Jordan Katz 2020 NFL Mock Draft 3.0: Post Super Bowl
Mock Draft SZN is now in full swing, which means it’s time for round three of my Mock Drafts! A few things to keep in mind about my personal style mock drafts (here’s the link to my prediction style mock draft if you’re interesting in that; https://draftstock.net/2020/01/28/jordan-katz-2020-nfl-prediction-mock-draft-1-0/). In this mock draft, I take control of all 32 teams. This is what I think each team should do on draft day. I go off of my rankings and my draft evaluations, along with what I feel are the biggest needs for every team. As always, if I make a trade, it means that it made sense for both teams to make the deal (and as always, they are denoted with an asterisk). So if you disagree with all my selections, just remember, I don’t care. Let’s ride.
ROUND ONE
1) Cincinnati Bengals: Joe Burrow, QB LSU- Okay Cincinnati, here’s the deal; I’m giving you the franchise QB. It is now on you to build him an offensive line through this year’s free agency class. If you do not do this, please do not draft a quarterback before your roster is ready.
2) Washington Redskins: Andrew Thomas, OT Georgia- This is a bit of a curveball, but it makes the most sense for the Redskins to grab their left tackle of the future considering they just picked Dwayne Haskins.
The media is much lower on Thomas than I am, and for the life of me, I cannot figure out why. In my opinion, this is a can’t miss prospect. He’s a mauler in the run game, he’s got a powerful punch in pass protection, and his slide allows him to stay with the quality dip and bend edge rushers. Washington beefs up their OL with Thomas at two.
3) *Atlanta Falcons via Detroit Lions: Chase Young, EDGE Ohio State- Thomas Dimitroff recently said the Falcons are looking for game wreckers this offseason. They have already announced that Vic Beasley is walking in free agency, putting pass rush at the top of their wish list for the offseason. It’s a bold maneuver for the Falcons, but if Chase Young makes it past two, this could be the trade that gives them one more shot at a championship in the Matt Ryan era.
Editor’s Note: Detroit will look to trade out of the third selection because they need to rebuild this roster through the draft in order to compete in the coming years. Even if Chase Young is there, they need more than just Young to be a competitive team in 2020.
4) New York Giants: Isaiah Simmons, OLB/ILB Clemson- Simmons is by far the most interesting player in the draft. How many 6’4 linebackers have the capability of running a 4.35 in the 40, setting combine records in the vertical leap and broad jump, and can play up to five different positions on the defensive side of the ball? The Giants have plenty of needs, but Simmons can play three of those defensive needs throughout the course of one game, making him a natural fit.
5) Miami Dolphins: Jedrick Wills, OT Alabama- In my last mock draft I wrote about how one of Miami or Cincinnati should pursue Trevor Lawrence in 2021 because of the state their rosters are in. Assuming Cincinnati takes Burrow, that puts Miami in position to build their roster through free agency and the draft before selecting their franchise QB in next year’s draft.
Wills is widely regarded as the top tackle in this draft. He gains leverage at the point of attack with really sound technique. Even though his footwork in the vertical set can lag behind at times, he’s a day one left tackle in the NFL.
6) Los Angeles Chargers: Tristan Wirfs, OT Iowa- The tackles continue to fly off the board. Wirfs is being talked about as a guard at the next level, but I’m not sure why. He’s an elite athlete in space, he handles stunts and extra rushers well, and he strikes with power and precision. He’s an ideal right tackle at the next level.
Editor’s Note: Until the bevy of free agent quarterbacks sign their next contracts, I will assume the Chargers land a QB in free agency, and proceed to address their next biggest need here at six.
7) Carolina Panthers: Jeff Okudah, CB Ohio State- Okudah falling to seven is the dream scenario for the Panthers. He’s the best man cover corner I have seen in quite some time. Okudah can lock down a side of the field from day one, and be the chess piece in the secondary that Carolina is missing.
8) *Indianapolis Colts via Arizona Cardinals: Justin Herbert, QB Oregon- There is zero chance the Colts walk into 2020 with Jacoby Brissett as their only potential starting quarterback. Now this could mean a number of different things. The Colts could try to land a veteran backup in free agency. They could also knock on Andrew Luck’s door and see if the former Pro Bowler will come back to football.
A third option is trading up for a quarterback in this draft. Head Coach Frank Reich turned Carson Wentz into a star during his tenure in Philadelphia; perhaps he could do the same with Herbert, who emulates a fair amount of Wentz’s game. He can make all the throws, but he struggles with seeing NFL open windows. Herbert is smart with the ball, rarely forcing throws, but he also does not always give his playmaker a chance to go make a play. These are two things that Reich can help him with right away.
9) Jacksonville Jaguars: Derrick Brown, IDL- The once vaunted Jacksonville Jaguars defensive front was in the bottom 10 in sacks last year. Part of the reason is because they lack the elite athletes to get home from the middle of the field. Derrick Brown is that kind of guy.
10) Cleveland Browns: Mekhi Becton, OT Louisville- Cleveland is yet another team near the top of this draft that will look to address the offensive line early on. Power is the name of the game for Mekhi Becton, he punches with precision and he’s able to bully opposing defensive linemen as if they were members of the secondary. Don’t sleep on his athleticism either. Even though he’s built like a brick house, Becton is very adept at getting to the second level and sealing off his target. He can be a successful pro at left or right tackle in the NFL.
11) New York Jets: CeeDee Lamb, WR Oklahoma- This is the nightmare scenario for the Jets, which may seem weird to some. Lamb is explosive with the ball in his hands and he separates well at the top of the stem; but his vertical ability is what makes him an elite prospect. The Jets land the top wideout in the draft and a dynamic target for Sam Darnold, so how is this bad?
Here’s why this is the nightmare scenario. The Jets need to come out of this offseason with a revamped, quality offensive line to help Sam Darnold progress. Adam Gase needs the OL to be good as well. A lot of his route combinations take time to develop, which you cannot execute without a quality OL. As good as the receivers at the top of the draft are, the wide receiver position is so loaded that you can get a playmaker in rounds two or three. The top tackles in this draft are head and shoulders better than the other linemen this year.
So while Lamb is a quality selection, it is not an ideal one for the Green and White.
12) Las Vegas Raiders: Henry Ruggs III, WR Alabama- Unlike the Jets, a playmaker is the Raiders top need. This team might have made the playoffs last year if Derek Carr had a legit number one target.
Ruggs is a speed demon. He’s a 4.2 guy, and he plays like it every time he touches the ball. Despite being only 6’0, he has an impressive catch radius as well. If Ruggs improves as a route runner, he goes from “Tyreek Hill esque,” to a better version of Hill.
13) *Arizona Cardinals via Indianapolis Colts: K’Lavon Chaisson, EDGE LSU- Despite another phenomenal season from Chandler Jones, Arizona was middle of the pack in team sacks. Chaisson’s ability off the edge would have this defense set up to take a massive leap forward in 2020.
14) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Jacob Eason, QB Washington- Eason may not be beloved by the mock draft community, but I’m standing by him as a top 40 player that warrants a first round selection (you know, because he’s a quarterback….).
Eason has a cannon for an arm, and in a clean pocket, he can make all the throws. Touch passes are a bit of an issue, as is his decision making and technique when the pocket collapses. However, I really like the way he anticipates receivers out of their break. That’s what makes me believe that a good offensive mind can teach Eason how to keep his feet quiet in a chaotic pocket and deliver the ball with precision. In short, give Bruce Arians a guy like Eason, and magic will happen.
15) Denver Broncos: Javon Kinlaw, IDL South Carolina- Derek Wolfe, Shelby Harris and Adam Gotsis are all free agents during this offseason. Even if they bring back one or two, the front three needs to be addressed.
Kinlaw does not have the production on paper to warrant a top 15 selection, but his game does. Kinlaw loves the rip move and the club move (hand over hand as it’s more commonly referred to) to win one-on-one reps against opposing guards. He succeeded as a one tech and a three tech in college, and he will do the same at the next level because of his athleticism. Frankly, I’d give him some reps as a 5 tech because of how fluid his hips and ankles are. If he gets better at putting the Quarterback down, Kinlaw can be a star.
16) *Detroit Lions via Atlanta Falcons: Kristian Fulton, CB LSU- Detroit could have picked Okudah or Young at three, but they have a lot of needs. The only thing keeping them together every year is Matt Stafford, and I’m not sure 6-10 every year counts as “keeping them together.” Trading down, acquiring future assets, and still selecting a talented corner like Fulton, is a better method. That’s the perks of having a strong draft class at the top.
17) Dallas Cowboys: Jerry Jeudy, WR Alabama- I think everyone is assuming Amari Cooper returns to Dallas, and they’re probably right. With the threat of Tom Brady as an option making its way around the media, Dak Prescott probably accepts a little bit lower than he wants to. This means that Cooper can get the franchise tag, and the Dallas Cowboys offense can remain the same.
But what if Prescott is the one that gets the tag? What if Dallas opts to see more of him before committing to him long term? If that happened, does Amari Cooper warrant top dollar?
Based on the quality of the draft class, I would let Cooper walk. I don’t think he’s the game changing wide receiver that deserves top money at the position. I especially would not pay him when his clone is sitting in this draft class, and could be an option for the Cowboys at 17 (or a little higher if they traded up).
Editor’s Note: Even though Jeudy is my WR3, I don’t dislike him by any means. He’s still a terrific prospect, and the best route runner in the class by far. My question with him is drops, he has a fair amount of them.
18) Miami Dolphins via Pittsburgh Steelers: Jeff Gladney, CB TCU- Gladney is one of my favorite players in this draft class. I love his technique in man coverage. He flips his hips with ease and he excels at mirroring receivers. Whether he’s in the slot or on the boundary, Gladney is an elite man cover corner. He would be a fun chess piece for Head Coach Brian Flores.
19) Las Vegas Raiders via Chicago Bears: Patrick Queen, ILB LSU- Queen is the prototypical modern day linebacker. He’s a terrific athlete in space, he shoots the correct gaps against the run, and he can play man coverage against running backs and tight ends. Las Vegas (that’s really weird to say) needs a signal caller in the middle of their defense, so this pick kind of writes itself.
20) Jacksonville Jaguars via Los Angeles Rams: CJ Henderson, CB Florida- Henderson is a “mini me,” of LSU corner Kristian Fulton. Both players are really good in man coverage. They excel at mirroring receivers with quality footwork and fluid hips. Both are able to trail receivers with elite top end speed. Jacksonville continues to revamp their defense with Henderson at 20.
21) Philadelphia Eagles: Justin Jefferson, WR LSU- Philadelphia has two big needs; wide receiver and corner. Fortunately, this draft is loaded with both. Jefferson is a terrific fit for Doug Pederson’s offense because he can run clean routes from anywhere on the field. His versatility and production in Joe Brady’s offense make him a very intriguing pro prospect.
22) *Kansas City Chiefs via Buffalo Bills: JK Dobbins, RB Ohio State- Rarely would I advise a team to trade up for a running back. Most teams are not in the position to make such an aggressive move, and most running backs are not worthy of doing so.
Having said that, the Chiefs are not just any other team, and JK Dobbins is not just any other running back. His explosiveness and vision in the Chiefs one cut, zone blocking scheme would be a perfect compliment to the Chiefs passing attack. This is a move that puts them in the dynasty conversation.
23) New England Patriots: Grant Delpit, FS/SS LSU- In Mock 2.0 I wrote about how the NFL really needs to prevent Delpit from falling the way Derwin James did a few years ago. Delpit had a roller coaster final season on tape, just like James did, but Delpit is still a guy that can change games. He hunts the ball and creates big plays near the line of scrimmage. Letting him fall to a playoff team, or a potential playoff team, is not what the league wants to do.
Long story short, I failed, and here is Delpit going to the Patriots at 23. Devin McCourty had a subpar second half, and could be a cap cut this offseason. Duron Harmon can move to “centerfield,” and Delpit can be a chess piece in the back for Bill Belichick’s defense.
24) New Orleans Saints: Tua Tagovailoa, QB Alabama- I’ll ignore the fact that I am lower on Tua’s tape than most, and go right to the crux of the issue; where to place him in the draft. There are so many conflicting medical reports of how long he can play in the NFL. Sure, he’s a top five lock in the real draft, seeing as how he did receive the clean bill of health for the immediate future. Yet, no one really knows what his future will look like five years from now on the football field.
Personally, I would only draft Tua if I was a team that was a quarterback away from competing for a championship. If Drew Brees retires, New Orleans becomes one of those teams. Plus, the idea of a healthy Tua Tagovailoa with Sean Payton is a scary thought.
25) Minnesota Vikings: Xavier McKinney, FS Alabama- Minnesota is losing a lot of players in the secondary to free agency this offseason. At 25, they should take the best defensive back on the board and move on. That guy in this scenario is McKinney because of his range as a single high safety.
26) Miami Dolphins via Houston Texans: Lloyd Cushenberry, IOL LSU- Miami continues to revamp their offensive line for their future QB. Cushenberry has the versatility and intelligence to play guard or center at the next level, but it’s his athleticism that has me excited about the player he could be at the next level.
27) Seattle Seahawks: AJ Epenesa, DL Iowa- Epenesa fell down my draft board a bit because I think his true upside is as a guy who bulks up and plays a three technique in the NFL. When you watch his tape, he jumps off the page when he lines up along the interior. As a straight edge guy, he does not have the dip and bend ability to be a versatile edge rusher. As a 3-4 DE, his game would look a lot like JJ Watt. His technique, the bevy of moves that he possesses, and his quickness would make him a nightmare. Epenesa is a great fit in Seattle to replace Jadeveon Clowney at a much cheaper price.
28) Baltimore Ravens: Yetur Gross-Matos, EDGE Penn State- For the first time in a while, the Baltimore Ravens enter a draft needing defense. Gross-Matos is a smart pass rusher with good instincts and enough moves to get home at the next level. His technique is what makes me really like this fit. I think his game and his knowledge of how to win reps against opposing tackles make this an intriguing option for Baltimore in the back end of round one.
29) Tennessee Titans: Austin Jackson, OT USC- Jackson’s length and athleticism are why I have him at the top of the “second tier,” of offensive tackles in this draft. It’s also why he goes to Tennessee to replace Jack Conklin. Lastly, it’s why he gets drafted a little higher than his draft grade may warrant.
30) Green Bay Packers: Jalen Reagor, WR TCU- It’s weird to think that the Packers, led by Aaron Rodgers, need to address their offensive unit. However, minus Davante Adams, the Packers receiving core is surprisingly lackluster. Reagor is the home run threat that this offense is missing.
31) *New York Jets via San Francisco 49ers: Cesar Ruiz, IOL Michigan- Remember earlier when I said the Jets were experiencing their nightmare scenario? This is why. The Jets have to, HAVE TO, come away with a day one starter along the offensive line in this draft, even if that means trading assets they do not want to give up. Ruiz is the last offensive lineman on my board that I believe can be a successful day one starter. Therefore, the Jets trade up to get him.
32) *Buffalo Bills via Kansas City Chiefs: Laviska Shenault Jr., WR Colorado- Buffalo did a nice job of manufacturing a solid receiving core from a bevy of misfits in 2019. To make it to the next level, they need a legit playmaker on the outside who can create big plays in space. That is Shenault in a nutshell.
TRADES IN ROUND ONE
1- Atlanta Falcons trade the #16, #47, #116, a 2021 1st Round Pick and a 2021 4th Round pick to the Detroit Lions for the #3 and #182.
2) Indianapolis Colts trade the #13, #44, a 2021 2nd Round Pick and a 2021 4th Round Pick to the Arizona Cardinals for the #8 and #202.
3) Kansas City Chiefs trade the #32, #63 and #177 to the Buffalo Bills for the #22 and #167.
4) New York Jets trade the #48, #68 and #191 to the San Francisco 49ers for the #31.
ROUND TWO
33) Cincinnati Bengals: Kenneth Murray, ILB Oklahoma
34) Indianapolis Colts via Washington Redskins: Neville Gallimore, IDL Oklahoma
35) Detroit Lions: Ashtyn Davis, SS Iowa
36) New York Giants: Matthew Peart, OT UCONN
37) Los Angeles Chargers: Damon Arnette, CB Ohio State
38) Carolina Panthers: Ross Blacklock, IDL TCU
39) Miami Dolphins: D’Andre Swift, RB Georgia
40) Arizona Cardinals: Lucas Niang, OT TCU
41) Cleveland Browns: Antoine Winfield Jr., FS/SS Minnesota
42) Jacksonville Jaguars: Van Jefferson, WR Florida
43) Chicago Bears via Las Vegas Raiders: Prince Tega Wanogho, OT Auburn
44) *Arizona Cardinals via Indianapolis Colts: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB LSU
45) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Cam Akers, RB Florida State
46) Denver Broncos: Noah Igbinoghene, CB Auburn
47) *Detroit Lions via Atlanta Falcons: Joshua Uche, EDGE Michigan
48) *San Francisco 49ers via New York Jets: Denzel Mims, WR Baylor
49) Pittsburgh Steelers: Bradlee Anae, EDGE Utah
50) Chicago Bears: Julian Okwara, EDGE Notre Dame
51) Dallas Cowboys: AJ Terrell, CB Clemson
52) Los Angeles Rams: Akeem Davis-Gaither, ILB Appalachian State
53) Philadelphia Eagles: Cameron Dantzler, CB Mississippi State
54) Buffalo Bills: Ben Bredeson, IOL Michigan
55) Atlanta Falcons via New England Patriots: Cole Kmet, TE Notre Dame
56) Miami Dolphins via New Orleans Saints: Terrell Lewis, EDGE Alabama
57) Houston Texans: Jonathan Taylor, RB Wisconsin
58) Minnesota Vikings: Trey Adams, OT Washington
59) Seattle Seahawks: Isaiah Wilson, OT Georgia
60) Baltimore Ravens: Leki Fotu, NT Utah
61) Tennessee Titans: Jaylon Johnson, CB Utah
62) Green Bay Packers: Josh Jones, OT Houston
63) *Buffalo Bills via Kansas City Chiefs from San Francisco 49ers: Bryce Hall, CB Virginia
64) Seattle Seahawks via Kansas City Chiefs: Justin Madubuike, IDL Texas A&M
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