Josh Allen
Jordan Katz 2019 NFL Prediction Mock Draft 3.0: Final
Ladies and Gentleman, the spectacle that is the NFL Draft has arrived. Even though this draft class is not one of the stronger ones, this has still proven to be an incredibly interesting draft season. We still have no idea who the first overall pick will be, we still have no idea which teams are actually going to take quarterbacks, and we still have no idea how the New England Patriots will find enough talent in this draft to make it back to another Super Bowl next year.
Based on things I have read as well as pre-draft visits and workouts, this is my prediction for how I expect the NFL Draft will shake down next week. There’s some predictions in this mock draft that are to be expected, there are some curveballs, and as I alluded to earlier, the rest of the league just lets the Patriots clean up once again.
This is not one of my personal mock drafts where I assume the GM role for all 32 teams. This is strictly me trying to get every selection right, which is an exercise in futility, but it should help give you an idea of who your favorite team likes and what positions they are looking to target on draft day. As always, there are trades, and trades made in this mock draft are denoted with an asterisk next to the team.
Final Prediction Edition of #MockLyfeNeverSleeps. We are in the Endgame now.
ROUND ONE
1) *Oakland Raiders via Arizona Cardinals: Kyler Murray, QB Oklahoma– There’s too much smoke here, right? Arizona has not only talked Murray up for weeks, they now appear to openly be fielding offers for Josh Rosen.
However, what if this truly is a smokescreen? The Cardinals still need multiple pieces in order to compete in 2019, and one way to accomplish that is to trade down and acquire some assets.
On the other hand, Oakland is definitely convinced they can win now. The one thing they do not seem to be convinced of is Derek Carr. The Raiders have met with both Murray and Dwayne Haskins a few times and appear to like both a lot. Now this would definitely be an out of the box move, but what if Jon Gruden and Mike Mayock use their assets in a weak draft to get a game changer at the QB position? Arizona and Oakland shock the world to start the Draft.
Editor’s Note: I have to give my brother Danny the credit for this prediction. For months he’s been telling me how bad the Raiders brass is at playing “the game,” that is the NFL Draft, and how Arizona and Oakland make sense as trade partners. He was first on this prediction and I’m now jumping on board.
2) San Francisco 49ers: Quinnen Williams, DT Alabama- Some may call this a curveball here, but I don’t think that’s apropos. Williams has dominated the athletic testing portion of the draft process, and many think he was equally as dominant as Nick Bosa was in college. I think more teams have Williams atop their board than the media realizes at this moment.
3) New York Jets: Nick Bosa, EDGE Ohio State- In just about every scenario, Mike Maccagnan will trade out of this pick. There should be enough buzz around Dwayne Haskins at this point for teams like Denver, Cincinnati or Washington to leapfrog the Raiders and Giants in order to land their QB of the future. If Kyler Murray is also available, the Jets could get a king’s ransom here.
However, this isn’t your normal scenario. If I’m right and the Niners take Quinnen Williams over Bosa, the Jets will have a massive dilemma on their hands. Is their roster good enough to compete if they do not trade down and pick Bosa? Do they still trade down even with Bosa on the board? It’s not a bad problem to have, but it will be very interesting to see how Maccagnan and company handle it.
4) *Arizona Cardinals via Oakland Raiders: Jawaan Taylor, OT Florida- Assuming Bosa and Quinnen Williams are both off of the board by this selection, which I’m not sure is a lock, Arizona would just move to their biggest need. Many think Taylor is the runaway best tackle in this draft and can slide over to the left slide while maintaining production. Arizona chooses to sure up their offensive line after narrowly missing the heist of the century in Bosa at the 4th overall pick.
5) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Devin White, ILB LSU- White to the Buccaneers has been rumored for a while now. They lost Kwon Alexander in free agency, and they need a three down linebacker that can do it all to replace him.
6) New York Giants: Daniel Jones, QB Duke- Okay Giants fans, I am so sorry to continue to obliterate your front office in these prediction mocks, but here we go again. David Gettleman can praise Eli Manning all he wants, but he’s still looking for a QB of the future in this draft. By not taking one last year in the best QB draft we’ve seen since 2004, and thinking his team was in a win now position, Gettleman backed himself into a corner. He had to settle for a lesser offer in order to get Odell Beckham out of the locker room and start a rebuild, and now he will have to settle for one of the QBs in this draft.
I know what you’re thinking though. “Okay Jordan, that explains them going quarterback. But why on earth would they pass on Dwayne Haskins for Daniel Jones?” Ladies and Gettleman (pun intended), allow me to introduce you to how David Gettleman will mess this up even further.
Jones has the “ideal size and build,” just like Haskins, but it’s his connection to David Cutcliffe that will have NFL teams ready to pick him much higher than he should go. Cutcliffe is most well known for his work with both Peyton and Eli Manning, and his relationship with David Gettleman is very strong as a result of working with Eli Manning. I think the Giants QB target in this draft is Daniel Jones, and they will either take him at 6 or 17 depending on how the board falls.
7) *Cincinnati Bengals via Jacksonville Jaguars: Dwayne Haskins, QB Ohio State- I think Cincinnati is going to go all out for a QB in this draft. With Andy Dalton on the latter stages of his career, the Bengals need to find their quarterback of the future sooner rather than later. Having dodged a bullet with the Giants, the Bengals give the Jaguars a little extra to come up and get their guy.
8) Detroit Lions: Josh Allen, EDGE Kentucky- Allen has had multiple visits with the Lions during this draft process, including a private workout. Detroit needs a pass rusher opposite Trey Flowers to generate the havoc that Head Coach Matt Patricia would like. If Allen is on the board here, this is as far as he goes because Detroit is seemingly in love with him.
Editor’s Note: Assuming Allen is off the board before this spot, Detroit could be a candidate to trade down. I don’t think they are as enamored with Brian Burns and Montez Sweat as they are with Allen. Not to mention, a team looking to pick DK Metcalf will have to jump Buffalo to do so.
9) Buffalo Bills: DK Metcalf, WR Ole Miss- Speaking of Metcalf to Buffalo, allow me to introduce the layup of the Top 10. The Bills still need a game changer in their receiving core, and Metcalf is just that. He’s phenomenal off the line and he showed his deep ball ability with a freakish 40 time at the Combine. John Brown and Cole Beasley were nice additions in free agency, but Metcalf is the big playmaker they need.
10) Denver Broncos: Drew Lock, QB Missouri- Four QBs in the Top Ten of this draft class is absolutely abominable, but we’re trending that way. The Broncos have had multiple visits with Drew Lock, and it appears they are… Locked…. in to him should Dwayne Haskins land elsewhere on draft day.
Editor’s Note: If you’ve read my personal mock drafts, you know I’m not a fan of the QB class. Outside of Kyler Murray, I do not have a quarterback on my board with a round one or a round two grade. Having said that, this is a Quarterback driven league, and QBs will always be overdrafted because of the value they bring.
11) *Jacksonville Jaguars via Cincinnati Bengals: Rashan Gary, EDGE/DL Michigan- Jacksonville’s draft strategy is anyone’s guess at this point. They have a few obvious needs (OL, Pass Catchers, FS, DL), but the order in which they address them is a mystery.
Should the Jaguars trade down, a guy like Gary could be in play for them. He has the versatility to move all along the defensive front, and the athleticism to be productive at the next level.
12) Green Bay Packers: Ed Oliver, DL Houston- Green Bay has been very aggressive in attempting to improve their defense during the 2019 offseason. I expect that to continue during the first round of this draft.
Oliver would go right to 3-4 defensive end and solidify a new look front seven that should be much more productive than years past.
13) *Houston Texans via Miami Dolphins: Andre Dillard, OT Washington State- The Texans are desperate for offensive line talent early in this draft. They had a ton of money this offseason and chose not to spend it. With extra assets in a weak draft (and Miami’s willingness to trade down), the Texans come up for Dillard, who many people think is the top left tackle in the draft.
14) Atlanta Falcons: Christian Wilkins, DT Clemson- Ed Oliver would be the ideal pick for Atlanta at 14, but Wilkins is a nice consolation prize. He possesses a quick first step like Oliver, he’s very technically sound in the little things (pad level, gap assignments, exc), and he has a high motor. All three of these will be very appealing to Head Coach Dan Quinn.
15) *Pittsburgh Steelers via Washington Redskins: Devin Bush, ILB Michigan- Bush has put together a phenomenal pre-draft process. He was a combine warrior, posting terrific numbers in the 40, vertical jump and 3-Cone drill. Then he went to his pro day and showed the ability to flip his hips like a defensive back. Pittsburgh trades up to land a necessary three down linebacker in the middle of their defense.
16) Carolina Panthers: Brian Burns, EDGE Florida State- Carolina loves the bigger, more physical edge players like Rashan Gary, and Brian Burns isn’t necessarily that. While he possesses good strength for his skill set, his biggest “strength,” is his ability to dip and bend around the edge.
Having said that, I think Carolina could go a different route here and take a player like Burns. Carolina has hinted at wanting to run more 3-4 sets and show multiple looks this season. They signed Bruce Irvin as well, making me think that the idea to go 3-4 could become more of a reality.
Whatever the decision winds up being, the selection at 16 will tell you all you need to know about their defensive game plan for the upcoming season.
17) New York Giants via Cleveland Browns: Montez Sweat, EDGE Mississippi State- Here’s why I sense the Giants going with a Quarterback at 6 instead of 17. There are so little quarterbacks this year and so many edge rushers, there is a much better chance to grab a talented pass rusher at 17 than a talented quarterback. Sweat had a terrific pre-draft process and should be a top 20 lock in a week’s time.
18) Minnesota Vikings: Jonah Williams, OT/OG/C/OL/Please Play Him at Tackle, Alabama- The fact that Jonah Williams will not be the top offensive lineman taken this year is an absolute disgrace. This is Zack Martin all over again. At some point, NFL teams will learn that technique and intelligence are what matters along the offensive line, and not just length and athleticism. Williams will be an All-Pro talent.
19) Tennessee Titans: Noah Fant, TE Iowa- Fant hs been my TE1 all year because of his athleticism and quickness when running routes. He’s an excellent blocker and a weapon in the middle of the field. Fant is an ideal fit in Tennessee’s offense and the heir to Delanie Walker’s throne at the TE position.
20) *Washington Redskins via Pittsburgh Steelers: Parris Campbell, WR Ohio State- Campbell is flying up draft boards after a very impressive combine. He displayed quickness in and out of cuts as well, something that we didn’t always get to see during his time at Ohio State. I think NFL teams view Campbell as a better version of Curtis Samuel, who went top 40 in his own right. Washington needs weapons for whoever their quarterback is, making Campbell a solid selection.
Editor’s Note: Obviously Washington is a great candidate to trade up for a quarterback, but a second option is them pursuing a QB already in the NFL like Josh Rosen or Derek Carr (hint hint, wink wink). If they choose the latter, they can trade backward, get some assets to further their pursuit of Rosen or Carr.
21) Seattle Seahawks: Chauncey Gardner-Johnson, CB/FS Florida– CGJ is a definitive ball hawk, but it’s his versatility to man up in the slot and contribute from a single high position that will have him as the first safety off the board. Seattle is a tough team to predict, but a selection of Gardner-Johnson would help further advance the recreation of LOB 2.0.
22) Baltimore Ravens: N’Keal Harry, WR Arizona State- Baltimore has to find weapons for Lamar Jackson during this draft. Harry can move all around the field, winning route combinations from the boundary as well as the slot. His tape during the season combined with quality testing in Indianapolis should help him be a first round selection.
23) *Miami Dolphins via Houston Texans: Jeffery Simmons, DT Mississippi State- It’s not much of a secret that Miami is looking to rebuild over the next few seasons. This makes them a perfect team to draft a player like Jeffery Simmons.
Simmons is viewed by many as a top talent in this draft, but he tore his ACL during a workout in February. The Dolphins do not need him to contribute right away in year one, so why not trade backward and take an elite talent for the future?
24) *Arizona Cardinals from Oakland Raiders via Chicago Bears: Hakeem Butler, WR Iowa State- Regardless of whether the Cardinals stay with Josh Rosen or select Murray first overall, they will need to find weapons for whoever their QB is. Butler has freakish athleticism for someone of his size. His potential is off the charts if he can fix the drops that plagued him in college.
25) Philadelphia Eagles: Nasir Adderley, FS Delaware- Philly is a tough team to judge for prediction purposes because they have the ammo to move up high in this draft and land a big fish. However, I think it’s more likely that they stay put in round one, and look to trade up into the early portions of round two.
If they do stay here, a safety is a very likely selection. Malcolm Jenkins and Rodney McLeod are two sizable contracts for a team that will need to save money over the next two years in preparation to pay Carson Wentz.
26) Indianapolis Colts: AJ Brown, WR Ole Miss- In my personal mock drafts, I have been talking about this potential fit for months. Brown’s quickness in the short to intermediate windows out of the slot would be a huge boost to the Colts offense. It would allow T.Y. Hilton to see less double teams. I expect wide receiver to be the target for the Colts at 26, and Brown makes the most sense to me.
27) Oakland Raiders via Dallas Cowboys: Byron Murphy, CB Washington- Murphy’s size was a question heading into the combine. However, when scouts saw his footwork and technique during the on-field drills, the concerns went away. His versatility to do a number of different things and excel in multiple coverage schemes will have many teams jumping at the chance to take him in the backend of round one.
28) Los Angeles Chargers: Greedy Williams, CB LSU- Williams may be the most polarizing player in the draft, but I’m not sure that stops him from being selected in round one. He still has phenomenal collegiate production and very good ball skills. The Chargers secondary took a hit this offseason, particularly at corner. Assuming Desmond King goes back to being a full time nickel player/third safety, LAC needs a second boundary corner to play opposite Casey Hayward.
29) Seattle Seahawks via Kansas City Chiefs: Clelin Ferrell, EDGE Clemson- Ferrell has had a lackluster performance during the draft season, but I don’t think his draft stock will be too hampered by it. His tape is too good and his game is too complete for him to drop past the first 40 picks or so.
30) Green Bay Packers via New Orleans Saints: Chase Winovich, EDGE Michigan- Winovich has put together two terrific pre-draft workouts, both at the combine as well as the Michigan pro day. Throughout his tape he is constantly in the backfield, which shows in his tackles for loss totals during his final two years at Michigan. Now that he has answered some athletic questions, Winovich is most likely the surprise of the first round.
31) *New York Giants via Los Angeles Rams: Dexter Lawrence, DT/NT Clemson- The Giants appear to be in love with Lawrence’s skill set, but I don’t think he will make it to their selection at the top end of round two. To ensure they get their man, the Giants mortgage a few draft assets in a weaker draft class to come up and take a player they covet.
32) New England Patriots: TJ Hockenson, TE Iowa- Rob Gronkowski’s retirement puts offensive weapons at the top of the Patriots wish list for the 2019 draft. The Patriots will definitely attempt to move up for Noah Fant, but I think Bill Belichick is also very comfortable with staying put and seeing if he can land Hockenson or Irv Smith Jr. If he can somehow pull Hockenson, the rest of the NFL should be embarrassed and thoroughly terrified.
TRADES IN ROUND ONE
1- Oakland Raiders trade the #4, #24 and a 2020 1st Round Pick (from Chicago) to the Arizona Cardinals for the #1 and a 2020 3rd Round Pick.
2- Cincinnati Bengals trade the #11, #72 and a 2020 2nd Round Pick to the Jacksonville Jaguars for the #7 and a 2020 5th Round Pick.
3- Houston Texans trade the #23, #54 and #55 to the Miami Dolphins for the #13 and #78.
4- Pittsburgh Steelers trade the #20, #83 and #122 to the Washington Redskins for the #15 and #206.
5- New York Giants trade the #37, #108 and #180 to the Los Angeles Rams for the #31.
ROUND TWO
33) Arizona Cardinals: Rock Ya-Sin, CB Temple- Arizona needs cornerback depth in the worst way. Outside of Patrick Peterson, it’s a giant question mark. Ya-Sin is a competitor and a ball hawk, two things that should compliment Peterson nicely considering all the targets Ya-Sin will see.
34) Indianapolis Colts via New York Jets: Anthony Nelson, EDGE/DE Iowa- I know Nelson is much higher on my personal board than he is being mocked by draft experts. Normally in this spot you would see a player like Jaylon Ferguson instead of my man Nelson.
However, I think NFL teams will agree with my analysis of Nelson. He’s just as technically sound as Clelin Ferrell, and despite the fact his first step isn’t quite as good on tape, he’s more adept at bending around the edge and running the arch.
Therefore, Nelson is the pick here and not Jaylon Ferguson.
35) Oakland Raiders: Josh Jacobs, RB Alabama- Oakland is now the frontrunner to land Jacobs after Marshawn Lynch decided to step away from football again. Whether they make that selection in round one or at the top or round two, it would take a miracle for one of the few three down runningbacks in this draft class to wind up elsewhere on draft day.
36) San Francisco 49ers: Deebo Samuel, WR South Carolina- The Niners need to find more weapons for Jimmy Garoppolo during this draft. Samuel has had a terrific draft process, shining ever since the Senior Bowl week back in January. He’s one of many quality pass catchers that will be selected on day two.
37) *Los Angeles Rams via New York Giants: Jachai Polite, EDGE Florida- Polite’s only saving grace to go in the first two rounds right now is the Rams. While Polite has had one of the worst Combine and Pro Day performances that I can remember, the one team he interviewed well with was the Rams. I still believe Polite stands a chance to be a good pro because his ability to come off the edge and generate pressure is so prevalent throughout his collegiate tape. This is why the Rams trade backwards and take him in round two.
Editor’s Note: An alternative move for the Rams could be to trade up in round three and try to snag him at the top of that round. If they believe he is truly off of many teams draft boards, they could look to do the same strategy with Polite that the Raiders did with Arden Key.
38) Jacksonville Jaguars: Darnell Savage, FS Maryland- A sneaky need for the Jaguars that they will most likely address early in this draft is a single high safety to keep their defense at the elite level it should be. Savage is that kind of player.
39) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Marquise “Hollywood” Brown, WR Oklahoma- The Bucs used a pre-draft visit on Hollywood Brown, which makes sense seeing as they need a deep threat to replace Desean Jackson. I’m not sure I would spend a top 40 selection on a third wideout in their offense, but that appears to be the direction they are headed.
40) Buffalo Bills: Kaleb McGary, OT/OG Washington- McGary is nowhere near this evaluation on my personal board, but his athleticism and supposed versatility is what has a lot of teams chomping at the bit for him in round two.
41) Denver Broncos: Garrett Bradbury, C NC State- Matt Paradis was a big loss for the Broncos, but he’s replaceable in the front end of the draft. Even though Bradbury is likely to go higher than this, players fall to round two that should have gone in round one all the time. In this draft, that player is Bradbury.
42) Cincinnati Bengals: Cody Ford, OT/OG Oklahoma- Cincinnati signed Bobby Hart to… uhh… let up sacks? It surely wasn’t to protect the passer. One can only hope they’re wise enough to just draft offensive line anyway and act as if the Bobby Hart signing never happened.
43) *Kansas City Chiefs via Detroit Lions: Erik McCoy, C/OG Texas A&M- McCoy is a very similar player to Garrett Bradbury, showing good athleticism in short areas, as well as the technique necessary to excel in pass protection. Much like the Broncos a few picks earlier with replacing Matt Paradis, Kansas City needs to replace Mitch Morse. They trade up a few spots to land McCoy.
44) Green Bay Packers: Irv Smith Jr., TE Alabama- Aaron Rodgers loves throwing to tight ends. The problem is, Rodgers has not had one that is truly a matchup problem in a long time. Irv Smith can block and he’s improved as a route runner. He’s a much better fit for the Packers current offense than Jimmy Graham.
45) *Philadelphia Eagles via Atlanta Falcons: Chris Lindstrom, OG Boston College- Atlanta has teased that they could trade down in this draft. If that truly is the draft strategy, it might make more sense to happen in round two rather than round one. Philadelphia could also trade in this draft, but their goal is to trade up not backward. Both teams could be perfect trade partners at some point in this draft.
Editor’s Note: Lindstrom is a good fit for either of these teams, but based on pre-draft workouts I think he’s more of a target for Philly than Atlanta. Hence the trade.
46) *Oakland Raiders via Washington Redskins: Jaylon Ferguson, EDGE Louisiana Tech- For some reason Ferguson’s three cone shuttle, which was north of eight seconds, has not scared NFL teams from talking about him on day two. Oakland acquires this selection by sending Derek Carr to Washington and takes Ferguson to double up on pass rushers in day two.
47) Carolina Panthers: Greg Little, OT Ole Miss- I really don’t like Little as a selection before day three, but Carolina has visited with him a lot throughout the draft process. He is most likely going to be picked on day two, and Carolina is a very likely destination for the former 5-Star recruit.
48) Miami Dolphins: Dalton Risner, OT/OG Kansas State- The Dolphins need to improve in the trenches on both sides of the ball. Risner can start on the right side of their offensive line from day one.
49) Cleveland Browns: Juan Thornhill, SS Virginia- Thornhill’s athleticism and ability to play downhill has teams very interested in him early in this draft. Many teams think he can be a chess piece in the backend of their defense. Thornhill makes sense as a target for the Browns because he can move around the field like Julius Peppers did.
50) Minnesota Vikings: Jerry Tillery, DT Notre Dame- Tillery is extremely athletic and a quality pass rusher along the interior. Minnesota needs an athletic starter next to Linval Joseph, making Saunders a perfect fit for them at 50.
51) Tennessee Titans: Khalen Saunders, DL Western Illinois- One of the best pound for pound athletes in this draft is Khalen Saunders. He’s a perfect fit in a 3-4 because he’s successful from multiple positions along the defensive front.
52) Pittsburgh Steelers: Justin Layne, CB Michigan State- Layne has emerged as a day two lock during the pre-draft process. He’s long, he’s athletic, and he shows big time potential in man-to-man situations. The Steelers still need a number two corner, making Layne a very likely selection in the second round if he is available.
53) *Atlanta Falcons from Philadelphia Eagles via Baltimore Ravens: Tytus Howard, OT Alabama State- Howard has ideal size and length for a right tackle, but he needs to continue to refine his technique in order to become a quality starter. This makes Atlanta an ideal destination because he would not have to start day one, unless he earned it.
54) *Miami Dolphins from Houston Texans via Seattle Seahawks: Emanuel Hall, WR Missouri- The Dolphins have lacked an explosive deep threat for a long time. Hall is a definitive burner that separates with speed and athleticism down the field. He’s a good target for Miami at some point during this draft.
55) *Miami Dolphins via Houston Texans: Jamel Dean, CB Auburn- Here’s a classic reach on day two because of a good combine. Dean showed enough on tape to make teams covet his sheer athleticism over some more technical corners.
56) New England Patriots via Chicago Bears: Andy Isabella, WR Massachusetts- I know Patriots fans would rather see Isabella later in the draft, but I think he tested too well at the Combine for the Pats to do that. Isabella’s route running, athleticism and solid hands make him a perfect fit for the Patriots offense.
57) Philadelphia Eagles: Mack Wilson, ILB Alabama- The buzz around Wilson has cooled during the latter portions of the draft process. Having said that, the off ball linebacker class is so weak that his tape and collegiate production should still have him as the third player off the board in this position group.
58) Dallas Cowboys: Deionte Thompson, FS Alabama- The Cowboys have visited with a ton of safeties during this offseason, making a selection of one at 58 very likely. Thompson is easily the best cover safety still on the board, so he is the pick here.
59) Indianapolis Colts: Iman Marshall, CB/FS/SS USC- Marshall is going to go much higher than he should on draft day, and I still have not figured out why. Many teams think he possesses the versatility to play nickel corner or a cover two safety position. When I figure out what they are basing this off of, I will let you all know.
60) Los Angeles Chargers: Yodny Cajuste, OT West Virginia- Offensive tackle is a sneaky need for the Chargers during this draft. Okung has been up and down during the last few years, and Sam Tevi is better served as a backup. Cajuste steps in and competes for a starting job from day one.
61) *Detroit Lions via Kansas City Chiefs: Lonnie Johnson Jr., CB Kentucky- Teez Tabor has not stepped up and grabbed the number two cornerback slot like the Lions had hoped. Johnson’s length and athleticism combined with his (presumed) ability in press coverage are the two aspects of his game that NFL teams find attractive.
62) New Orleans Saints: Joejuan Williams, CB Vanderbilt- Williams had a tough combine, but redeemed himself during the athletic testing portion of his pro day. He’s a long, physical corner with the ability to press and solid ball skills. His traits on tape combined with his improved athletic testing should have him as a day two selection.
63) *Detroit Lions from Kansas City Chiefs via Los Angeles Rams: Amani Hooker, FS Iowa- Detroit continues to revamp their secondary by selecting the best cover safety left on the board. While this could be a thumper like Taylor Rapp or Johnathan Abram, I’m going to take a chance on Hooker because of his versatility in coverage.
64) New England Patriots: Blake Cashman, ILB Minnesota- New England does have a few defensive needs in this draft, one of which is addressing their linebacking core. Outside of Kyle Van Noy, it’s a weak unit. Cashman is an athletic three down linebacker who shows a great understanding for gap assignments on tape.
TRADES IN ROUND TWO
1- Kansas City Chiefs trade the #61 and #63 to the Detroit Lions for the #43, #111 and #224.
2- Philadelphia Eagles trade the #53, #127 and #163 to the Atlanta Falcons for the #45 and #230.
3- Washington Redskins acquire Derek Carr and a 2020 3rd Round Pick from the Oakland Raiders in exchange for the #46 and 2020 Conditional 5th Round Pick.
ROUND THREE
65) Arizona Cardinals: Dawson Knox, TE Ole Miss
66) Pittsburgh Steelers via Oakland Raiders: Dennis Daley, OT South Carolina
67) San Francisco 49ers: Jimmy Moreland, CB James Madison
68) New York Jets: Elgton Jenkins, C Mississippi State
69) Jacksonville Jaguars: Terry McLaurin, WR Ohio State
70) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Johnathan Abram, SS Mississippi State
X) New York Giants- Forfeit Due to the Selection of Sam Beal in the Supplemental Draft
71) Denver Broncos: Isaiah Johnson, CB Houston
72) *Jacksonville Jaguars via Cincinnati Bengals: Jace Sternberger, TE Texas A&M
73) New England Patriots via Detroit Lions: Charles Omenihu, DL Texas
74) Buffalo Bills: Maxx Crosby, EDGE Eastern Michigan
75) Green Bay Packers: Michael Dieter, OL Wisconsin
76) Washington Redskins: Amani Oruwariye, CB Penn State
77) Carolina Panthers: Taylor Rapp, SS Washington
78) *Houston Texans via Miami Dolphins: Trysten Hill, DT/NT UCF
79) Atlanta Falcons: DeAndre Baker, CB Georgia
80) Cleveland Browns: Trayvon Mullen, CB Clemson
81) Minnesota Vikings: Michael Jordan, OG/C Ohio State
82) Tennessee Titans: JJ Arcega-Whiteside, WR Stanford
83) *Washington Redskins via Pittsburgh Steelers: Kelvin Harmon, WR NC State
84) Seattle Seahawks: LJ Collier, DL TCU
85) Baltimore Ravens: Ben Banogu, EDGE TCU
86) Houston Texans: Connor McGovern, OG/C Penn State
87) Chicago Bears: David Long, CB Michigan
88) Detroit Lions via Philadelphia Eagles: Dru Samia, OG Oklahoma
89) Indianapolis Colts: Renell Wren, DT Arizona State
90) Dallas Cowboys: Zach Allen, DL Boston College
91) Los Angeles Chargers: Kingsley Keke, DL Texas A&M
92) Kansas City Chiefs: Christian Miller, EDGE Alabama
93) New York Jets via New Orleans Saints: Sean Bunting, CB Central Michigan
94) Los Angeles Rams: Bobby Evans, OT/OG Oklahoma
95) New York Giants from Cleveland Browns via New England Patriots: David Edwards, OT Wisconsin
96) Washington Redskins: Nate Davis, OL Charlotte
97) New England Patriots: Tyree Jackson, QB Buffalo
98) Jacksonville Jaguars via Los Angeles Rams: David Montgomery, RB Iowa State
99) Los Angeles Rams: Sheldrick Redwine, FS/SS Miami
100) Carolina Panthers: Damien Harris, RB Alabama
101) New England Patriots: Riley Ridley, WR Georgia
102) Baltimore Ravens: Germaine Pratt, ILB NC State
Jordan Katz 2019 Prediction Mock Draft 2.0: Post Combine
Y’all know what time it is, lean wit it, mock wit it! Mock Lyfe never, eeeevvvveeeerrr, sleeps, and with the Combine wrapped up, it’s time for a prediction mock draft. This is a more traditional one; the goal here is to try to get every pick right. I base this off of what I see being reported as well as team visits with prospects. Team needs also play a factor. Obviously this is a challenge with Free Agency right around the corner and pro days still to come. However, this is the way I think teams would be leaning if the draft were to take place tomorrow. As always, trades are included, and they are denoted by an asterisk next to the team’s name. We also have a few player trades in this mock draft that shake up the draft board. Who are the players that move, you ask? Let’s find out (Big J level tease right there).
ROUND ONE
1) Arizona Cardinals: Kyler Murray, QB Oklahoma- Personally, there’s no way I would get rid of Josh Rosen for Kyler Murray. Rosen is by far the better QB right now, and I think he has a higher ceiling than Murray as well.
Having said that, Kliff Kingsbury and the Cardinals brass really didn’t do a good job of convincing anyone that they are confident in Josh Rosen. This means one of two things; either the Cardinals will attempt to trade the pick by creating buzz around Murray, or they truly are enamored with the former Heisman trophy winner and want him to be the face of the franchise. I’ll bite on the hype train for now.
2) San Francisco 49ers: Nick Bosa, EDGE Ohio State- The 49ers would freak out if Bosa became available for them at two. That possibility becomes more and more of a reality the more the Cardinals refuse to deny the rumors surrounding Kyler Murray.
3) *New York Giants via New York Jets: Dwayne Haskins, QB Ohio State- This is where the draft gets funky. It’s no secret that the Jets are the most likely team to trade out on draft day. They need assets in this draft to help build a competitive roster in 2019 At least one of the two QBs is more than likely going to be available at the third selection, so the Jets trading out is a strong possibility.
Where this gets interesting is the idea of the Jets and Giants doing a trade together. While one can argue it’s unlikely, it also makes the most sense. The Giants backed themselves into a corner by not coming out of last year’s draft with a quarterback, making them very likely to establish their draft strategy around Dwayne Haskins. They also have a unique opportunity to sit Haskins for a year or two without the fan base becoming restless. Nowadays rookie QBs are forced to play as soon as possible because teams stand such a better chance of building a championship contending roster while their franchise QB is on a rookie deal. The fans also contribute by putting pressure on the franchise to trot out their potential star player as soon as possible.
The Giants won’t have this issue. They still have a quarterback beloved by the fan base, which gives them the luxury of not throwing Haskins to the wolves on day one.
If the Jets and Giants can ignore the outside noise, they could be perfect trade partners in this year’s draft. The Jets get extra assets, the Giants get the heir to Eli Manning’s throne.
4) Oakland Raiders: Quinnen Williams, DT Alabama- The Raiders need to hit on each one of their first round selections to expedite their rebuilding process. Williams is the best prospect on the board, and he will give Oakland a dominant pass rusher along the interior.
5) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Montez Sweat, EDGE Mississippi State- The biggest winner of the combine on the defensive side of the ball was Sweat. He answered every question that scouts had of his ability to dip and bend around the edge… except ya boy who had him as a top ten player on his board (humble brag, not all heroes wear capes). If Tampa Bay cannot trade down here, I would expect them to take the best edge rusher on their board.
6) *New York Jets via New York Giants: Rashan Gary, DL Michigan- The Jets need versatility along their defensive front. Gary can come off the edge as well as rush from the interior. I think his athleticism combined with his potential make him a perfect target for the Jets if they can trade down and stay in the top ten.
7) Jacksonville Jaguars: DK Metcalf, WR Ole Miss- The Jaguars will open up the offense a bit more with Nick Foles under center. In order to do that successfully, they need a true number one receiver. Metcalf generated the most buzz during the combine and established himself as the clear number one receiver in this draft. He would give the Jaguars a legitimately playmaker on the outside.
8) Detroit Lions: Brian Burns, EDGE Florida State- Burns tore it up in Indianapolis and established himself as a top 15 lock. He bulked up to 250 pounds and still showed elite athleticism, which allows him to play either 4-3 defensive end or 3-4 outside linebacker at the next level. The versatility he provides is what will land him in the Top 10.
9) Buffalo Bills: Jawaan Taylor, OT Florida- Taylor appears to be the top offensive tackle in this draft according to most. If the Bills miss out on DK Metcalf, I’d expect Taylor to be the selection, should he be available.
10) Denver Broncos: Devin White, ILB LSU- I know everyone’s mocking the Broncos to take Drew Lock because John Elway appears attracted to the idea of having Joe Flacco be a bridge quarterback. Here’s my counterargument; what if he just picks that guy next year instead of this year? Elway would have the option of taking Justin Herbert or Jake Fromm, two people that scouts think could play from day one (I disagree on Fromm, but that’s a different story for a different day).
Instead of Lock, the Broncos continue to revamp their front seven and take one of the only three down linebackers in the draft.
11) Cincinnati Bengals: Andre Dillard, OT Washington State- It feels like the Bengals have needed offensive line every year for the last five drafts. Dillard is deemed to be the top pass protector this year, and he one of the few true left tackles in the entire draft. The Bengals hopefully find their left tackle of the present and future with this pick.
12) Green Bay Packers: Josh Allen, EDGE Kentucky- There were a few edge rushers that outperformed Allen during the workouts in Indianapolis, which could lead to Allen sliding a bit on draft day. It’s not a knock on Allen as a player, it’s just the realization that players like Sweat and Burns may have more upside.
Assuming he does slide, the Packers are his floor. They need an impact player that can get to the passer on a routine basis. Allen would give them a legitimate rusher off the edge.
13) Miami Dolphins: Daniel Jones, QB Duke- Jones and Drew Lock are a complete toss up for who’s the third quarterback off the board this year. To me, Jones will edge out Lock because Duke’s Head Coach David Cutcliffe is revered in NFL circles for his work with Peyton and Eli Manning. Every advantage helps your draft stock and this is a big one.
14) Atlanta Falcons: Ed Oliver, DT Houston- Atlanta needs to dedicate the early portions of this draft towards strengthening their roster in the trenches. Oliver up front along with Grady Jarrett, Vic Beasley and Takk McKinley would make for an incredibly dominant front four.
15) Washington Redskins: TJ Hockenson, TE Iowa- Should the Cardinals select Kyler Murray first overall, I expect the Redskins to be the heavy favorite to land Josh Rosen via trade (which they do later on in this draft). Therefore, at 15 they look to address their next biggest need; offensive weapons. Even though Noah Fant wowed at the combine, TJ Hockenson proved he was very athletic as well. His blocking skills keep him as the first tight end off the board.
16) Carolina Panthers: Jonah Williams, OL Alabama- Williams is still easily my top offensive tackle, but teams view him as a potential all-pro if he moves to guard. Carolina needs both a starting tackle and a starting guard, so he’s an easy fit here.
17) Cleveland Browns: Christian Wilkins, DT Clemson- The Browns feel like a lock to address interior defensive line with their first round selection. The question will be whether they still take Jeffery Simmons despite the ACL tear, or if they go with someone who will be healthy week one like Christian Wilkins.
18) *New England Patriots via Minnesota Vikings: Noah Fant, TE Iowa- Bill Belichick has been known for surprising the experts on draft day. With extra assets in a weaker draft class, there’s a chance Belichick opts to come up for one of the two Iowa tight ends if they fall farther than people expect. That’s exactly what happens here.
19) *Philadelphia Eagles via Tennessee Titans: Josh Jacobs, RB Alabama- Josh Jacobs may not have worked out during the Combine, but his stock still managed to rise. The rest of the running backs were so average that Jacobs solidified himself as the top running back by a wide margin. The Eagles jump past a few teams to get the running back they covet.
20) Pittsburgh Steelers: Devin Bush, ILB Michigan- If Devin Bush makes it to the Steelers pick at 20, I don’t expect much hesitation here. Bush is a three down linebacker with elite athleticism. He’s also a quality leader according to most things you read.
21) Seattle Seahawks: Greedy Williams, CB LSU- Williams definitely took himself out of the Top 10 conversation with his performance during the on the field drill portion of the combine. Having said that, he most likely remained the top corner because of his elite 40 time. Williams has technical issues, but his length and ball skills combined with his athleticism would make him a phenomenal fit in the Seahawks defense.
22) Baltimore Ravens: Marquise “Hollywood,” Brown, WR Oklahoma- Brown’s foot surgery shouldn’t affect his draft stock too bad because he will still be ready to go for the summer workouts. The Ravens need to give Lamar Jackson some weapons for him to succeed in 2019, and there aren’t many better weapons in this draft than Hollywood Brown.
23) Houston Texans: Cody Ford, OT/OG Oklahoma- I think you all know the drill by now; the Texans need to take offensive line early and often in this draft. Ford should still go in round one despite his athletic testing solidifying him as a guard at the next level.
24) Oakland Raiders via Chicago Bears: Byron Murphy, CB Washington- Murphy’s man cover skills and terrific footwork will make him an attractive option to a lot of teams selecting in the back end of round one. He can line up on the outside and force receivers to the boundary, or he can take away slot receivers with his ability to mirror route combinations.
25) *Tennessee Titans via Philadelphia Eagles: N’Keal Harry, WR Arizona State- The Titans manage to slide down a few spots and still land the pass catcher they covet. Harry is an ideal weapon for Marcus Mariota because of his size in the red zone and his ability to win from the slot position.
26) Indianapolis Colts: Jeffery Simmons, DT Mississippi State- Simmons has reportedly put to rest any issues teams may have had about his off the field antics, which should keep his draft stock in the first 40 picks despite the ACL injury. His pass rushing skills is what makes him a very attractive option to the Colts here at 26.
27) *Pittsburgh Steelers from Oakland Raiders via Dallas Cowboys: Rock Ya-Sin, CB Temple- My prediction for Antonio Brown is that the Raiders use one of their late first round selections to land the star wide receiver. This gives Pittsburgh two first round selections to address their lackluster back seven on defense.
28) Los Angeles Chargers: Dexter Lawrence, NT Clemson- I will continue to call this until I sense the Chargers going in a different direction. Lawrence makes too much sense in the middle of the Chargers defense. He also has the athleticism to play on passing downs.
29) Kansas City Chiefs: Chauncey Gardner-Johnson, FS Florida- The Chiefs are yet another team in the backend of round one that needs secondary help. CGJ is deemed to be the top safety in this draft and the best ballhawk from the single high position. He would pair up nicely with Eric Berry.
30) Green Bay Packers via New Orleans Saints: Irv Smith Jr., TE Alabama- Jimmy Graham’s performance last season was up and down, and he’s a quality option to be a cap cut in either of the next two offseasons. Smith is a really solid blocker, he’s an athlete, and he’s developed into a very good route runner for the position. I think Smith and Aaron Rodgers would make a dynamic duo.
31) *Cincinnati Bengals via Los Angeles Rams: Drew Lock, QB Missouri- I like the idea of the fourth QB in this draft, be that Lock or Daniel Jones, coming off the board in the back end of round one like Lamar Jackson did last year. A likely team to make that move this year is the Bengals. They need the heir to Andy Dalton’s… uhh…. “Throne.” Instead of reaching for a guy at 11, they draft a need position in that spot and then come up into round one to get the fifth year option on their QB of the future.
32) *Minnesota Vikings via New England Patriots: Chris Lindstrom, OG Boston College- The fact that Lindstrom is not going to go in the first 20 picks is a crime. He’s an elite level prospect as a guard. Minnesota trades down and lands one of the best players in the draft.
TRADES IN ROUND ONE
1- New York Giants trade the #6, #37, #108 and a 2020 2nd round pick to the New York Jets for the #3.
2- New England Patriots trade the #32, #56 and #101 to the Minnesota Vikings for the #18, #209 and #247.
3- Philadelphia Eagles trade the #25, #57 and #163 to the Tennessee Titans for the #19 and the #82.
4- Pittsburgh Steelers trade Antonio Brown and a 2020 5th round pick to the Oakland Raiders for the #27.
5- Cincinnati Bengals trade the #42, #72 and a 2020 3rd round pick to the Los Angeles Rams for the #31 and the #133 and a 2020 4th round pick.
ROUND TWO
33) Arizona Cardinals: Garrett Bradbury, C NC State- The Cardinals address their disastrous offensive line by selecting the top center in the draft.
34) Indianapolis Colts via New York Jets: Johnathan Abram, SS Mississippi State- Abram is a perfect scheme fit for the Colts because of Malik Hooker. Abram can be used as a chess piece close to the line of scrimmage with Hooker as the single high safety in the back.
35) Oakland Raiders: Clelin Ferrell, DE Clemson- More defense for the Raiders. Ferrell at the top of round two is a steal in my opinion, but it’s likely where he winds up come April.
36) San Francisco 49ers: Parris Campbell, WR Ohio State- Kyle Shanahan likes chess pieces that create matchup problems for the defense. Campbell’s speed makes him that kind of player.
37) *New York Jets via New York Giants: AJ Brown, WR Ole Miss- The one thing I think the Jets will miss in free agency is a pass catcher. Brown is a dynamic player in the short and intermediate passing game. He’d also be a terrific compliment to Robby Anderson.
38) Jacksonville Jaguars: Dalton Risner, OT/OG Kansas State- The Jaguars need some toughness and intensity up front. Nobody in this draft plays with more intensity than Dalton Risner.
39) *Houston Texans via Tampa Bay Buccaneers: DeAndre Baker, CB Georgia- Baker didn’t have the best weekend in Indianapolis. However, I think scouts like his tape too much for him to fall out of the Top 50. Houston uses assets to come up and get a number two corner.
40) Buffalo Bills: Hakeem Butler, WR Iowa State- Butler is a freakish athlete for someone who’s 6’5. He needs to become more consistent and eliminate drops, but a team is definitely going to gamble on him early in this draft.
41) Denver Broncos: Erik McCoy, C Texas A&M- McCoy can start right away and replace Matt Paradis in the middle of the Broncos offensive line.
42) *Los Angeles Rams via Cincinnati Bengals: Jachai Polite, EDGE Florida- The buzz around Polite was extremely negative coming out of the weekend in Indy, but I think his pass rushing ability will keep him in the first two rounds.
43) Detroit Lions: Nasir Adderley, FS Delaware- Adderley’s ball skills from the single high position will hopefully help the Lions secondary perform better in 2019.
44) Green Bay Packers: Mack Wilson, ILB Alabama- Even though the buzz on him has cooled, I think Wilson is still going to be a Top 50 pick in this draft. There’s a lot of teams that need linebacker help, and only a few that can truly play three downs.
45) Atlanta Falcons: Kaleb McGary, OT Washington- A lot of people like McGary’s potential in the NFL. His athleticism was on display during the athletic testing as well as the on-field drills. I expect him to go pretty high on day two.
46) *Arizona Cardinals via Washington Redskins: Khalen Saunders, DT/NT Western Illinois- Here is the Josh Rosen trade I alluded to earlier. The Redskins use multiple second rounders instead of one first round selection to trade for Rosen, making him their Quarterback of the present and future.
The Cardinals, on the other hand, land a 3-4 defensive lineman with the athleticism to line up all across the defensive front.
47) Carolina Panthers: Kelvin Harmon, WR NC State– The Panthers took DJ Moore in round one last year, but they still need more weapons heading into the 2019 offseason. Assuming Devin Funchess leaves in free agency, Harmon could be an interesting replacement option.
48) Miami Dolphins: David Long, CB Michigan- Long’s outstanding combine should solidify him as a day two selection in April. Miami has reportedly been shopping Xavien Howard, so it’s likely they look for a cornerback in the draft instead of re-signing Howard once the upcoming year ends.
49) Cleveland Browns: Justin Layne, CB Michigan State- Layne had a terrific showing at the combine, as many predicted he would. His ability to excel in multiple coverages makes him an attractive option to the Browns in round two.
50) Minnesota Vikings: Jerry Tillery, DT Notre Dame- One of the more underrated combine performances was posted by Jerry Tillery. He showed elite level quickness, which confirms what you see on tape. Minnesota needs a pass rusher next to Linval Joseph, making Tillery a perfect match here.
51) Tennessee Titans: Renell Wren, DL Arizona State- Wren would give the Titans some much needed versatility up front. He could play the nose tackle spot and allow Jurrell Casey to go back to 3-4 defensive end, or he can replace Bennie Logan at the aforementioned DE position.
52) Pittsburgh Steelers: Riley Ridley, WR Georgia- If the Steelers do trade Antonio Brown, they will need to find another threat on the outside. I don’t think they’ll jump at someone in the first round because of JuJu Smith-Schuster and James Washington, but Ridley in round two is a definite possibility.
53) Philadelphia Eagles via Baltimore Ravens: Amani Oruwariye, CB Penn State The Eagles two biggest needs this offseason are a three down running back and a number two cornerback. With the selection of Oruwariye, they’ve accomplished both in this mock draft.
54) *Tampa Bay Buccaneers from Houston Texans via Seattle Seahawks- Deionte Thompson, FS Alabama- Tampa Bay will trade down at some point in this draft because they have a lot needs to address this offseason. Thompson can help create turnovers and he gives Todd Bowles a single high safety for his aggressive minded defense.
55) Houston Texans: Tytus Howard, OT Alabama State- Eat, sleep, offensive line, repeat. Howard has good developmental skills and stands a chance to start at right tackle from day one.
56) *Minnesota Vikings from New England Patriots via Chicago Bears: Taylor Rapp, SS Washington- The Vikings have been rumored to be replacing Andrew Sendejo for a few offseasons now. With Sendejo entering the final year of his contract, this could finally be the draft they select his replacement.
57) *Tennessee Titans via Philadelphia Eagles: Dru Samia, OG Oklahoma- Samia’s intensity and toughness is a perfect match for the Titans physical offensive line. He would start at left guard from day one and contribute right away to the Titans run heavy offense.
58) Dallas Cowboys: Juan Thornhill, SS Virginia- Thornhill obliterated the athletic testing of the combine, posting absurd numbers in the vertical and broad jump. Then on top of that, he ran a 4.42 in the 40! Despite very inconsistent tape, he’s a lock for the top 75.
59) Indianapolis Colts: Emanuel Hall, WR Missouri- I think a more technical route runner would be a better scheme fit here because it would serve as a better compliment to T.Y. Hilton. That being said, Hall’s combine numbers should have him rising rapidly up teams draft boards.
60) Los Angeles Chargers: Trayvon Mullen, CB Clemson- Desmond King is most likely going to be the Chargers defensive chess piece, which means the Chargers need a CB on the boundary opposite Casey Hayward. Enter Trayvon Mullen.
61) Kansas City Chiefs: Damien Harris, RB Alabama- I think Harris earned the distinction of being RB2 at the Combine. He’s one of the few guys with three down potential that had a solid workout in Indianapolis.
62) New Orleans Saints: Jace Sternberger, TE Texas A&M- New Orleans is in a perfect position to replace Ben Watson with their first selection of the draft. Sternberger is a decent blocker for the position and has the ability to stretch the middle of the field as well.
63) Kansas City Chiefs via Los Angeles Rams: Christian Miller, EDGE Alabama- After cutting Justin Houston, the Chiefs will have to address the edge position early in this draft.
64) New England Patriots: Andy Isabella, WR UMASS- Isabella is a phenomenal route runner out of the slot with impressive athleticism to boot. He’s a perfect fit in the Patriots offense.
TRADES IN ROUND TWO
1- Houston Texans trade the #54, #86 and #161 to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers for the #39 and the #215.
2- Washington Redskins trade the #46 and a 2020 2nd round pick to the Arizona Cardinals for Josh Rosen.
Jordan Katz 2019 NFL Mock Draft 4.0: Pre-Combine
The NFL Combine gets underway today, which means it’s a great time for another installment of my Mock Drafts for 2019 (not exactly, but #MockLyfe never sleeps and neither does content). Obviously much will change once the Combine numbers come in, and I will not only churn out a prediction Mock Draft of what I think will happen on Draft Day, but also a follow up to this Mock Draft of what I would do if I had control of all 32 teams.
This Mock Draft goes three rounds deep with compensatory picks and, as always, includes trades. The rules for trades stay the same, it needs to make sense for both teams. All trades that were made by me in this mock are denoted by an asterisk next to the team.
ROUND ONE
1) Arizona Cardinals: Nick Bosa, EDGE Ohio State- As previously stated, this is not a prediction mock draft. This is what I would do if I was in charge of all 32 teams. So this will not be Kyler Murray, nor will this be a trade. This will be Nick Bosa, and that is that.
2) San Francisco 49ers: Quinnen Williams, DT Alabama- The Niners may not be the obvious choice for Quinnen Williams, but they make sense. Yes, Arik Armstead could kick inside and the Niners could grab an edge player. However, the opportunity to put Williams next to DeForest Buckner could create one of the most dominant interior pass rushing attacks in the NFL.
3) New York Jets: DK Metcalf, WR Ole Miss- Metcalf is about to tear it up in Indianapolis and make himself a top ten lock in this draft. Word on the street is that he will measure in at 6’4 and run a sub 4.5, which is insane. If the Jets opt to address their pass rushing needs in free agency, O-Line and pass catchers will be in play for them early in this draft.
4) Oakland Raiders: Ed Oliver, DT Houston- This is the first time Ed Oliver has found himself back in the top five picks in quite some time, and that’s 100% because Quinnen Williams went in the top three. The Raiders need talent at every selection, and Oliver is extremely talented. Not to mention, he’s pound for pound the best athlete in the draft.
5) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Jonah Williams, OT Alabama- Tampa Bay needs help at multiple positions along their offensive line. The best offensive lineman in the draft is an easy selection here.
6) New York Giants: Byron Murphy, CB Washington- Murphy is still CB1 on my board, and his man cover skills should be a perfect fit in James Bettcher’s aggressive defense.
7) *Green Bay Packers via Jacksonville Jaguars: Brian Burns, EDGE Florida State- The Packers have some ammo in this draft to trade up a few spots from either the 12 or the 30 and land a guy they covet. Burns is one of my top five players in the draft and would have been selected by Detroit at eight. Therefore, Green Bay uses some draft capital and comes up a few spots to land one of the elite edge rushers in this draft.
8) Detroit Lions: Clelin Ferrell, EDGE Clemson- Detroit just got jumped by Green Bay for Burns, so they turn to the next best edge rusher on the board. The Clelin Ferrell bandwagon is getting smaller, but his technique and move-set should keep him in the first 15-20 picks of the draft.
9) *Washington Redskins via Buffalo Bills: Kyler Murray, QB Oklahoma- It feels a little dirty for me to have a QB in a top 10 of a personal mock draft. However, because Washington, Cincinnati and Miami all make a ton of sense to try to land my QB1, the three engage in a bidding war to trade up for Murray.
Washington is desperate for a franchise QB, and they need a week one starter because Alex Smith’s career may be over. This seems like a perfect scenario to take Murray. If it works, they still have the roster to compete right away in 2019.Washington puts together the best offer and lands the former Oklahoma standout.
10) Denver Broncos: Devin White, ILB LSU- I think Vic Fangio would love to have White captain the middle of their 3-4 defense. He’s a strong tackler, he shoots gaps well, and he can play on all three downs because of his cover skills.
11) Cincinnati Bengals: Chris Lindstrom, OG Boston College- Lindstrom is one of the most complete offensive line prospects in this draft and easily worthy of a top 15 selection this year.
12) *Jacksonville Jaguars via Green Bay Packers: Jawaan Taylor, OT Florida- The Jaguars power blocking scheme is a perfect fit for Jawaan Taylor. He can start at right tackle from day one and make an immediate impact in the Jags run heavy offense.
13) Miami Dolphins: Montez Sweat, EDGE Mississippi State- With Murray off the board, Miami goes to their next biggest need; replacing Cameron Wake. Charles Harris is not coming along fast enough, so the Dolphins turn to Montez Sweat. Sweat is another technician up front, with the ability to long arm tackles and win at the line with multiple pass rushing moves.
14) Atlanta Falcons: Jeffery Simmons, DT Mississippi State- My guess is that Atlanta chooses to re-sign Vic Beasley this offseason instead of Grady Jarrett, which means they need to find Jarrett’s replacement in this draft. Simmons may not be the prototypical Dan Quinn pick, but he has an explosive first step and multiple moves to get to the passer.
Editor’s Note: The ACL injury doesn’t concern me if I’m a team picking in this area. Simmons is a player that will dominate on the field from day one, whenever day one winds up being.
15) *Buffalo Bills via Washington Redskins: Marquise “Hollywood” Brown, WR Oklahoma- Hollywood Brown won’t work out this weekend, but he’s still one of my top playmakers in this draft. He’s explosive with the ball in his hands and he’s more than just a deep threat. Buffalo needs to find playmakers this offseason for Josh Allen, so with DK Metcalf off the board to the Jets at three, the Bills trade down and still snag WR2.
16) Carolina Panthers: Rashan Gary, DE Michigan- I still would rather see Gary as a 3-tech in a 3-4 scheme, but the Panthers look for bigger players on the edge. Since the scheme fit makes sense, the Panthers scoop up a talented player who fell a bit.
17) Cleveland Browns: Christian Wilkins, DT Clemson- The Browns are in a perfect position to grab a difference maker along the defensive line. The tandem of Larry Ogunjobi and Trevon Coley played well enough last year, but they’re not game changers. Wilkins would give the Browns one of the best defensive fronts in the NFL.
18) Minnesota Vikings: Cody Ford, OG/OT Oklahoma- Because Ford, Andre Dillard and Yodny Cajuste are so close in my rankings, the Vikings go with the player better served for their scheme. Ford is easily the best in the run game of the three and the most versatile in terms of where he can play.
19) Tennessee Titans: Noah Fant, TE Iowa- I still have Fant ahead of TJ Hockenson, albeit not by much. Fant has a big time catch radius and he’s a very good blocker in his own right. Tennessee needs to find more playmakers for Marcus Mariota this offseason, and they also need to work on replacing Delanie Walker. As they say, two birds with one stone here.
20) Pittsburgh Steelers: Mack Wilson, ILB Alabama- The linebacking class is so much weaker than the cornerback class, which is why the Steelers go with Wilson in round one and wait for a cornerback in round two.
21) Seattle Seahawks: Greedy Williams, CB LSU- Seattle loves long, athletic corners with big time ball skills. Playing Williams opposite Shaq Griffin would be a dynamic duo and the start of LOB 2.0.
22) Baltimore Ravens: Kelvin Harmon, WR NC State- I know Ravens fans will want Josh Jacobs here, but I think Harmon is the better selection. Baltimore doesn’t need to draft a running back early because the threat of Lamar Jackson will alleviate pressure off of whomever the Ravens start at running back.
What the Ravens need is a playmaker along the outside that separates well at the top of the route and can win in the red zone. That is Kelvin Harmon.
23) Houston Texans: Andre Dillard, OT Washington State- For the 1,261st time this draft season, allow me to reiterate how the Texans need to select the best offensive lineman on the board with their first round pick.
24) Oakland Raiders via Chicago Bears: Josh Jacobs, RB Alabama- As I said in my previous mock draft, Jacobs isn’t Jon Gruden’s prototypical running back in terms of size. However, he is tough between the tackles and he’s the only true three down running back in the draft class.
25) Philadelphia Eagles: Rock Ya-Sin, CB Temple- The Eagles are going to lose Ronald Darby in free agency, making cornerback a need because Sidney Jones and Rasul Douglas both have injury histories. Rock Ya-Sin has big time ball skills and he’s extremely good at mirroring receivers in man coverage.
26) Indianapolis Colts: Josh Allen, EDGE Kentucky- As you know by now, I have Allen lower on my personal board than the media does. It’s not that I don’t like the prospect, I just don’t see Allen as a can’t miss edge player. Whil he’s excellent at bending around the edge and running the arch, I question his ankle flexibility. He doesn’t really have an elite move-set either.
Having said that, he’s still a terrific pass rusher and the Colts would love to have him at this selection.
27) Oakland Raiders via Dallas Cowboys: TJ Hockenson, TE Iowa- I have no idea how this happened, but here we are and here’s the easiest selection of all time. The Raiders need pass catchers and Hockenson is an elite level prospect.
28) Los Angeles Chargers: Dexter Lawrence, NT Clemson- This stays the same from my previous mock draft. Lawrence’s athleticism and ability to stop the run make him an easy pick for a team that’s desperate for a nose tackle in the middle of their 3-4 defense.
29) Kansas City Chiefs: Deionte Thompson, FS Alabama- The Chiefs need playmakers in the secondary, be that at cornerback or safety. As a single high free safety, Thompson in the back would allow Eric Berry to be used more as a chess piece and create big impact plays.
30) Green Bay Packers via New Orleans Saints: Dalton Risner, OG/OT Kansas State- The Packers offensive line not only needs depth, but they need better players in the run game up front. Risner’s nastiness and power combined with his ability to maintain inside hands out of the jump set should fit nicely for a team that will look to run the ball more in 2019.
31) Los Angeles Rams: Jachai Polite, EDGE Florida- Los Angeles has a fair amount of needs for a team that is coming off of a Super Bowl appearance, and one of them is replacing Dante Fowler off the edge. Polite isn’t the best against the run, but he’s lethal around the edge, running the arch with precision and showing terrific flexibility in the hips and the ankles.
32) *New York Giants via New England Patriots: Dwayne Haskins, QB Ohio State- I love this idea from my previous mock draft, so it stays in this one as well. The Giants can trade up for Haskins to ensure a fifth year option on him, they can sit him for a year or two to help him work out kinks in his mechanics, and he can take the reigns once Eli Manning calls it a career.
TRADES IN ROUND ONE
1) Green Bay Packers trade the #12, the #44 and a 2020 3rd Round Pick to the Jacksonville Jaguars for the #7 and #98.
2) Washington Redskins trade the #15, #46 and a 2020 2nd Round Pick to the Buffalo Bills for the #9 and #113.
3) New York Giants trade #37 and a 2020 3rd Round Pick to the New England Patriots for the #32 and a 2020 5th Round Pick
ROUND TWO
33) Arizona Cardinals: Yodny Cajuste, OT West Virginia- Same idea as my previous mock draft, but Cajuste is higher on my personal board than David Edwards, so he becomes the pick.
34) Indianapolis Colts via New York Jets- AJ Brown, WR Ole Miss- For all the years the Colts drafted offense, you would think they would have a compliment to T.Y Hilton on the roster. Brown working the short and intermediate passing areas would be a nice balance to the deep ball ability of Hilton.
35) Oakland Raiders: Amani Oruwariye, CB Penn State- What a home run of a draft the Raiders have had so far. Oakland needs difference makers in the secondary, and Oruwariye has the ball skills and length to be that guy.
36) San Francisco 49ers: N’Keal Harry, WR Arizona State- If the 49ers miss on acquiring a wide receiver via a trade, Harry at the top of round two would be a terrific consolation prize.
37) New England Patriots via New York Giants: Devin Bush, ILB Michigan- Kyle Van Noy is entering the final year of his contract and Dont’a Hightower is a possible cap cut. New England trades down and selects an off ball linebacker to give them more flexibility at the position.
38) Jacksonville Jaguars: Irv Smith Jr., TE Alabama- Irv Smith would be a perfect third down and red zone target for whoever the QB is for the Jaguars on opening day.
39) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Joejuan Williams, CB Vanderbilt- New Defensive Coordinator Todd Bowles loves physical man-to-man cornerbacks, which is Joejuan Williams in a nutshell.
40) Buffalo Bills: David Edwards, OT Wisconsin- Edwards has the intelligence level to start at right tackle at the next level. If he improves his footwork, he may be able to slide to the left side in the future.
41) Denver Broncos: Erik McCoy, OC Texas A&M- McCoy has a powerful base and he’s very agile in space. With Matt Paradis most likely leaving in free agency, the Broncos find his replacement with the top center in the draft.
42) Cincinnati Bengals: Daniel Jones, QB Duke- This is a bit of a reach for me, but Jones is my last quarterback with a grade higher than the fourth round. Cincinnati takes Jones in hopes of having him be their QB of the future.
43) Detroit Lions: Trayvon Mullen, CB Clemson- Detroit grabs a man cover corner with good ball skills to compliment Darius Slay’s skill set.
44) *Jacksonville Jaguars via Green Bay Packers: Deebo Samuel, WR South Carolina- The Jaguars continue the makeover on offense in this draft by adding another pass catcher that can make a big impact on third downs.
45) *Dallas Cowboys via Atlanta Falcons: Anthony Nelson, EDGE Iowa- In a weird draft move, the Cowboys come up with limited picks in this draft because Anthony Nelson fell way too far. Nelson would be a cheaper alternative to paying Demarcus Lawrence, and he can provide big time production at the next level.
46) *Buffalo Bills via Washington Redskins: Justin Layne, CB Michigan State- Layne is going to have a big combine, showing he has the athleticism to match his size and length.
47) Carolina Panthers: Nasir Adderley, FS Delaware- The Panthers need a ball hawk in the back; it has been quite some time since they had a difference maker at the safety position.
48) Miami Dolphins: Greg Little, OT Ole Miss- Little should be a solid right tackle in a power blocking scheme at the next level. He needs to improve his footwork, but there’s traits to work with.
49) Cleveland Browns: Tytus Howard, OT Alabama State- This is a bit of a reach but I love Howard’s size and athleticism. I think he can start at right tackle early in his career and develop into one of the better starters in the NFL.
50) Minnesota Vikings: Charles Omenihu, DL Texas- If the Vikings are looking for an athletic, pass rushing interior defensive lineman to compliment Linval Joseph, there aren’t many better players they can grab in round two than Omenihu.
51) *New England Patriots via Tennessee Titans- Khalen Saunders, DT Western Illinois- The Patriots continue to shuffle up and down the draft board. Saunders has unique athleticism for someone of his size. Bill Belichick will love him in the middle of the defense.
52) Pittsburgh Steelers: DeAndre Baker, CB Georgia- The Steelers get a solid corner in off coverage who will help solidify their secondary.
53) Philadelphia Eagles via Baltimore Ravens: Damien Harris, RB Alabama- Philadelphia missed out on Josh Jacobs by one pick in round one. Luckily for them, they scoop up his teammate in round two.
54) Houston Texans via Seattle Seahawks: Garrett Bradbury, OG/C NC State– I think Bradbury has the athleticism to play guard or center at the next level, a trait that should be very attractive to a team desperate for Offensive Linemen.
55) *Arizona Cardinals via Houston Texans: Riley Ridley, WR Georgia- The Cardinals trade up to land a big receiver that separates nicely at the top of route combinations.
56) New England Patriots via Chicago Bears: Jace Sternberger, TE Texas A&M- This is a classic case of scheme rules all in a mock draft. Sternberger does some dynamic things in the pass game, and I expect him to show some elite athleticism this weekend.
57) Philadelphia Eagles: Damarkus Lodge, WR Ole Miss- Lodge has some drops, but he’s capable of making some ridiculous catches and explosive plays.
58) *Atlanta Falcons via Dallas Cowboys: Elgton Jenkins, OG/C Mississippi State– The Falcons need to improve in the trenches this offseason to get back to the playoffs in 2019.
59) Indianapolis Colts: Jonathan Abram, SS Mississippi State- Abram is a strong player close to the line of scrimmage. He’d be an excellent compliment to the single high skills of Malik Hooker.
60) Los Angeles Chargers: Jordan Brown, CB South Dakota State- The Chargers need a second corner to play opposite Casey Hayward.
61) Kansas City Chiefs: Rodney Anderson, RB Oklahoma- Anderson not being ready to workout in Indy is a concern, but he wouldn’t be the first player to come back from knee surgery and return to form.
62) New Orleans Saints: Isaac Nauta, TE Georgia- I still love the idea of Saints taking a tight end to replace Ben Watson with their first selection of the 2019 NFL Draft.
63) Kansas City Chiefs via Los Angeles Rams: Oshane Ximines, EDGE Old Dominion- If the Chiefs move on from Justin Houston, Ximines in round two would be a perfect scheme fit. He’s not the best athlete, but he wins with physicality and technique.
64) *Tennessee Titans via New England Patriots: JJ Arcega-Whiteside, WR Stanford- “JJAW” is a physical receiver, a willing blocker, and a red zone threat. If that doesn’t scream scheme fit for the Titans, I’m not sure what does.
TRADES IN ROUND TWO
1) Dallas Cowboys trade the #58, #90 and a 2020 5th Round Pick to the Atlanta Falcons for the #45 and #230.
2) New England Patriots trade the #64, #97 and #205 to the Tennessee Titans for the #51.
3) Arizona Cardinals trade the #65, #103 and #139 to the Houston Texans for the #55 and #161.
ROUND THREE
65) *Houston Texans via Arizona Cardinals: Amani Hooker, FS Iowa
66) Oakland Raiders: Jaylon Ferguson, EDGE Louisiana Tech
67) San Francisco 49ers: Chauncey Gardner-Johnson, CB/FS Florida
68) New York Jets: Dennis Daley, OT South Carolina
69) Jacksonville Jaguars: Renell Wren, DT/NT Arizona State
70) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Germaine Pratt, ILB NC State
71) Denver Broncos: Drew Lock, QB Missouri
72) Cincinnati Bengals: Dawson Knox, TE Ole Miss
73) New England Patriots via Detroit Lions: Andy Isabella, WR UMASS
74) Buffalo Bills: Bobby Evans, OT/OG Oklahoma
75) Green Bay Packers: Vosean Joseph, ILB Florida
76) Washington Redskins: Christian Miller, EDGE/OLB Alabama
77) Carolina Panthers: Jerry Tillery, DT Notre Dame
78) Miami Dolphins: Hakeem Butler, WR Iowa State
79) Atlanta Falcons: Oli Udoh, OT Elon
80) Cleveland Browns: Kendall Sheffield, CB Ohio State
81) Minnesota Vikings: Dax Raymond, TE Utah State
82) Tennessee Titans: Gerald Willis, DL Miami
83) Pittsburgh Steelers: Jazz Ferguson, WR Northwestern State
84) Seattle Seahawks: Mike Bell, S Fresno State
85) Baltimore Ravens: LJ Collier, EDGE TCU
86) Houston Texans: David Long, CB Michigan
87) Chicago Bears: Mike Edwards, SS Kentucky
88) Detroit Lions via Philadelphia Eagles: Antoine Wesley, WR Texas Tech
89) Indianapolis Colts: Zach Allen, DL Boston College
90) *Atlanta Falcons via Dallas Cowboys: Elijah Holyfield, RB Georgia
91) Los Angeles Chargers: Te’Von Coney, LB Notre Dame
92) Kansas City Chiefs: David Long, CB Michigan
93) New York Jets via New Orleans Saints: Dre’Mont Jones, DL Ohio State
94) Los Angeles Rams: Nate Davis, OG Charlotte
95) Cleveland Browns via New England Patriots: Sutton Smith, EDGE/OLB Southern Illinois
96) Washington Redskins: Kaden Smith, TE Stanford
97) *Tennessee Titans via New England Patriots: Michael Dieter, OL Wisconsin
98) Jacksonville Jaguars via Los Angeles Rams: Taylor Rapp, SS Washington
99) Los Angeles Rams: Julian Love, CB Notre Dame
100) Carolina Panthers: Keelan Doss, WR UC Davis
101) New England Patriots: Ross Pierschbacher, OG/C Alabama
102) Baltimore Ravens: David Montgomery, RB Iowa State
Jordan Katz 2019 NFL Mock Draft 3.0: Post Super Bowl
#MockDraftSZN rolls on! Now that the NFL Draft order is set, and the Senior Bowl/East-West Shrine Bowl have been completed, it’s time for another Mock Draft. Plenty of changes to this one from the last one, and some interesting trades that shake up this mock draft.
A few notes to make before we get started. As always, this is my personal evaluation of what I would do if I was in charge of all 32 teams. For my prediction mock draft, aka what I think would happen if the draft was today, click the link here (https://draftstock.net/articles/https-draftstock-net-2019-01-29-jordan-katz-2019-prediction-mock-draft-1-0/).
As always, my mock drafts include trades (which are denoted by an asterisk next to the team), but trades are not exclusive to only draft picks. If I see a trade for a player that includes draft picks and makes sense for both teams involved, I’ll pull the trigger on it and make the deal. For example, Nick Foles is most likely getting traded, and I had Philadelphia use Foles to move up in this draft. Who acquired the Super Bowl MVP? Let’s find out.
ROUND ONE
1) Arizona Cardinals: Nick Bosa, EDGE Ohio State- No changes here, Bosa remains the top player in this draft in a walk.
2) San Francisco 49ers: Jonah Williams, OT Alabama- The top TACKLE in this draft is still the layup here. I think the Niners are in a prime position to trade out of this spot to a team that needs a QB. However, on my personal board, there isn’t a QB worth trading up for.
3) New York Jets: DK Metcalf, WR Ole Miss- The Jets entire draft strategy will be dependent on what they do in Free Agency. If I were in charge, I would spend money on a pass rush before a pass catcher. There’s significantly more pass rushing talent in free agency than receiving talent, and the pass catchers in this draft are very good.
DK Metcalf is more than worthy of a top 5 selection, in my opinion. He wins at the line of scrimmage as good as anyone I’ve seen in the last couple of years, he separates with long strides down the field as well as his frame, and he has elite ball skills.
4) Oakland Raiders: Quinnen Williams, DT Alabama- Williams remains the best option for Oakland because he had a very high floor. Oakland cannot miss with their three first round picks if they hope to expedite this rebuilding project. Williams is an elite pass rusher along the interior, which is something the Raiders desperately need.
5) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Byron Murphy, CB Washington: Murphy got a second round grade from the draft committee, which is an absolute abomination. His man cover skills are elite, showing fluid hips and excelling at being able to mirror from the boundary or the slot. I refuse to believe Murphy is not a first round talent, and I think he’s a game changer in the secondary.
6) New York Giants: Brian Burns, EDGE Florida State- Burns is elite as a pass rusher off the edge. He has incredible dip and bend ability, and a solid enough moveset to keep tackles honest. Some question his strength, but at 6’6, he can put weight on easily and not miss a step because he’s so athletic. Giants fans may want Dwayne Haskins, but I think a legit pass rusher makes more of an impact here.
7) *Philadelphia Eagles via Jacksonville Jaguars: Clelin Ferrell, EDGE Clemson- Here’s the Nick Foles trade I referred to earlier, but it’s a little more complex than the one that will probably get done. I still think Jacksonville makes the most sense to acquire Foles because their defense is still in a position to take them far if they have a QB that holds onto the football. That portion of the deal is fine.
Philadelphia using Foles to move up in the draft instead of trading him for straight draft equity is the stretch here, but it makes sense. The Eagles are about to lose Brandon Graham to free agency, and they need to find a quality replacement for cheap. So with a second round draft pick value on Nick Foles, the Eagles use him and other assets to trade up and land Ferrell, who is a perfect scheme fit.
8) Detroit Lions: Montez Sweat, EDGE Mississippi State- Sweat is a big riser from my most recent mock draft, but it’s more than justified. He dominated Senior Bowl week with superior technique. Sweat has all the tricks, he can long arm tackles, rip inside, club, swim move, etc. You name it, he’s got it in his move-set toolbox. He can also line up as a 4-3 DE or a 3-4 OLB, versatility that Head Coach Matt Patricia will definitely value.
9) Buffalo Bills: Marquise “Hollywood” Brown, WR Oklahoma- The Bills have to get Josh Allen some weapons in order for them to get back to the playoffs next season. Who’s a better weapon for Allen’s cannon of an arm than the best deep threat in the draft? Hollywood Brown has explosive playmaking ability down the field, as well as with the ball in his hands. He’s also a very good route runner, so he’s not a one dimensional player either.
10) Denver Broncos: Rashan Gary, DE Michigan: The more I think about the Broncos draft situation, the more confident I am that Gary is the right selection. None of the QBs in this draft are worthy of a top ten selection, and the Broncos can cut Derek Wolfe to continue to get younger up front.
Gary is better served along the interior as a three technique where he can win with his strength and quick first step, instead of having to play slightly out of position along the edge as a five technique.
11) Cincinnati Bengals: Chris Lindstrom, OG Boston College- The Bengals have invested a fair amount of picks into their offensive line over the last few years, but it still needs work. Lindstrom is a complete prospect ready to start from day one. He can play either guard spot because of how technical he is with his hands and his footwork.
12) Green Bay Packers: Josh Allen, EDGE Kentucky- I personally don’t think Allen is the cleanest athlete around the edge, but he’s still better at running the arch than most. Allen dips and bends well at the waist, but he isn’t the cleanest in terms of his ankle flexibility. What keeps him at a first round evaluation for me is that he’s a chess piece; you can move him all over the field and he’s able to create pressure. Green Bay could use a chess piece on defense.
13) Miami Dolphins: Kyler Murray, QB Oklahoma- First Quarterback off the board here, and it’s more because of the fit than the evaluation. Miami is most likely going to move on from Ryan Tannehill, but according to the media, it’s in hopes of selecting a Quarterback in 2020.
However, I think a better strategy might be shooting for a Quarterback in this draft class, particularly Murray. I realize this is counterintuitive because next year’s QB class is much better than this one, but Miami finds themselves in a unique position. It’s clear a rebuild is the desired direction of this team, which is why they can take a chance on Murray and hope for lightning in a bottle. If it doesn’t work, they’re in a prime position in two years to take Trevor Lawrence when the rebuild is much further along. If it does work, they have their game changer at QB.
14) Atlanta Falcons: Ed Oliver, DT Houston- This is becoming the easiest selection of the draft. Oliver continues to fall on my mock drafts because he’s not the pass rusher that others in this draft happen to be. It doesn’t make him a bad prospect, it just means his ceiling may not be as high as others in the draft. I still think he’s a bully in the run game and he can collapse the pocket because of his elite strength.
15) *Pittsburgh Steelers via Washington Redskins: Devin White, ILB LSU- AS much as we would all love to see Ryan Shazier return to the football field, however it’s probably best for his health that he doesn’t. Truth be told, even if he does, and could return to the level he was playing at, the Steelers still need an inside linebacker to play next to him.
White is a terrific athlete and he’s skilled in coverage, possessing the ability to line up one on one with tight ends and running backs, as well as the instincts to read and react in zone coverage.
16) Carolina Panthers: Deionte Thompson, FS Alabama- Carolina has some big needs to fill this offseason in order to get back to being a perennial playoff team. Thompson would fill one of those needs; a ball hawking free safety that creates turnovers.
17) *New England Patriots via Cleveland Browns: Noah Fant, TE Iowa- The Patriots trading up?!? Have I gone temporarily insane? Well, because this is a weak draft class, the Patriots use their draft capital to come up and take a game changer in the middle of the field, not to mention the heir to Rob Gronkowski’s throne.
18) Minnesota Vikings: Christian Wilkins, DT Clemson- The Vikings need some help along the interior of their defensive line. Linval Joseph continues to age and Sheldon Richardson is most likely leaving in free agency. Wilkins has an explosive first step, which helps him win up front routinely. He’s a smart player as well, showing discipline on the backside of plays. Wilkins would be a good addition to the Vikings front four.
19) Tennessee Titans: TJ Hockenson, TE Iowa- The Titans are going to need to find Delaine Walker’s long term replacement sooner rather than later. Hockenson is an elite blocker and wins with his size at the top of the stem. He high points the ball well also. Marcus Mariota gets a shiny new red zone threat here with the former Iowa standout.
20) *Washington Redskins via Pittsburgh Steelers: Cody Ford, OT/OG Oklahoma- The Redskins interior offensive line is a debacle at the moment. Ford is a big time athlete for his size, which is why I think he can transition to guard if a team asks him to do so. He needs to work on keeping his hands high, but his footwork is solid and he gets to the second level quickly. Ford should be a quality right side of the line player in the NFL.
21) Seattle Seahawks: Greedy Williams, CB LSU- What a steal this would be on draft day. Williams is an ideal corner for Seattle’s defense, both in his measurables (Seattle likes bigger, longer cornerbacks) and his ability in man coverage. Williams opposite Shaq Griffin could be the start of LOB 2.0.
22) Baltimore Ravens: Kelvin Harmon, WR NC State- Getting Lamar Jackson some weapons is priority one for the Ravens this offseason. I think the misnomer is that the pass catcher the Ravens acquire has to be a deep threat because of Jackson’s arm talent. Baltimore needs a player that separates well, someone who can be a reliable target for Jackson on third downs and in the red zone. In a nutshell, they need a target like Kelvin Harmon.
23) Houston Texans: Andre Dillard, OT Washington State- The Texans offensive line was miserable in pass protection last year, and Dillard would be an immediate upgrade in that are. While he lacks the power at the point of attack to be impactful in the run game, Dillard is a very good athlete with excellent footwork in the 45 degree set and the vertical set. Houston can move Julie’n Davenport to the right side and let Dillard protect Deshaun Watson’s blindside.
24) Oakland Raiders via Chicago Bears: Jawaan Taylor, OT Florida- The Raiders also need offensive line help. However, unlike Houston before them, they need a power blocking right tackle instead of a pass blocking athlete on the left side of a zone blocking scheme. That’s Jawaan Taylor to a tee.
25) *Jacksonville Jaguars via Philadelphia Eagles: Dalton Risner, OT/OG Kansas State- Jacksonville is yet another team that needs offensive line help. Risner is a perfect fit for them. He provides an attitude and competitiveness up front that the Jaguars lack, especially for a team that wants to win in the trenches. Risner is a mauler in the run game and will be a quality right guard in the NFL.
26) Indianapolis Colts: Jeffery Simmons, DT Mississippi State- The Colts were a surprise playoff team in 2018. In order to stay there in 2019, they will need to continue to build up their defense. Simmons has a lightning quick get off and a bevy of pass rushing moves. I expect him to go higher than this on draft day, but with a lot of positions at a premium in this draft, players along the defensive front are bound to fall.
27) Oakland Raiders via Dallas Cowboys: Josh Jacobs, RB Alabama- This is not Jon Gruden’s prototypical running back in terms of size, but it is his prototypical running back in terms of toughness. Jacobs is a physical runner in between the tackles, and he’s a game changer in the pass game. While I don’t have him as high as others in the draft community do, there’s no doubt Jacobs is RB1 this year.
28) Los Angeles Chargers: Dexter Lawrence, NT Clemson- This is my layup of the draft season. The Chargers need someone in the middle of their defense to help them against the run, and that is Lawrence to a tee.
29) Kansas City Chiefs: Rock Ya-Sin, CB Temple- Kansas City’s defense was dreadful last year, despite having a strong pass rush. That would lead you to believe their secondary was a big negative, and needs to be upgraded. Rock Ya-Sin excels in mirroring receivers, and it’s his ability to flip his hips and stay with players that makes me think he can be a stud at the next level.
30) Green Bay Packers via New Orleans Saints: Nasir Adderley, FS Delaware- Adderley fills a major need for the Packers at the safety position. He can play the single high safety spot, showing good range sideline to sideline. He has good ball skills as well, which would be a major boost to a team that was second to last in interceptions on defense last year.
31) *New York Giants via Los Angeles Rams: Dwayne Haskins, QB Ohio State- First off, I’m aware there’s zero chance Dwayne Haskins makes it out of the top ten in the actual draft. However, he’s easily QB2 on my board and really not worthy of a first round selection. I think Murray shows much better anticipation than Haskins, and Murray also fits throws into NFL windows more consistently. Haskins has flashes of brilliance, and definitely has the arm talent to one day be a quality starter. Right now, there’s too many inconsistencies in his mechanics for me to justify him being highly coveted.
Having said that, teams will be willing to take a chance on him because of the position he plays. Teams will also want to take the chance in round one rather than later in the draft to ensure they have the fifth year option on him. The Giants are that team this time around, and the trade back into round one to get the fifth year option on Haskins.
32) *Cleveland Browns via New England Patriots: Yodny Cajuste, OT West Virginia- Cajuste has good footwork in the vertical set, showing quick feet in the kickslide and the ability to maintain high hands and a good pad level. He definitely has areas that need improving, particularly at the point of attack in the jump set and the run game (he’s more of a stopper than a guy who wins in the run game with power), but Cajuste is a prospect that can become a solid tackle at the next level.
TRADES IN ROUND ONE
1) Philadelphia Eagles trade the #25, #57 and Nick Foles to the Jacksonville Jaguars for the #7 and the #102.
2) Pittsburgh Steelers trade the #20, #83 and a 2020 5th round pick to the Washington Redskins for the #15 and a 2020 6th round pick.
3) New England Patriots trade the #32, #56, and #73 to the Cleveland Browns for the #17, #95 and #133
4) New York Giants trade the #37, #132, and a 2020 5th round pick to the Los Angeles Rams for the #31.
ROUND TWO
33) Arizona Cardinals: David Edwards, OT Wisconsin- Edwards is incredibly advanced for someone who converted to the offensive line a few years ago. He’s a high upside pick because his technique will only get better as he becomes more comfortable with the position.
34) Indianapolis Colts via New York Jets: AJ Brown, WR Ole Miss- Brown is a player who excels in the short to intermediate passing game. He would be an excellent compliment to T.Y. Hilton, who’s one of the best deep ball threats in the NFL.
35) Oakland Raiders: N’Keal Harry, WR Arizona State- Harry is a dynamic playmaker with the ball in his hands. Oakland is desperate for playmakers on both sides of the ball, so this is an easy fit.
36) San Francisco 49ers: DeAndre Baker, CB Georgia- Baker could wind up much higher than this later on in the Draft Season if he an answer some questions I have about his straight-line speed and his fluidity as an athlete.
37) *Los Angeles Rams via New York Giants: Jachai Polite, EDGE Florida- The Rams have plenty of question marks this offseason, but the layup to me is to replace Dante Fowler in the draft rather than free agency. Polite is a bit undersized, but he’s excellent off the edge.
38) Jacksonville Jaguars: Irv Smith Jr., TE Alabama- Smith is a skilled route runner with great hands and he should be a quality red zone threat for the Jaguars.
39) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Mack Wilson, ILB Alabama- Absolute steal here for the Buccaneers. Wilson replaces pending free agent Kwon Alexander as a three down starter from day one.
40) Buffalo Bills: Greg Little, OT Ole Miss- Buffalo’s offensive line needs a lot of work, it was a big reason why they regressed in 2018. Little is a bit of a project for the left side, but I think his power at the point of attack will help him start on the right side from day one.
41) *Carolina Panthers via Denver Broncos: Anthony Nelson, EDGE Iowa- Carolina trades up to land what they hope is the solution to their pass rushing problems.
42) Cincinnati Bengals: Kaden Smith, TE Stanford- The Bengals offense has struggled since losing Tyler Eifert to a number of injuries in the past few years. Smith is a unique athlete for the tight end position; he can help AJ Green see less double teams.
43) Detroit Lions: Amani Oruwariye, CB Penn State- Oruwariye is a long corner with good ball skills. He would help solidify the Lions need for a cornerback opposite Darius Slay.
44) Green Bay Packers: Tytus Howard, OT Alabama State- Howard has ideal size for the position and the ability to counter pass rushers. He needs work in the jump set and being more physical up front in the run game, but Howard is a good pick for a team that has the luxury to bring him along slowly like the Packers can.
45) Atlanta Falcons: Joejuan Williams, CB Vanderbilt- Williams isn’t the Falcons prototypical corner, but he does have the length and size that Dan Quinn used to build defenses around in Seattle.
46) Washington Redskins: Jonathan Abram, SS Mississippi State- Washington needs a replacement for HaHa Clinton-Dix in the back end that can play close to the line of scrimmage and cover as well. Abram is a perfect scheme fit.
47) *Denver Broncos via Carolina Panthers: Daniel Jones, QB Duke- Well, somebody has to pick quarterbacks in this draft, and Denver is one of them. They trade back and grab another one of John Elway’s “prototypical size,” QB prospects.
48) Miami Dolphins: Deebo Samuel, WR South Carolina- Miami’s receiving core was decent last year, but they need a true playmaker at the position.
49) Cleveland Browns: Charles Omenihu, DL Texas- Omenihu is a big time pass rusher as a three technique and would establish the Browns as one of the best young defensive lines in the NFL.
50) Minnesota Vikings: Michael Dieter, OL Wisconsin- I’m willing to “ride or die,” with Dieter this year as a guy who can move inside and be a solid player. He was up and down at the Senior Bowl but I think his intelligence for the position will win out.
51) Tennessee Titans: Oshane Ximines, EDGE Old Dominion- I like the idea of the Titans taking an edge player early in this draft to play opposite Harold Landry, instead of them trying to sign a veteran player as a quick fix.
52) Pittsburgh Steelers: Trayvon Mullen, CB Clemson- If the Steelers come out of this draft with Devin White and Trayvon Mullen, I think there would be a parade in Pittsburgh the following day.
53) *Jacksonville Jaguars from Philadelphia Eagles via Baltimore Ravens: Devin Bush, ILB Michigan- This is a bit of a weird one, but the fit makes sense. Bush would be excellent for the Jags on the strong side because he shoots gaps well and he could still drop in coverage if asked to do so.
54) Houston Texans via Seattle Seahawks: Renell Wren, DT/NT Arizona State- Wren can be a quality two gap player at the next level because of his get off and his ability to stack and shed.
55) *Kansas City Chiefs via Houston Texans: Rodney Anderson, RB Oklahoma- Trading up for a running back may seem odd, but the Chiefs have to find a starting caliber RB this offseason. Anderson would be a top 50 pick easy without the medical concerns, so this is a calculated gamble for KC.
56) *Cleveland Browns from New England Patriots via Chicago Bears: Julian Love, CB Notre Dame- Love is my last cornerback on the board with a grade worthy of a top 75 selection. While this is still a reach, Cleveland makes the reach out of necessity.
57) Philadelphia Eagles: Damien Harris, RB Alabama- Philadelphia opts to draft one of the few potential three down backs in this class instead of attempting to sign one in free agency with the limited money they have.
58) Dallas Cowboys: Dawson Knox, TE Ole Miss- Knox is a big time athlete who should help Dak Prescott as a safety valve on third down. Even though Knox’s route tree was extremely limited at OIe Miss, I think he’ll excel at it at the next level.
59) Indianapolis Colts: Khaleke Hudson, SS Michigan- Malik Hooker’s ability as a cover one, single high safety means that the Colts can select a more traditional strong safety to help their run defense.
60) Los Angeles Chargers: Damarkus Lodge, WR Ole Miss- The Chargers are going to lose Tyrell Williams in free agency, making Lodge his replacement as their deep ball threat. Lodge has some drops, but he’s a burner with the ability to get a quality release on almost every snap.
Editor’s Note: I think Lodge’s drops are more mental than anything else because he flashes some ridiculous catches and an absurd catch radius. If he stays focused, he has big time potential.
61) *Houston Texans via Kansas City Chiefs: Chase Winovich, EDGE Michigan- The Texans are most likely keeping Jadeveon Clowney, but Whitney Mercilus may be forced to walk after next year so the Texans can pay Deshaun Watson.
62) New Orleans Saints: Isaac Huata, TE Georgia- Yet another tight end off the board here. Huata is a big time run blocker and he’s improving as a pass catcher. I think New Orleans can get the most out him.
63) Kansas City Chiefs via Los Angeles Rams: Erik McCoy, C Texas A&M- The center class is weak, but McCoy’s tape against Clemson versus their interior line talent makes me think his upside could be huge.
64) New England Patriots: Jerry Tillery, DT Notre Dame- The Patriots stealing a pass rushing three technique like Tillery at the bottom of round two is an absolute joke.
TRADES IN ROUND TWO
1) Carolina Panthers trade the #47 and #108 to the Denver Broncos for the #41
2) Kansas City Chiefs trade #61, #156 and a 2020 4th round pick to the Houston Texans for the #55 and a 2020 5th round pick
Jordan Katz 2019 Prediction Mock Draft 1.0
This is the first installment of my prediction style Mock Draft. As many of you know by now, I believe that Mock Drafts should have two parts, what you would do personally if you had control of all 32 teams, and what you would expect to happen on draft day. The purpose behind the two is to allow for a fair representation of your player evaluations as well as your personal evaluation of team needs, and then to give an idea of who can go where based on reports and media buzz.
For this mock draft in particular, this is based on if the draft was tomorrow. With that in mind, you’ll see the Quarterbacks in this class in a more traditional spot than my personal mock drafts. There are also still trades in this Mock Draft, because obviously a prediction mock must have trades. Any trade that I made in this mock that wasn’t made prior to this is designated via an asterisk.
ROUND ONE
1) Arizona Cardinals: Nick Bosa, EDGE Ohio State- I don’t care how many rumors fly around with Kliff Kingsbury and Kyler Murray. I don’t care how many rumors get floated around with regards to the Cardinals potentially trading Josh Rosen.
Eat. Sleep. Draft Nick Bosa. Repeat.
2) *New York Giants via San Francisco 49ers: Dwayne Haskins, QB Ohio State- At this point, I don’t see how you refute this statement; the Giants banked on Justin Herbert. They draft Saquon Barkley ahead of Sam Darnold to take Herbert in 2019. They lost. Now the Giants are stuck with a dilemma. Do they sign a free agent quarterback, stick with Eli Manning and wait until 2020 to draft a Quarterback, or do they draft one this year?
If the Giants are going to take a QB, I think they’ll have to trade up to do so. There will be competition from the Jaguars, Broncos and Dolphins, all with the ammunition to trade ahead of them. Not to mention, there are two teams at the top that would love to trade down and acquire assets, the Niners and the Jets.
I think the Giants wind up panicking due to the pressure of finding their future starter, and trade up to get the presumed top QB in a weak draft class.
3) New York Jets: Clelin Ferrell, EDGE Clemson- The Jets are the toughest team to predict at the top of this draft because they have so much cap space, and will most assuredly fill as many needs as they can via free agency. Assuming the Jets are only able to land one edge rusher, a second one makes a ton of sense at this selection. Ferrell may not have the biggest ceiling of the edge guys in this class, but many argue he easily has the lowest floor, which will be very attractive to Mike Maccagnan and company.
Editor’s Note: Jets fans may be wondering why this isn’t Josh Allen, Jachai Polite or Brian Burns. With Leonard Williams going to 4-3 defensive tackle in Gregg Williams’ defense, the guy that makes the most sense is someone who can collapse the pocket with strength and technique instead of an edge rusher that excels at running the arch. The Jets will want as many one on one matchups for Leonard Williams as they can get, which is why someone like Ferrell who demonstrates excellent technique and gap control is more important than the elite athlete that motors around the edge.
4) Oakland Raiders: Quinnen Williams, DT Alabama- Oakland needs pass rushers. It doesn’t matter if that player comes off the edge or along the interior, the Raiders must get to the passer to improve in 2019.
Quinnen Williams is a better pass rusher than Ed Oliver, which is why he has emerged as the top five talent instead of the athletic specimen that is Oliver.
5) *Miami Dolphins via Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Kyler Murray, QB Oklahoma- If you’re going to draft Murray, you need to have a system designed for him to succeed. A west coast, up tempo philosophy makes a ton of sense to me because Murray excels at anticipation and timing throws to receivers. Of the QB needy teams near the top of this draft, I think Miami actually has the best personnel to take the gamble on the Heisman Trophy winner. If it doesn’t work, you just draft Trevor Lawrence in two years and call it a day.
6) *San Francisco 49ers via New York Giants: Greedy Williams, CB LSU- Williams’ size, length and athleticism should have him as an early pick come draft day. The Niners need secondary help, especially with Richard Sherman’s inconsistent play throughout the season. San Francisco trades down and still gets their man.
7) Jacksonville Jaguars: Jonah Williams, OT, Let Me Repeat, OFFENSIVE TACKLE, Alabama- JONAH WILLIAMS IS NOT A GUARD! Williams has terrific technique and plays with a level of intelligence that you need up front. Measurables do not matter as much as technique and intelligence do for offensive linemen in this era of football. Eventually, scouts and teams will figure this out.
Editor’s Note: I think the Jaguars will wind up with Nick Foles after signing John DeFilippo to be their Offensive Coordinator, which is why this pick isn’t a QB.
8) Detroit Lions: Josh Allen, EDGE Kentucky- Allen is a perfect fit for Detroit at eight. If the Lions want to play 4-3, Allen can either play the weak side end, or a Leo Linebacker. If Matt Patricia wants to transition to a 3-4 with the acquisition of Damon Harrison and the pending loss of Ziggy Ansah, Allen can line up at 3-4 OLB.
9) Buffalo Bills: DK Metcalf, WR Ole Miss- Josh Allen was very impressive with limited weapons in 2018, which means it’s time to see what he can do with some targets in 2019. Metcalf should be WR1 and a top 15 lock once he dominates the combine in March.
10) Denver Broncos: Drew Lock, QB Missouri- Three Quarterbacks in the top 10? In this class? Is it 2011 again where quarterbacks get overdrafted just because they are quarterbacks?
Why yes, yes it is. Denver reaches for their presumed QB of the future.
11) Cincinnati Bengals: Cody Ford, OT/OG Oklahoma- Ford possesses incredible athleticism and footwork for someone of his size and stature. Despite acquiring offensive line left and right over the last few years, the Bengals still need help at the tackle position. Ford could even transition to guard if the Bengals wish to move on from Clint Boling.
12) Green Bay Packers: Brian Burns, EDGE Florida State- This is the first time I feel like I’m taking a chance in this mock draft. Burns is an athletic monster, but the buzz around Allen and Jachai Polite could force Burns down the board come draft day.
Having said that, I think Burns will separate himself come the latter stages of the draft process when scouts and GM’s see just how athletic this guy actually is.
13) *Tampa Bay Buccaneers via Miami Dolphins: Devin White, ILB LSU- Kwon Alexander is most likely departing via free agency, which means the Bucs need to find his replacement. White is one of the few do-it-all middle linebackers in this draft class, and that’s why he’s a top 20 lock come April.
Tampa Bay uses their draft position to trade down and acquire assets, while still addressing a major need.
14) Atlanta Falcons: Ed Oliver, DT Houston- The possibility of Oliver falling on draft day is becoming more of a reality. It doesn’t mean Oliver is a potential “bust,” it just means that the defensive line class is so good, and the other positions are so weak, players have to fall. What a steal this could be for Atlanta.
15) Washington Redskins: TJ Hockenson, TE Iowa- Jordan Reed is electric, but he’s never on the field and he’s finally in a position to be a cap cut. In the tight end class sent from the heavens, Washington can find Reed’s replacement and still emphasize the tight end position in the pass game.
16) Carolina Panthers: Chris Lindstrom, OG Boston College- It’s another typical non-sexy draft pick for the Panthers, but it also makes a lot of sense. The Panthers offensive line play is simply not what it was a few years ago. Lindstrom is a complete prospect that will go much higher on draft day than he is currently being valued at.
17) *Philadelphia Eagles via Cleveland Browns: Rashan Gary, DE Michigan- Rumors out of Philly are that the Eagles will not bring back Brandon Graham, which means they need an edge guy opposite Michael Bennett. Gary is better along the interior in my opinion, but many see him as a 4-3 defensive end at the next level because of his ability to long arm tackles and win with strength. The Eagles have assets in this draft, so they can trade up to ensure they land their guy.
18) Minnesota Vikings: Andre Dillard, OT Washington State- The Vikings offensive line was miserable in 2018, and a large reason as to why they missed the playoffs. Dillard is very strong in pass protection, showing good ability in the 45 degree set, as well as the vertical set. I personally don’t have a round one grade on him, but I would expect to see him in the top 40 picks as of now.
19) Tennessee Titans: Noah Fant, TE Iowa- Delanie Walker is getting up there in age and Jonnu Smith does not appear to be his replacement long term. Fant can stretch the middle of the field and open up one on one matchups for Corey Davis, while still being a valuable run blocker as well as a safety valve for Marcus Mariota on third down.
20) Pittsburgh Steelers: Trayvon Mullen, CB Clemson- Trayvon Mullen as a Top 20 corner in a prediction mock? You bet. Mullen had a monster game in the National Championship, which has catapulted his draft stock. His smarts and ball skills in one-on-one coverage could have him rise up draft boards if he can put together a strong combine.
21) Seattle Seahawks: Deionte Thompson, FS Alabama- I don’t buy the negative buzz around Thompson based solely off one one average performance in the title game. I doubt Thompson would’ve entered the draft if he didn’t think he could go round one. The Seahawks can move on from Earl Thomas and get a single high ballhawking safety all in one go.
22) Baltimore Ravens: Marquise “Hollywood” Brown, WR Oklahoma- The Ravens makeshift receiving core worked for this year, but it’s not a long term solution. Hollywood Brown is an ideal playmaker for Lamar Jackson. Not only is he a deep threat, but he’s lightning quick out of cuts, making him a threat at all three levels of the passing attack.
23) Houston Texans: Jawaan Taylor, OT Florida: Taylor has a lot of top 15 buzz, but I just don’t see it at the moment. He should be a solid right tackle at the next level because he’s physical and plays with inside hands most of the time, but I don’t know if I see the foot speed to warrant a top 10-15 selection. Having said that, he should be just fine on the right side of a NFL offensive unit.
Editor’s Note: If Houston doesn’t seek out offensive line with their first pick, they are severely misguided. That’s all, back to you Jim.
24) Oakland Raiders via Chicago Bears: N’Keal Harry, WR Arizona State- Speaking of buzz, the buzz on Harry has cooled a lot since the college football season ended. I’m fairly confident that’s only because it’s been a while since he was in the spotlight. Once he shows out at the Combine, he should re-assert himself as a top 40 lock. Oakland needs playmakers desperately so the fit here makes sense as well.
25) *Cleveland Browns via Philadelphia Eagles: Christian Wilkins, DT Clemson- The Browns will have the capability to address a lot of their needs via free agency, so their draft strategy is anyone’s best guess. Trevon Coley is a nice player along the interior, but adding Wilkins to this front four catapults it to one of the best units in the league.
26) Indianapolis Colts: Jeffrey Simmons, DT Mississippi State- Simmons is a tough guy to judge. If he can answer the questions that will come up about his off the field issues, he can go top 15. If teams don’t like his answers, he can wind up outside of round one. Either way, the team that lands Simmons is going to get an elite pass rusher along the interior.
27) Oakland Raiders via Dallas Cowboys: Jachai Polite, EDGE Florida- This would complete a phenomenal first round for Oakland. Polite may go lower on draft day than people expect because he was a situational player at Florida for the most part, but his unique ability to dip and bend around the edge should still have him off the board sooner rather than later.
28) Los Angeles Chargers: Dexter Lawrence, NT Clemson- I’m not sure I buy Lawrence still going round one after the mishap off the field during the end of the college football season, However, the lack of true nose tackles in this draft should help Lawrence stay near the top 40-50 players. I think this is about the peak of how high he can go because the Chargers are desperate for a nose tackle that can play multiple techniques.
29) Kansas City Chiefs: DeAndre Baker, CB Georgia- Baker is a strong man cover corner, excelling in press coverage. However, the questions regarding his athleticism could have him slip in the draft. I know many of mock drafts have him in the 10-15 range, but I think his sweet spot will be closer to the back half of round one.
30) Green Bay Packers via New Orleans Saints: David Edwards, OT Wisconsin: Edwards’ smarts will have him highly coveted in the 30-45 range of this draft. He’s not the fleetest of foot, but his technique is improving and he shows a terrific understanding of stunts and twists for someone who recently converted to an offensive linemen. The Packers still need offensive line depth, and Edwards could be a steal in the future.
31) New England Patriots: Irv Smith Jr., TE Alabama- New England is about to lose a lot of weapons, most notably Rob Gronkowski. I think Super Bowl Sunday will be his final game in the NFL. Number one priority for the Patriots this offseason has to be finding weapons for TB12. In a strong pass catching draft class, and a tight end class for the ages, the Patriots can kill two birds with one stone and find Gronkowski’s replacement.
32) Los Angeles Rams: Montez Sweat, EDGE Mississippi State: Sweat has a unique ability to play with his hand in the dirt, or standing up, and still get a quick first step off the line, similar to Dante Fowler. Because Fowler won’t be back after the Super Bowl, the Rams will need someone off the edge to replace him. Enter Montez Sweat.
TRADES IN ROUND ONE
1) New York Giants trade the #6, #37, a 2020 1st round and a 2020 3rd round pick to the San Francisco 49ers for the #2 and #162.
2) Miami Dolphins trade the #13, #78 and a 2020 1st Round pick to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers for the #5.
3) Philadelphia Eagles trade the #25, #57 and #152 to the Cleveland Browns for the #17 and #112.
Jordan Katz 2019 NFL Mock Draft 2.0: Two Rounds
With Black Monday upon us and the regular season having come to a close, it’s time for Mock Draft 2.0 for the 2019 campaign. We’ve got plenty of risers and fallers from the previous mock draft, and more importantly, we’ve got two rounds!
A few pieces of note before we get going. Obviously this draft class is loaded at defensive line, as mentioned by everyone that covers the draft process. However, there are two other positions that are growing on me in terms of its talent and depth; wide receiver and tight end. At the start of the year, many were unsure if this pass catching class had elite targets. Entering the draft season, there’s six first round receiving targets on my personal draft board, and that number could grow as we move along in the process. The long and short here is, we now have multiple positions that have actual depth! Hooray!
The second thing to note is the quarterback class, or lack thereof. With Justin Herbert returning to school, Dwayne Haskins is most assuredly the top quarterback, assuming he declares. And while he’s guaranteed to go in the top 10 come April, I can’t justify him going before the back end of round one. So that’s why you will consistently see him lower on my personal mock drafts rather than my prediction mock drafts.
Lastly, there were plenty of teams looking to trade out of selections, but only a few could actually make a deal. I think this is foreshadowing for what to expect come April. With so little quarterback talent and so little depth at most positions, you could see very little action during the first few rounds of the NFL Draft. Either that, or this take will be wildly inaccurate and everyone will move up and down this draft trying to acquire the premium talent or assets for next year.
Now that we’ve set the scene for you, it’s time to roll. #MockLyfeNeverSleeps.
ROUND ONE
1) Arizona Cardinals: Nick Bosa, EDGE Ohio State- Bosa is the no brainer first overall selection. He’s one of the top edge rushers to come out in the last five years and has all the ability in the world. Bosa can dip and bend around the edge and dictate leverage with his hands. Arizona definitely needs offensive line help, but if you’re a GM picking first overall and don’t take Nick Bosa, just accept the fact you won’t be employed by this time next year.
2) San Francisco 49ers: Jonah Williams, OT Alabama- I love Williams on tape. He excels in the jump set, 45 degree set, and the vertical set. Williams keeps his hands inside the defender’s shoulder pads, which allows him to gain leverage against both the athletic edge rushers as well as the bigger defensive ends. Williams’ foot speed isn’t world class, but he’s smart and incredibly technical. I’ll take smart offensive linemen over a straight athlete at the position any day of the week.
3) New York Jets: Brian Burns, EDGE Florida State- The Jets would love to trade this pick, but as I mentioned in the opening of this mock draft, I can’t justify any team trading up this high for a quarterback. If they can’t trade, they have to take a pass rusher or an offensive linemen, whichever they don’t address in free agency.
Burns is one of the best I’ve seen at bending around the edge. Even when tackles know it’s coming, Burns is so flexible and so athletic that he can explode past that tackle anyway. I think Burns has enough moves as well to keep tackles from constantly expecting him to run the arch. This is a dynamic pass rusher that should go higher than he will on draft day.
4) Oakland Raiders: Quinnen Williams, DT Alabama- Oakland has to get to the passer in 2019 if they wish to improve as a team. Williams is slightly lower on my board compared to Ed Oliver, but he’s a much better pass rusher, which is why he gets selected here instead.
5) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Deionte Thompson, FS Alabama- Thompson has elite range in the back of the defense. He can read and react from his single high position as good as anyone in the past few years. What I think separates him from the other rangy free safeties is Thompson willingly comes into the box and wants to play physical in the run game. His all around ability should have an immediate impact on Tampa Bay’s secondary.
6) New York Giants: Byron Murphy, CB Washington- I know Giants fans are going to want a Quarterback at this selection, but that’s why you pick Sam Darnold at number two last year. With Justin Herbert going back to school, there’s no quarterback worthy of a top 10 selection, and I would argue even if Herbert entered there wasn’t one anyway.
I was blown away by Murphy on tape. His ability to turn his hips and mirror receivers are incredible. Murphy is easily the best man cover corner in this draft, but it’s not his only strength. He has terrific instincts and good ball skills too.
The Giants have a lot of needs defensively so even though Giants fans probably want Dwayne Haskins, Williams fits a need and isn’t a ridiculous overdraft.
Editor’s Note: In regards to the Darnold comment, it’s very simple Giants fans. Despite how unbelievable Saquon Barkley has been this year, the Giants are now stuck waiting until 2020 for their franchise QB. Even if they pick Haskins, he shouldn’t start before 2020, maybe even 2021. Running backs are more easy to come by, see Phillip Lindsay, James Conner, Nick Chubb, Alvin Kamara, David Johnson….
7) *Oakland Raiders via Jacksonville Jaguars: N’Keal Harry, WR Arizona State- Harry leads what is becoming a very underrated wide receiver class. I love Harry’s game on tape; he’s a big body receiver with explosive ability down the field and he makes big time plays one on one. Oakland uses their two back end first rounders to trade up and get a playmaker for Derek Carr.
Editor’s Note: Shout out to Jon Gruden who traded Khalil Mack and Amari Cooper only to enter this draft needing pass rushers and weapons for Derek Carr.
Second Editor’s Note: Jacksonville passes on Dwayne Haskins as well because he doesn’t warrant a top ten selection on my board. They also pass on Harry in this scenario because a veteran WR would do them a lot of good with DeDe Westbrook and Keelan Cole starting to shine.
8) Detroit Lions: Greedy Williams, CB LSU- Greedy Williams is a long, athletic corner that loves to play physical at the line of scrimmage. He checks all the boxes in man to man coverage, showing the ability to mirror receivers as well as trail them and still make plays.
Detroit needs a corner to play opposite Darius Slay, and because front four talent in this draft is so abundant, they can wait on a pass rusher and jump on one of the top cornerbacks in the draft.
9) Buffalo Bills: DK Metcalf, WR Ole Miss- Metcalf’s neck injury concerns me, but assuming his medical checks out, there’s no reason he shouldn’t be a top 15 selection. Metcalf and N’Keal Harry are very similar prospects, big body receivers that can stretch the field and win one on ones with their size as well as their ability to high point the ball. He should compliment Josh Allen’s skill set very well.
Editor’s Note: Like the Jets, the Bills tried to trade out of this pick but were unsuccessful. After staying in the draft slot, Buffalo gets its young quarterback the top wide receiver in this draft class.
10) Denver Broncos: Ed Oliver, DT Houston- Unfortunately, this is a problem I envision for Ed Oliver on draft day. Because Quinnen Williams is a better pass rusher, Oliver could fall down draft boards, even though he’s the more complete player in my opinion. If he makes it to Denver’s pick, which is a real possibility, there’s no way the Broncos can pass on him. Oliver will translate to a 3-4 defensive end just fine.
11) Cincinnati Bengals: Devin White, ILB LSU- White is a top 15 talent if he decides to come out. Cincinnati needs a game changer at the second level of their defense. This is an easy selection.
Editor’s Note: It’s finally time for Cincinnati to start a rebuild, and while they’d love trading down from this selection to get that train rolling, no one wants to come up for the pick (as is customary with this draft).
12) Green Bay Packers: Jachai Polite, EDGE Florida- Easy analysis here. Green Bay needs a 3-4 OLB that can bend and dip around the edge. The best natural edge rusher remaining on my board at the moment is Jachai Polite.
13) Miami Dolphins: Amani Oruwariye, CB Penn State- Oruwariye is a long corner who has good athleticism for his size (6’1, 200). More importantly, Oruwariye’s hips flip naturally and he mirrors receivers well. I know Dolphins fans may want Dwayne Haskins here, but the Dolphins need a second corner, and could need a number one if Xavien Howard walks in free agency after 2019. Therefore, the pick makes sense, even though the Dolphins will be looking for Ryan Tannehill’s replacement as early as this offseason.
14) *Philadelphia Eagles via Atlanta Falcons: Yodny Cajuste, OT West Virginia- This is a little high for Cajuste based on my grades, but positional need and his upside make this a warranted selection. Cajuste is a big time athlete for a tackle and he possesses a strong kickslide while keeping his hands up and staying inside the edge rusher’s shoulder pads. The Eagles offensive line has not been what it was when they were at their peak, so they trade up for an athletic replacement to Jason Peters.
15) Carolina Panthers: Clelin Ferrell, EDGE Clemson- Ferrell isn’t the same athlete as some of the other edge rushers in this draft class. However, he controls his gaps, he’s stout against the run, and he is very good at long arming defensive tackles and using his power when rushing the passer. The Panthers like bigger defensive ends instead of the quick twitch athletes, so Ferrell makes perfect sense.
16) Washington Redskins: Josh Allen, EDGE Kentucky- Allen is a good talent, with the ability to play multiple positions. He could line up in a 3-4 on the edge, or as a LEO linebacker in a 4-3.
However, Allen is being viewed as a top five prospect, and I think that’s a bit too high. He isn’t the quick twitch, natural edge player that some of the other prospects that have already been picked in this mock draft thus far.
It’s not that he’s a bad pass rusher, I think he has a solid move set and a quick first step. Personally, I just feel Allen is closer to the 10-20 range, and a great fit for Washington at 16.
17) Cleveland Browns: Bryce Hall, CB Virginia- Hall is very similar to Oruwariye, a long corner with great ball skills and fluid hips in coverage. Hall leads college football in pass breakups, so he should fit perfectly into Gregg Williams’ defense in 2019 (there’s no way the incoming Head Coach in Cleveland should let Williams out the door based on what he’s done this year).
18) Minnesota Vikings: Christian Wilkins, DT Clemson- Wilkins is a perfect scheme fit for Minnesota. He’s disruptive in the run game, he understands gap assignments and he’s technically sound, playing with good pad level and a high motor on almost every snap. With Sheldon Richardson presumably out the door, I’d expect the Vikings to look for a defensive tackle early in this draft.
19) *Seattle Seahawks via Pittsburgh Steelers: Noah Fant, TE Iowa- Sometimes trades happen because a team moves up to ensure they don’t miss on their guy. This is the case with this deal. Seattle still needs weapons offensively and Russell Wilson loves throwing to tight ends in the red zone.
Fant’s buzz isn’t as high as his teammate, TJ Hockenson, but I still think Fant is the superior prospect. Fant is a complete tight end in the pass game, showing the ability to high point the ball and win one-one-ones down the field, and he can block as well.
Seattle trades up a couple of spots to land Russell Wilson’s next big time red zone threat.
20) Tennessee Titans: AJ Brown, WR Ole Miss- Brown is a perfect compliment to Corey Davis and the ideal number two receiver for Marcus Mariota. He’s quick out of his cuts and he runs sharp, clean routes, creating a ton of separation at the top of the stem. The draft community is cooling on Brown a little bit, but I think that has more to do with the depth of this receiver class and the realization that the wide outs this year may be better than we originally presumed.
21) *Atlanta Falcons via Philadelphia Eagles: Chris Lindstrom, OG Boston College- Atlanta trading back and picking the same guy they would’ve selected at 14 is exactly what you want. Lindstrom is as complete a prospect as they come. He shows a rare combination of power and agility, not to mention elite level footwork. Then again, would expect anything less from an offensive linemen from Boston College?
22) *Pittsburgh Steelers via Seattle Seahawks: DeAndre Baker, CB Georgia- The Steelers secondary once again needs a massive overhaul. Baker is really good in press coverage, with the ability to jam receivers and force them to the boundary. If he tests well at the combine, he could find himself back near the top half of round one come April.
23) Indianapolis Colts: Rashan Gary, DE Michigan- I think Gary’s ideal fit is as a 3-4 defensive end. He’s more disruptive on the interior and his athleticism plays better inside because of his strong base and his quick first step. If teams look to play him on the interior, I think they’ll see a first round talent.
24) Baltimore Ravens: Kelvin Harmon, WR NC State- Baltimore’s makeshift receiving core has worked well enough this year, but they need a true playmaker to help Lamar Jackson develop. Harmon is yet another big body pass catcher at the top of this draft, but it’s his hands that have me so excited about him as a prospect. I saw almost no double catches on tape, as well as a big time catch radius. Harmon should be a big time player on third down and in the red zone at the next level.
25) Jacksonville Jaguars from Oakland Raiders via Dallas Cowboys: Dwayne Haskins, QB Ohio State- I’m perfectly okay with a team over-drafting a quarterback in the first round to get that fifth option year of team control. I’m not okay with drafting him so ridiculously high that you mortgage your future for someone with a lot of question marks. That’s why Jacksonville trades backwards, picks up extra assets, and still selects QB1 in this draft, instead of reaching for him at nine.
Haskins has a massive arm and is only 20 years old, so there’s a ton of upside here if you can sit him for a year or two and teach him the finer points of QB play. Yet, he’s incredibly raw, and that’s why it wouldn’t be a complete shock if he chose to stay in school instead of getting thrown to the wolves in the NFL.
26) Houston Texans: Cody Ford, OT/OG Oklahoma- If the Texans don’t pick up offensive line this offseason everyone should be fired. It’s the one thing that’s separating them from being an elite team in the NFL.
Ford is an impressive athlete for someone of his size (6’3, 340). He’s very technical as well, showing a good base, quick feet and proper hand position in the 45 degree set and the jump set at the tackle position. Ford’s stature, technique and athleticism should allow him to make a seamless transition to guard at the next level, assuming his arm length is short for a tackle when he tests at the combine.
27) *Jacksonville Jaguars from Oakland Raiders via Chicago Bears: TJ Hockenson, TE Iowa- Hockenson is flying up draft boards, and rightfully so. He’s an elite blocker and he is just as good between the 20’s as his teammate Noah Fant. Jacksonville loves to run the football and play action off of it, which is a perfect scheme fit for Hockenson at the next level.
Editor’s Note: I think Iowa misuses Fant in the pass game, which is why I still have Fant above Hockenson despite Hock’s meteoric rise up draft boards. Fant’s size and catch radius should help him to be elite at the next level.
Second Editor’s Note: As I had mentioned earlier, the reason the Jaguars take a pass catcher down here instead of N’Keal Harry at seven is because they move backwards to land Haskins at an appropriate draft spot, and they need a veteran receiver to compliment their emerging young receiving core.
28) Los Angeles Chargers: Jeffery Simmons, DL Mississippi State- Simmons comes with a bit of off the field baggage, but on the field he’s a first round talent. He’s got a ton of moves on the interior, a quick counter-punch and he wins leverage at the point of attack with his strong base and physicality. The player on the field is a round one talent in a walk.
29) New England Patriots: Mack Wilson, ILB Alabama- New England would love to get one of the Iowa tight ends here at 29, but with both off the board, they go to their next biggest need.
Wilson is stout in the run game and covers a lot of ground sideline to sideline. I know there’s talk of Wilson returning to school, but with the lack of depth in this class at the off ball linebacker position, I think Wilson is a top 40 lock if he declares.
30) Los Angeles Rams: Montez Sweat, EDGE Mississippi State- Obviously the Rams have a ton of pieces still in place for next year, but they will lose Dante Fowler in free agency, making their top need a rusher off the edge.
Sweat is another one of the quick twitch edge rushers that highlights this draft class. He’s a fluid athlete and he runs the arch to the QB very well. He should dominate one on one matchups in LA.
31) Kansas City Chiefs: Nasir Adderley, FS Delaware- I know the Chiefs have Eric Berry in the back-end, but unfortunately Berry may not be the same player he once was. Ron Parker is an unrestricted free agent as well, so safety is a monster need for the Chiefs in the offseason.
Adderley is a small school prospect generating a ton of first round buzz. He’s a very good single high safety, who will become much better when he learns to trust his instincts instead of hesitating at times and overthinking.
32) Green Bay Packers via New Orleans Saints: Dalton Risner, OG Kansas State- Risner doesn’t have the footwork to play tackle at the next level, but he’s a mauler in the run game. Green Bay seems more committed to using the ground game in the future, so Risner’s nastiness along the interior should help them in their future endeavors.
Trades in Round One (star designates pick was traded by me)
1) Oakland Raiders trade the #25, #27 and #100 to the Jacksonville Jaguars for the #7.
2) Philadelphia Eagles trade the #21 and #53 to the Atlanta Falcons for the #14.
3) Seattle Seahawks trade the #22, #150 and a 2020 5th round pick to the Pittsburgh Steelers for the #19 and a 2020 7th round pick.
ROUND TWO
33) Arizona Cardinals: David Edwards, OT Wisconsin
34) Indianapolis Colts via New York Jets: Dexter Lawrence, NT Clemson
35) Oakland Raiders: Michael Dieter, OT/OG Wisconsin
36) San Francisco 49ers: Trayvon Mullen, CB Clemson
37) New York Giants: Tyler Biadasz, OG/OC Wisconsin
38) Jacksonville Jaguars: Damien Harris, RB Alabama
39) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Greg Little, OT Ole Miss
40) Buffalo Bills: Elgton Jenkins, OC Mississippi State
41) Detroit Lions: Jerry Tillery, DL Notre Dame
42) Cincinnati Bengals: Kaden Smith, TE Stanford
43) Denver Broncos: Daniel Jones, QB Duke
44) Green Bay Packers: Dawson Knox, TE Ole Miss
45) Atlanta Falcons: Derrick Brown, DT Auburn
46) Carolina Panthers: Raekwon Davis, DT Alabama
47) Miami Dolphins: Anthony Nelson, EDGE Iowa
48) Washington Redskins: Marquise “Hollywood” Brown, WR Oklahoma
49) Cleveland Browns: Oshane Ximines, EDGE/OLB Old Dominion
50) Minnesota Vikings: Bobby Evans, OT Oklahoma
51) Pittsburgh Steelers: Devin Bush, ILB Michigan
52) Tennessee Titans: Zach Allen, DL Boston College
53) *Atlanta Falcons via Philadelphia Eagles: Julian Love, CB Notre Dame
54) Houston Texans via Seattle Seahawks: Andre Dillard, OT Washington State
55) Philadelphia Eagles via Baltimore Ravens: Gerald Willis, DT Miami
56) Indianapolis Colts: DaMarkus Lodge, WR Ole Miss
57) Dallas Cowboys: Albert Okwuegbunam, TE Missouri
58) Houston Texans: Darrell Henderson, RB Memphis
59) Los Angeles Chargers: David Long, CB Michigan
60) New England Patriots via Chicago Bears: Irv Smith Jr., TE Alabama
61) New England Patriots: Riley Ridley, WR Georgia
62) Kansas City Chiefs via Los Angeles Rams: Kristian Fulton, CB LSU
63) Kansas City Chiefs: Rodney Anderson, RB Oklahoma
64) New Orleans Saints: Taylor Rapp, SS Washington
Jordan Katz: 2019 NFL Mock Draft 1.0
Ladies and Gentlemen, we are back! With the NFL officially at the midway point and the College Football season hitting its stretch run, it’s time to give a quick peek into where the prospects stand right now. This is always the toughest mock draft of the year because so many things change from now until April. The tape on college players for this season is also incomplete, so it’s hard to give a complete analysis at this stage in the game.
However, y’all know the drill by now (shoutout to those who realize why I chose “y’all,” in that spot)… MOCK DRAFT LYFE NEVER SLEEPS!
This upcoming draft features a ton of defensive line talent. You could see as many as ten defensive lineman go in the first round! Despite this, the rest of the draft is a giant mystery. Is there a quarterback worthy of a top ten selection? Is there a WR1 in this draft? Does the draft have enough depth for day three steals?
While these questions will be answered in time, for now, here’s a peek at some players I expect to be talked about as first round talents in the upcoming draft.
*Editor’s Note: The standings for this mock draft are based on my individual opinion of where teams will finish at the end of the season. Once I got to the playoffs (21-32), it’s based on seeding, not who would win each matchup. There is also no trading in this Mock Draft because it’s way too early to get that crazy.
ROUND ONE
1) Oakland Raiders: Nick Bosa, EDGE Ohio State- The Oakland Raiders and New York Giants are about to enter a good ole fashion NBA Draft style tank-off for the top pick. Regardless of who wins, I think both teams will get the players they covet.
Bosa is easily the top prospect in this draft. I have not seen an edge rusher as polished as Bosa on tape in my years of doing mock drafts. To me, his football ability at this level is better than Myles Garrett, Jadeveon Clowney, as well as his brother, Joey Bosa. Depending on how he tests athletically, he could grade as one of my top players ever.
2) New York Giants: Justin Herbert, QB Oregon- Well, the Giants get their man, but is it the right man for the job? Personally, I currently do not have a quarterback worthy of a first round pick. The closest guy is Herbert, because he has the tools to be a NFL starter. He shows intelligence in the intermediate window, good arm strength and he’s athletic.
However, Herbert has been so inconsistent this year on film. I don’t think he takes enough chances with the football, which is a major concern. If a QB is not going to take a chance in college, how can we expect him to give a receiver a one-on-one opportunity in the NFL? The QBs that don’t take chances in college are the ones that don’t see “NFL open,” at the next level.
I’m breaking my rule here by putting a player that doesn’t have a first round grade this high, but let’s face it, the Giants are taking a quarterback this time around.
3) San Francisco 49ers: DeAndre Baker, CB Georgia- I’d call Baker “Denzel Ward 2.0,” but Baker might be better. He’s a wall in man coverage and he’s just as technically sound as Ward was, showing great fluidity when changing directions as well as the ability to trail receivers stride for stride. If he tests well in Indianapolis, he should be the top corner taken in April.
4) Arizona Cardinals: Jonah Williams, OT Alabama- Williams is technical enough to be worthy of a top five selection. As long as his athletic grade checks out, he should be the easy selection for Arizona, a team desperate for offensive line talent.
5) Buffalo Bills: Greedy Williams, CB LSU- This would be a case of a luxury pick, which is rare at the fifth spot. However, there’s not really an offensive player worthy of this selection and the Bills do need a number two corner. Williams has good size and build, and he possesses strong ball skills that would compliment his Bayou brethren Tre’ White.
6) Indianapolis Colts: Ed Oliver, DL Houston- For the second straight year, the Colts get the second best player to fall into their lap at the sixth overall pick (sound familiar Jets fans?). Oliver is an athletic freak, but because he’s an interior defensive lineman, he could fall in this draft if offensive players are over-drafted.
7) Cleveland Browns: David Edwards, OT Wisconsin- “Offensive Line University,” is back at it, with an entire starting unit of NFL talent. Edwards has been up and down this year, but there’s two things I like about him; he’s smart, and he’s shown great improvement for a guy who was recruited as a Quarterback. Offensive lineman that are intelligent almost always wind up being solid pros. In my opinion, I’ll take an intelligent offensive lineman over one that exclusively tests well athletically every time.
8) Denver Broncos: Dexter Lawrence, DT/NT Clemson- The Broncos run defense has been a shell of its former self in 2018. Lawrence is a rare talent at the nose tackle position. He can occupy space, he can beat interior lineman one-on-one, and he collapses the pocket very well.
9) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Amani Oruwariye, CB Penn State- Oruwariye has emerged as CB3 on my board, which was a huge question mark for this draft class heading into the season. He has elite size, his ball skills are excellent, and he shows the smarts to excel in multiple different coverages. While this is a little high for him, but because the Bucs are desperate for secondary help, it makes sense.
10) Seattle Seahawks: Noah Fant, TE Iowa- If the Seahawks are truly committed to making this a team that wins with its offense as much as it does with its defense, then Russell Wilson needs some more weapons. Fant is the top pass catcher on my board because he has it all. He’s got the size and build, the elite athleticism to stretch the field, and he catches anything in his radius. Fant is a quality blocker as well.
Some might say the top ten is too high for a tight end, but with the emergence of guys like Rob Gronkowski, Travis Kelce, and other star tight ends, Fant is easily worthy of this selection.
11) New York Jets: Clelin Ferrell, EDGE Clemson- Ferrell has been one of the most dynamic pass rushers in college football over the past 18 months. His ability to dip and bend around the edge is impressive.
My one concern is his motor, not because he takes plays off, but because Clemson’s defensive front has not been as consistent as you would’ve expected.
Having said that, Ferrell is still a terrific talent, and the Jets are desperate for a pass rusher of his caliber.
12) Oakland Raiders via Dallas Cowboys: N’Keal Harry, WR Arizona State- Now that Jon Gruden has absolutely zero weapons for his franchise quarterback (who may also be on the move), it’s probably a good idea for the Raiders to draft some pass catchers.
Harry leads a group of wide receivers that will have a lot to prove throughout the draft process. Many question whether this group has a true WR1, but I think Harry’s combination of size and speed as well as his ability to high point the football make him the prize of this draft at the receiver position.
13) Detroit Lions: Brian Burns, EDGE Florida State- Burns is an elite pass rusher from a stand-up position. He shows a rare combination of length and athleticism, and possesses a ton of ways to get to the passer. I know the concern here is a 3-4 player going to a 4-3 scheme, but with the recent acquisition of Damon Harrison combined with Matt Patricia’s 3-4 background, Detroit can transition perfectly to accommodate their selection.
14) Miami Dolphins: Rashan Gary, DT Michigan- Many are projecting Gary as a 4-3 defensive end, but I think his skill set sets up much better as an interior lineman. He’s a terrific athlete and a big time run stuffer. There’s definitely parts of his game that need cleaning up (he’s not the most explosive pass rusher and his hands can sometimes sag), but Gary would be a plug and play on any team’s interior defensive line.
15) Atlanta Falcons: Dalton Risner, OT/OG Kansas State- Risner has been really strong in pass protection against the smaller, athletic ends that typically play in the Big 12. He has a great feel for the second level as well. I think he has room to grow technically, specifically with his pad level consistency, but Risner to me can play guard or tackle at the next level, which is a big weapon.
16) Tennessee Titans: AJ Brown, WR Ole Miss- Tennessee desperately needs pass catchers that can separate, and that’s exactly what Brown excels at. He’s incredibly quick and explosive with the football, two things the Titans really lack at wide receiver. Easy fit here.
17) Cincinnati Bengals: Josh Allen, OLB Kentucky- Allen really fell in this mock, which is upsetting because he’s one of my favorite players in this draft. He plays downhill with aggression and poise, ranges well sideline to sideline, and he’s got pass rush ability off the edge. Not to mention, he excels in off ball coverage as well. Cincinnati gets a big time steal here to play strong side linebacker.
18) Jacksonville Jaguars: Montez Sweat, EDGE/OLB Mississippi State- Obviously Jacksonville needs a quarterback, but there isn’t one worthy of a first round selection on my board.
Sweat isn’t the best athlete, but you can’t ignore production. He’s a smart pass rusher, he knows how to set up tackles with his hands and he has a solid move-set. I love the idea of Sweat playing the LEO linebacker in a 4-3, which is exactly where Jacksonville would put him.
19) Washington Redskins: Devin White, ILB LSU- White is an incredibly underrated prospect at the moment. He shows tremendous range and plays with passion and intensity. White can do it all from the middle linebacker spot and has the versatility to play outside as well. Washington’s linebacking core gets a major boost.
20) Carolina Panthers: Lukas Denis, FS Boston College- The Panthers secondary is improving, but it still needs a game changer in the backend. Denis has had a down year on the stat sheet, but he’s still been impactful in the BC secondary. On tape, he has good ball skills and shows NFL awareness from the single high position.
With current free safety Mike Adams playing his age 37 season, one would assume Carolina will be looking for his replacement this offseason.
21) Oakland Raiders via Chicago Bears: Tyler Biadasz, OG/OC Wisconsin- Oakland’s offensive line is a shell of what it once was. Biadasz is perfect at guard or center for a power blocking scheme, which is exactly what Gruden likes to run up front.
22) Pittsburgh Steelers: Byron Murphy, CB Washington- I was blown away by Murphy’s ability to mirror receivers on tape. He lines up on the outside as well as in the nickel and does a terrific job of sticking receivers in man-to-man. This is a name to remember, Murphy could slide up a lot of people’s draft boards as the year goes on.
23) Green Bay Packers: Jachai Polite, EDGE Florida- Regardless of whether Clay Matthews is re-upped or departs in free agency, the Packers pass rush needs a jolt. Polite is an elite 3-4 edge rusher with a good ability to bend around the edge. He’s currently higher on my personal board than this mock draft, but I think that’s an accurate representation of what could happen come April. Because there are so many talented front seven prospects, you could see a lot of them fall in an attempt by teams to draft the limited talent at other positions.
24) Los Angeles Chargers: Jerry Tillery, DL Notre Dame- Tillery is a mammoth on the defensive front (he stands 6’7), but oddly enough it’s his quickness and first step that make him a highly touted prospect. The Chargers pass rush would become even better by adding an interior player like Tillery.
25) Houston Texans: Yodny Cajuste, OT West Virginia- Normally I’m not a fan of spread offensive lineman, but Cajuste has had a strong season thus far. He quick on his first step into his kickslide, and he’s handled athletic pass rushers well. Cajuste needs help in the run game, his pad level is often high and he doesn’t have a great feel for the second level. However, if he continues to shine in pass protection, it would be hard for teams to ignore him in the first 40 picks.
26) Philadelphia Eagles: Greg Little, OT Ole Miss- The Eagles have to find their next starting left tackle this offseason. Jason Peters is probably retiring after this season and Hal Vatai has been very subpar since his performance in the Super Bowl.
Little is lower on my board than most because too often I see him off balance and high with his pad level. However, he’s a former five star recruit and an impressive athlete. Little would be a great fit in Philly.
27) Baltimore Ravens: Christian Wilkins, DL Clemson- Best Player Available; an Ozzie Newsome special to kick off the post Ozzie Newsome era in Baltimore. Wilkins has a quick first step and a high motor. He’s very disciplined in gap assignments as well, a big key for players in the Ravens defense.
28) Green Bay Packers via New Orleans Saints: Jeffery Simmons, DL Mississippi State- The Packers front three has underwhelmed all year. Simmons would be an infusion of youth and athleticism into a front that desperately needs it.
29) Minnesota Vikings: Chris Lindstrom, OG Boston College- Underrated prospect alert! Lindstrom is a four year starter at BC and has a polished game up front. He gets to the second level, he has a low center of gravity so he’s rarely knocked back at the point of attack, and he has great footwork. Lindstrom should wind up higher on many people’s board as the draft process go on.
30) Kansas City Chiefs: Deionte Thompson, S Alabama- Thompson is a do-it-all safety that rivals some of the top safeties we’ve seen in recent drafts. He’s strong around the line of scrimmage, and he finds the ball well in the backend of the secondary. Kansas City needs playmakers in the secondary, and Thompson is just that.
31) New England Patriots: Kaden Smith, TE Stanford- If the Patriots truly want to start the process of replacing Rob Gronkowski, this is the year to do it. There’s multiple big time pass catching tight ends, including Kaden Smith who is a freakish athlete. He’s not the most fluid route runner yet, but he high points the ball well and he’s a tough cover for linebackers because of his speed.
32) Los Angeles Rams: Mack Wilson, ILB Alabama- If the Rams have a weakness, it’s their linebacking core. Wilson is one of the better off ball linebackers in this draft, showing good range and reaction skills on tape.
Then again, the NFL might force the Rams to forfeit their pick because they’re too good.
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