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Jordan Katz 2020 Prediction Style NFL Mock Draft: 1.0

Posted on January 28, 2020 Updated on February 13, 2020

Welcome to the first installment of my prediction style Mock Draft. For those that might be reading for the first time, I do two kinds of Mock Drafts. The ones I post more regularly are what I would do if I were in charge of all 32 teams. In those mocks you see more of what I think of individual players, as well as what I think each team should prioritize.

In my prediction mocks, they are exactly what they sound like; predictions. I’m going based off of what I have seen rumored, As we get closer to the draft, I will use Combine meetings, who went to what pro day, and the rumor mill to make my predictions.

As far as trades go, any trade you see in this Mock Draft is a prediction on which teams could be in the trade market come draft time. Obviously there are more teams that will look to trade than the select ones I chose, and that’s where the breakdown of the board can have influence on the predictions I choose to make. As always, trades that were made in this mock are indicated via an asterisk.

Let’s cook.

ROUND ONE

1) Cincinnati Bengals: Joe Burrow, QB LSU- I still think Cincinnati is in a great position to build a roster before selecting their QB of the future, but let’s call a spade a spade; this will be Joe Burrow in three months.

2) Washington Redskins: Chase Young, EDGE Ohio State- Don’t sleep on Washington trading down here. Chase Young is a phenomenal player, but Washington has a lot of needs. They could leverage this pick to a QB needy team if the buzz around the Quarterbacks were to get high enough. For now, Washington just stays here and picks Young.

3) *Miami Dolphins via Detroit Lions: Tua Tagovailoa, QB Alabama- During the early stages of the college football season, there was a lot of buzz that Dolphins Owner Stephen Ross was going to force the front office to take Tua at the presumed first overall selection. Now they have a chance to trade up and land the guy that Ross supposedly coveted. Something tells me because of all the teams that need QBs near the top, Miami will be tempted to use their assets in this draft to go get their franchise QB. 

4) New York Giants: Isaiah Simmons, OLB/ILB/Slot Corner/FS/NFL Version of the Hulk, Clemson- Okay, so the position thing is clearly a joke, but Simmons is the definition of a chess piece for any NFL defense. The Giants rarely take a linebacker in round one, but Simmons is no ordinary linebacker. He changes games, and the Giants need game changers on defense.

5) *Detroit Lions via Miami Dolphins: Jeffrey Okudah, CB Ohio State- Detroit trading down feels like the layup trade of this draft. Trading down to still select Okudah, who they probably would take at three anyway, is the dream scenario. Darius Slay has one more year left on his contract, and because of where the Lions are at, he would likely walk in free agency. Assuming they trade Slay to expedite their rebuild, cornerback tops their wish list in the 2020 draft.

6) Los Angeles Chargers: Justin Herbert, QB Oregon- Herbert put on a clinic throughout the week of the Senior Bowl. He looked like the best player on the field at all times, which is exactly how he should have looked if in fact he was a top 10 lock. While Jordan Love is an option here, Herbert being further along mentally and physically is what pushes the Chargers in his direction.

7) *Indianapolis Colts via Carolina Panthers: Jordan Love, QB Utah State- Four QBs in the top 10 is a lot, but that appears to be where we are headed. Love has NFL size, NFL arm strength, and he can stretch the play with his legs. While I don’t view him that highly, many think he can resemble Patrick Mahomes. Indianapolis trades up for Love, but they won’t rush him if he’s not ready because of Jacoby Brissett, which also makes this a quality fit for the former Utah State star.

8) Arizona Cardinals: Andrew Thomas, OT Georgia- I know there is a ton of buzz around Mekhi Becton right now, however something tells me Thomas regains his momentum at the combine in a month. I think he’s been out of the spotlight for so long, people forgot just how dominant he was on tape. When he reminds them that he’s got the athleticism to match his game tape next month, Thomas should ascend back to the top offensive linemen on many people’s draft board.

9) *Atlanta Falcons via Jacksonville Jaguars: Derrick Brown, IDL Auburn- General Manager Thomas Demitrioff recently said he is looking for “game wreckers,” during this offseason. Let me tell you someone that embodies the words “game wrecker.” A Six foot five, 318 pound behemoth, who has quickness of a linebacker, the strength to beat double teams like they’re paper mache, and the ability to help others make plays because he draws so much attention. That is a guy TD would love to have on his roster.

10) Cleveland Browns: Jedrick Wills, OT Alabama- This was a real coin flip between Wills and Becton. I went with Wills because he’s built more like a prototypical offensive tackle. Becton is a mauler, built like a brick house, but his size could leave him susceptible to elite athletes on the edge. Wills is better served to deal with those kind of players.

11) New York Jets: Mekhi Becton, OT Louisville- Despite what’s written above, it’s not like Becton is a bad athlete. For someone of his size, he’s quite nimble. He gets to the second level with ease. He strikes with such force, he bodies other human beings in a way I have never seen on a football field. Becton would be a huge jolt to the Jets up front.

12) Las Vegas Raiders: Jerry Jeudy, WR Alabama- I think the wide receivers will fall throughout the 2020 NFL Draft, just because there are so many talented players at the position. This is the first example of that, as WR1 goes off the board outside the top ten. The Raiders feel like a lock to take a receiver with one of their two first round selections. Which selection they opt to do that at will depend on the way the board falls.

13) *Carolina Panthers via Indianapolis Colts: Tristan Wirfs, OL Iowa- Many seem to think Wirfs has all pro ability at guard, and that he will wind up along the interior of an offensive line at the next level. If that’s true, he probably falls outside the top 10 as well. The value placed on tackles is just greater than the value placed on guards or centers.

Fortunately for the Panthers, this can help them. They can generate enough buzz around themselves selecting the heir to Cam Newton, and trade down for a stud along the offensive line in Wirfs.

14) Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Grant Delpit, FS/SS LSU- I know Delpit is very up and down on draft boards, but the one thing no one can deny is Delpit’s ability around the line of scrimmage. The Bucs secondary needs players that change games, and Delpit does just that. This feels like a natural fit that many might be sleeping on.

15) Denver Broncos: CeeDee Lamb, WR Oklahoma- Courtland Sutton was a breakout star in 2019, but in the modern day NFL, you need more than one playmaker offensively. This idea is why Denver is a prime candidate to grab another big time player to help Drew Lock turn into the franchise Quarterback that Denver needs him to be. 

16) *Jacksonville Jaguars via Atlanta Falcons: Kristian Fulton, CB LSU- The Jaguars are turning over their defense and trying to retool it to resemble the defense they had a few years ago. Having traded Jalen Ramsey, and with AJ Bouye presumably on his way out the door soon, a logical scenario for them is trading back in this draft, acquiring assets, and selecting Fulton, who is expected to be CB2 in April behind Jeffrey Okudah.

17) Dallas Cowboys: Javon Kinlaw, IDL South Carolina- Dallas has multiple needs defensively to get themselves back to where they expect to be. Interior defensive line, corner or safety are all on the table with their first round selection. Based on the way this board fell, Javon Kinlaw makes the most sense here.

18) Miami Dolphins via Pittsburgh Steelers: AJ Epenesa, EDGE Iowa- Epenesa is a weird prospect for me to attempt to predict right now. I think the NFL scouts like the player he is, the way he wins up front with technique instead of just sheer athleticism, and the way he controls his gaps up front.

Having said that, I think they are afraid that he lacks the quickness and athleticism to truly dominate at the next level. I don’t think anyone doubts that he will be a productive pro, I think the question is about his ceiling.

These are the reasons he could go anywhere from 10-30 come April.

19) Las Vegas Raiders via Chicago Bears: Patrick Queen, ILB LSU- The Raiders will probably go defense with the other first round selection they have, and a candidate for said selection is Patrick Queen. Oakland’s linebacking core is less than impressive, and Queen’s stock is through the roof after an incredible college football playoff.

20) Jacksonville Jaguars via Los Angeles Rams: K’Lavon Chaisson, EDGE LSU- Chaisson will not be on the board long because of his elite ability off the edge. Jacksonville continues to revamp their defense by selecting Chaisson to replace pending free agent Yannick Ngakoue.

21) Philadelphia Eagles: Henry Ruggs III, WR Alabama- This is a realistic scenario that the rest of the NFL needs to make sure does not happen, for their own sake. Giving Doug Pederson a weapon like Ruggs would push the Eagles offense to the elite level they were at a few years ago. If the Eagles find a way to land the stud playmaker they are missing in a few months, lookout.

22) Buffalo Bills: Tee Higgins, WR Clemson- The Bills could go a number of different directions with their first round selection, and pass catcher is certainly one of them. While Josh Allen had a nice season with John Brown and Cole Beasley as his top targets, there is no question he could benefit from a big body receiver that can score in the red zone. If that’s what they are looking for, then Tee Higgins is their answer.

23) *Tampa Bay Buccaneers via New England Patriots: Jacob Eason, QB Washington- If the rumors of Philip Rivers to Tampa Bay are true, then the Bucs are the easy pick to trade back into round one for Eason. Eason has a big arm, and he can make all the throws when the pocket is clean. When the pocket collapses, that’s when his mechanics go awry. Give him to Bruce Arians, and you might just see Eason blossom into a superstar after sitting for a year.

24) New Orleans Saints: Raekwon Davis, IDL Alabama- One of the teams in the back end of round one is going to reach for Raekwon Davis. His athleticism will warrant it. I chose the Saints because recent reports are that they believe Taysom Hill is their guy for the future if Drew Brees does retire. That means the Saints turn to the defensive side of the ball, and give a boost to their pass rush along the interior.

25) Minnesota Vikings: Jeff Gladney, CB TCU- Minnesota’s secondary played subpar all year long. Not only that, but most of their secondary is up for contract. If there is a lock in the back half of round one, it’s Minnesota taking a secondary piece.

26) *Detroit Lions from Miami Dolphins via Houston Texans: Laviska Shenault Jr., WR Colorado- Detroit needs a weapon opposite Kenny Golladay long term. Marvin Jones could be a cap cut considering he’s been hurt each of the last two years, opening up a spot for one of the young, talented receivers in this draft.

27) Seattle Seahawks: Lloyd Cushenberry III, IOL LSU- Seattle is a really good trade down candidate to a team that needs a quarterback and did not select one in the top half of round one. If that team jumped up higher than Seattle, like they did in this draft, look for them to address their needs in the trenches during round one.

28) Baltimore Ravens: Yetur Gross-Matos, EDGE Penn State- While the Ravens defense did have a strong year despite losing a multitude of high profile players to free agency from the year before, they still could use some help in their front seven. Matthew Judon turned into a quality rusher, but he’s set to become a free agent and most likely will not be back. This puts EDGE rusher atop their needs.

29) Tennessee Titans: Austin Jackson, OT USC- If Jack Conklin does in fact depart via free agency, the Titans top priority becomes offensive tackle. Austin Jackson is widely regarded as the best of the tier below the elite guys in this draft, making him the obvious selection.

30) *Los Angeles Chargers via Green Bay Packers: D’Andre Swift, RB Georgia- Predicting the top running back from this draft class is a debate that no one will solve until many years from now. If I were to guess which way the majority of teams are leaning, it would be Swift because of his vision and explosiveness. The Chargers jump the Chiefs to land their Melvin Gordon replacement.

31) San Francisco 49ers: Xavier McKinney, FS Alabama- Every year a player falls farther than many expect them to, and it’s all based on how the board shakes out in front of them. McKinney was the victim of that in this particular mock draft, but it allowed the 49ers to reap the benefits.

32) Kansas City Chiefs: JK Dobbins, RB Ohio State- Even if Swift does go before the Chiefs pick in round one, Dobbins is a very nice consolation prize. His ability in the open field combined with his vision between the tackles will make him a nightmare for opposing defense. In the Chiefs offense, it will be a never ending bad dream for those defenses.

TRADES IN ROUND ONE

1) Miami Dolphins trade the #5, #26 and a 2021 3rd Round Pick to the Detroit Lions for the #3 overall pick.

2) Indianapolis Colts trade the #13, #34, #75 and a 2021 2nd Round Pick to the Carolina Panthers for the #7 and #198.

3) Atlanta Falcons trade the #16, #47 and #109 to the Jacksonville Jaguars for the #9 and the #186.

4) Tampa Bay Buccaneers trade the #45, #76, a 2021 2nd Round Pick and a 2021 4th Round Pick to the New England Patriots for the #23 and #185.

5) Los Angeles Chargers trade the #37, #102 and the #133 to the Green Bay Packers for the #30 and #220.

ROUND TWO

33) Cincinnati Bengals: CJ Henderson, CB Florida
34) *Carolina Panthers from Indianapolis Colts via Washington Redskins: AJ Terrell, CB Clemson
35) Detroit Lions: Terrell Lewis, EDGE Alabama
36) New York Giants: Josh Jones, OT Houston
37) *Green Bay Packers via Los Angeles Chargers: Justin Jefferson, WR LSU
38) Carolina Panthers: Neville Gallimore, IDL Oklahoma
39) Miami Dolphins: Jonathan Taylor, RB Wisconsin
40) Arizona Cardinals: Cesar Ruiz, IOL Michigan
41) Cleveland Browns: Ashtyn Davis, SS California
42) Jacksonville Jaguars: Kenneth Murray, ILB Oklahoma
43) Chicago Bears via Las Vegas Raiders: Cole Kmet, TE Notre Dame
44) Indianapolis Colts: Ross Blacklock, IDL TCU
45) *New England Patriots via Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Isaiah Wilson, OT Georgia
46) Denver Broncos: Prince Tega Wanogho, OT Auburn
47) *Jacksonville Jaguars via Atlanta Falcons: Brandon Aiyuk, WR Arizona State
48) New York Jets: Jalen Reagor, WR TCU
49) Pittsburgh Steelers: Josh Uche, EDGE Michigan
50) Chicago Bears: Bradlee Anae, EDGE Utah
51) Dallas Cowboys: Trevon Diggs, CB Alabama
52) Los Angeles Rams: Jonathan Greenard, EDGE Florida
53) Philadelphia Eagles: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB LSU
54) Buffalo Bills: Zack Baun, EDGE Wisconsin
55) Atlanta Falcons via New England Patriots: Thad Moss, TE LSU
56) Miami Dolphins via New Orleans Saints: Lucas Niang, OT TCU
57) Houston Texans: Cam Akers, RB Florida State
58) Minnesota Vikings: Leki Fotu, IDL Utah
59) *New York Jets via Seattle Seahawks: Damon Arnette, CB Ohio State
60) *Las Vegas Raiders via Baltimore Ravens: Cameron Dantzler, CB Mississippi State
61) Tennessee Titans: Jason Strowbridge, DL North Carolina
62) *Philadelphia Eagles via Green Bay Packers: Noah Igbinoghene, CB Auburn
64) Kansas City Chiefs via San Francisco 49ers: Bryce Hall, CB Virginia
64) Seattle Seahawks via San Francisco 49ers: Ben Bredeson, IOL Michigan

TRADES IN ROUND TWO

1) New York Jets trade the #68 #79 and #140 to the Seattle Seahawks for the #59 and #123.

2) Las Vegas Raiders trade the #80, #91 and #203 to the Baltimore Ravens for the #60 and #187.

3) Philadelphia Eagles trade the #85, #117 and a 2021 2nd Round Pick to the Green Bay Packers for #62 and a 2021 3rd Round Pick.