Jordan Katz 2019 Prediction Mock Draft 1.0
This is the first installment of my prediction style Mock Draft. As many of you know by now, I believe that Mock Drafts should have two parts, what you would do personally if you had control of all 32 teams, and what you would expect to happen on draft day. The purpose behind the two is to allow for a fair representation of your player evaluations as well as your personal evaluation of team needs, and then to give an idea of who can go where based on reports and media buzz.
For this mock draft in particular, this is based on if the draft was tomorrow. With that in mind, you’ll see the Quarterbacks in this class in a more traditional spot than my personal mock drafts. There are also still trades in this Mock Draft, because obviously a prediction mock must have trades. Any trade that I made in this mock that wasn’t made prior to this is designated via an asterisk.
ROUND ONE
1) Arizona Cardinals: Nick Bosa, EDGE Ohio State- I don’t care how many rumors fly around with Kliff Kingsbury and Kyler Murray. I don’t care how many rumors get floated around with regards to the Cardinals potentially trading Josh Rosen.
Eat. Sleep. Draft Nick Bosa. Repeat.
2) *New York Giants via San Francisco 49ers: Dwayne Haskins, QB Ohio State- At this point, I don’t see how you refute this statement; the Giants banked on Justin Herbert. They draft Saquon Barkley ahead of Sam Darnold to take Herbert in 2019. They lost. Now the Giants are stuck with a dilemma. Do they sign a free agent quarterback, stick with Eli Manning and wait until 2020 to draft a Quarterback, or do they draft one this year?
If the Giants are going to take a QB, I think they’ll have to trade up to do so. There will be competition from the Jaguars, Broncos and Dolphins, all with the ammunition to trade ahead of them. Not to mention, there are two teams at the top that would love to trade down and acquire assets, the Niners and the Jets.
I think the Giants wind up panicking due to the pressure of finding their future starter, and trade up to get the presumed top QB in a weak draft class.
3) New York Jets: Clelin Ferrell, EDGE Clemson- The Jets are the toughest team to predict at the top of this draft because they have so much cap space, and will most assuredly fill as many needs as they can via free agency. Assuming the Jets are only able to land one edge rusher, a second one makes a ton of sense at this selection. Ferrell may not have the biggest ceiling of the edge guys in this class, but many argue he easily has the lowest floor, which will be very attractive to Mike Maccagnan and company.
Editor’s Note: Jets fans may be wondering why this isn’t Josh Allen, Jachai Polite or Brian Burns. With Leonard Williams going to 4-3 defensive tackle in Gregg Williams’ defense, the guy that makes the most sense is someone who can collapse the pocket with strength and technique instead of an edge rusher that excels at running the arch. The Jets will want as many one on one matchups for Leonard Williams as they can get, which is why someone like Ferrell who demonstrates excellent technique and gap control is more important than the elite athlete that motors around the edge.
4) Oakland Raiders: Quinnen Williams, DT Alabama- Oakland needs pass rushers. It doesn’t matter if that player comes off the edge or along the interior, the Raiders must get to the passer to improve in 2019.
Quinnen Williams is a better pass rusher than Ed Oliver, which is why he has emerged as the top five talent instead of the athletic specimen that is Oliver.
5) *Miami Dolphins via Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Kyler Murray, QB Oklahoma- If you’re going to draft Murray, you need to have a system designed for him to succeed. A west coast, up tempo philosophy makes a ton of sense to me because Murray excels at anticipation and timing throws to receivers. Of the QB needy teams near the top of this draft, I think Miami actually has the best personnel to take the gamble on the Heisman Trophy winner. If it doesn’t work, you just draft Trevor Lawrence in two years and call it a day.
6) *San Francisco 49ers via New York Giants: Greedy Williams, CB LSU- Williams’ size, length and athleticism should have him as an early pick come draft day. The Niners need secondary help, especially with Richard Sherman’s inconsistent play throughout the season. San Francisco trades down and still gets their man.
7) Jacksonville Jaguars: Jonah Williams, OT, Let Me Repeat, OFFENSIVE TACKLE, Alabama- JONAH WILLIAMS IS NOT A GUARD! Williams has terrific technique and plays with a level of intelligence that you need up front. Measurables do not matter as much as technique and intelligence do for offensive linemen in this era of football. Eventually, scouts and teams will figure this out.
Editor’s Note: I think the Jaguars will wind up with Nick Foles after signing John DeFilippo to be their Offensive Coordinator, which is why this pick isn’t a QB.
8) Detroit Lions: Josh Allen, EDGE Kentucky- Allen is a perfect fit for Detroit at eight. If the Lions want to play 4-3, Allen can either play the weak side end, or a Leo Linebacker. If Matt Patricia wants to transition to a 3-4 with the acquisition of Damon Harrison and the pending loss of Ziggy Ansah, Allen can line up at 3-4 OLB.
9) Buffalo Bills: DK Metcalf, WR Ole Miss- Josh Allen was very impressive with limited weapons in 2018, which means it’s time to see what he can do with some targets in 2019. Metcalf should be WR1 and a top 15 lock once he dominates the combine in March.
10) Denver Broncos: Drew Lock, QB Missouri- Three Quarterbacks in the top 10? In this class? Is it 2011 again where quarterbacks get overdrafted just because they are quarterbacks?
Why yes, yes it is. Denver reaches for their presumed QB of the future.
11) Cincinnati Bengals: Cody Ford, OT/OG Oklahoma- Ford possesses incredible athleticism and footwork for someone of his size and stature. Despite acquiring offensive line left and right over the last few years, the Bengals still need help at the tackle position. Ford could even transition to guard if the Bengals wish to move on from Clint Boling.
12) Green Bay Packers: Brian Burns, EDGE Florida State- This is the first time I feel like I’m taking a chance in this mock draft. Burns is an athletic monster, but the buzz around Allen and Jachai Polite could force Burns down the board come draft day.
Having said that, I think Burns will separate himself come the latter stages of the draft process when scouts and GM’s see just how athletic this guy actually is.
13) *Tampa Bay Buccaneers via Miami Dolphins: Devin White, ILB LSU- Kwon Alexander is most likely departing via free agency, which means the Bucs need to find his replacement. White is one of the few do-it-all middle linebackers in this draft class, and that’s why he’s a top 20 lock come April.
Tampa Bay uses their draft position to trade down and acquire assets, while still addressing a major need.
14) Atlanta Falcons: Ed Oliver, DT Houston- The possibility of Oliver falling on draft day is becoming more of a reality. It doesn’t mean Oliver is a potential “bust,” it just means that the defensive line class is so good, and the other positions are so weak, players have to fall. What a steal this could be for Atlanta.
15) Washington Redskins: TJ Hockenson, TE Iowa- Jordan Reed is electric, but he’s never on the field and he’s finally in a position to be a cap cut. In the tight end class sent from the heavens, Washington can find Reed’s replacement and still emphasize the tight end position in the pass game.
16) Carolina Panthers: Chris Lindstrom, OG Boston College- It’s another typical non-sexy draft pick for the Panthers, but it also makes a lot of sense. The Panthers offensive line play is simply not what it was a few years ago. Lindstrom is a complete prospect that will go much higher on draft day than he is currently being valued at.
17) *Philadelphia Eagles via Cleveland Browns: Rashan Gary, DE Michigan- Rumors out of Philly are that the Eagles will not bring back Brandon Graham, which means they need an edge guy opposite Michael Bennett. Gary is better along the interior in my opinion, but many see him as a 4-3 defensive end at the next level because of his ability to long arm tackles and win with strength. The Eagles have assets in this draft, so they can trade up to ensure they land their guy.
18) Minnesota Vikings: Andre Dillard, OT Washington State- The Vikings offensive line was miserable in 2018, and a large reason as to why they missed the playoffs. Dillard is very strong in pass protection, showing good ability in the 45 degree set, as well as the vertical set. I personally don’t have a round one grade on him, but I would expect to see him in the top 40 picks as of now.
19) Tennessee Titans: Noah Fant, TE Iowa- Delanie Walker is getting up there in age and Jonnu Smith does not appear to be his replacement long term. Fant can stretch the middle of the field and open up one on one matchups for Corey Davis, while still being a valuable run blocker as well as a safety valve for Marcus Mariota on third down.
20) Pittsburgh Steelers: Trayvon Mullen, CB Clemson- Trayvon Mullen as a Top 20 corner in a prediction mock? You bet. Mullen had a monster game in the National Championship, which has catapulted his draft stock. His smarts and ball skills in one-on-one coverage could have him rise up draft boards if he can put together a strong combine.
21) Seattle Seahawks: Deionte Thompson, FS Alabama- I don’t buy the negative buzz around Thompson based solely off one one average performance in the title game. I doubt Thompson would’ve entered the draft if he didn’t think he could go round one. The Seahawks can move on from Earl Thomas and get a single high ballhawking safety all in one go.
22) Baltimore Ravens: Marquise “Hollywood” Brown, WR Oklahoma- The Ravens makeshift receiving core worked for this year, but it’s not a long term solution. Hollywood Brown is an ideal playmaker for Lamar Jackson. Not only is he a deep threat, but he’s lightning quick out of cuts, making him a threat at all three levels of the passing attack.
23) Houston Texans: Jawaan Taylor, OT Florida: Taylor has a lot of top 15 buzz, but I just don’t see it at the moment. He should be a solid right tackle at the next level because he’s physical and plays with inside hands most of the time, but I don’t know if I see the foot speed to warrant a top 10-15 selection. Having said that, he should be just fine on the right side of a NFL offensive unit.
Editor’s Note: If Houston doesn’t seek out offensive line with their first pick, they are severely misguided. That’s all, back to you Jim.
24) Oakland Raiders via Chicago Bears: N’Keal Harry, WR Arizona State- Speaking of buzz, the buzz on Harry has cooled a lot since the college football season ended. I’m fairly confident that’s only because it’s been a while since he was in the spotlight. Once he shows out at the Combine, he should re-assert himself as a top 40 lock. Oakland needs playmakers desperately so the fit here makes sense as well.
25) *Cleveland Browns via Philadelphia Eagles: Christian Wilkins, DT Clemson- The Browns will have the capability to address a lot of their needs via free agency, so their draft strategy is anyone’s best guess. Trevon Coley is a nice player along the interior, but adding Wilkins to this front four catapults it to one of the best units in the league.
26) Indianapolis Colts: Jeffrey Simmons, DT Mississippi State- Simmons is a tough guy to judge. If he can answer the questions that will come up about his off the field issues, he can go top 15. If teams don’t like his answers, he can wind up outside of round one. Either way, the team that lands Simmons is going to get an elite pass rusher along the interior.
27) Oakland Raiders via Dallas Cowboys: Jachai Polite, EDGE Florida- This would complete a phenomenal first round for Oakland. Polite may go lower on draft day than people expect because he was a situational player at Florida for the most part, but his unique ability to dip and bend around the edge should still have him off the board sooner rather than later.
28) Los Angeles Chargers: Dexter Lawrence, NT Clemson- I’m not sure I buy Lawrence still going round one after the mishap off the field during the end of the college football season, However, the lack of true nose tackles in this draft should help Lawrence stay near the top 40-50 players. I think this is about the peak of how high he can go because the Chargers are desperate for a nose tackle that can play multiple techniques.
29) Kansas City Chiefs: DeAndre Baker, CB Georgia- Baker is a strong man cover corner, excelling in press coverage. However, the questions regarding his athleticism could have him slip in the draft. I know many of mock drafts have him in the 10-15 range, but I think his sweet spot will be closer to the back half of round one.
30) Green Bay Packers via New Orleans Saints: David Edwards, OT Wisconsin: Edwards’ smarts will have him highly coveted in the 30-45 range of this draft. He’s not the fleetest of foot, but his technique is improving and he shows a terrific understanding of stunts and twists for someone who recently converted to an offensive linemen. The Packers still need offensive line depth, and Edwards could be a steal in the future.
31) New England Patriots: Irv Smith Jr., TE Alabama- New England is about to lose a lot of weapons, most notably Rob Gronkowski. I think Super Bowl Sunday will be his final game in the NFL. Number one priority for the Patriots this offseason has to be finding weapons for TB12. In a strong pass catching draft class, and a tight end class for the ages, the Patriots can kill two birds with one stone and find Gronkowski’s replacement.
32) Los Angeles Rams: Montez Sweat, EDGE Mississippi State: Sweat has a unique ability to play with his hand in the dirt, or standing up, and still get a quick first step off the line, similar to Dante Fowler. Because Fowler won’t be back after the Super Bowl, the Rams will need someone off the edge to replace him. Enter Montez Sweat.
TRADES IN ROUND ONE
1) New York Giants trade the #6, #37, a 2020 1st round and a 2020 3rd round pick to the San Francisco 49ers for the #2 and #162.
2) Miami Dolphins trade the #13, #78 and a 2020 1st Round pick to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers for the #5.
3) Philadelphia Eagles trade the #25, #57 and #152 to the Cleveland Browns for the #17 and #112.
Jordan Katz 2019 Big Board 1.0 Top 50 (1-25)
A little change to the Big Board style this year. Normally I just list the players in the order I have them, and save my analysis for the mock draft. This year I’m giving you guys the analysis in the Big Boards as well.
This is still just my own individual rankings of players. It does not necessarily line up with where they may be on my most recent mock draft.
The second portion of this is a little more obvious. This is a Top 50 Big Board, but as you can see, I only listed players 1-25. We in the Big J business call this a tease, be on the lookout for part two, aka, 26-50, in the coming days.
1) Nick Bosa, EDGE Ohio State: Bosa is obviously the top player in this class. Little players have his ability to dip and bend around the edge and also beat you with a strong moveset. He has all the tools in his arsenal to be one of the elite pass rushers in the NFL.
2) Jonah Williams, OT Alabama: Okay, say it with me everyone; Jonah Williams is an OFFENSIVE TACKLE! Williams is as technical as they come, showing terrific footwork in all three sets for a left tackle. His kickslide in the vertical set is tremendous, and his pad level is perfect on almost every snap. He often can handle a pass rushers first move, and he wins with inside hands in both the run game and pass protection. While I agree with the experts that say Jonah Williams has all pro potential at guard, the reason they say that is because they question Williams’ length and athleticism. However, the reason I think he also as all pro potential at Left Tackle is because of his excellent technique and his intelligence at the position.
3) DK Metcalf, WR Ole Miss: Metcalf is a big time playmaker. He separates at the line of scrimmage as well as anyone I’ve seen in the last few years. At 6’3 he can win one on ones with his size, but he also can win down the field with his long strides and athleticism. Metcalf never has a double catch on tape and his catch radius is extremely impressive. Assuming he continues to pass medical evaluations (he had a neck injury at Ole Miss and was cleared last week), Metcalf is the golden prize of a strong pass catching class.
4) Brian Burns, EDGE Florida State: Burns is an elite edge rusher. His ability to dip and bend past tackles is second only to that superhuman named Bosa. What catapults Burns to this evaluation for me is he also has a skilled moveset, showing the “Freeney Spin,” as well as the swim move inside and past the tackle. He definitely needs to put on some weight to improve his strength and help him set the edge better in the run game, but he has the frame to do so without losing his explosive first step. I expect Burns to be an elite edge rusher for years to come.
5) Byron Murphy, CB Washington: Murphy was a joy to watch on tape. Murphy can line up outside or in the slot and mirror receivers incredibly well. Any skill you need in man coverage he’s got it, be that press, mirror or trail technique. This is what gets him to be this high on my board. His hips flip fluidly, his backpedal is clean and poised, and he drives out of his T-Step in off coverage. Murphy is easily my top defensive back, and worthy of being selected very highly in this draft.
6) Quinnen Williams, DT Alabama: Williams has become the top interior defensive linemen in a stacked D-Line class because of his pass rushing prowess. He has the arsenal to dominate along the interior with lightning quick hand fighting ability and a lethal first step. Williams is a top 10 lock come April.
7) Ed Oliver, DT Houston: Oliver is going much lower on mock drafts than his talent warrants. He’s an athletic specimen with a unique ability to gain leverage at the point of attack. He is stout against the run and he can win one of one matchups in the pass game. What has scouts concerned is his questionable size and measurables. I’m not in that camp. Oliver is too athletic and too powerful for me to get hung up on arm length and height.
8) Clelin Ferrell, EDGE Clemson: I really liked Ferrell’s tape. He may not have the dip and bend ability of others in the class, but he has a skilled moveset and big time strength off the edge. Ferrell also shows the intelligence to maintain gap control, and the knowledge to counterpunch an offensive tackles first attempt to stonewall him. The edge rushing class not only has the elite athletes off the edge, but it has the more traditional 4-3 defensive ends as well. Ferrell headlines the more traditional group.
9) Montez Sweat, EDGE Mississippi State: Back to back edge rushers here, and it’s also back to back technicians. Sweat is another guy with multiple moves in the tank, including the ability to long arm tackles and rip past them using push-pull technique. Sweat had a monster senior bowl week, and his stock will only continue to rise as the draft process continues.
10) Marquise “Hollywood” Brown, WR Oklahoma: The Tye Dillinger entrant of this big board goes to maybe the most explosive playmaker to enter the draft since Desean Jackson. Hollywood is a burner, creating separation not only with his speed over the top, but with his quickness in and out of cuts. Occasionally he has a few drops and a few double catches, but this dude can make plays with the ball in his hands and he can take the top off of just about any defense.
11) Chris Lindstrom, OG Boston College: Lindstrom is as complete a guard prospect as they come. His footwork is terrific, possessing the ability to pull and jump out of his set with good balance and pad level. What’s most impressive is the lack of weaknesses in his game, both in technique and execution. Lindstrom should be a top 20 lock this year.
12) Kelvin Harmon, WR NC State: I love Harmon’s route running ability. He separates both at the beginning of the route combination as well as the top of the stem. Harmon also has soft hands and a wide catch radius. He’s another skilled pass catcher in this draft class.
13) Noah Fant, TE Iowa: His counterpart TJ Hockenson mav have all the buzz, but I’ll still take Fant as the top TE this year. Fant is a more explosive playmaker than Hockenson, he’s quicker in and out of cuts and he has a better ability to high point the ball. Not to mention, Fant is still a strong blocker in his own right. I think he was used improperly at Iowa and will be the better of the two at the next level.
14) Rashan Gary, DE Michigan: I really like Gary’s fit as a 3-4 Defensive End. He’s a bully in the run game with elite strength and the ability to maintain gap control. I don’t see him as a dip and bend edge guy, but he can long arm tackles from a 4-3 end position. Having said that, I think he’d be better served along the interior because his quick first step and athleticism.
15) Rock Ya-Sin, CB Temple: Temple is a culture of competition, and Rock Ya-Sin competes on every down. He’s another excellent man cover corner in this draft, with the ability to mirror and trail receivers, plus he excels once the ball gets into his radius His footwork is excellent, which is what has me excited about what he could be at the next level. I think Ya-Sin has extreme upside if he can improve his ability to keep his hands on receivers at the start of route combinations.
16) Devin White, LB LSU: White has very good sideline to sideline range, but it’s his ability to shoot gaps and play fast downhill that has me excited about his NFL future. Right now, he is being a bit overvalued in mock drafts, but that’s because the off ball linebacking class is very weak. Having said that, White is still a quality prospect and will be the captain of a NFL defense sooner rather than later.
17) Deionte Thompson, FS Alabama: I’m sticking with a first round evaluation of Thompson. He’s fell on big boards because of his National Championship performance, but Thompson’s body of work was impressive throughout the 2018 season. He’s a single high ball hawking safety who isn’t afraid to come into the box and make tackles. I think his technique and instincts in the back should have him as an NFL starter for many years to come.
18) Josh Allen, EDGE Kentucky: As I’ve said in my mock drafts, I don’t have Allen as high as many, because he doesn’t play the run at an elite level. However, I still like Josh Allen quite a bit. He has great dip and bend ability and maintains the arch very well. There’s also something to be said for hunting the ball at all times, and Allen loves to swipe at the ball as he’s running the arch. In a league where turnovers and sacks are king on defense because of the rules and how the offenses are favored, Allen could be a big time player in a 3-4 defense.
19) Anthony Nelson, EDGE Iowa: Nelson is a Clelin Ferrell clone. He long arms offensive tackles and executes multiple moves, including push-pull and counterpunching the offensive tackles first attempt to gain leverage. Nelson may not have the dip and bend of guys like Josh Allen or Brian Burns, but he has good ankle flexibility and uses his frame to get to the quarterback. At 6’7, Nelson is a unique prospect for a 4-3 scheme.
20) Jeffery Simmons, DT Mississippi State: Simmons has some off the field questions, but on the field he’s an elite pass rusher from the interior, using a quick first step and some elite level hand-fighting to get to the QB. I think Simmons is a make or break candidate at the combine. If he tests well and he interviews well, because teams will most definitely challenge him on his off the field issues, he could find himself in the middle of round one. If he doesn’t, he could fall outside the top 40.
21) Christian Wilkins, DT Clemson: Wilkins isn’t the pass rushing extraordinaire that Simmons or Quinnen Williams are, but he’s technically sound and stout in gap control. He uses his first step to win on running plays, and his quickness on the backside of the play means that he is able to come across and stop plays from becoming big gains. I don’t see the upside as an elite pass rusher because he plays high at times and he doesn’t possess the elite strength of other guys in this class. However, there’s little doubt that Wilkins will be a solid pro.
22) Greedy Williams, CB LSU: Williams is probably the safest defensive back prospect in this class, because his measurables and man skills make his floor the highest. He excels in mirror and trail techniques because his strides are so long. Greedy Williams is a perfect fit for a team that plays primarily cover 1 and cover 3.
23) TJ Hockenson, TE Iowa: Hockenson is the darling of many in this draft class, and there’s no question he’s talented. Hock is an elite blocker, he walls off defenders in the run game and he can even go one on one with rushers off the edge. He separates at the top of the stem with his size and he wins down the field the same way. I still prefer Fant, but there’s no question Hockenson has big time potential at the next level.
24) Nasir Adderley, FS Delaware: Adderley is a converted cornerback, and those ball skills are prevalent on tape in the backend. At the single high safety spot he ranges well sideline to sideline, and makes clean plays on the ball. Adderley’s hips flip fluidly and he’s also fluid out of his backpedal. More importantly, he’s a good tackler in the open field and he can come up and play the run if needed. Free Safeties need to be able to do more than just hawk the ball, and Adderley’s complete game should allow him to be a quality starter at the next level.
25) Jachai Polite, EDGE Florida: Polite is a little undersized (6’2, 245), but what he lacks in measurables he makes up for in athletic ability. He dips around the edge and explodes off the line with a quick initial burst. Polite, like Allen and Burns, loves hunting the football as he’s running the arch. As previously stated with Allen, someone with playmaking ability on defense is heavily valued at the next. And as previously stated with Allen, if Polite improves in setting the edge against the run, he could be a star.
Part Two, players 26-50, will be coming soon.
Jordan Katz 2019 NFL Mock Draft 2.0: Two Rounds
With Black Monday upon us and the regular season having come to a close, it’s time for Mock Draft 2.0 for the 2019 campaign. We’ve got plenty of risers and fallers from the previous mock draft, and more importantly, we’ve got two rounds!
A few pieces of note before we get going. Obviously this draft class is loaded at defensive line, as mentioned by everyone that covers the draft process. However, there are two other positions that are growing on me in terms of its talent and depth; wide receiver and tight end. At the start of the year, many were unsure if this pass catching class had elite targets. Entering the draft season, there’s six first round receiving targets on my personal draft board, and that number could grow as we move along in the process. The long and short here is, we now have multiple positions that have actual depth! Hooray!
The second thing to note is the quarterback class, or lack thereof. With Justin Herbert returning to school, Dwayne Haskins is most assuredly the top quarterback, assuming he declares. And while he’s guaranteed to go in the top 10 come April, I can’t justify him going before the back end of round one. So that’s why you will consistently see him lower on my personal mock drafts rather than my prediction mock drafts.
Lastly, there were plenty of teams looking to trade out of selections, but only a few could actually make a deal. I think this is foreshadowing for what to expect come April. With so little quarterback talent and so little depth at most positions, you could see very little action during the first few rounds of the NFL Draft. Either that, or this take will be wildly inaccurate and everyone will move up and down this draft trying to acquire the premium talent or assets for next year.
Now that we’ve set the scene for you, it’s time to roll. #MockLyfeNeverSleeps.
ROUND ONE
1) Arizona Cardinals: Nick Bosa, EDGE Ohio State- Bosa is the no brainer first overall selection. He’s one of the top edge rushers to come out in the last five years and has all the ability in the world. Bosa can dip and bend around the edge and dictate leverage with his hands. Arizona definitely needs offensive line help, but if you’re a GM picking first overall and don’t take Nick Bosa, just accept the fact you won’t be employed by this time next year.
2) San Francisco 49ers: Jonah Williams, OT Alabama- I love Williams on tape. He excels in the jump set, 45 degree set, and the vertical set. Williams keeps his hands inside the defender’s shoulder pads, which allows him to gain leverage against both the athletic edge rushers as well as the bigger defensive ends. Williams’ foot speed isn’t world class, but he’s smart and incredibly technical. I’ll take smart offensive linemen over a straight athlete at the position any day of the week.
3) New York Jets: Brian Burns, EDGE Florida State- The Jets would love to trade this pick, but as I mentioned in the opening of this mock draft, I can’t justify any team trading up this high for a quarterback. If they can’t trade, they have to take a pass rusher or an offensive linemen, whichever they don’t address in free agency.
Burns is one of the best I’ve seen at bending around the edge. Even when tackles know it’s coming, Burns is so flexible and so athletic that he can explode past that tackle anyway. I think Burns has enough moves as well to keep tackles from constantly expecting him to run the arch. This is a dynamic pass rusher that should go higher than he will on draft day.
4) Oakland Raiders: Quinnen Williams, DT Alabama- Oakland has to get to the passer in 2019 if they wish to improve as a team. Williams is slightly lower on my board compared to Ed Oliver, but he’s a much better pass rusher, which is why he gets selected here instead.
5) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Deionte Thompson, FS Alabama- Thompson has elite range in the back of the defense. He can read and react from his single high position as good as anyone in the past few years. What I think separates him from the other rangy free safeties is Thompson willingly comes into the box and wants to play physical in the run game. His all around ability should have an immediate impact on Tampa Bay’s secondary.
6) New York Giants: Byron Murphy, CB Washington- I know Giants fans are going to want a Quarterback at this selection, but that’s why you pick Sam Darnold at number two last year. With Justin Herbert going back to school, there’s no quarterback worthy of a top 10 selection, and I would argue even if Herbert entered there wasn’t one anyway.
I was blown away by Murphy on tape. His ability to turn his hips and mirror receivers are incredible. Murphy is easily the best man cover corner in this draft, but it’s not his only strength. He has terrific instincts and good ball skills too.
The Giants have a lot of needs defensively so even though Giants fans probably want Dwayne Haskins, Williams fits a need and isn’t a ridiculous overdraft.
Editor’s Note: In regards to the Darnold comment, it’s very simple Giants fans. Despite how unbelievable Saquon Barkley has been this year, the Giants are now stuck waiting until 2020 for their franchise QB. Even if they pick Haskins, he shouldn’t start before 2020, maybe even 2021. Running backs are more easy to come by, see Phillip Lindsay, James Conner, Nick Chubb, Alvin Kamara, David Johnson….
7) *Oakland Raiders via Jacksonville Jaguars: N’Keal Harry, WR Arizona State- Harry leads what is becoming a very underrated wide receiver class. I love Harry’s game on tape; he’s a big body receiver with explosive ability down the field and he makes big time plays one on one. Oakland uses their two back end first rounders to trade up and get a playmaker for Derek Carr.
Editor’s Note: Shout out to Jon Gruden who traded Khalil Mack and Amari Cooper only to enter this draft needing pass rushers and weapons for Derek Carr.
Second Editor’s Note: Jacksonville passes on Dwayne Haskins as well because he doesn’t warrant a top ten selection on my board. They also pass on Harry in this scenario because a veteran WR would do them a lot of good with DeDe Westbrook and Keelan Cole starting to shine.
8) Detroit Lions: Greedy Williams, CB LSU- Greedy Williams is a long, athletic corner that loves to play physical at the line of scrimmage. He checks all the boxes in man to man coverage, showing the ability to mirror receivers as well as trail them and still make plays.
Detroit needs a corner to play opposite Darius Slay, and because front four talent in this draft is so abundant, they can wait on a pass rusher and jump on one of the top cornerbacks in the draft.
9) Buffalo Bills: DK Metcalf, WR Ole Miss- Metcalf’s neck injury concerns me, but assuming his medical checks out, there’s no reason he shouldn’t be a top 15 selection. Metcalf and N’Keal Harry are very similar prospects, big body receivers that can stretch the field and win one on ones with their size as well as their ability to high point the ball. He should compliment Josh Allen’s skill set very well.
Editor’s Note: Like the Jets, the Bills tried to trade out of this pick but were unsuccessful. After staying in the draft slot, Buffalo gets its young quarterback the top wide receiver in this draft class.
10) Denver Broncos: Ed Oliver, DT Houston- Unfortunately, this is a problem I envision for Ed Oliver on draft day. Because Quinnen Williams is a better pass rusher, Oliver could fall down draft boards, even though he’s the more complete player in my opinion. If he makes it to Denver’s pick, which is a real possibility, there’s no way the Broncos can pass on him. Oliver will translate to a 3-4 defensive end just fine.
11) Cincinnati Bengals: Devin White, ILB LSU- White is a top 15 talent if he decides to come out. Cincinnati needs a game changer at the second level of their defense. This is an easy selection.
Editor’s Note: It’s finally time for Cincinnati to start a rebuild, and while they’d love trading down from this selection to get that train rolling, no one wants to come up for the pick (as is customary with this draft).
12) Green Bay Packers: Jachai Polite, EDGE Florida- Easy analysis here. Green Bay needs a 3-4 OLB that can bend and dip around the edge. The best natural edge rusher remaining on my board at the moment is Jachai Polite.
13) Miami Dolphins: Amani Oruwariye, CB Penn State- Oruwariye is a long corner who has good athleticism for his size (6’1, 200). More importantly, Oruwariye’s hips flip naturally and he mirrors receivers well. I know Dolphins fans may want Dwayne Haskins here, but the Dolphins need a second corner, and could need a number one if Xavien Howard walks in free agency after 2019. Therefore, the pick makes sense, even though the Dolphins will be looking for Ryan Tannehill’s replacement as early as this offseason.
14) *Philadelphia Eagles via Atlanta Falcons: Yodny Cajuste, OT West Virginia- This is a little high for Cajuste based on my grades, but positional need and his upside make this a warranted selection. Cajuste is a big time athlete for a tackle and he possesses a strong kickslide while keeping his hands up and staying inside the edge rusher’s shoulder pads. The Eagles offensive line has not been what it was when they were at their peak, so they trade up for an athletic replacement to Jason Peters.
15) Carolina Panthers: Clelin Ferrell, EDGE Clemson- Ferrell isn’t the same athlete as some of the other edge rushers in this draft class. However, he controls his gaps, he’s stout against the run, and he is very good at long arming defensive tackles and using his power when rushing the passer. The Panthers like bigger defensive ends instead of the quick twitch athletes, so Ferrell makes perfect sense.
16) Washington Redskins: Josh Allen, EDGE Kentucky- Allen is a good talent, with the ability to play multiple positions. He could line up in a 3-4 on the edge, or as a LEO linebacker in a 4-3.
However, Allen is being viewed as a top five prospect, and I think that’s a bit too high. He isn’t the quick twitch, natural edge player that some of the other prospects that have already been picked in this mock draft thus far.
It’s not that he’s a bad pass rusher, I think he has a solid move set and a quick first step. Personally, I just feel Allen is closer to the 10-20 range, and a great fit for Washington at 16.
17) Cleveland Browns: Bryce Hall, CB Virginia- Hall is very similar to Oruwariye, a long corner with great ball skills and fluid hips in coverage. Hall leads college football in pass breakups, so he should fit perfectly into Gregg Williams’ defense in 2019 (there’s no way the incoming Head Coach in Cleveland should let Williams out the door based on what he’s done this year).
18) Minnesota Vikings: Christian Wilkins, DT Clemson- Wilkins is a perfect scheme fit for Minnesota. He’s disruptive in the run game, he understands gap assignments and he’s technically sound, playing with good pad level and a high motor on almost every snap. With Sheldon Richardson presumably out the door, I’d expect the Vikings to look for a defensive tackle early in this draft.
19) *Seattle Seahawks via Pittsburgh Steelers: Noah Fant, TE Iowa- Sometimes trades happen because a team moves up to ensure they don’t miss on their guy. This is the case with this deal. Seattle still needs weapons offensively and Russell Wilson loves throwing to tight ends in the red zone.
Fant’s buzz isn’t as high as his teammate, TJ Hockenson, but I still think Fant is the superior prospect. Fant is a complete tight end in the pass game, showing the ability to high point the ball and win one-one-ones down the field, and he can block as well.
Seattle trades up a couple of spots to land Russell Wilson’s next big time red zone threat.
20) Tennessee Titans: AJ Brown, WR Ole Miss- Brown is a perfect compliment to Corey Davis and the ideal number two receiver for Marcus Mariota. He’s quick out of his cuts and he runs sharp, clean routes, creating a ton of separation at the top of the stem. The draft community is cooling on Brown a little bit, but I think that has more to do with the depth of this receiver class and the realization that the wide outs this year may be better than we originally presumed.
21) *Atlanta Falcons via Philadelphia Eagles: Chris Lindstrom, OG Boston College- Atlanta trading back and picking the same guy they would’ve selected at 14 is exactly what you want. Lindstrom is as complete a prospect as they come. He shows a rare combination of power and agility, not to mention elite level footwork. Then again, would expect anything less from an offensive linemen from Boston College?
22) *Pittsburgh Steelers via Seattle Seahawks: DeAndre Baker, CB Georgia- The Steelers secondary once again needs a massive overhaul. Baker is really good in press coverage, with the ability to jam receivers and force them to the boundary. If he tests well at the combine, he could find himself back near the top half of round one come April.
23) Indianapolis Colts: Rashan Gary, DE Michigan- I think Gary’s ideal fit is as a 3-4 defensive end. He’s more disruptive on the interior and his athleticism plays better inside because of his strong base and his quick first step. If teams look to play him on the interior, I think they’ll see a first round talent.
24) Baltimore Ravens: Kelvin Harmon, WR NC State- Baltimore’s makeshift receiving core has worked well enough this year, but they need a true playmaker to help Lamar Jackson develop. Harmon is yet another big body pass catcher at the top of this draft, but it’s his hands that have me so excited about him as a prospect. I saw almost no double catches on tape, as well as a big time catch radius. Harmon should be a big time player on third down and in the red zone at the next level.
25) Jacksonville Jaguars from Oakland Raiders via Dallas Cowboys: Dwayne Haskins, QB Ohio State- I’m perfectly okay with a team over-drafting a quarterback in the first round to get that fifth option year of team control. I’m not okay with drafting him so ridiculously high that you mortgage your future for someone with a lot of question marks. That’s why Jacksonville trades backwards, picks up extra assets, and still selects QB1 in this draft, instead of reaching for him at nine.
Haskins has a massive arm and is only 20 years old, so there’s a ton of upside here if you can sit him for a year or two and teach him the finer points of QB play. Yet, he’s incredibly raw, and that’s why it wouldn’t be a complete shock if he chose to stay in school instead of getting thrown to the wolves in the NFL.
26) Houston Texans: Cody Ford, OT/OG Oklahoma- If the Texans don’t pick up offensive line this offseason everyone should be fired. It’s the one thing that’s separating them from being an elite team in the NFL.
Ford is an impressive athlete for someone of his size (6’3, 340). He’s very technical as well, showing a good base, quick feet and proper hand position in the 45 degree set and the jump set at the tackle position. Ford’s stature, technique and athleticism should allow him to make a seamless transition to guard at the next level, assuming his arm length is short for a tackle when he tests at the combine.
27) *Jacksonville Jaguars from Oakland Raiders via Chicago Bears: TJ Hockenson, TE Iowa- Hockenson is flying up draft boards, and rightfully so. He’s an elite blocker and he is just as good between the 20’s as his teammate Noah Fant. Jacksonville loves to run the football and play action off of it, which is a perfect scheme fit for Hockenson at the next level.
Editor’s Note: I think Iowa misuses Fant in the pass game, which is why I still have Fant above Hockenson despite Hock’s meteoric rise up draft boards. Fant’s size and catch radius should help him to be elite at the next level.
Second Editor’s Note: As I had mentioned earlier, the reason the Jaguars take a pass catcher down here instead of N’Keal Harry at seven is because they move backwards to land Haskins at an appropriate draft spot, and they need a veteran receiver to compliment their emerging young receiving core.
28) Los Angeles Chargers: Jeffery Simmons, DL Mississippi State- Simmons comes with a bit of off the field baggage, but on the field he’s a first round talent. He’s got a ton of moves on the interior, a quick counter-punch and he wins leverage at the point of attack with his strong base and physicality. The player on the field is a round one talent in a walk.
29) New England Patriots: Mack Wilson, ILB Alabama- New England would love to get one of the Iowa tight ends here at 29, but with both off the board, they go to their next biggest need.
Wilson is stout in the run game and covers a lot of ground sideline to sideline. I know there’s talk of Wilson returning to school, but with the lack of depth in this class at the off ball linebacker position, I think Wilson is a top 40 lock if he declares.
30) Los Angeles Rams: Montez Sweat, EDGE Mississippi State- Obviously the Rams have a ton of pieces still in place for next year, but they will lose Dante Fowler in free agency, making their top need a rusher off the edge.
Sweat is another one of the quick twitch edge rushers that highlights this draft class. He’s a fluid athlete and he runs the arch to the QB very well. He should dominate one on one matchups in LA.
31) Kansas City Chiefs: Nasir Adderley, FS Delaware- I know the Chiefs have Eric Berry in the back-end, but unfortunately Berry may not be the same player he once was. Ron Parker is an unrestricted free agent as well, so safety is a monster need for the Chiefs in the offseason.
Adderley is a small school prospect generating a ton of first round buzz. He’s a very good single high safety, who will become much better when he learns to trust his instincts instead of hesitating at times and overthinking.
32) Green Bay Packers via New Orleans Saints: Dalton Risner, OG Kansas State- Risner doesn’t have the footwork to play tackle at the next level, but he’s a mauler in the run game. Green Bay seems more committed to using the ground game in the future, so Risner’s nastiness along the interior should help them in their future endeavors.
Trades in Round One (star designates pick was traded by me)
1) Oakland Raiders trade the #25, #27 and #100 to the Jacksonville Jaguars for the #7.
2) Philadelphia Eagles trade the #21 and #53 to the Atlanta Falcons for the #14.
3) Seattle Seahawks trade the #22, #150 and a 2020 5th round pick to the Pittsburgh Steelers for the #19 and a 2020 7th round pick.
ROUND TWO
33) Arizona Cardinals: David Edwards, OT Wisconsin
34) Indianapolis Colts via New York Jets: Dexter Lawrence, NT Clemson
35) Oakland Raiders: Michael Dieter, OT/OG Wisconsin
36) San Francisco 49ers: Trayvon Mullen, CB Clemson
37) New York Giants: Tyler Biadasz, OG/OC Wisconsin
38) Jacksonville Jaguars: Damien Harris, RB Alabama
39) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Greg Little, OT Ole Miss
40) Buffalo Bills: Elgton Jenkins, OC Mississippi State
41) Detroit Lions: Jerry Tillery, DL Notre Dame
42) Cincinnati Bengals: Kaden Smith, TE Stanford
43) Denver Broncos: Daniel Jones, QB Duke
44) Green Bay Packers: Dawson Knox, TE Ole Miss
45) Atlanta Falcons: Derrick Brown, DT Auburn
46) Carolina Panthers: Raekwon Davis, DT Alabama
47) Miami Dolphins: Anthony Nelson, EDGE Iowa
48) Washington Redskins: Marquise “Hollywood” Brown, WR Oklahoma
49) Cleveland Browns: Oshane Ximines, EDGE/OLB Old Dominion
50) Minnesota Vikings: Bobby Evans, OT Oklahoma
51) Pittsburgh Steelers: Devin Bush, ILB Michigan
52) Tennessee Titans: Zach Allen, DL Boston College
53) *Atlanta Falcons via Philadelphia Eagles: Julian Love, CB Notre Dame
54) Houston Texans via Seattle Seahawks: Andre Dillard, OT Washington State
55) Philadelphia Eagles via Baltimore Ravens: Gerald Willis, DT Miami
56) Indianapolis Colts: DaMarkus Lodge, WR Ole Miss
57) Dallas Cowboys: Albert Okwuegbunam, TE Missouri
58) Houston Texans: Darrell Henderson, RB Memphis
59) Los Angeles Chargers: David Long, CB Michigan
60) New England Patriots via Chicago Bears: Irv Smith Jr., TE Alabama
61) New England Patriots: Riley Ridley, WR Georgia
62) Kansas City Chiefs via Los Angeles Rams: Kristian Fulton, CB LSU
63) Kansas City Chiefs: Rodney Anderson, RB Oklahoma
64) New Orleans Saints: Taylor Rapp, SS Washington
Jordan Katz 2019 Top 5 By Position
This is my own personal list for my top five players by position. These rankings may not reflect the order that I have them in my recent mock draft. My mock draft is based on team needs as well as scheme fits.
Quarterbacks:
1) Kyler Murray, Oklahoma
2) Dwayne Haskins, Ohio State
3) Daniel Jones, Duke
4) Drew Lock, Missouri
5) Brett Rypien, Boise State
Running Backs:
1) Josh Jacobs, Alabama
2) Damien Harris, Alabama
3) David Montgomery, Iowa State
4) Rodney Anderson, Oklahoma
5) Bennie Snell Jr., Kentucky
Wide Receivers:
1) DK Metcalf, Ole Miss
2) Marquise “Hollywood” Brown, Oklahoma
3) Kelvin Harmon, NC State
4) AJ Brown, Ole Miss
5) N’Keal Harry, Arizona State
Tight Ends:
1) Noah Fant, Iowa
2) T.J. Hockenson, Iowa
3) Irv Smith Jr., Alabama
4) Dawson Knox, Ole Miss
5) Kaden Smith, Stanford
Offensive Tackles:
1) Jonah Williams, Alabama
2) Cody Ford, Oklahoma
3) Jawaan Taylor, Florida
4) David Edwards, Wisconsin
5) Yodney Cajuste, West Virginia
Interior Line:
1) Chris Lindstrom, Boston College
2) Dalton Risner, Kansas State
3) Michael Dieter, Wisconsin
4) Garrett Bradburry, NC State
5) Elghton Jenkins, Mississippi State
EDGE Rushers:
1) Nick Bosa, Ohio State
2) Brian Burns, Florida State
3) Clelin Ferrell, Clemson
4) Josh Allen, Kentucky
5) Anthony Nelson, Iowa
Interior Defensive Lineman:
1) Ed Oliver, Houston
2) Quinnen Williams, Alabama
3) Rashan Gary, Michigan
4) Jeffery Simmons, Mississippi State
5) Christian Wilkins, Clemson
Non-Edge Linebackers:
1) Devin White, LSU
2) Mack Wilson, Alabama
3) Devin Bush, Michigan
4) Vosean Joseph, Florida
5) Khalil Hodge, Buffalo
Cornerbacks:
1) Byron Murphy, Washington
2) Rock Ya-Sin, CB Temple
3) Greedy Williams, LSU
4) Amani Oruwariye, Penn State
5) DeAndre Baker, Georgia
Safeties:
1) Deionte Thompson, Alabama
2) Nasir Adderley, Delaware
3) Johnathan Abram, Mississippi State
4) Khaleke Hudson, Michigan
5) Taylor Rapp, Washington
Jordan Katz: 2019 NFL Mock Draft 1.0
Ladies and Gentlemen, we are back! With the NFL officially at the midway point and the College Football season hitting its stretch run, it’s time to give a quick peek into where the prospects stand right now. This is always the toughest mock draft of the year because so many things change from now until April. The tape on college players for this season is also incomplete, so it’s hard to give a complete analysis at this stage in the game.
However, y’all know the drill by now (shoutout to those who realize why I chose “y’all,” in that spot)… MOCK DRAFT LYFE NEVER SLEEPS!
This upcoming draft features a ton of defensive line talent. You could see as many as ten defensive lineman go in the first round! Despite this, the rest of the draft is a giant mystery. Is there a quarterback worthy of a top ten selection? Is there a WR1 in this draft? Does the draft have enough depth for day three steals?
While these questions will be answered in time, for now, here’s a peek at some players I expect to be talked about as first round talents in the upcoming draft.
*Editor’s Note: The standings for this mock draft are based on my individual opinion of where teams will finish at the end of the season. Once I got to the playoffs (21-32), it’s based on seeding, not who would win each matchup. There is also no trading in this Mock Draft because it’s way too early to get that crazy.
ROUND ONE
1) Oakland Raiders: Nick Bosa, EDGE Ohio State- The Oakland Raiders and New York Giants are about to enter a good ole fashion NBA Draft style tank-off for the top pick. Regardless of who wins, I think both teams will get the players they covet.
Bosa is easily the top prospect in this draft. I have not seen an edge rusher as polished as Bosa on tape in my years of doing mock drafts. To me, his football ability at this level is better than Myles Garrett, Jadeveon Clowney, as well as his brother, Joey Bosa. Depending on how he tests athletically, he could grade as one of my top players ever.
2) New York Giants: Justin Herbert, QB Oregon- Well, the Giants get their man, but is it the right man for the job? Personally, I currently do not have a quarterback worthy of a first round pick. The closest guy is Herbert, because he has the tools to be a NFL starter. He shows intelligence in the intermediate window, good arm strength and he’s athletic.
However, Herbert has been so inconsistent this year on film. I don’t think he takes enough chances with the football, which is a major concern. If a QB is not going to take a chance in college, how can we expect him to give a receiver a one-on-one opportunity in the NFL? The QBs that don’t take chances in college are the ones that don’t see “NFL open,” at the next level.
I’m breaking my rule here by putting a player that doesn’t have a first round grade this high, but let’s face it, the Giants are taking a quarterback this time around.
3) San Francisco 49ers: DeAndre Baker, CB Georgia- I’d call Baker “Denzel Ward 2.0,” but Baker might be better. He’s a wall in man coverage and he’s just as technically sound as Ward was, showing great fluidity when changing directions as well as the ability to trail receivers stride for stride. If he tests well in Indianapolis, he should be the top corner taken in April.
4) Arizona Cardinals: Jonah Williams, OT Alabama- Williams is technical enough to be worthy of a top five selection. As long as his athletic grade checks out, he should be the easy selection for Arizona, a team desperate for offensive line talent.
5) Buffalo Bills: Greedy Williams, CB LSU- This would be a case of a luxury pick, which is rare at the fifth spot. However, there’s not really an offensive player worthy of this selection and the Bills do need a number two corner. Williams has good size and build, and he possesses strong ball skills that would compliment his Bayou brethren Tre’ White.
6) Indianapolis Colts: Ed Oliver, DL Houston- For the second straight year, the Colts get the second best player to fall into their lap at the sixth overall pick (sound familiar Jets fans?). Oliver is an athletic freak, but because he’s an interior defensive lineman, he could fall in this draft if offensive players are over-drafted.
7) Cleveland Browns: David Edwards, OT Wisconsin- “Offensive Line University,” is back at it, with an entire starting unit of NFL talent. Edwards has been up and down this year, but there’s two things I like about him; he’s smart, and he’s shown great improvement for a guy who was recruited as a Quarterback. Offensive lineman that are intelligent almost always wind up being solid pros. In my opinion, I’ll take an intelligent offensive lineman over one that exclusively tests well athletically every time.
8) Denver Broncos: Dexter Lawrence, DT/NT Clemson- The Broncos run defense has been a shell of its former self in 2018. Lawrence is a rare talent at the nose tackle position. He can occupy space, he can beat interior lineman one-on-one, and he collapses the pocket very well.
9) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Amani Oruwariye, CB Penn State- Oruwariye has emerged as CB3 on my board, which was a huge question mark for this draft class heading into the season. He has elite size, his ball skills are excellent, and he shows the smarts to excel in multiple different coverages. While this is a little high for him, but because the Bucs are desperate for secondary help, it makes sense.
10) Seattle Seahawks: Noah Fant, TE Iowa- If the Seahawks are truly committed to making this a team that wins with its offense as much as it does with its defense, then Russell Wilson needs some more weapons. Fant is the top pass catcher on my board because he has it all. He’s got the size and build, the elite athleticism to stretch the field, and he catches anything in his radius. Fant is a quality blocker as well.
Some might say the top ten is too high for a tight end, but with the emergence of guys like Rob Gronkowski, Travis Kelce, and other star tight ends, Fant is easily worthy of this selection.
11) New York Jets: Clelin Ferrell, EDGE Clemson- Ferrell has been one of the most dynamic pass rushers in college football over the past 18 months. His ability to dip and bend around the edge is impressive.
My one concern is his motor, not because he takes plays off, but because Clemson’s defensive front has not been as consistent as you would’ve expected.
Having said that, Ferrell is still a terrific talent, and the Jets are desperate for a pass rusher of his caliber.
12) Oakland Raiders via Dallas Cowboys: N’Keal Harry, WR Arizona State- Now that Jon Gruden has absolutely zero weapons for his franchise quarterback (who may also be on the move), it’s probably a good idea for the Raiders to draft some pass catchers.
Harry leads a group of wide receivers that will have a lot to prove throughout the draft process. Many question whether this group has a true WR1, but I think Harry’s combination of size and speed as well as his ability to high point the football make him the prize of this draft at the receiver position.
13) Detroit Lions: Brian Burns, EDGE Florida State- Burns is an elite pass rusher from a stand-up position. He shows a rare combination of length and athleticism, and possesses a ton of ways to get to the passer. I know the concern here is a 3-4 player going to a 4-3 scheme, but with the recent acquisition of Damon Harrison combined with Matt Patricia’s 3-4 background, Detroit can transition perfectly to accommodate their selection.
14) Miami Dolphins: Rashan Gary, DT Michigan- Many are projecting Gary as a 4-3 defensive end, but I think his skill set sets up much better as an interior lineman. He’s a terrific athlete and a big time run stuffer. There’s definitely parts of his game that need cleaning up (he’s not the most explosive pass rusher and his hands can sometimes sag), but Gary would be a plug and play on any team’s interior defensive line.
15) Atlanta Falcons: Dalton Risner, OT/OG Kansas State- Risner has been really strong in pass protection against the smaller, athletic ends that typically play in the Big 12. He has a great feel for the second level as well. I think he has room to grow technically, specifically with his pad level consistency, but Risner to me can play guard or tackle at the next level, which is a big weapon.
16) Tennessee Titans: AJ Brown, WR Ole Miss- Tennessee desperately needs pass catchers that can separate, and that’s exactly what Brown excels at. He’s incredibly quick and explosive with the football, two things the Titans really lack at wide receiver. Easy fit here.
17) Cincinnati Bengals: Josh Allen, OLB Kentucky- Allen really fell in this mock, which is upsetting because he’s one of my favorite players in this draft. He plays downhill with aggression and poise, ranges well sideline to sideline, and he’s got pass rush ability off the edge. Not to mention, he excels in off ball coverage as well. Cincinnati gets a big time steal here to play strong side linebacker.
18) Jacksonville Jaguars: Montez Sweat, EDGE/OLB Mississippi State- Obviously Jacksonville needs a quarterback, but there isn’t one worthy of a first round selection on my board.
Sweat isn’t the best athlete, but you can’t ignore production. He’s a smart pass rusher, he knows how to set up tackles with his hands and he has a solid move-set. I love the idea of Sweat playing the LEO linebacker in a 4-3, which is exactly where Jacksonville would put him.
19) Washington Redskins: Devin White, ILB LSU- White is an incredibly underrated prospect at the moment. He shows tremendous range and plays with passion and intensity. White can do it all from the middle linebacker spot and has the versatility to play outside as well. Washington’s linebacking core gets a major boost.
20) Carolina Panthers: Lukas Denis, FS Boston College- The Panthers secondary is improving, but it still needs a game changer in the backend. Denis has had a down year on the stat sheet, but he’s still been impactful in the BC secondary. On tape, he has good ball skills and shows NFL awareness from the single high position.
With current free safety Mike Adams playing his age 37 season, one would assume Carolina will be looking for his replacement this offseason.
21) Oakland Raiders via Chicago Bears: Tyler Biadasz, OG/OC Wisconsin- Oakland’s offensive line is a shell of what it once was. Biadasz is perfect at guard or center for a power blocking scheme, which is exactly what Gruden likes to run up front.
22) Pittsburgh Steelers: Byron Murphy, CB Washington- I was blown away by Murphy’s ability to mirror receivers on tape. He lines up on the outside as well as in the nickel and does a terrific job of sticking receivers in man-to-man. This is a name to remember, Murphy could slide up a lot of people’s draft boards as the year goes on.
23) Green Bay Packers: Jachai Polite, EDGE Florida- Regardless of whether Clay Matthews is re-upped or departs in free agency, the Packers pass rush needs a jolt. Polite is an elite 3-4 edge rusher with a good ability to bend around the edge. He’s currently higher on my personal board than this mock draft, but I think that’s an accurate representation of what could happen come April. Because there are so many talented front seven prospects, you could see a lot of them fall in an attempt by teams to draft the limited talent at other positions.
24) Los Angeles Chargers: Jerry Tillery, DL Notre Dame- Tillery is a mammoth on the defensive front (he stands 6’7), but oddly enough it’s his quickness and first step that make him a highly touted prospect. The Chargers pass rush would become even better by adding an interior player like Tillery.
25) Houston Texans: Yodny Cajuste, OT West Virginia- Normally I’m not a fan of spread offensive lineman, but Cajuste has had a strong season thus far. He quick on his first step into his kickslide, and he’s handled athletic pass rushers well. Cajuste needs help in the run game, his pad level is often high and he doesn’t have a great feel for the second level. However, if he continues to shine in pass protection, it would be hard for teams to ignore him in the first 40 picks.
26) Philadelphia Eagles: Greg Little, OT Ole Miss- The Eagles have to find their next starting left tackle this offseason. Jason Peters is probably retiring after this season and Hal Vatai has been very subpar since his performance in the Super Bowl.
Little is lower on my board than most because too often I see him off balance and high with his pad level. However, he’s a former five star recruit and an impressive athlete. Little would be a great fit in Philly.
27) Baltimore Ravens: Christian Wilkins, DL Clemson- Best Player Available; an Ozzie Newsome special to kick off the post Ozzie Newsome era in Baltimore. Wilkins has a quick first step and a high motor. He’s very disciplined in gap assignments as well, a big key for players in the Ravens defense.
28) Green Bay Packers via New Orleans Saints: Jeffery Simmons, DL Mississippi State- The Packers front three has underwhelmed all year. Simmons would be an infusion of youth and athleticism into a front that desperately needs it.
29) Minnesota Vikings: Chris Lindstrom, OG Boston College- Underrated prospect alert! Lindstrom is a four year starter at BC and has a polished game up front. He gets to the second level, he has a low center of gravity so he’s rarely knocked back at the point of attack, and he has great footwork. Lindstrom should wind up higher on many people’s board as the draft process go on.
30) Kansas City Chiefs: Deionte Thompson, S Alabama- Thompson is a do-it-all safety that rivals some of the top safeties we’ve seen in recent drafts. He’s strong around the line of scrimmage, and he finds the ball well in the backend of the secondary. Kansas City needs playmakers in the secondary, and Thompson is just that.
31) New England Patriots: Kaden Smith, TE Stanford- If the Patriots truly want to start the process of replacing Rob Gronkowski, this is the year to do it. There’s multiple big time pass catching tight ends, including Kaden Smith who is a freakish athlete. He’s not the most fluid route runner yet, but he high points the ball well and he’s a tough cover for linebackers because of his speed.
32) Los Angeles Rams: Mack Wilson, ILB Alabama- If the Rams have a weakness, it’s their linebacking core. Wilson is one of the better off ball linebackers in this draft, showing good range and reaction skills on tape.
Then again, the NFL might force the Rams to forfeit their pick because they’re too good.
Jordan Katz 2018 Big Board: Top 50
This is my own personal big board for the 2018 NFL Draft. The players may not represent the order that I have them in on my most recent mock draft. This is strictly my rankings of each players and how they will translate as pros. This year I put the grade I gave them along with their rankings.
To be clear, this is a vague big board for now. I will add my number evaluations to my final big board so you all can see a more in depth breakdown of where I value each player.
For this one in particular, a first round grade for me means that I believe they are an NFL starter. It’s hard to predict who will be a NFL superstar because so much of their success is dependent upon which team they are selected to. Generally speaking, if someone gives a player a first round grade, it means they think that player can start at the next level for an extended period of time. A second round grade for me means that they can be a starter down the road, but there are some questions at the moment. The 1st/2nd hybrids are guys that can be starters from day one, but also have some issues in their game.
1) Saquon Barkley, RB Penn State (1st Round Grade)
2) Quenton Nelson, OG Notre Dame (1st Round Grade)
3) Roquan Smith, ILB Goergia (1st Round Grade)
4) Bradley Chubb, DE NC State (1st Round Grade)
5) Vita Vea, NT Washington (1st Round Grade)
6) Minkah Fitzpatrick, CB/FS/SS Alabama (1st Round Grade)
7) Baker Mayfield, QB Oklahoma (1st Round Grade)
8) Josh Rosen, QB UCLA (1st Round Grade)
9) Sam Darnold, QB USC (1st Round Grade)
10) Derrius Guice, RB LSU (1st Round Grade)
11) Braden Smith, OT/OG Auburn (1st Round Grade)
12) Tremaine Edmunds, EDGE/OLB Virginia Tech (1st Round Grade)
13) Connor Williams, OT Texas (1st Round Grade)
14) Carlton Davis, CB Auburn (1st Round Grade)
15) Derwin James, FS/SS Florida State (1st Round Grade)
16) Denzel Ward, CB Ohio State (1st Round Grade)
17) Arden Key, EDGE LSU (1st Round Grade)
18) Billy Price, OG/OC Ohio State (1st Round Grade)
19) Da’Ron Payne, DT Alabama (1st Round Grade)
20) Will Hernandez, OG UTEP (1st Round Grade)
21) Jaire Alexander, CB Louisville (1st Round Grade)
22) Sony Michel, RB Georgia (1st Round Grade)
23) Joshua Jackson, CB Iowa (1st Round Grade)
24) Ogbonnio Okoronkwo, OLB Oklahoma (1st/2nd)
25) Marcus Davenport, EDGE UTSA (1st/2nd)
26) Isaiah Oliver, CB Colorado (1st/2nd)
27) Ronald Jones II, RB USC (1st/2nd)
28) Orlando Brown, OT Oklahoma (1st/2nd)
29) Anthony Miller, WR Memphis (1st/2nd)
30) Leighton Vander Esch, ILB Boise State (1st/2nd)
31) Mike McGlinchey, OT Notre Dame (1st/2nd)
32) Taven Bryan, DT Florida (2nd Round Grade)
33) DeShon Elliott, FS Texas (2nd Round Grade)
34) Harrison Phillips, DL Stanford (2nd Round Grade)
35) Isaiah Wynn, OG Georgia (2nd Round Grade)
36) Dante Pettis, WR Washington (2nd Round Grade)
37) Christian Kirk, WR Texas A&M (2nd Round Grade)
38) Dallas Goedart, TE South Dakota State (2nd Round Grade)
39) Kerryon Johnson, RB Auburn (2nd Round Grade)
40) Sam Hubbard, EDGE Ohio State (2nd Round Grade)
41) Holton Hill, CB Texas (2nd Round Grade)
42) Derrick Nnadi, DT/NT Florida State (2nd Round Grade)
43) Mike Hughes, CB South Florida (2nd Round Grade)
44) Chukwuma Okorafor, OT Western Michigan (2nd Round Grade)
45) Martinas Rankin, OT Mississippi State (2nd Round Grade)
46) Terrell Edmunds, SS Virginia Tech (2nd Round Grade)
47) Rashaan Evans, ILB Alabama (2nd Round Grade)
48) Mark Andrews, TE Oklahoma (2nd Round Grade)
49) Michael Gallup, WR Colorado State (2nd Round Grade)
50) Alex Cappa, OT/OG Humboldt State (2nd Round Grade)
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