys trade the #22 (acquired from the Tennessee Titans) and #44 to the Minnesota Vikings for the #14 and #109.
23) Houston Texans (trade with the New York Jets): Kadarius Toney, WR Florida- Should Houston land one of the young quarterbacks through a Deshaun Watson trade, expect them to build their offense through the draft assets they acquire. With the pending loss of Will Fuller to free agency, Toney can replenish their receiving core immediately. He compliments Bradin Cooks very well. Cooks can take the top off the defense, whereas Toney wins in short yardage situations with terrific footwork. They would make an excellent pairing.
The Trade: The New York Jets trade the #5, #23, #37, a 2022 1st round pick and a 2023 2nd round pick to the Houston Texans for Deshaun Watson.
24) Kansas City Chiefs (trade with the Pittsburgh Steelers): Dillon Radunz, OT North Dakota State- Kansas City has to address the holes along their offensive line if they wish to get back to the promised land in 2021. Pittsburgh needs some assets to rebuild an aging offense and a receiving core that’s likely losing its top target. The trade makes sense for both teams.
As for the selection, the NFL is going to love Radunz because of his intelligence. In a draft with a lot of offensive linemen, a player’s mental makeup could allow them to go higher, or lower, than draft experts may realize. Radunz falls into the category of the former.
The Trade: The Kansas City Chiefs trade the #31, #94 and #132 to the Pittsburgh Steelers for the 24th overall selection.
25) Atlanta Falcons (trade with the Jacksonville Jaguars): Najee Harris, RB Alabama- While the likelihood of a team trading into round one for a running back is small, you have to bend some rules in an “all-trades mock.” Atlanta needs a “bell-cow,” desperately, and Harris fits the kind of runner that new head coach Arthur Smith would want. Therefore, Atlanta moves up to take Harris, who can carry the rock 250+ times for a number of years.
The Trade: The Atlanta Falcons trade the #35 and #68 to the Jacksonville Jaguars for the #25 and #102.
26) Washington Football Team (trade with the Cleveland Browns): Landon Dickerson, IOL Alabama- Much like Dillon Radunz, the intelligence that Dickerson possesses will allow him to go higher than some people will project. Mel Kiper put Dickerson in the first round in his most recent mock draft, which means he’s likely hearing some buzz around Dickerson in the top 40. If Washington moves backwards, Dickerson could be a perfect replacement for Brandon Scherff, or start somewhere else along the interior should Scherff return.
The Trade: The Cleveland Browns trade the #26 and #89 to the Washington Football Team for the #19 and #207.
27) Buffalo Bills (trade with the Baltimore Ravens): Jalen Mayfield, OT Michigan- The Bills are losing a few pieces along their offensive line. In a loaded draft class like this one, that is likely where they go with their first round selection.
Mayfield has the chance to make it to their pick at 30, but this is an all-trades mock draft. Buffalo moves up a few spots to ensure they nab a starting right tackle.
The Trade: The Buffalo Bills trade the #30 and #93 to the Baltimore Ravens for the #27 and #127.
28) New York Jets (trade with the New Orleans Saints): Azeez Ojulari, EDGE Georgia- I’ve been on record saying the Saints and Sam Darnold are a perfect match. It has been in a number of my mock drafts, as well as my podcast for the Say It Again Network (shameless plug, Empire State of Sports podcast for those that are interested). Once again, Darnold lands to New Orleans in this all-trades mock draft.
The Jets will look to address a lot of pieces in free agency, but they can’t possibly land all their needs. Ojulari’s ability off the edge would be an excellent fit in Robert Saleh’s aggressive defense.
The Trade: The New York Jets trade Sam Darnold and a 2022 conditional 4th round selection to the New Orleans Saints for the 28th overall selection.
29) Philadelphia Eagles (trade with the Green Bay Packers): Trevon Moehrig, FS TCU- Philadelphia needs second help early in this draft. The depth at the position falls off hard after day two. Moehrig is viewed as the best safety in the class, and possibly the only one worthy of a first round selection. He can make an immediate impact in Philadelphia’s lackluster secondary.
The Trade: The Philadelphia Eagles trade the #37 and #69 to the Green Bay Packers for the #29 and #92.
30) Baltimore Ravens (trade with the Buffalo Bills): Rashod Bateman, WR Minnesota- The buzz on Bateman has skyrocketed because of recent workouts. In my first big board installment, I mentioned how Bateman had the ability to stretch the field more than people realized (https://draftstock.net/home/https-draftstock-net-2019-12-31-jordan-katz-preliminary-2020-big-board/). Many think that his ability to do the little things in his routes, combined with the speed he has shown in workouts, make him a first round lock. If so, Baltimore is an ideal landing spot in round one.
The Trade: The Buffalo Bills trade the #30 and #93 to the Baltimore Ravens for the #27 and #127.
31) Pittsburgh Steelers (trade with the Kansas City Chiefs): Wyatt Davis, IOL Ohio State- For a team that is looking to regain its physical edge up front, Davis is a perfect fit. He is a mauler at the point of attack, he has excellent grip strength, and he plays with an edge. Pittsburgh has to revamp their offensive line this offseason. Presumably, most of that will occur in the draft because of the offensive line talent in this group.
The Trade: The Kansas City Chiefs trade the #31, #94 and #132 to the Pittsburgh Steelers for the 24th overall selection.
32) Arizona Cardinals (trade with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers): Ifeatu Melifonwu, CB Syracuse- Melifonwu’s length and athleticism will have him off the board fairly early come April. If he puts together strong side workouts before that time, he can find his way into the top 32. With the Cardinals in need of a true top corner to replace Patrick Peterson, they select Melifonwu to round out this mock draft.
The Trade: The Tampa Bay Buccaneers trade the #32, #95 and a 2022 1st round pick to the Arizona Cardinals for the 16th overall selection.
Jordan Katz’s Prediction Style 2021 NFL Mock Draft: 2.0
This is my prediction style mock draft. The goal with these mocks is to give my guesses on what I think all 32 teams would do if the draft was tomorrow. I also have a personal mock draft (https://draftstock.net/2021/01/04/what-would-i-do-2021-nfl-mock-draft-2-0/). In that style, I take control of all 32 teams, and make the selections that I feel fit them best. My evaluation of players and where they fit best can be found there. This mock is strictly attempting to get every selection correctly.
ROUND ONE
1) Jacksonville Jaguars: Trevor Lawrence, QB Clemson- No analysis needed here. Over the next few months there will be debates between Justin Fields and Trevor Lawrence from the media to keep things interest. None of it will change the fact that Lawrence will be the first name called on April 29th.
2) New York Jets: Justin Fields, QB Ohio State- The Jets hold the keys to the entire draft. If they choose to stick with Sam Darnold, they can haul a king’s ransom for this pick. If they want a quarterback at two, Miami will be the recipient of a bevy of trade offers.
Right now, my guess is the Jets take Fields because of who they choose to hire as their next Head Coach. Outside of Titans Offensive Coordinator Arthur Smith, I think all the other potential candidates would want “their guy,” at quarterback.
3) *TRADE* Cincinnati Bengals (from Dolphins via Texans): Penei Sewell, OT Oregon- Cincinnati is the most obvious team to aggressively pursue trading up for Penei Sewell. What separates them from other suitors is that the Dolphins could keep a top five selection by trading with the Bengals. Joe Burrow gets his franchise left tackle to protect his blindside.
4) Atlanta Falcons: Zach Wilson, QB BYU- Atlanta’s misfortunes in 2020 have left them in a prime position to select the heir to Matt Ryan’s throne. Zach Wilson is being billed as a carbon copy of Patrick Mahomes because of his play style and ability to improvise. Guess who also sat in their first year to learn the finer points of quarterback play in the NFL…
5) *TRADE* Miami Dolphins (via Bengals): DeVonta Smith, WR Alabama- Unless the Dolphins have Ja’Marr Chase significantly higher on their draft board, it makes sense to get Tua Tagovailoa a target he’s already familiar with. Smith follows up what should be a Heisman trophy winning season with a top five selection.
6) Philadelphia Eagles: Ja’Marr Chase, WR LSU- Jalen Hurts earned the right to go into 2021 as the Eagles’ starting quarterback. If he’s going to be successful, the Eagles need a true number one receiver. Chase is going to regain the buzz he had preseason during the draft process.
7) Detroit Lions: Trey Lance, QB North Dakota State- The Lions seem committed to moving on from Matthew Stafford this offseason, which means they’re in a prime spot to select a quarterback. Lance may be QB4, but he’s still a top 10 lock. At 20 years old, he also might possess the most upside of any quarterback not named Lawrence.
8) *TRADE* Arizona Cardinals (via Panthers): Kyle Pitts, TE Florida- If the Panthers miss on the top quarterbacks, they are a trade down candidate. Talented players are bound to fall as quarterbacks rise. If Arizona gets the opportunity to move up for an offensive chess piece like Kyle Pitts, you better believe that the front office and coaching staff will do everything in their power to make it happen.
9) Denver Broncos: Rashawn Slater, OL Northwestern- In my personal mock, where I take control of all 32 teams (https://draftstock.net/2021/01/04/what-would-i-do-2021-nfl-mock-draft-2-0/), I wrote about Slater’s upside as a guard at the next level. My gut tells me NFL teams will agree, and look at him as a potential all-pro guard. That’s what Denver does here.
10) Dallas Cowboys: Patrick Surtain II, CB Alabama- Last year, Jerry Jones took the “sexy pick” of CeeDee Lamb, despite having needs in other areas. He selects the sexy pick again here, but this time, it’s at a position of need.
Surtain is not my top cornerback, but I think his ability in multiple schemes will make him the top cornerback off the board in a few months.
11) New York Giants: Micah Parsons, ILB Penn State- Parsons falling all the way to 11?! How could this happen? It’s not as crazy as it sounds. He’s a phenomenal talent, but linebackers don’t possess the value they once had. It’s true that the Giants get a steal here with one of the best players in this draft. However, don’t be shocked if Parsons goes lower than you expect in a few months.
12) San Francisco 49ers: Caleb Farley, CB Virginia Tech- Assuming San Francisco acquires a quarterback before the draft (and I would not be so sure that’s the case), they are an easy candidate to select one of the top corners. Richard Sherman and Jason Verrertt are likely out the door, leaving a gaping hole in the secondary that must be filled.
13) Los Angeles Chargers: Christian Darrisaw, OT Virginia Tech- There are no trade partners for the Chargers here because of two moves inside the top 10. However, Darrisaw solidifying their tackle spot is a fine consolation prize. I would rather see him at right tackle, but many think he’s a quality left tackle at the next level and will become better in the vertical set as he progresses.
14) Minnesota Vikings: Gregory Rousseau, EDGE Miami- Rousseau’s physical gifts have him atop many draft boards despite not playing in 2020. A team like Minnesota could gamble on him at 14 because they’ve had success with raw but talented EDGE rushers in the past under Head Coach Mike Zimmer.
15) New England Patriots: Mac Jones, QB Alabama- Well, Patriots fans won’t like this one. Bill Belichick is going to try to find a young quarterback to groom this offseason. Chances are, it’s Jimmy Garoppolo after San Francisco let’s him go. Having said that, would you be shocked if it’s a quarterback that his best buddy Nick Saban has turned into a Heisman trophy finalist?
16) *TRADE* Carolina Panthers (via Cardinals): Kwity Paye, EDGE/DL Michigan- Carolina is a tough team to predict if they do not select a quarterback. Should they slide down the board to collect assets, BPA (best player available) makes the most sense. Paye lining up opposite of Brian Burns is also a nightmare for opposing defenses.
17) *TRADE* Chicago Bears (via Raiders): Jaylen Waddle, WR Alabama- One of the big three wide receivers will slide on draft day, just like CeeDee Lamb did last year. If that player makes it past the Patriots at 15, expect a bidding war to arise from teams farther down the draft board. Chicago pays the highest price and allows Vegas to stay in range for the player they want.
18) Miami Dolphins: Najee Harris, RB Alabama- Selecting running backs in round one has become taboo, but I think Miami will look for a bell cow with their second first round selection. Both Harris and Etienne are beyond elite and well deserving of being selections that “buck the recent trend.”
19) Washington Football Team: Rashod Bateman, WR Minnesota- Washington’s playoff appearance will make it challenging for them to select a quarterback of the future in this draft. However, they could easily acquire a younger veteran in the offseason and add a weapon opposite Terry McLaurin with this first round selection.
20) *TRADE* Las Vegas Raiders (via Bears): Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, ILB Notre Dame- If the Raiders had moved down further, they would’ve missed on the three down linebacker they need at the second level of their defense. That’s why they took the Bears’ offer instead of one further down the board with a bigger return according to the trade value chart.
21) Jacksonville Jaguars via Los Angeles Rams: Azeez Ojulari, EDGE Georgia- Ojulari is not projected to be a round one selection right now. Nevertheless. following an incredible bowl game, and what should be a strong draft process, he could easily wind up in the top 32 selections. Jacksonville needs to get to the passer better in 2021, and Ojulari can help do that.
22) Indianapolis Colts: Jalen Mayfield, OT Michigan- Even though the Colts have a ton of cap space, Anthony Castonzo is likely a cap casualty this offseason. The Colts offensive line was really good in his absence, and he’s a free cut of 16 million dollars off the books.
Mayfield is best at right tackle, but my gut tells me a team will slot him in at left tackle and hope his lower body technique continues to improve.
23) Cleveland Browns: Jay Tufele, IDL USC- The Browns are set to lose Larry Ogunjobi to free agency, and Sheldon Richardson could be a cap casualty as well. Tufele is the top interior linemen in the class because he produces as a 1-tech and a 3-tech.
24) Tennessee Titans: Terrace Marshall Jr., WR LSU- Much like in my personal mock, my rationale for the Titans selecting a wide receiver is simple. Their receiving core after Corey Davis is suspect, and I can’t see them giving Davis a big contract off of one solid season. Marshall steps in and becomes their number two wide out from day one.
25) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Samuel Cosmi, OT Texas- Donovan Smith may have been paid this offseason, but he was dreadful for most of the year. Cosmi’s athleticism and ability to cut off edge rushers from successfully running the arch will be tempting for a team that throws as much as the Bucs do.
26) Baltimore Ravens: Wyatt Davis, IOL Ohio State- Look for Baltimore to try and trade out of round one come April. After the top guys, this draft will have a lot of polarizing opinions because of the oddity that was the collegiate football season.
Should the Ravens be stuck in this spot, addressing the interior of their offensive line makes a lot of sense. Wyatt Davis is the perfect scheme fit because of how physical he is in the run game.
27) New York Jets via Seattle Seahawks: Joseph Ossai, EDGE Texas- Ossai is still learning the finer points of the position, but he’s shown the ability to line up and succeed from the strong and weak sides on the defensive front. The Jets need edge rushers, making Ossai an easy selection here.
28) Pittsburgh Steelers: Kyle Trask, QB Florida- The Steelers will aggressively pursue young reclamation projects at the quarterback position during the offseason. Even though they likely land one, part of doing mock drafts is playing out different scenarios.
Therefore, assuming they strike out before draft day, the Steelers could get aggressive in their pursuit for Mac Jones or Kyle Trask. Both players would benefit from sitting behind Ben Roethlisberger and learning how to go through multiple reads against NFL coverages.
29) New Orleans Saints: Eric Stokes, CB Georgia- Janoris Jenkins has looked solid at times this offseason, but he’s aging and could be a cap cut somewhere in the next two years. Stokes is strong in press-bail, and breaks out of his T-Step with quickness and poise.
30) Buffalo Bills: Alijah Vera-Tucker, IOL USC- Buffalo’s interior offensive line play could be bolstered this offseason. Vera-Tucker leads a group of plug and play starters at guard that will come off the board in the 25-50 range of this year’s draft.
31) Green Bay Packers: Kadarius Toney, WR Florida- Aaron Rodgers has done a tremendous job turning Allen Lazard and Marquez Valdes-Scantling into decent players. Despite this, a real threat opposite Davante Adams would take this offense to a different level. Toney’s ability with the ball in his hands would add a different dimension to the Packers’ offense.
32) Kansas City Chiefs: Dylan Moses, ILB Alabama- Defensive Coordinator Steve Spanguolo loves smart players with good instincts because he asks a lot of his defense in terms of schemes. Moses might have lost the buzz he had around him from a few months ago, but he’s an elite football mind at the linebacker position. “Spags,” would love him in the middle of the defense.
TRADES IN ROUND ONE
1) Cincinnati Bengals trade the #5, #37 and a 2022 3rd round pick to the Miami Dolphins for the #3 and a 2022 5th round pick.
2) Arizona Cardinals trade the #16 and #48 to the Carolina Panthers for the #8 and a 2022 4th round pick.
3) Chicago Bears trade the #20 and #83 to the Las Vegas Raiders for the 17th Overall Selection.
Jordan Katz 2021 NFL Mock Draft 2.0: “What I Would Do”
Mock Draft Season is upon us! As of this moment, a little over half the league has their eyes set on the offseason, and subsequently, the NFL Draft. Even though many have published mock drafts already, this is the true start of #MockDraftSZN.
By now, scouts and draft experts have their opinions of the big name guys in the process. Now it’s true that evaluations on almost all players will continue to change. Many analysts have only begun their process into these draft prospects. However, with the college season just about done, there is enough to start having concrete opinions on players.
For those that are viewing my work for the first time, there are a few things you should know about my mocks. I produce two kinds of mock drafts; a personal and a prediction. The reason for this is simply transparency for the viewer. When you read a person’s mock draft, you might not be aware of what went into their decision. Are they trying to get the selection correct? Do they have information on a player that is going to rise, so they stuck them with a team that fits to get a reaction from readers? Is it their opinion of the player, the scheme fit, or both, that drove the decision towards the selection?
As you can see by the title, this is what I would do if I were in charge of all 32 teams. The selections are based on where I currently have certain players ranked, as well as what I think teams will need to address during this upcoming offseason. Any trades that are made are trades that I believe will benefit both teams.
With that being said, it is my pleasure to welcome y’all to the REAL official start of DraftSZN. Let’s cook.
ROUND ONE
1) Jacksonville Jaguars: Trevor Lawrence, QB Clemson- About five years ago, I got a phone call from one of my best friends telling me to take a look at this high school Quarterback prospect from Georgia. “He’s a can’t miss prospect,” JP told me. It’s safe to say that one collegiate career later, Lawrence lived up to that billing.
Lawrence has the physical attributes to dominate this league for two decades. His arm talent is off the charts. He possesses ridiculous athleticism for someone who is 6’6. Lawrence can make throws at all three levels of the field, with precision and zip behind the throw. Jacksonville may not have won a lot in recent memory, but this is the kind of player that changes your franchise.
2) New York Jets: Zach Wilson, QB BYU- Justin Fields dominated during the College Football Playoff game against Clemson. He showed deep ball accuracy, multiple reads, and elite toughness after taking a shot to the ribs in the first half.
Having said that, my QB2 remains Zach Wilson. Wilson has a big arm, along with zero fear when letting it rip. He throws a very catchable 50/50 ball that’s often in the right spot for his receiver. Wilson can improvise with the best of them, and has tremendous accuracy on the move.
There are definitely some concerns about his anticipation and willingness to attempt any throw in any window. His footwork could be cleaned up as well.
Nevertheless, Wilson is the new modern day gunslinger that NFL teams are falling in love with.
3) *TRADE* Detroit Lions (from Dolphins via Texans): Justin Fields, QB Ohio State- When he unlocks his hips in his throw, Justin Fields can sling it with the best of them. He’s a dual threat quarterback with really good arm talent. The concern with Fields is that he loses his technique when facing some pressure. If he’s too stiff in his lower body, he’s often high and wide with throws. This is why he’s still my QB3 despite a phenomenal bowl game.
However, that doesn’t make Fields a bad prospect. His upside is still tremendous, which is why Detroit jumps Atlanta to select him.
4) Atlanta Falcons: Penei Sewell, OT Oregon- While the Falcons have Jake Matthews and Kaleb McGary, neither have been overly impressive in recent memory. Penei Sewell is a can’t miss offensive tackle prospect because of his elite footwork and athleticism. His kickslide in the vertical set is so clean and his hips are so fluid. Sewell is the best player in the class not named Lawrence, and the correct selection for Atlanta if the first three picks are quarterbacks.
5) Cincinnati Bengals: Micah Parsons, ILB Penn State- Parsons sat out the 2020 campaign, but his draft status will not be affected in the slightest. A three down linebacker with elite athleticism, Parsons is built for the modern day game. What shocked me the most on tape was how effective he is as a pass rusher. His knowledge for gap assignments really helps him in both the run and pass game. Even though the Bengals miss on their franchise left tackle, they still select one of the best players in this draft.
6) Philadelphia Eagles: Ja’Marr Chase, WR LSU- Chase is not the top receiver on my board, but he’s the exact kind of player the Eagles need. I think Jaylen Waddle and DeVonta Smith have higher ceilings than Chase. Waddle is a big time burner with elite quickness, and Smith can do it all.
Despite this, Chase is the guy the Eagles receiving core needs because he has the highest floor of the three players. He’s terrific at the catch point and he’s awesome at the line of scrimmage against tight coverage.
7) *TRADE* Miami Dolphins (from Lions): Jaylen Waddle, WR Alabama- Should they trade down, pairing one of the Alabama receivers with Tua Tagovailoa is the obvious answer for Miami. The selection of Waddle over Smith has more to do with the makeup of the Dolphins receiving core and offense.
Jaylen Waddle has dynamic playmaking ability from the slot. He stretches the field, he’s elite with the ball in his hands, and his route tree from the slot is diverse. Waddle is the player that the Dolphins need to add to their receiving core this offseason.
8) Carolina Panthers: Trey Lance, QB North Dakota State- Carolina’s quarterback of the future is not Teddy Bridgewater. In fact, he might not be the quarterback of the present in 2021. Reports from Carolina were that former GM Marty Hurney was canned because of his philosophical differences with Head Coach Matt Rhule. I think it’s safe to assume that those differences revolve around the quarterback position.
Lance is smart with the football, he has the ability to beat you with his legs, and he can stretch the defense because he has a cannon for an arm. Plus, he’s only 20 years old. Lance has some big time upside.
9) Denver Broncos: Jaycee Horn, CB South Carolina- The competition for the top cornerback off the board in April is just as competitive as the race to be the top wide receiver taken. Jaycee Horn, Caleb Farley and Patrick Surtain II, all have similar strengths and skill sets. All three are best in man coverage. They use their length extremely well in different ways.
What separates Horn for me has more to do with the other two players. Farley’s game is the most polished, but he has durability concerns. Surtain is very strong in off-man coverage, but he’s not as strong as the other two in tight man-to-man.
Horn is physical and he breaks on the ball extremely well. He’s a terrific fit in the Broncos’ defense.
10) Dallas Cowboys: Kwity Paye, DL Michigan- Paye is one of the biggest risers on draft boards from September to now. He has a lethal first step and the ability to win from multiple places along the defensive front. The Cowboys need a pass rusher to compliment Demarcus Lawrence, making Paye the easy selection here.
11) New York Giants: Kyle Pitts, TE Florida- Pitts could wind up as my top pass catcher off the board if the fit is right. He’s the best pass catcher in the class and the best tight end prospect I have ever scouted. Pitts can beat corners in tight coverage with elite quickness and a great release. Linebackers can’t stay with him, and defensive backs are not physical enough to guard him. Pitts is going to dominate the NFL for years to come.
12) *TRADE* Tennessee Titans (from Chargers): DeVonta Smith, WR Alabama- The Chargers are a good “trade back,” candidate in this draft because they need assets to fill out their roster. The Titans chose not to pick up the option on Corey Davis, which means they will either need to tag him, overpay for one year of production, or find his replacement in the draft. Even though the draft is loaded with receiving talent, there is a sizable gap between the big three and the rest of the group. To me, this trade makes a lot of sense both ways.
13) San Francisco 49ers: Caleb Farley, CB Virginia Tech- Back to back cornerbacks here. The Niners are a candidate to trade up for a quarterback in the next few months. However, in this scenario they were unable to do so, which puts cornerback atop their wishlist.
Farley would be the first cornerback off the board if he had a clean bill of health. He’s the best of the big three at mirroring opposing receivers, he’s able to press successfully, and his footwork in his backpedal is strong. If he’s able to stay healthy, he can be a star at the next level.
14) Minnesota Vikings: Christian Darrisaw, OT Virginia Tech- Darrisaw is similar to Rashawn Slater in the sense that system is key for his success. I think Darrisaw has elite potential at right tackle because of his ability in the run game. He drives opponents to the turf, he’s a beast at the second level, and his first step allows him to gain leverage easily. For a team that runs the ball as much as Minnesota does, Darrisaw is a home run selection.
15) New England Patriots: Rashawn Slater, OL Northwestern- Rashawn Slater is a reincarnation of the “Zack Martin,” dilemma from a few years ago. He could be a really solid tackle at the next level. He’s athletic, his hips are fluid, and he seals defenders really well in the run game.
Or, a team could take his athleticism and stick him at guard. Slater’s strikes do not always land in the vertical set, but he gains leverage really easily in the jump set. This is what Zack Martin was. Slater could be an elite guard at the next level.
16) Arizona Cardinals: Dillon Radunz, OT North Dakota State- This is a little high for Radunz. Nevertheless, Arizona needs athletes up front for their system, and Radunz is a big time athlete. His kickslide is terrific and he packs a better counterpunch than some of the other athletic tackles in this draft. If Radunz has a quality Senior Bowl week, he could solidify himself as a top 40 selection.
17) Las Vegas Raiders: Patrick Surtain II, CB Alabama- Vegas has selected a lot of cornerbacks early in drafts recently, but all of them have struggled. The back end of this defense is a disaster. Surtain’s ability to mirror, as well as his quickness when driving on the football, should help him become the number one cornerback that Vegas is missing.
18) Miami Dolphins: Creed Humphrey, IOL Oklahoma- While Wyatt Davis is slightly ahead of Humphrey on my personal board, Humphrey is a better fit for the Dolphins. He’s better in pass protection and has the ability to play center or guard at the next level. With Miami failing to find a trade partner here, they continue to build their offensive line.
19) Washington Football Team: Chris Olave, WR Ohio State- With Washington outside of striking distance to move up for a quarterback, they’ll most likely look to bring in a young quarterback like Sam Darnold or Mitch Trubisky to compete with Alex Smith. Therefore, they move to a different need; getting Terry McLaurin some help.
Olave is a “jack of all trades,” kind of receiver. His route running ability is ridiculous for a collegiate wide receiver. Adding him opposite McLaurin would create a lot of matchup problems for opposing defenses.
20) Chicago Bears: Terrace Marshall Jr., WR LSU- Allen Robinson is gone during this offseason, which means the top need on Chicago’s wish list is a wide receiver. Sure, the quarterback position is also a possibility. However, my guess is either a franchise tag for Mitch Trubisky, or a veteran via free agency or trade.
Marshall is one of the more interesting prospects in the draft because he’s not getting the buzz he deserves. At 6’3, Marshall wins down the field with long strides, a good release off the line, and the ability to haul in the majority of 50/50 balls. Marshall should be a first round guy come April.
21) Jacksonville Jaguars via Los Angeles Rams: Azeez Ojulari, EDGE Georgia- Jacksonville needs talent on defense regardless of the position. Ojulari is just that. He’s a bit undersized as a straight edge rusher, but he’s terrific at running the arch. He has a bevy of moves too, which makes him a really interesting prospect.
22) Indianapolis Colts: Gregory Rousseau, EDGE Miami- At 6’5, Rousseau has elite size and athleticism. His technique, however, needs some cleaning up. Rousseau has a lot of upside, but sitting out 2020 puts his draft stock in a precarious situation. Make no mistake, he’s not the only player in this spot.
With so many players sitting out the year, there will be a lot of gambles by GM’s on upside. Rousseau is one of those gambles. If you take him, you need to have a good foundation in place already. A team like the Colts is built to take one of those risks.
23) Cleveland Browns: Dylan Moses, ILB Alabama- The buzz on Moses has cooled, but I’m still a firm believer in what he can be at the next level. He’s so smart and possesses great instincts. Plus, he’s a great athlete, and a three down linebacker at the next level. For me, Moses is still firmly in round one.
24) *TRADE* Los Angeles Chargers (from Titans): Samuel Cosmi, OT Texas- Cosmi struggles with power rushers, but he’s a big time athlete for the tackle position. Whoever, the Chargers next coach is will use some tempo with this loaded offense. The Chargers need a true left tackle, making Cosmi a very good fit.
25) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Najee Harris, RB Alabama- The Bucs are still going to be “all-in,” in 2021. With two feature running backs available, and a desperate need for a real running game, the Bucs seem like the obvious team to take Harris or Travis Etienne in round one.
I have Harris higher on my board because of his ability between the tackles, as well as his balance through contact.
26) Baltimore Ravens: Wyatt Davis, IOL Ohio State- Davis is a mauler up front. He gains leverage with good grip strength, and drives defenders with a powerful lower body. Davis is a perfect fit for a run heavy offense like the Ravens.
27) *TRADE* Philadelphia Eagles (from Jets via Seahawks): Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, ILB Notre Dame- If General Manager Joe Douglas does not trade out of the number two overall selection, you can bet your bank account that he will try to trade out of the 27th pick for more assets. Owusu-Koramoah has no business still being on the board, and Philly desperately needs a three down player to command the second level of their defense. This was an easy call both ways.
28) Pittsburgh Steelers: Alijah Vera-Tucker, IOL USC- Vera-Tucker is an interesting study because he does not do anything well, but also isn’t poor in a specific area. His feet are occasionally heavy, but he’s an effective pass blocker because he plays with good pad level and gains leverage with timely strikes. He’s not a finisher in the run game, but he walls off defenders well. He’s a plug and play left guard, which is exactly what the Steelers need.
29) New Orleans Saints: Kadarius Toney, WR Florida- When Drew Brees hangs it up in a few weeks, Head Coach Sean Payton will have to come to the realization that his receiving core cannot just be Michael Thomas. Toney is a perfect fit in Payton’s offense because of his ability with the ball in his hands.
30) Buffalo Bills: Eric Stokes, CB Georgia- Stokes is often at the line of scrimmage, and very willing to command the opposing team’s top target. He’s best in press-bail, but his footwork is also strong in off-coverage. Head Coach Sean McDermott would love Stokes’ skill set for his defense.
31) *TRADE* Cincinnati Bengals (via Packers): Pat Freiermuth, TE Penn State- “Baby Gronk,” is one of my favorite players in the draft. He’s terrific at the catch point, he’s physical in his route, and he’s an excellent blocker. Cincinnati trades up for a middle of the field threat that can contribute in the red zone.
32) Kansas City Chiefs: Josh Myers, IOL Ohio State- It’s not a sexy pick, but the Chiefs’ offensive line has regressed during the second half of the season. Josh Myers can play center or guard, and his fluidity in his hips, as well as his footwork, make him a really interesting top 40 selection.
TRADES IN ROUND ONE
1) Detroit Lions trade the #7, #39, a 2022 2nd Round Pick and a 2022 3rd Round Pick to the Miami Dolphins for the #3 and a 2022 4th Round Pick.
2) Tennessee Titans trade the #24, #88 and a 2022 1st Round Pick to the Los Angeles Chargers for the #12 Overall Selection.
3) Philadelphia Eagles trade the #38 and #70 to the New York Jets for the #27 and #129.
4) Cincinnati Bengals trade the #37 and #100 to the Green Bay Packers for the #31 Overall Selection
Jordan Katz’s Prediction Style NFL Mock Draft 4.0: Final
Finally…. I said FINALLY…. the NFL Draft HAS COME BACK! We have arrived at one of the greatest spectacles in sports today. The NFL Draft is where the new season is officially upon us. This is the moment where hope springs eternal for the millions… AND MILLIONS… of NFL fans.
This mock draft is the traditional one that you all are used to reading. The goal in this mock draft is to attempt to predict what will actually happen. I do not take my grades into account, nor do I take my feelings about team needs into account (all of that is done in my personal mocks, which you can find here https://draftstock.net/2020/04/15/jordan-katzs-what-would-i-do-nfl-mock-draft-5-0-final/).
A slight format change to this one. Trades are not only indicated by an asterisk, they are also indicated by the literal word “trade,” in front of the team that is moving up. The team moving backwards will have the traditional asterisk that you are used to seeing. Trades that occurred before the mock draft will not have an asterisk.
With the #MockDraftSZN winding down, I want to thank you all for keeping up with my draft coverage for another season. I truly appreciate every read and every like on social media. Even if you were just clicking on the links and giving a quick scroll to see what your favorite team did, that means a lot to me.
So without further adieu, it’s time to cook up one final mock draft for 2020. Or, to paraphrase The Rock…
If Ya Smelllllllllllll, What The MOCK! Is, Cooking.
ROUND ONE
1) Cincinnati Bengals: Joe Burrow, QB LSU
Is there a point to analysis here?
2) Washington Redskins: Chase Young, EDGE Ohio State
Reports indicate that Washington is shopping this pick, but I don’t think there will be enough interest. There are four quarterbacks at the top of the board (Joe Burrow, Tua Tagovailoa, Justin Herbert and Jordan Love), but only three teams in the top 10-15 picks that need a quarterback. Washington will likely be stuck with this selection.
However, when your consolation prize for not trading out is Chase Young, are you really “stuck?”
3) *TRADE* Miami Dolphins (from Lions): Tua Tagovailoa, QB Alabama
Despite all the rumors, Tua is still going to be the second quarterback selected. I realize the buzz right now is all around Justin Herbert. Reports indicate that Miami has him as their top choice. Even the Giants are reportedly “in love,” with the former Oregon star.
Nevertheless, Dolphins Owner Stephen Ross has been infatuated with Tua Tagovailoa ever since his freshman year at Alabama. There is no question that, if healthy, Tua is viewed as a game changing talent. I find it hard to believe that Ross would change his tune after Tua received a clean bill of health.
The Dolphins have the draft capital to control which quarterback they select in this draft. In my opinion, that quarterback will still be Tua.
4) New York Giants: Andrew Thomas, OT Georgia
I might be falling for the bait here, and in more ways than one. First off, Dave Gettleman does not select offensive linemen in the first round. He has yet to do so as a general manager in the NFL.
Second, the Giants have been linked to Isaiah Simmons for quite some time. With the depth at offensive line in this draft, they can take one in round two and be just fine.
Having said that, it feels like this is the time for Gettleman to go offensive line. They have to protect quarterback Daniel Jones in order for Jones to develop properly. They have to block better up front for their star running back, Saquon Barkley.
If the Giants do go tackle at the fourth selection, there is a widespread belief that they will choose Andrew Thomas. Obviously, you all know by now that Thomas is my top tackle by a mile. It’s nice to see someone finally agree with me.
5) *Detroit Lions (from Dolphins): Isaiah Simmons, ILB/OLB/FS Clemson
The Lions have been linked to Jeffrey Okudah for a very long time. However, I think that’s largely because people have assumed the Lions will trade down. A lot of mock draft analysts do not believe in trying to predict trades. Therefore, they have just handed Okudah to Detroit because he’s a position of need, and ignored the fact that cornerbacks do not typically go in the top five.
General Manager Bob Quinn wants to trade out of the third spot. If the Giants pass on Simmons, I can’t imagine the Lions doing the same. Simmons is a generational defensive talent, and the Lions have a defensive minded head coach in Matt Patricia.
Jeffrey Okudah feels like the tired selection. Isaiah Simmons feels like the wired selection.
Editor’s Note: For months, I have told y’all that the Giants hold the keys to the draft. Assuming the Giants take Simmons, the Lions would select Okudah, and offensive line would fall a bit. If the Giants take a tackle, the top defensive pieces in the draft could see a slide down the board.
6) Los Angeles Chargers: Jordan Love, QB Utah State
Surprise! Jordan Love leaps over Justin Herbert in my final prediction mock. The Chargers have been infatuated with Love for a while now. They met with him at the combine, and had a virtual meeting with him as well.
Now I do think the Chargers will select Tua Tagovailoa if he is available. Having said that, in the debate of Love versus Herbert, I think the Chargers want the dual threat playmaker that is Jordan Love.
For those scoring at home, this means that Justin Herbert, who many think is “QB2,” is the quarterback that falls down the draft board.
7) Carolina Panthers: Jeffrey Okudah, CB Ohio State
One of Okudah or Simmons is going to slide a bit on draft day because of the quarterbacks getting mixed into the top of the draft. Neverthless, I can’t see either making it past Carolina. They have a need for both players. Luke Keuchly retired, making Simmons an ideal replacement. James Bradberry left, making Okudah an ideal replacement. Either selection is a big with for the Panthers.
8) Arizona Cardinals: Tristan Wirfs, OT Iowa
Wirfs feels like a layup for Arizona. He’s the most athletic offensive linemen in this draft by a mile, and the Cardinals need everything on the offensive line. The one key factor for Arizona is that offensive linemen they select must be athletic enough to play in Head Coach Kliff Kingsbury’s offense. Wirfs is just that.
9) *TRADE* Tampa Bay Buccaneers (from Jaguars): Jedrick Wills, OT Alabama
Tampa Bay has entered win now mode after the acquisition of Tom Brady. That means acquiring a right tackle and a cornerback early in this draft.
With the way offensive line is flying off the board, the Bucs trade up to land the only true right tackle at the top of the draft; Jedrick Wills.
10) Cleveland Browns: Mekhi Becton, OT Louisville
Mekhi Becton rounds out the top 10, and it also means that all four of the top offensive linemen have been selected. The top four tackles are generational talents. Currently, the offensive line play in the NFL is disastrous. When you get this kind of talent at one of the most important positions in the NFL, you have to pounce on it early.
Becton fills the Browns need of a starting left tackle.
11) *TRADE* Atlanta Falcons (from Jets): CJ Henderson, CB Florida
The rumors surrounding the Falcons and CJ Henderson feel more like destiny than smoke. General Manager Thomas Dimitroff has made the big splash once before, trading all the way up for Julio Jones. Truthfully, I think there is a chance the Falcons move up even higher than this for the player they desire.
If the player they desire is in fact Henderson, look for them to move into the 8-11 range for the former Florida star.
12) Las Vegas Raiders: Jerry Jeudy, WR Alabama
Truth be told, figuring out the first wide receiver off the board is a complete guessing game. I’m going with Jeudy because he was deemed “WR1,” for the longest time.
However, don’t sleep on the Raiders picking Henry Ruggs III as the top guy. Head Coach Jon Gruden loves speedy receivers, and no one is more of a burner than Ruggs.
13) *TRADE* New England Patriots (from 49ers via Colts): Justin Herbert, QB Oregon
I think this is a realistic scenario that plays out. Whoever the fourth quarterback off the board is, be that Herbert, Tua or Love, falls outside the top ten. At that moment, the Patriots get aggressive and move up for the successor to Tom Brady.
While New England is without a second round selection, they do hold a ton of ammunition in this draft. Frankly, if the Patriots can wait until the teens to move up, they probably avoid giving up a future first rounder.
In my mind, Herbert will be the one to fall because the Dolphins still love Tua, and the Chargers have wanted Jordan Love from the jump.
14) *Jacksonville Jaguars (from Buccaneers): Derrick Brown, IDL Auburn
Following the trade down, the Jaguars select the player they would have at nine. Brown is reacquiring the buzz he had before his lackluster performance at the NFL Combine. Some think he will go as high as seven where Carolina selects.
I think the more likely scenario is that he winds up in Jacksonville.
15) Denver Broncos: Henry Ruggs III, WR Alabama
Denver is in a perfect position to draft a pass catcher at the top of this draft. They have the assets to trade up, should the receivers go earlier than expected. They also pick high enough to capitalize on the top receivers falling a bit.
Ruggs is the pick over CeeDee Lamb because some team is going to fall in love with his potential.
16) *New York Jets (from Falcons): Josh Jones, OT Houston
Don’t worry Jets fans, I’m not happy about this either. Passing on one of the top flight receivers for an offensive tackle that I gave a fourth round/developmental grade to is less than ideal.
However, I think this is the direction the Jets go if they miss on the top four tackles. Wide Receiver is loaded, and the Jets really like Josh Jones. General Manager Joe Douglas trades down, acquires assets to help build the roster, and selects their starting right tackle.
17) Dallas Cowboys: K’Lavon Chaisson, EDGE LSU
At some point, Chaisson will be selected by a team that could use an edge rusher, but is taking him because he’s clearly the best player on the board. That is exactly what the Cowboys are doing here.
18) Miami Dolphins (from Steelers): Austin Jackson, OT USC
Austin Jackson has solidified himself as a first rounder because of his athleticism. For a young player, he has a terrific understanding for cutting off the arch for the opposing edge rusher. In my opinion, 18 is his floor. Miami needs a tackle that is athletic enough to play the left or right side, depending on what they decide. That describes Austin Jackson more than Josh Jones.
19) Las Vegas Raiders (from Bears): Javon Kinlaw, IDL South Carolina
Kinlaw slides down the board a bit, largely because someone has to. With the amount of talent at the top, players are bound to fall when positional need gets mixed in. The Raiders need a three technique in the middle of their defense, so they scoop up Kinlaw.
20) Jacksonville Jaguars (from Rams): AJ Terrell, CB Clemson
For a while, Kristian Fulton was viewed as the number three corner off the board. However, from what I’ve seen in the past month, he could slide a bit on draft day due to concerns about his ability to be physical.
Terrell uses his size and length well in cover one and cover three. He also has big time ball skills. Jacksonville will go corner with one of their first two selections. They choose Terrell at 20.
21) Philadelphia Eagles: CeeDee Lamb, WR Oklahoma
Another surprise here. Lamb falling outside the top 20 seems unrealistic, but it’s not as inconceivable as you might think. The receiver class is so good that teams may look to address different needs early on. Even with how good the top three are, rookie receivers can struggle with their transition to the NFL if they are not in the right system.
The Eagles reap the benefits and get Carson Wentz a legitimate number one receiver.
22) Minnesota Vikings (from Bills): Trevon Diggs, CB Alabama
Much like Jacksonville, Minnesota will go cornerback with one of their two first round selections. Diggs is not high on my personal board, but many scouts are intrigued by his length and his footwork in off coverage.
23) *San Francisco 49ers (from Patriots): Justin Jefferson, WR LSU
While it makes little sense for the Niners to trade down and select a receiver not as good as the one they could have had at 13, I think that’s what they wind up doing. Head Coach Kyle Shanahan is all about the system. Justin Jefferson’s versatility and ability at the catch point make him a perfect fit for the system. Not to mention, the Niners would acquire necessary draft assets in the middle rounds that they currently lack.
24) *TRADE* Los Angeles Chargers (from Saints): Ezra Cleveland, OT Boise State
The Chargers need a starting left tackle at some point during this draft. Thankfully, the class is loaded at offensive tackle. Not to mention, the Chargers have the draft capital to get the guy they want if they have to move up. With OL flying off the board, the Chargers move up for an elite athlete in Ezra Cleveland.
25) Minnesota Vikings: Isaiah Wilson, OT Georgia
Isaiah Wilson is a late bloomer in the mock draft process. The NFL seems to love his physicality and size. They seem to care very little about the flaws in his technique.
This should not surprise you though. If you’ve followed my mock drafts, you know that my thought process is different from the NFL in this matter. The NFL believes they can teach players with elite size and strength the technique necessary to succeed. I believe intelligence outweighs measurables. Wilson falls into the category of the former. Hence why he will be a top 40 selection.
26) *Detroit Lions (from Dolphins via Texans): Antoine Winfield Jr., CB/FS Minnesota
Antoine Winfield Jr., is another late bloomer in the draft process, but this one is warranted. Winfield has the man cover ability to line up as a nickel corner, the physicality to play near the line of scrimmage, and the range to play a single high safety spot. His versatility will be an attractive option to teams selecting in the back end of round one.
27) Seattle Seahawks: Yetur Gross-Matos, EDGE Penn State
General Manager John Schneider typically moves up and down the draft board early on, but the need for a pass rusher will force him to stay put. Gross-Matos is easily the next best edge rusher after Chaisson, which is why he should land in the top 40 picks during the NFL Draft.
28) Baltimore Ravens: Jeremy Chinn, LB/S Southern Illinois
The Ravens will likely go defense with their first pick, but where they go is a mystery. They need a do-it-all player on the second level of their defense. That player could be Patrick Queen or Kenneth Murray, but it could also be Jeremy Chinn.
Chinn is a lesser version of Isaiah Simmons. Chinn is a hybrid safety/linebacker that can read and react in zone coverage, but also make impact plays against the run. His phenomenal combine performance should help him be selected in the top 50 picks of the NFL Draft. I think his ceiling is the back end of round one, which is where he winds up in this mock.
29) *TRADE* Carolina Panthers (from Titans): Justin Madubuike, IDL Texas A&M
One of the teams in the back end of round one will trade out. Based on the players available, and the potential draft targets that are left, Tennessee made the most sense.
Carolina trades up for a three technique interior defensive linemen that they desperately need.
30) Green Bay Packers: Jalen Reagor, WR TCU
A bit of a surprise here. For a while, Denzel Mims was the player that the media thought would go after Justin Jefferson. However, there has been a lot of buzz lately surrounding Jalen Reagor.
Reagor is a big time deep threat who can also make plays with the ball in his hands. He would fit nicely in the Packers passing attack.
31) San Francisco 49ers: Cesar Ruiz, IOL Michigan
Ruiz is a mystery to me. Not in terms of the player, he’s a stud. Ruiz’s technique, intelligence and ability to wall off pass rushers make him worthy of a first round pick.
The reason he’s a mystery is because I do not know where his draft value is as an interior offensive linemen. I could see him starting at center for the Dallas Cowboys next year, which could put him at pick 17. It could also put him at pick 51, in the middle of round two.
My best guess is Ruiz winds up in the back end of the first round with one of the teams that needs help along the interior of their offensive line.
32) Kansas City Chiefs: Kenneth Murray, ILB Oklahoma
As much fun as it would be to give the Chiefs the top running back off the board, the needs on defense are just too great. Murray would be the three down linebacker that the Chiefs have been missing ever since Derrick Johnson retired.
TRADES IN ROUND ONE
1) Miami Dolphins trade the #5, #26 and #70 to the Detroit Lions for the #3, #109 and #183.
2) Tampa Bay Buccaneers trade the #14, #76 and a 2021 3rd Round Pick to the Jacksonville Jaguars for the #9 Overall Selection.
3) Atlanta Falcons trade the #16, #78 and #120 to the New York Jets for the #11 Overall Selection.
4) New England Patriots trade the #23, #87, #100 and a 2021 2nd Round Pick to the San Francisco 49ers for the #13 and a 2021 4th Round Pick.
5) Los Angeles Chargers trade the #37 and #71 to the New Orleans Saints for the #24 Overall Selection.
6) Carolina Panthers trade the #38, #113, and a 2021 3rd Round Pick to the Tennessee Titans for the #29 and a 2021 6th Round Pick.
ROUND TWO
33) Cincinnati Bengals: Patrick Queen, ILB/OLB LSU
Good players are bound to fall into round two this year because of the depth and talent of this draft class. The Bengals capitalize by selecting a three down linebacker that should have gone in round one.
34) Indianapolis Colts (from Washington): Brandon Aiyuk, WR Arizona State
Aiyuk is being mentioned in round one, so there’s a good chance he’s not available for the Colts here. However, if he is, the Colts will scoop him up because of his ability after the catch.
35) Detroit Lions: Neville Gallimore, IDL Oklahoma
Detroit continues to revamp their defense here in round two. Gallimore’s quickness will give the Lions the pass rusher from the interior that they have lacked.
36) New York Giants: Xavier McKinney, FS Alabama
McKinney could very well be the first safety off the board during the draft. With that being said, it also does not mean he has to go in round one. While I have multiple safeties in round one, there is a chance that none go in the first round.
The Giants scoop up the only true single high free safety in the draft.
37) *New Orleans Saints (from Chargers): Jalen Hurts, QB Alabama
Many think the Saints will address quarterback at some point during this draft. Jalen Hurts is viewed as a top 50 selection because of his intangibles and ability outside the pocket. New Orleans trading backwards in round one and selecting Hurts feels like a match made in heaven.
38) *Tennessee Titans (from Panthers): Ross Blacklock, DL TCU
Blacklock will go a little lower than he should because of his injury history. However, he should still go top 50 because of how quick he is off the snap, and how disciplined he is against the run.
39) Miami Dolphins: AJ Epenesa, EDGE/DL Iowa
AJ Epenesa was once a first round lock. Now, it would be a surprise if he goes on day one. The Dolphins could be the team that scoops him up in round two. They can play him at multiple spots along the front seven, which will maximize his skill set at the next level.
40) *TRADE* Seattle Seahawks (from Texans via Cardinals): Bryce Hall, CB Virginia
Seattle has measurement requirements for the cornerbacks they select. Even though this draft class is extremely talented at corner, there are very few players that meet the Seahawks desired measurables. Hence why Seattle gets aggressive and trades up for Bryce Hall.
41) Cleveland Browns: Kristian Fulton, CB LSU
Fulton’s slide into day two will not last long, but it will exist. I don’t think the NFL scouts trust his ability when mirroring receivers in man coverage. That, along with his lack of physicality, will make him slide a bit.
42) Jacksonville Jaguars: D’Andre Swift, RB Georgia
As I said in my personal mock draft, no running backs on day one is a very likely scenario. The amount of talent, combined with the positional value, could force the group as a whole to fall a bit.
Jacksonville capitalizes on this and selects the top running back in the draft, according to most.
43) Chicago Bears (from Raiders): Lucas Niang, OT TCU
The Bears need to select whoever is the best offensive linemen on their draft board at 43. My guess is that Lucas Niang will be the guy. They need a right tackle with big time length and raw power.
44) Indianapolis Colts: Grant Delpit, SS LSU
Delpit was a first round pick for a while. However, the concern over his final year at LSU has him sliding down draft boards. I would still select him in round one, but my guess is he winds up going on day two.
45) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Jeff Gladney, CB TCU
Gladney is the ideal cornerback for defensive coordinator Todd Bowles. He’s phenomenal in man coverage, and has the ability to play nickel cornerback as well. This is a perfect fit.
46) Denver Broncos: Logan Wilson, ILB Wyoming
Logan Wilson is rising up the media mock drafts based on what people are hearing in NFL circles. Lots of scouts seem to think he’s a three down linebacker that packs a wallop.
I’m not sure I agree, but this mock is not about me.
47) Atlanta Falcons: Zack Baun, EDGE/OLB Wisconsin
Atlanta has always loved undersized players with high motors during the Dan Quinn era. They select another one here in Zack Baun.
48) New York Jets: Denzel Mims, WR Baylor
Mims appears to be lower on the NFL boards than many of us thought. I cannot stress how much of a mistake that is. Mims has a big time catch radius, he makes plays down the field, and he’s terrific at the catch point. The Jets get a steal here.
49) Pittsburgh Steelers: Darrell Taylor, EDGE Tennessee
Darrell Taylor is another guy that the NFL appears to be higher on than the media has been. The Steelers need an edge rusher once they inevitably let Bud Dupree go. This could be a selection that very few see coming when the Steelers get on the clock.
50) Chicago Bears: Ashtyn Davis, FS/SS California
Unlike Taylor, Davis is a favorite among the mock draft community. Many think he has the versatility to be a free safety or a strong safety at the next level. I think the NFL will see him as more of a cover two strong safety, which is why he does not go towards the top of round two.
51) Dallas Cowboys: Noah Igbinoghene, CB Auburn
Dallas has to look for a secondary piece at some point on day two. Igbinoghene plays tough, and his man cover skills are very impressive for someone who is still learning the position. His technique when mirroring opposing receivers will be very attractive to teams selecting on day two.
52) Los Angeles Rams: Terrell Lewis, EDGE Alabama
Lewis is a polarizing player among the media. Some like his length and athleticism. Others question his gap control and ability to counter when rushing the passer. It’s hard to predict where he will wind up, but the Rams desperation for an edge rusher could lead to their selection of Lewis.
53) Philadelphia Eagles: Lloyd Cushenberry III, IOL LSU
I don’t think Philadelphia will rush to selecting a secondary piece because they recently acquired Darius Slay. Instead, they select a starting left guard here in round two.
54) *TRADE* Jacksonville Jaguars via Buffalo Bills (Bills Acquire Yannick Ngakoue): Tee Higgins, WR Clemson
This scenario played out in my personal mock draft as well. Why not go all in if you’re the Bills? The Patriots are not there to block your path to a division title. Buffalo trades multiple day two picks to land a game changing pass rusher.
Jacksonville uses the acquired asset to select a pass catcher that they desperately need.
55) Baltimore Ravens (from Falcons via Patriots): Robert Hunt, IOL Louisiana
Baltimore needs help along the interior of their offensive line. Hunt brings the physicality in the run game that they will look for.
56) Miami Dolphins (from Saints): Jonathan Taylor, RB Wisconsin
Miami will select a bell cow at some point in the first two rounds. Jonathan Taylor feels like the number two guy according to most because of his vision between the tackles.
57) Los Angeles Rams (from Texans): Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB LSU
Running backs go back-to-back here. “CEH,” has gained steam lately as a player who can make an impact in every facet of the game. I think he leapfrogs JK Dobbins as becomes the third running back selected.
58) Minnesota Vikings: Raekwon Davis, IDL Alabama
Minnesota needs a three technique in the middle of their defense. Davis is a player with ideal size and length for the position. While I don’t have him this high, I think the NFL does.
59) *Houston Texans (from Seahawks): Marlon Davidson, IDL Auburn
Houston trades down to acquire assets, but still selects a starter along their defensive front. Davidson is stout against the run, which will make him a popular player on day two.
60) *TRADE* Las Vegas Raiders (from Ravens): Jaylon Johnson, CB Utah
The Raiders need a starting cornerback opposite last year’s first round selection, Trayvon Mullen. With cornerbacks flying off the board in round two, the Raiders get aggressive and move up for Jaylon Johnson.
61) Tennessee Titans: Matthew Peart, OT UCONN
Peart’s size and length will have teams gawking at him on day two. While I think Peart is better served at left tackle because of his fluidity in pass sets, I think a team like the Titans will try to teach him how to be a physical right tackle.
62) Green Bay Packers: Cole Kmet, TE Notre Dame
Kmet is the top tight end in a very weak draft class. Green Bay needs a tight end to stretch the middle of the field, which is why they reach for Kmet.
63) Kansas City Chiefs (from 49ers): JK Dobbins, RB Ohio State
Dobbins should not go this low, but I think the NFL is lower on him than I am. Kansas City scoops up an ideal running back for their zone rushing attack.
64) *Houston Texans (from Seahawks via Chiefs): Matt Hennessy, IOL Temple
I’d like to believe that Head Coach/General Manager/Houston Overlord, Bill O’Brien, is smart enough to realize that the team needs offensive line help. I also thought he was smart enough to see the value in DeAndre Hopkins.
TRADES IN ROUND TWO
1) Seattle Seahawks trade the #59 and #64 to the Houston Texans for the #40 and #111.
2) Buffalo Bills trade the #54 and a 2021 2nd Round Pick to the Jacksonville Jaguars for EDGE Rusher Yannick Ngakoue.
3) Las Vegas Raiders trade the #80 and #91 to the Baltimore Ravens for the #60 and #225.
ROUND THREE
65) Cincinnati Bengals: Donovan Peoples-Jones, WR Michigan
66) Washington Redskins: KJ Hamler, WR Penn State
67) Detroit Lions: Ben Bredeson, IOL Michigan
68) New York Jets (from NY Giants): Josh Uche, EDGE/OLB Michigan
69) Carolina Panthers: Prince Tega Wanogho, OT Auburn
70) *Detroit Lions (from Dolphins): Damon Arnette, CB Ohio State
71) *New Orleans Saints (from Chargers): Amik Robertson, CB Louisiana Tech
72) *TRADE* Minnesota Vikings (from Cardinals): Laviska Shenault Jr., WR Colorado
73) Jacksonville Jaguars: Jake Fromm, QB Georgia
74) Cleveland Browns: Kyle Dugger, SS Lenoir-Rhyne
75) Indianapolis Colts: Adam Trautman, TE Dayton
76) *Jacksonville Jaguars (from Buccaneers): Curtis Weaver, EDGE Boise State
77) Denver Broncos: Jonah Jackson, IOL Ohio State
78) *New York Jets (from Falcons): Michael Pittman, WR USC
79) New York Jets: Cameron Dantzler, CB Mississippi State
80) *Baltimore Ravens (from Raiders): Chase Claypool, WR Notre Dame
81) Las Vegas Raiders (from Bears): Bryan Edwards, WR South Carolina
82) Dallas Cowboys: Tyler Biadasz, IOL Wisconsin
83) Denver Broncos (from Steelers): Ben Bartch, OT St. John’s
84) Los Angeles Rams: Jordyn Brooks, ILB Texas Tech
85) Detroit Lions (from Eagles): Saahdiq Charles, OT LSU
86) Buffalo Bills: Troy Pride Jr., CB Notre Dame
87) *San Francisco 49ers (from Patriots): Jonathan Greenard, EDGE Florida
88) New Orleans Saints: Davon Hamilton, IDL Ohio State
89) *Arizona Cardinals (from Vikings): Julian Okwara, EDGE Notre Dame
90) Cleveland Browns (from Texans): Van Jefferson, WR Florida
91) *Baltimore Ravens (from Raiders): Cam Akers, RB Florida State
92) Baltimore Ravens: Alex Highsmith, EDGE Charlotte
93) Tennessee Titans: Antonio Gibson, RB/WR Memphis
94) Green Bay Packers: Malik Harrison, ILB Ohio State
95) Denver Broncos (from 49ers): Darnay Holmes, CB UCLA
96) *Tampa Bay Buccaneers (from Chiefs): Eno Benjamin, RB Arizona State
97) Cleveland Browns: Akeem Davis-Gaither, ILB Appalachian State
98) New England Patriots: Troy Dye, ILB Oregon
99) New York Giants: Quartney Davis, WR Texas A&M
100) *San Francisco 49ers (from Patriots): Michael Ojemudia, CB Iowa
101) Seattle Seahawks: Damien Lewis, IOL LSU
102) Pittsburgh Steelers: Jacob Eason, QB Washington
103) Philadelphia Eagles: K’Von Wallace, FS/SS Clemson
104) Los Angeles Rams: Michael Onwenu, IOL Michigan
105) *Arizona Cardinals (from Vikings): Terrell Burgess, SS Utah
106) *TRADE* Los Angeles Chargers (from Ravens): Zack Moss, RB Utah
TRADES IN ROUND THREE
1) Minnesota Vikings trade the #89 and #105 to the Arizona Cardinals for the #72 and #202.
2) Los Angeles Chargers trade the #112 and a 2021 5th Round Pick to the Baltimore Ravens for the #106 and a 2021 6th Round Pick.
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